cnn meteorologist allison chinchar is tracking this.alking about this thing is slowing down and how much that means to these states. >> it does. especially in terms of rainfall. the slower the systems move, the more rain they are likely to dump in the same location that is already been getting the rain. unfortunately, that seems to be the trend that the models are taking with this particular storm. 70 miles per hour, 5-mile-per-hour off from hurricane strength. so we are about as close as we could possibly get which is why we expect it to get back to hurricane strength the end of the day today. monday, making that quick jump to likely a category three making it a major hurricane. it continues to strengthen over these open, warm waters before it finally gets close enough to land. now if the model is industrial pretty much pretty good agreement. somewhere between, say, virginia, and south carolina. that may seem like a pretty widespread but you have to understand there is a lot of models that come into play and this is actually, believe i

cnn meteorologist allison chinchar is tracking this storm.he things you said besides the intensification is the slow moving nature of this one. >> not that you want a strong storm but honestly personally to me, it's the slowing down that has me a bit more concerned because traditionally speaking when that happens, you get so much additional rainfall over the same spots because the storm just simply isn't moving. right now, florence winds of 70 miles per hour but we do expect rapid intensification the next 24 hours. in fact, we expect it to go from a tropical storm now to a category 3 by the end of monday. again, you're talking about a fan of just 24 hours making that quick jump. part of the reason is these warm ocean temperatures as it continues its trek off to the west. then the ultimate question is where does it go from there? all three of those states have issued states of emergency are in the potential cone. virginia, north carolina, as well as south carolina. the models are starting to come into better agreement. this far out that is a p

. >> allison chinchar, thank you very much for the update. >>> you can follow me on twitter and at the lead cnn. our coverage on cnn continues right now. >>> happening now, breaking news. the coming storm, mandatory evacuations begin as florence barrels toward the u.s. east coast. with millions of people in its path. category 4 hurricane expected to get even stronger, and there's a new forecast just out. >>> lack of trust. as the white house tries to discredit critics of president trump, our exclusive new poll shows only 32% of americans think he is honest and trustworthy. now the white house says maybe the justice department should investigate the unanimous op-ed that detailed dysfunction inside the trump team. >>> trading cases. porn star stormy daniels and president trump switched positions on her lawsuit against the president with mr. trump now ready to end their nondisclosure agreement. but daniels' lawyer says the president only wants to avoid being deposed. michael avenatti joins me this hour. >>> and parading kim's power. kim jong-un marks his country's 70th birthday with a sho

allison chinchar, thank you for that. we'll monitor the weather, the rain, and everything else here in north carolina and south carolina as we head into what's going to be a dark and frightening night for many residents. ana? >> martin, we're sending our best to everyone in the carolinas, hoping everyone stays safe. thank you. there are ways to donate, give blood, and get in touch with charities that are responding. just visit wcnn.com/impact for more ways to help. >>> a u.s. border patrol agent taken into custody for the alleged murder of four people and the abduction of a fifth. >>> also these are pictures from today, a deadly shark attack off the coast of cape cod. a man killed despite beachgoers' desperate attempts to save him. there they are, your neighbors. you like them. they always remember everyone's names. your kids love swimming in their pool. you like them. if you forget your trunks, they'll loan you some. they have a section in their stock portfolio just for pool stuff. everyone likes them. you like them. but

. >>> meteorologist allison chinchar in the weather center with the forecast.m picture. >> yeah. so the good news is there is no rain expected today in that general area. but that changes starting coming up this week, monday and tuesday specifically around the conway area. that's a concern because look at the areas you still have under flood warnings as we speak right now. and to look at all of the rivers, all those dots you see there, those are minor, moderate, even major flood stage for a lot of those locations. we're still keeping an eye around conway. at least for the next week it's expected to stay in major flood stage. we actually don't expect to get back normal levels for a while because of all of the water. each as florence exited -- even as florence exited, it was still able to pull the moisture. the concern is going to be additional rain chances once we get to monday and tuesday. this isn't the only spot that we're concerned about for flooding. believe it or not, we've had other areas including texas and oklahoma. look at the amount of rain that has f

allison chinchar, thanks very much. much more ahead. stay with us. this special cnn live coverage of the aftermath of hurricane, now tropical storm florence, continues after this. if you're waiting patiently for a liver transplant, it could cost you your life. it's time to get out of line with upmc. at upmc, living-donor transplants put you first. so you don't die waiting. upmc does more living-donor liver transplants than any other center in the nation. find out more and get out of line today. - anncr: as you grow older, -your brain naturally begins to change which may cause trouble with recall. - learning from him is great... when i can keep up! - anncr: thankfully, prevagen helps your brain and improves memory. - dad's got all the answers. - anncr: prevagen is now the number-one-selling brain health supplement in drug stores nationwide. - she outsmarts me every single time. - checkmate! you wanna play again? - anncr: prevagen. healthier brain. better life. "have you lost weight?" of course i have- ever since i started renting from national. becaus

meteorologist allison chinchar is in the cnn weather center, we're watching all of this. the water is starting to recede a little bit, but the fact that there's so much more water coming, that's what officials are watching even here in myrtle beach, worried about the next few days, whether water could come up over roads and bridges that are access points into myrtle beach, for example sf. >> right. the long term becomes rivers, creeks, streams and things. that water has to go somewhere. that's where it is likely going to end up, not just water coming from the ocean but above. it all drains somewhere. we still have heavy rain. the storm picked up speed by 1 miles per hour, now moving west at 3 miles per hour. that new information at the top of the hour. and new information, fayetteville police out of north carolina now issuing mandatory evacuations for cumberland county because here's why. the little river at manchester is expected to rise rapidly over the next several hours. in fact, they expect it to break the previous record by six feet. they're telling people get out,

allison chinchar, thank you very much. amazing to believe that the storm is slower than a person can work. the hurricane danger has passed. but what's coming afterward may impact far more lives. cnn's nick watt is on the sands in north myrtle beach, south carolina. some people are returning and relieved by what they found. >> reporter: yeah, since we last spoke, martin, the wind has picked up. the rain is a lot heavier. i've spoken to somebody else who has just returned, he lives on the next block beyond where we are. he said, listen, this place will flood at the drop of a hat. the problem here, it's actually from both sides. we can get the storm surge and the surf from this way. there's also the intracoastal water way which runs a couple of blocks back in town. if that inland fresh water flooding, if some of that water makes its way down here, these people could get hit from both sides. these houses on the beach, a lot of them are built on stilts so the surge can't go underneath. further back there, there are a lot of hom

meteorologist allison chinchar is tracking it. what are you seeing?are seeing it strengthening. expect it to strengthen in the coming days. expected back to hurricane strength in the next 48 hours. by the time you get to middle of the week, tuesday and wednesday, we expect it to get up to a major hurricane status. right now winds about 65 miles per hour, moving west about 9 miles per hour. so again, it is slowly continuing a trek to the west. notice one, two, three, four. we expect it to continue to strengthen as it pushes out to the west. the question becomes where does it go from there. what impacts would be felt for the u.s. when we talk about all of the different options, this is likely to have impacts for the entire east coast, even places like florida and new york. even if the landfall goes about here, the carolinas, you will likely have rip currents felt up and down the east coast. keep that in mind. and remember the landfall point only refers to the center of circulation. you have outer bands that bring torrential heavy rain for states after t

meteorologist allison chinchar is at the cnn severe weather center. pening here. it's getting bigger, it's getting stronger. >> yes, absolutely. we've seen those sustained winds jump up about 10 miles per hour with this latest advisory. still a category 4, and the important thing to note is we still expect it to be a category 4 at landfall. somewhere between virginia and south carolina. rain is going to be the biggest concern with this particular storm. we are talking about widespread amounts at the area around landfall to be about 6 to 12 inches of rain. however, it is not out of the question for some of these areas to pick up 20 if not even 30 inches of rain, because the system is expected to stall out. however, this is not going to be the only impact that we have for this area. the key thing to note, we talk about virginia to south carolina being the key area for landfall. but really, anywhere from florida to massachusetts, you are going to have impacts in the form of rip currents, strong winds and even beach erosion. >> now, the last category to hi

. >> allison chinchar live from the cnn weather center.ook at the latest information that we have from tropical storm florence. movement still right now credibly slow. west at only three miles per hour. the winds are still sustained, that means consistent, at 70 miles per hour and gusting up to 85 miles per hour. we have seen the center of circulation actually cross into south carolina, and that's really the state that we're going to start to see some of that heavy rain really begin to push into. and the storm surge, which really up to this point has been limited to areas of north carolina, you're now going to start to see areas of south carolina be inundated by that storm surge as we go through the next 24 hours. some of the heaviest rain bands have been around this morehead city and up through jacksonville area. but notice just in about the last hour, we've had another very heavy rain band set up just to the north and east of wilmington. and that's where we're really going to start to see some of those rainfall total numbers jump. some o

allison chinchar has the details for us. >> notching not one but two tropical systems and we will talktes coming up. this wi-fi is fast. i know! i know! i know! i know! when did brian move back in? brian's back? he doesn't get my room. he's only going to be here for like a week. like a month, tops. oh boy. wi-fi fast enough for the whole family is simple, easy, awesome. in many cultures, young men would stay with their families until their 40's. >>> this week's staying well shows how rock climbing provides stress relief. >> i need you to breathe. you're not going to get beat by this wall. >> i'm a nurse in an outpatient facility. i've been climbing for about two and a half years. when i come here all my stress is released, just gets out of my body. my very first time getting to the top of the wall and looking down, i was scared to actually come down. i just do not like heights at all. i learned to overcome that fear because it's like you can't be scared of things in life. >> i have students that are 5 years old and i have students that are 65 years old. it was a full body workout, so n

meteorologist allison chinchar is tracking the latest in the cnn weather center. not just this storm, a couple other nuisances out there. >> that's right. three total potential storms right here. three that could ends up being all hurricanes by the time we get to monday. let's start with flompblrence. as kristi mentioned, it has jumped up to 65 miles per hour the thing of it is the reason why it's doing that is, as it continues its westward track, it is entering a much more favorable environment. notice here, one, two, three, we do expect it to strengthen once it reaches a category three or higher, it is a major hurricane. the reason why it's stristrengt there will be more warm temperatures. that is fuel. that will help this storm strengthen. the ul mat question is where, which states will have impacts from this particular storm. the models are starting to come towing. they're starting to favor a landfall around the carolinas. that could still potentially change because at this point landfall is not expected until late on thursday. the thing i want to take away fr

allison chinchar is joining us with more on the forecast for this now tropical depression florence. >e is the problem. it is not only raining in the same places it has already seen a lot of heavy rain, but it is now starting to push inland. charlotte is now under a flash flood emergency particularly for the southern region of that county. it may not look that impressive on the radar, a little blue, green indicating light rain, but what you have to understand is that the charlotte airport has reported measure him rainfall f -- measurable rainfall for the last 30 hours straight. and that is why a lot of people's streets are under water. and because of this again, you you have a lot of flood warnings, flood watches, flash flood warnings and even the flood emergency like we mentioned around charlotte, north carolina. and it is very likely to see the red color which is the most extreme begin to spread west and further to the north as more of those areas begin to pick up rain. another concern too is a lot of the mountainous regions of both virginia and north carolina, here is the dern theco

meteorologist allison chinchar is live in the cnn weather center. allison, how is it looking now? this is the next step. it is not the end. >> yeah. i think that's it. even some of the communities start to see the rain lighten up a bit, you have to understand where did all of that rain go. it went into the rivers, the creeks, the streams. for those, it will take three to five days for them to crest. this is still going to be an issue going forward. right now, tropical storm florence, we saw it pick up speed, west at 3 miles per hour. it had been 2 miles per hour. winds are still 45 miles per hour. but you still have some heavy bands. one thing we want people to notice is that fayetteville police in north carolina have now issued a mandatory evacuation for cumberland county because of some of the rivers, creeks, streams. specifically little river at manchester is rising rapidly at this point in time. previous record was 29 feet, they expect it to get above major flood stage but exceed the record by 6 feet. and it is going to get there very quickly. they're telling people get out. d

let's go to the cnn weather center where meteorologist allison chinchar is following the storm. what can we expect moving forward today? >> expect plenty more rain, even the areas on the coast where it's been raining for over 40 hours straight, more rain is still on the way. again, the reason for this is the forward movement of this storm is practically stationary for all intents and purposes. it's moving only at 2 miles per hour to the due west. i will say this, we do expect the forward speed to gradually start to pick up over the next 24 hours. that will be a good thing for a lot of folks that have been getting rain for over a day straight. because eventually it will start to take back off. until the storm does that, heavy rain is still in the forecast. you can see some of these really heavy rain bands. we've got one just to the south of wilmington and one just to the north of wilmington. that's where you see the yellows and the orange colors on the radar. in some places, it's still coming down at 2 to 3 inches an hour. and, again, these folks, they're not just getting it for

cnn's allison chinchar is in the weather center tracking this. >> we're continuing to see the system strengthen. officially the latest winds are 65 miles per hour but we actually have even newer numbers from that. noaa has sent out reconnaissance flights to get data from florence. they've just picked up a 70-mile-per-hour wind gust out of this particular storl. we're starting to see that strengthening continue to take place. we expected it to do this. because it's going to continue to ent near a much more favorable environment, especially when you talk about those really warm ocean temperatures that are out there. it is expected at this point the national hurricane center forecasting this to be a category 4 at landfall. now, landfall is expected to be around the carolinas. if that happens, this will be the first category 4 storm to hit the carolinas in nearly 30 years. the previous one being hugo in 1989. we talk about where it's going to make landfall. the models are really starting to come together much better. it looks like now that consensus really kind of puts it between georgia

it's expected around -- actually, let's go to allison chinchar in the weather center right now. son, if you could give us a sense where this is right now, where it may make landfall. >> right now it's 50 miles off the coast. we mean the center of circulation. winds are still 70 miles per hour. that's only 5 miles per hour off from hurricane strength. the key thing to note is even if it doesn't get up to a category 1 storm, the impacts are still going to be the same, anderson. and that's going to be the very heavy rain. we've already had several inches dumped in a lot of these places, and additional rainfall will come down. not to mention you have storm surge, three to five feet in this red area here and about two to four feet in the orange areas that you can see. >> and what are the biggest threats right now that the storm poses? >> right. so the main concern is going to be heavy rain but also severe weather. you have the threat for waterspouts, tornadoes, that's going to be well throughout the overnight hours. folks, please make sure your phones are charged and you have access t

cnn's allison chinchar joinlss with the latest. this is real, this is serious. >> it is, fred.e continuing track of this starting to strengthen, that's the biggest area of concern in the coming days. we expect florence to get to major hurricane status, that means category three or higher. here's the latest. winds, 65 miles per hour, moving west at 7 miles per hour. notice one, two, three, four, that's the intensity of the storm. we expect to see that strengthen as it continues its trek to the west. it will enter a much more favorable environment, very warm ocean temperatures. that's fuel for the storm. that's why you're going to see strong intensification and very quickly. the question becomes what impacts does the u.s. have and where is it going to make landfall. in terms of impacts, anywhere on the east coast you're likely to see some impacts, even if that's places like florida that end up getting rip currents or states like new jersey or pennsylvania that end up getting heavy rainfall. all of the east coast is likely to have some type of impact. in terms of landfall, models

allison chinchar, thank you very much. >> last night were violent storms where i was. don't know about you but it gave me a taste of what it would be like if the hurricane -- the trees were blowing around, the wind. it was like thunder crashing. it was intense. >> so bad you missed back to school night. >> it got canceled because storms were so bad. >> that almost never happens, that and postponing football games. >>> how is the chaos in the white house affecting republican candidates in november? we have new reporting on that. the bottom line is next. - why are drivers 50 and over switching to the aarp auto insurance program from the hartford? let's take a ride with some actual customers and find out. - well, tell me about your experience when you switched to the hartford. - when i switched to the hartford, i'm sitting there thinking, "man, i should have "turned 50 years ago." they saved me a bunch of money. you can't beat that. - what blows me away about the hartford is their lifetime renewability benefit. now this is their promise not to drop you even if you have an

i want to go to allison chinchar to give us the very latest. >> don, we've seen a couple of changes the sustained winds now at 65 miles per hour. the forward movement has picked up a little bit. now west-southwest at about five miles per hour. both of them still indicate a very chlo pace. that's the concern going forward because as the storm moves so slowly, it's going to dump rain in the same spots. two particular bands of rain we've been focused on. you can see over morehead city, up through jacksonville. this other run ramping up around wilmington. it's training over the same spots. a lot of these locations are getting two to three inches of rain an hour. on top of that, you also have a tornado watch in effect for most of the overnight hours and even actick tornado warnings off and on throughout the evening. as this trek continues to make its way in towards portions of south carolina and then finally takes off, it's that shift as it starts to begin to push southward, one of the big things we'll notice is the change in storm surge. up to this point, it's only been an issue for areas o

let's first get to allison chinchar in the cnn weather center. understand you have an update for us. what are you seeing? give us a track. >> so here's the latest. right now the forward speed has picked up slightly out of the northwest at six miles per hour. the big difference we're noticing, it is now down to a category 1 is, sustained winds of 90 miles per hour. i want to emphasize those gusts are still over 100 miles per hour. numerous reports of actual wind gusts over 100 miles per hour on land. keep that in mind. even though the sustained winds are starting to come down, gusts are capable of causing significant damage out there. the forecast track again still we expect to make landfall likely late morning, early afternoon tomorrow as this thing continues to trek on to land. as it does, it's going to take the threat for strong winds and exceptionally very heavy rain. we've already started to see a lot of those really heavy bands begin to push inland. you can see that will clearly here on radar. we still have our tornado watch in effect for se

. >> all right, allison chinchar, thank you. >>> i want to bring in representative holding of north carolina. sir, we appreciate you taking some time for us today. the pictures, they are heartbreaking that we are seeing ought of your state, sir. where is your focus at this hour? >> i tell you, we have to be prepared for catastrophic inland flooding. for example, in harnet county, an evacuation order has been issued for the lower little river. it will flood at 17 feet above flood level. in comparison, hurricane matthew two years ago, that's 5 feet over where it flooded from hurricane matthew. this is going to be catastrophic. it's going to go on for days. we will not know the extent of the inland flooding for several days. people need to be aware of it. flooding, they call it, you know, the silent killer because it sneaks up on you. people, if they see standing water, you should never try to drive through it. turn around and don't drown. >> so important. we can't say that, can't stress that enough for folks. as we know, this storm is far from over. as it does move inland. even as it's continu

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allison chinchar is outfront from the cnn weather center.k right now for gordon? >> right, kate. when we take a look at it, it's just over 50 miles away from what we would deem landfall. the center of that circulation about 50 miles due south from the states. right now winds about 70 miles per hour. keep in mind, that's only 5 miles per hour below what would be a hurricane status, a category 1. it still has the potential. they have hurricane hunters out flying through the storm as we speak. it still has the potential to become that low end category 1 storm before it makes landfall. but the main concern going forward is really going to be the water, both the rain that would be coming down, but also the storm surge, that water that's coming in from the ocean. 3 to 5 feet is expected in these red shaded areas. 2 to 4 feet for the orange shaded areas. that includes cities like pensacola as well as mobile. one of the other threats is the severe aspect. we're talking waterspouts and tornadoes for a lot of those same areas, panama city as well as m

it's expected around -- actually, let's go to allison chinchar in the weather center right now. allison, if you could give us a sense where this is right now, where it may make landfall. >> right now it's 50 miles off the coast. when we reference that, we mean the center of circulation. winds are still 70 miles per hour. that's only 5 miles per hour off from hurricane strength. the key thing to note is even if it doesn't get up to a category 1 storm, the impacts are still going to be the same, anderson. and that's going to be the very heavy rain. we've already had several inches dumped in a lot of these places, and additional rainfall will come down. not to mention you have storm surge, three to five feet in this red area here and about two to four feet in the orange areas that you can see. >> and what are the biggest threats right now that the storm poses? >> right. so the main concern is going to be heavy rain but also severe weather. you have the threat for waterspouts, tornadoes, that's going to be well throughout the overnight hours. for a lost those folks there please make

cnn meteorologist allison chinchar is tracking florence for us. l me more. >> right. so the concern now is how much more intensification does this storm go through before it finally makes landfall? right now, it's a very powerful category 4 storm. winds of 130 miles per hour, gusting to 140 miles per hour. the track still eventually likes to make landfall, somewhere between virginia and south carolina. now, this does not mean these are the only areas that will be impacted. this just basically tells you where the center of circulation is expected to be and the strongest winds. but rain is actually going to be probably the biggest concern with this particular storm. we expect widespread amounts of rain, well over 10 inches. but there could be some locations that could pick up in excess of 20, even 30 inches of rain. the question is, where are those areas going to be? who is going to get the most rain? that ultimately will be determined on where that landfall location is there. the point is that all of the models are agreeing that there is going to be

let's first get to allison chinchar in the cnn weather center.e for us. what are you seeing? give us a track. >> so here's the latest. right now the forward speed has