in 1992, that was the year of hurricane mean you -- hurricane andrew, and el niÑo.sam: in the tunnel, the wind takes its toll. we are just disconnected. that was intense. that simulates a category three storm. man, did that work out my thighs. experts at the university of maryland want everyone to know while this simulation looks fun, you need to be prepared for the worst. have a plan, have an emergency kit, and be ready for whatever mother nature brings us. sam sweeney, abc 7 news. kellye: some great reporter involvement. a new look at policy making and kellye: an annual tradition lawmakers grabbing the baseball glove. jay korff has the highlights. >> we are season-ticket holders for the nats. jay: thousands put into nationals park. but they were not here to watch players whose skills have nothing to do with pinching or hitting. this is the 54th congressional baseball game, democrats against republicans. >> you get to see the members of congress engaging outside of the hill. jay: while politicians have a reputation for sparring at work, this provides a backdrop for

el nino could be responsible. >> pam:continuing our coverage on this latest rainfall. kron 4's charles clifford is live tonight in the south bay with an update on el nino. and what it could mean for california. charles. >>well, an el nino is when the waters of the pacific ocean become warmer than usual along the equater. when this happens it can alter weather patterns all over the globe. an el nino actually formed last winter but came to late to bring any moisture to california but it appears that same el nino is going to stick around. >>it's really hard to say >>meteorologist jan null believes that the el nino forming along the equator in the pacific probably isn't directly responsible for the recent storms in texas the midwest and here in california but he suspects the warm water phenomenon could be playing a supporting role. >> gary:with el nino it's like the >> reporter: atmosphere on steroids. if you compare that to a ball player, would he have hit that home run anyway? the atmosphere can do lots of things naturally anyway. >>we really can't say that any individual storm.. be it in texas or california is the result of el nino. >> reporter:null also say

if we did see the strong level happened, and a strong el nino event happened four times in 65 years. half have been wetter and half have been drier. and what we need to bust a drought is a strongest el nino. only two events in 65 years. but check out the surplus in san francisco, 23 inches e of rainfall on top of what we typically have. it would be good news with the drought but dangerous impacts, toeshl of mud slides major sliding on the california riverslieved but heavy sierra snow. >> thanks jeff. . >>> you would think that everyone is relieved to hear that el nino is coming. and nbc's damian trujillo has more. >> reporter: it does not mine it will bring a lot of rain with it. >> 97 98 above normal rainfall. >> reporter: james knoll runs the san francisco weather services. he says hit be wet and landslides. or dry like in '98, worsening the drought. >> everything has to line up in the atmosphere for it to be good for california. >> the nbc weather team is studying its models to provide accurate forecasts in the month ahead. talk of a strong el nino is good for the valley water dist

the screaming message is the pacific is very warm and el nino will be in the moderate to strong categoryare pointing toward that but not here yet for us. so the morning fog sunny and warmer. a little breezy at times. 60 ann 70s and 80s unless you are inland and then you will find some 90s. upper 80s for some. walnut creek in there. 68 alameda. 70s and 80s to 90. on the coast a tall order. nothing that says too much in the way of warm weather. and temperatures will continue to warm up saturday and sunday. sunday, sunday. fathers day and summer officially begins. >> yeah. so a little cool around lake merit. >> right now it's 55 with a breeze. but it will be all right. it looks like people listened. >> thank you. >>> time is 6:21. this is interesting a. a new twist in a south bay school staffing. the reaction from teachers and staffers after they were told they're all going to be working at a different school. >> and next honoring the local bus driver that helped find a skid napped toddler. female announcer: when you see this truck, it means another neighbor is going to sleep better tonight

a storm that would be a 3 and it turns into a 10. el ninos are extremely good at producing atmospheric rivers. >> what does that mean the us when it comes to drought and when it comes to possible flooding? our streets and our homes. what does that mean? >> that means, bay area we do have flooding, we do have droughts. this -- what we are looking at right now we have only seen two this strong. we could have the wettest winter we have ever seen. it could be an 82. or it could be a regular winter. my suspicion i have seen a bunch of these two, two big ones, i have a strong feeling we have going to have a heck of a winter. this kind of impacts san jose. it impacts los angeles. it won't get us. we are going to be on the north edge of the activity. >> something like this comes in and 40-50 inches of rain? >> yeah. a place could easily get 50-60 inches of rain. they could even get 80 inches of rain. what you are going to get is wet storms up in the mountains. a high snow level and lots of run off into the rivers as well. what i say el nino confuses

and red on your television screen. that's the area where we look for an el nino and it's getting warmer. as a matter of fact, we're now up to nearly two degrees celsius warmer than average in parts of that region, the equatorial pacific, which means we're now sitting at an 85 to 90% chance that an el nino will happen this winter. now the national weather service confirmed what we have been talking about recently, things are pointing towards a strong el nino. san francisco averages 22 inches of rainfall in the an average water year. with a weak or small el nino, we actually get less than average rainfall 19." now let's talk about a strong el nino. 26" on average. but the very strong el ninos which many computer models are predicting, it only happened between in 82 and 97, in those two winters we are averaged double the normal rainfall 43 inches of rain. this is a huge deal when it comes to our drought! absolutely nothing is a guarantee but the drumbeat got louder today. the national weather service says a strong el nino is likely to happen this winter, which means more likely than not we

and then we're tracking this other area of warm water. that is el nino. forecasts has gotten stronger today. 85% chance of this continuing into winter of 2015 which could mean some major rain and sierra snowfall. >>> let's take you to the morning snow cast as we head throughout friday. it is finally here. we're looking at 62 degrees if in the south bay. it makes the sun and cloud not a totally foggy morning. but we'll still have some low clouds. 61 degrees. also areas of drizzle in san francisco to start with 57. you'll start mainly clear in the north bay at 55. >>> now, the forecast is all about high pressure building across the bay area. we're seeing that happen right now. but the second component on top of that is some very hot air moving in from the desert in the southwest. that's the catapult to get these temperatures up there. the second thing we're tracking is the uv index. it's clearing out the skies all the way to the beaches. you'll have a uv index of ten, which means in just ten minutes you can get burned. >>> let's go ahead and take a look at t

patterns that affect us in the next several summons that could help out, el nino today the climate center prediction updated their forecast andow we have an 85% of el nino continuing into the winter and the strength they're expecting anywhere from strong to strongest. what does that mean for us? as we go into the next several months we'll see a shift in the jeep. that's what carries a lot of those weather systems. it will bring in more wet weather possibly for southern california, and will tap into more of those weather systems that could bring us more rain. the stronger the better when it comes to trying to knock out this drought. what we normally see during an el nino winter is maybe an extra couple inches of rain above what we would have averaged. but the strongest el nino what we had in 1997 and '98, brought in almost double what you would get with a strong el anyone i don't. so once again, the stronger the better. of course that also comes with more problems. there have been four el nino events in the past 65 years. with those four events we average an extra 2 1/2 inches of rain in san francisco. with the strongest el ni

and that will help the end drought. el ninoswarms pacific ocean temperature -- el ninos warms pacific each temperatures. ng and mudslide and extreme weather around the world. . >>> bill now, what do you think? >> there is an el nino in the pacific, that is occurring now. how strong? that is still a question. the big question is will it phase in with the winter months. even though there is all this warm water and warm atmospheric moisture in the air, if it doesn't coincide with our winter doesn't do us any good. it is a good sign. it looks like it is going to happen. something is going to happen. but again, this makes it complicated. 77 driest year. el nino year. strong el nino. they don't always mean rain. a lot of things have to come together. all these things have to happen to make it that el nino event. so not a -- but it -- things -- it is starting to look favorable. if it does occur we could get significant rainfall. okay. there is the fog out there. right? something i can tell you right now is, there is the north tower of the bridge, 700 -- 720 -- no 420 -- 720 -- something like720. what does that

the el nino caused months of flooding and mudslides in california. ists say this could be a red omen that an el nino winter is ahead. , of course, a wet winter would be more than welcome here in drought-ravaged california, but for now this is a bit of an eyesore, a whole lot of mess to clean up and scott in case you were wondering, it does smell really bad. >> pelley: ben tracy on the red tide for us tonight. ben, thanks very much. technology that pinpoints the location of gunshots may be coming to schools. and what became of the boogie-woogie bugle boy? well, we'll show you when the cbs evening news continues. attlesnake mad ♪ ♪ well roundup has a sharp-shootin' wand ♪ ♪ i'm sendin' them weeds to the great beyond ♪ ♪ roundup ♪ yeha! [ whip cracks ] ♪ ♪ ♪ no need to pump, just point and shoot ♪ ♪ hit 'em in the leaves, and it kills to the root ♪ ♪ 'round fences, trees even mulched beds ♪ ♪ 'cause the only good weed is a weed that's dead ♪ ♪ roundup ♪ yeha! [ whip cracks ] [ male announcer ] roundup... [ whip cracks ] with a one-touch wand. working on

and this is one deficit that can't be erased by an el niÑo winter. >> see how it is nice and solid there >> we need rain. and a lot of it. >> i'll say. we won't get any any time soon either. >>> good news on the el niÑo front though. the forecast looks as though it will be even more robust than first thought. we shall see. but if anything, the signs are encouraging. the numbers so night, san bruno, 62. livermore, 77. in san francisco, 60 degrees, just nine degrees off the high mark of 69. overnight lows near 60. the sunrise at 10 till 6:00. high pressure works with the low pressure blow out pressure here over the desert southwest. it will bring subtropical moisture from time to time. we get low clouds that will cool things down inland tomorrow. by about 10 degrees, it will be further cooling on saturday and sunday, but you see this time, some of the high clouds coming up from the tropics. so here is what we are expecting, fair skies tomorrow, not as much as we had today. temperatures not quite as warm. it will be close tore seasonal averages this weekend. plenty warm inland. in san franc

one big signal we are watching for the summer and more importantly for the hurricane season is the presence of a moderate to strong el nino. this map shows well above normal temp anomalies in the equatorial pacific and more specifically just off the coast of south america meaning the formation of an eastern based el nino. research has shown that this type of el nino pattern is responsible for increased activity during the pacific hurricane season as storms can feed off of the well above normal water temps. on the flip side this has been shown to create strong wind shear in the tropical atlantic as well as lots of dry air. both of these limit development and usually lead to a below normal atlantic hurricane season. with that being said we also want to look at the current water temps in the atlantic to see what they are telling us for the limited number of storms that we do expect to form. just off of africa, water temps are below normal -- indicating fewer long track storms. but closer to home along the eastern seaboard and through the gulf of mexico water temps are running above normal meaning an increased threat from sto

el nino. getting up there. this one right here is the el nino of record. 1997/1998. very wet here and southern california. as 2.3 degrees celsius warmer than average. notice kind of heading in that dreck. not a guarantee of anything but all signs are pointing not just to an el nino which we're in but a pattern conducive for wetter-than-average winter in california. no guarantees. it's looking more promising. outdoors now where temperatures are in the 50s and 60s. oakland 59 degrees. san francisco 57. boy did it get cloudy and windy this afternoon. all we did was change wind direction northwest to southwest and that made all the difference. bill moon a weather watcher reporting in at 63 degrees in orinda now. he is in the majority because many spots in the bay area have cooled out of the 70s and down to the 60s. brian in san ramon reporting cloudy skies and 61 there. overnight tonight we stay cloudy. lows will be in the 50s. oakland 52. napa 51. san jose 54. so what changed today? low pressure getting closer to us and the winds went from northwest to southwest flow. it is more humid. it's going to keep us c

could be responsible we have charles taking a look at the el nino and what it could mean. >>charles clifford: me neurologists believe that the el nino from along the equator in the pacific probably isn't that there was also for the recent storms and texas but he suspects the warm water phenomenon could play a supporting role in the atmosphere on steroids compare that to of all fire that a home run anyway no also said the computer model and the pacific ocean that the and the new is getting stronger it might stick around through the end of the year if that happened the result could be more rain and snow in california and especially the southern portion of the state got to get better dust from the el nino yes. >>michelle apon: beware waking up to slightly cooled to about this along with some patchy fog if you are and san francisco or may be heading to san francisco for today plan also was carbamide fifties will use the into mid to upper fifties until about 7:00 to them by endicott or 60s by the hour woman up into low to mid '70's by the afternoon will cont

and for the bay area. >> something's got to give. all right, paul rogers -- >> let's hope it's el nino. >> let's hope it is. paul rogers, managing editor for science here at kqed and environment writer for the "san jose mercury news." good to see you. >> thank you. >>> it is graduation season and the season for putting together the state budget. this year the state has a big revenue surplus. california schools could get more than $7 billion in additional funding. joining me now to discuss how that money might be spent is tom torlekson, the state superintendent of public instruction. good to have you with us. >> great to be here scott. >> as you well know, california has a new formula for deciding how much money school districts gets and it's intended to help districts with a lot of low-income, foster care kids, english learners. and yet, there have been studies that show that in the first rounds of that funding, it isn't really getting to the students that it's intended to help. how is the state going to make sure that it does? >> well, we have a system of checks and balances with the county superintendents

. >> those red crabs usually live in warm, open waters, and some scientists believe that el nino is responsible that red crab invasion. >>> lebron james. >>> well, the nba finals had its swing game tonight. game five in the history of series, this is the game where one team puts its stamp, bruce, on the battle. the warriors staked its claim in games two and three, warriors battled back, and tonight in oak town. it was all about this steph. too much firepower for golden statement they win it 104-91 to take a three games to two lead in that series. game six coming up. we are going to talk about that on "game on overtime." >>> how about max scherzer? today he offered another masterpiece. 16 k's, a franchise record. special pitcher, coming up our nats insider will tell you why scherzer is such a special pitcher. >>> baltimore looking to do something they've never done under buck showalter. win seven in a row. didn't happen today. we'll hear from buck in a few minutes. >>> redskins open veteran mini camp on tuesday. these are mandatory. not full contact but the whole team expected to be there. comin

and right now, the water is a little bit warmer off our coast. >> some believe it's el nino that's simplingthe red crabs last month the tuna crabs washed ashore in pacific beach before that, cbs news 8 features the crabs' appearance in 2002 and then in 1997 preceding the last el nino. >> the weather has definitely been superweird. >> and super exciting for beachgoers. >> say hello my little friend. >> sevenning up a supermeal for those dogs there. >> i know. >> the ocean monsters. the size of your thumb. [ laughter ] >>> all right time now to see the partners at "cbs this morning." >> charlie rose is in the studio in new york and has the preview. good morning charlie, happy friday. >> hey, help friday and nick and andrea. ahead we have new clues in the manhunt for the two escaped killers and the naacp president whose family says she is predefensive ending to be black. the high-tech -- pretending to be black. >>> and how pole dancing is becoming popular in china. all that and more. the news is back in the morning. and we'll see you at 7:00. >> all right. >> coming up very intriguing -- kicke

and it's thanks to el nino or the warming of the pacific waters specifically over the eastern pacificeratures are in the lower 30s and upper 20s. it is setting the stage for the ingredients necessary to form those typhoons and hurricanes. so far this season the numbers speak for themselves. this is the western pacific we're talking about specifically there, they've already had three supertyphoons. it's only june. this is the most active part of the tropical season. and the average to date, none. we shouldn't see any just yet. the active tract. unfortunately they have taken the brunt of the up tick in the activity of the tropical season. it's not just the west patchy fog b-- west pacific but the eastern pacific. this is the earliest to make landfall on the baja peninsula last week, blanca. so how do we measure this? meteorologists take this -- what's called ace, the accumulated cyclone energy. we accumulate the duration of the storms, the strength, meaning the wind and create this image to show you the difference between the average season and what it should be or what it is this parti

different is that the waters in the northeast pacific warmed up over a year ago and usually that warming occurs after the el niÑoops. in this case, it preceded it. >> you can see more of how hard working rescue teams are trying to keep up with these sea lion pups and identify the cause behind this on techknow. >> the news continues now with david shuster. >> thank you very much. hello, everybody. this is aljazeera america. i'm david shuster in new york with a look at today's top stories. >> now is the time for us to focus on the nine families. >> coming together in that south carolina in the wake of that horrific church shooting. we will show you how the community is trying to heal and we will get the thoughts, emotions and hopes from a religious leader in charleston. torturing inmates the actions inside a lebanese prison prompted the justice minister to call it a crime against the nation and humidity. also. >> we want to peaceful resolution. >> the u.s. secretary of

and it's been nearly a decade since major hurricane. a cat 3 or stronger has slammed into the united states. still, federal forecasters predicting it will be another quite year. el niÑoand all. in august of '05 hurricane katrina mained landfall as a strong cat 3 storm and devastated the gulf coast. came ashore at the mouth of the mississippi, demolished the coast of the state of mist and flooded new orleans and other parishes and 2,000 people died. we're all working to understand hurricanes better and scientists at the university of miami are using a new tank that simulates a hurricane. what does that do? phil keating is there is. what does that do? >> reporter: it's like taking a 75-foot long slice of open ocean in the middle of a hurricane and pulls this in this acrylic glass, see-through 5-foot long laboratory. this is category 5 hurricane winds and waves that you're seeing there right now. it's all powered by this massive wind turbine putting out 7500-horsepower of power and this is really allowing researchers here at the school of marine and atmospheric research the able tostada the interface between the wind and air and sea. they say they will be able to better

and animal never. for >>reporter: kay believes the el nino form along the equator and the pacific probably is not directly response will for texas and midwest and california and he suspects the warm water phenomenon could be playing a supporting role is essential they're getting stronger and might stick around through the end of the gare if that happened the result could be more rain and snow in california stores in the southern portion of the state and increases the probability of having above normal rainfall the hawks did better the stronger is allowable computer models are saying is really going to be a strong the event that we saw. >>michelle apon: livermore the most at three thirds of an inch of rain and we're also talking about parts of san francisco sfo a little bit of recorder and as of this morning in the ranges and patched fog and low clouds and temperature and low to mid fifties across the bay and the coast to continue to the kron 4 parts of the back of its employees by 4:00 this could be crossed the coast if sixties by the lunch hour of the outside at the bay bridge to concede that that have c

and asking to end the california 4-year drought. we will see if it works with this rain dance. >> well, you know, el nino is underway. >> divine intervention>> there was that and a little father's day chat with a guy who really shined last night. what a great night for the warriors, great for the super midway champion of the world last night. >>> the team is delivering for the a's. now, look at it this, bear down. top 4, razor sharp focus. now, all right, now, it is he drops it in left. that is enough to score, the a's led 2-0. he had 5 hits in the series. later in the inning, davis, mountain man beard. fresh off of the list. back close to a 3-run homer. setting it up to score. it was 3-0. tyler got it from cashmere. now, look at this. forget it. 8th inning, 2-run blast. angels within 1 run now. to the 9th, now, they are 1 hour away and oh, no. johnny, he crush today. it landed in the glove, the a's win final of 3-2. taking the 3 from the angels. >> pumped the bat. yes, my mind did not go to good places. obviously, you know, as soon as i saw sam do his turn, i had it. >> he hit it well. but, you know, it was good to see him get that. >> i

coming up, the change in the weather that will impact you tomorrow and the latest on el nino that will impact your winter. we spend a lot of time online around here. but with all this speed from xfinity, it's all good. hey, why don't we do some homework for a change? gary, you too. dad...work stuff. yes! lovin' the new design! konichiwa hirosan. five minutes... all this speed is very empowering. check out the new hardware. with the fastest internet available, xfinity is perfect for people who need to get a lot done at home. and now you can go even faster. we've just increased the speeds on two of our most popular plans. >>> highway 87 causes a whole lot of heartburn. a new study shows it's got the worst stop and go traffic in the south bay. the stat won't surprise those who travel during rush hour. cars crawl below 35 miles per hour on 78% of the roadway. accidents on 280 or 101 result in massive delays for highway 87 commuters. throughout the bay area potholes, uneven pavement and all around bad roads cause headaches for drivers. new at 6:00 ryan takeo takes us to the cities with the

el ninos. half have been wetter half have been drier. for the strongest, there have been two of those in 65 years and on average in san francisco that meant a 23.54 inch surplus. what we want is the strongest el nino. keep in mind there will be some side effects, some impacts. mud slides will be likely. major flooding across our california river systems and then also very heavy syria snow. strongest would be good but could have a possibly deadly impact like in 1997 or 1998. we hope that we get that rainfall as we head through next winter. >> the prom of el nino is a good thing. why are leaders worried? >> reporter: they don't want people to get the wrong idea. they will still urge water conservation at least for the next year or so. look at what happened to this recharging pond behind me here. as jeff mentioned el nino is coming. question is how much rain will it bring? >> i will keep all three of these graphics in there. i can use them. >> reporter: our weather team has been studying predictions of a strong el nino year. >> 1997 1998 very strong sfaz above normal rainfall. >> reporter: some have been very wet but some strong el nino year

tracy: we have new data out today saying we might be in for an el niÑo event on par with 1997 and 1998g weather. why do we care as market people? we care because el niÑo means we either get too little or too much rain in certain places which impacts farming, crops inflation, monetary policy and ultimately ends up impacting markets. matt: it comes through california? tracy: africa's mostly in the pacific. it is usually -- i think it is mostly in the pacific. places like thailand, vietnam farming accounts for something like 30% of employment. matt: i have to admit not knowing what any of the colors represent except for the black. the big el niÑo came through california first and that is an area of the country that could use a little rain. tracy: investors, watch out for the weather. olivia: commodity traders losing sleep. tracy, thank you very much. matt: julie has got a look at some of the biggest movers at the open. a minute 15 seconds into the trade. julie: giving and i on my terminal as we see stocks up about 10th of a percent across-the-board. we are getting closer to closing record

the average is three and that's because of the el nino. t seven day forecast shows scattered showers tomorrow. high temperature 66 degrees. low 70s for wednesday into thursday. and then more chances for scattered showers by the latter part of the week into the first part of the upcoming weekend. so june is officially gun on a real soggy note. >> yeah. >> hope until will change. >> exactexactly. thank you scott. >> leaders of the this south jersey high school say they'll turn parents away from graduation if they are not wearing the right thing. the commencement dress code is creating quite a controversy. >> but as fox 29 weekend's bill anderson found out the school isn't backing down tonight. ♪ >> reporter: there's dress code for graduation here in washington township, new jersey. no jeans, no shorts, no t-shirts and collared shirts are required. dress code in this case for graduation it's not that unusual except that in this case it applies to the parents and guests. although the district told me that this dress code policy isn't new, it re

has a 50/50 chance it is a nice thing but now el nino it may not happen it could be an el nino or an immediate cac year frankly we need to plan for the worst and hope for the best every year is recycle that. >> on a press conference today so show my nephew a website he asked what full frontal. >> instead of you used something san francisco so i want to applaud your team and tyrone's team. >> thank you thank you. >> thank you very much so the last item is the cca update barbara hill hale is in d.c. so michael will give us an update and overhead. >> may we have the overhead please. >> beautiful there you go. >> i know sometimes that is a blurry slide and go ahead but it's okay. >> walk you through good afternoon, commissioners michael acting program director on behalf of the barbara hale to provide the weekly update in addition to our regular reporter on sf clean power i'd like to report on a couple of items of interest you started the discussion on this and discovered the letter in today's letter assembly on may 27th the council for the ibw local 25 submitted a letter to the commission stating that the city needs to comply with ceqa before the

because i have a feeling this is going to be a significant story in weather and news over the next several months. it's an el nino update. i have a chart on television for you. you may have been wondering what's going on with el nino. we are in an el nino pattern. when this number gets above 0.5 we are in a weak el nino. 1.01 moderate el nino which this week not the three-month average this week we're already there. a moderate el nino. there are where we want to go for a lot of rain in the winter. that would be a very strong el nino. we are nowhere close to that but we are heading in that direction. as of this minute we are already in a weak el nino pattern with things looking like it's going to get stronger. doesn't mean much for the next couple of days. we have homes which sent in the cloud cover today and that's a sign that the winds are going to change tomorrow and for the next couple of days. southwest flow of air will keep the onshore flow going. right now the latest information says most of that tropical moisture stays in the sierra. numerous thunderstorms there only a tiny shower chance for us on sunday a

fit me matte and poreless show us your fit ♪ maybe it's maybelline! ♪ nd >> it is 5:53, the possibility of el nino for a rare sight in southern california check this out ocean beach yesterday thousands of too in crab washed on shore the size of your thumb and washed up on a different beach last month. the invasion does not happen often because they live in warmer open waters in baja. >> adorable pup any in oakland's city animal shelter needs help to survive a deadly disease. the dog has parvo highly con tables with treatment costing up to $5,000 a pet and the shelter does not have the budget. donations can be made to the friends of oakland animal services emergency medical fund. >> a duck reunion is on in mountain view police posted this video showing several ducklings getting rescued from a storm drain with the anxious mother duck pacing as the police officer picked up the duck listens when by one and handed it to an animal control officer. happy to report mom and duck lanes are doing fine this morning. >> made he want to beat the heat. >> have to find a way to enjoy boat of ourselves as we try t

california cities like man teka and garden grove, defending proposed water parks and everyone just hope that predictions for a wet el niÑotrue, ending the drought and further water park controversy. >> let's hope for rain, then, claudia cowen, thank you so much. >>> notorious mob boss white bulger sending an emotional letter from behind bars to a group of students. the advice he has about leading a life of crime and it involves law school. listen up team i brought in some protein to help rearrange the fridge and get us energized! i'm new ensure active high protein. i help you recharge with nutritious energy and strength to keep you active. come on pear it's only a half gallon. i'll take that. yeeeeeah! new ensure active high protein. 16 grams of protein and 23 vitamins and minerals. all in 160 calories. ensure. take life in. ♪ [music] ♪ jackie's heart attack didn't come with a warning. today her doctor has her on a bayer aspirin regimen to help reduce the risk of another one. if you've had a heart attack be sure to talk to your doctor before you begin an aspirin regimen. >>> advice from a former boston crime boss as mobs

everyone agrees it is just an issue of bad timing and they are hoping we get that wet el nino winter that many forecasters are predicting. >> that will be the best-case scenario. the park looks like it would be fun but realities to confront there. >> and residents of one small town fear a serial killer may be living among them after several women disappeared and bodies started turning up. the fbi is now getting involved. and hundreds of home owners told to get out as wild fires rage out of control. why this emergency could get worse before better. are you worried about the economic problems in china and greece? vote on our poll and join the conversation on what you think will thanhappen to your wallets. . tums smoothies starts dissolving the instant it touches your tongue ...and neutralizes stomach acid at the source. ♪ tum, tum tum tum...♪ smoothies! only from tums. woman: as much as i sweat, i always wore black. other clinical antiperspirants didn't work. then i tried certain dri. it's different. it stops sweat before it starts. add some color to your life with certain dri. when you

however, if we go back to 1992, that was the year of hurricane andrew also an el nino year and we had a category five hurricane that made disastrous landfall in miami. sam: back in the tunnel the wind starts to take a toll. >> that was intense. category three storm. man did it give me a workout on my thighs. sam: experts at the university of maryland want everyone to know why the simulation looks fun we need to be prepared for the worst. have a plan, have an emergency kit and be ready for whatever mother nature brings us. reporting at the university of maryland, sam sweeney, abc7 news. jonathan: let me get this straight. we tether sam to the floor and we left the photographer without a rope? alison: with a heavy camera. jonathan: sam you owe him a cup of coffee. alison: sam has an interesting idea of fun. good job. good story. thank you. coming up on "abc7 news at 5:00" -- it looks like a scene from a final destination film. the story behind the frightening photo from arlington. jonathan: how this working woman took action after one too many times she had to turn to men's clothing to

and isolated thunderstorms. we don't have any strong signal of a familiar warm weather pattern. may be due to el niÑobeing so strong. normally this time of year, we would be looking at warm sunny days.instead, more showers and storms. more scattered storms into wednesday. warmer and more humid as well. 88 for the high today with the humidity taking a vacation today. it will be back tomorrow as we get close to 90 with a chance of showers and storms. same thing wednesday, thursday and friday. for the weekend, a 6% chance of storms. it is monday. it could change. we will see. i know everybody has plans for saturday. jummy: thank you. coming up on abc 7 news at noon, an encounter with a bear caught on camera. we have new details on the failed spacex mission. what the explosion could mean for future missions. jummy: nasa officials are investigating why a spacex rocket exploded after takeoff. the spacecraft was headed for the international space more than two tons of supplies including food and provisions. this was spacex's third failed attempt which could put future nasa missions at risk. this is the must

and patient meals offering healthy meals. >> could this be the development that eases the drought? the old thin video estimate has -- the el nino estimate has been revised and it could mean a lot of winter rain. >> no rain at the moment but it will be warmer. >> we will check with mike and the forecast. >> the air will be dry today. if you want to take a positive spin on the heat. mid-to-upper 50s along the fists and san carlos is 58 and 60 in mountain view and los gatos at 61 and concord and fairly 60 and livermore 63 and everyone else is mid-to-upper 60s but the north bay is low-to-mid 50s. through the afternoon look for total sunshine but for the coast with the free air conditioning is at 6 a and nearly 100 inland and as we move through the weekend, the cooling trend as we look at lack of fog in san jose we will drop two- to four-degrees saturday county sunday and two to six degrees by monday. >> a picture of julian street and san jose and traffic is slowing as we head back to the bay bridge toll plaza, that is such a pretty sight we have a 15 minute way between the east bay into san jose and we are willing to take you over

and sneaking in without moving the bed. >> it is 4:53. the possibility of el nino season is blamed for a rare sight at ocean beach yesterday after tuna crashes washed ashore. the crab is the size of your thumb and they washed up on a different beach last month. the red crab does not happen often because they live in warmer and open water usually in baja. >> adorable puppy in animal shelter needs help to survive a deadly disease with parvo highly contagious, treatment can run up to $5,000 and the shelter does not have the budget to court. donations can be made to the friends of oakland animal services emergency medical fund. >> a duck reunion is in mountain view. police posted this video on facebook showing several ducklings rescued from a storm drain. can you see the anxious mother duck pacing as the police officer picked up each duckling, one by one, and handed it to an animal control officer. the mother and ducklings are doing just fine this morning. >> i bet they go for a swim today because of the heat. >> that could be a great idea. what does the san mateo fair

el nino. >> reporter: this is video shot by alameda resident rachel benitez and didn't know what to make ofver the beach. some were live. some were dead. >> reporter: it's not unusual for these slugs called sea hares to wash ashore. unusual to see so many. >> they were kind of cool-looking but then it was kind of weird. what's going on with our water. >> reporter: they usually wash ashore in summer so staff members at the east bay regional park district said it's unusual to have them show up in the spring after an extended period of time. >> we've been seeing them wash up since september, going all through the winter and now even more in the spring and so perhaps it's because of the warmer water. >> reporter: these slugs are among a few creatures showing up on land. a number of whaems beached in the area and san diego, thousands of these tuna crabs have been washing ashore. a researcher says the crabs may be linked to the el nino effect. warm temperatures in the pacific ocean. residents who spot these sea creatures can help scientists gather data. >> participate in citizen science programs.

the second pacific hurricane is an el nino warm waters and it weakens the monsoon in india. although it's officially measured by specific parameters it's five days late getting into the area and should be further north. it's doing well on the north-east arm. it's giving decent rains, and has been doing in as around for a -- assan for a few days. it has to rain every day to qualify as a monsoon. 125mm in the north-east, and on the bangladesh coast 125mm. it's not raining everywhere and pre-monsoon heat is in. we have for example, 44 degrees, and joked purr 44 -- jodpur 44. cross to oman it's 43. why, you might ask. a big blob of white might be the clue. we have developing a proper cyclone. i think it may well in the next two days enhance the showers in goouder at southern pakistan and ayman. if it carries on that will be quite significant humidity and rain. interesting, hey. >>> it is. thank you. the united states marine corp is putting women to the test to determine readiness for front line combat. all branches of the military under orders to open units restricted to men by

el niÑo? i remove or hearing it a while ago. alix: the el niÑo talk is back. it getting research notes -- comes every two to seven years andn't had a really bad one since 1997 or 1998. this is rising pressure in tropical regions, over indonesia pretty much. it leads to temperature shifts and can disrupt anything from the supply or demand perspective and citigroup had a fascinating note this morning breaking it down. australia, that could disrupt supplies there. but gold? do you think el niÑo would affect gold? if you go to certain countries that by gold that are not making a lot of money off crops, they are not going to have the money. like india, you have the monsoon season. they are not going to have enough money to buy gold. i love that takeaway. demand look at it from a perspective when it comes to energy. hot, you arehat not going to use as much natural gas. it is a fascinating supply and demand dynamic. scarlet: the s&p 500 energy index up by .8%, tracking the rise in oil prices. you so much. alix steel will be back in 20 minutes to take you through the market close. in the meantime, let's get you the top stories cro

and why is that the prediction this year? guest: one thing driving the seasonal forecast is the phenomena in known as el niÑo -- the phenomenon el niÑo and that is warming the temperatures in the pacific ocean. it has an effect on the caribbean and atlantic side. all things being equal, you tend to see less hurricane activity on the atlantic side in el niÑo years. but again, even in the -- with the numbers down, that does not mean that the hurricanes that do form cannot hit land. host: you have been with national hurricane center for about a decade now. are we getting more accurate in our productions? -- our predictions? guest: this will be my 12 year overall with the center and we have been able to continue reducing the forecast errors with regard to forecasting where the systems are going to go. we have still not made the improvements we would like to see on forecasting intent the. how -- the intensity, how strong the current canes will be -- with forecasting the intensity how strong the hurricanes will be. we do have some enhanced computer forecast models available to us operationally this year. and over the neck several y

but usually, and this is from antonio, someday you will be watching him on television do the weather, when there is an el ninon the eastern pacific. the atlantic is extremely quiet and nothing in the atlantic. you said it was due to the warm water temps of el nino. more hurricanes in the eastern pacific and not in the atlantic. that is true. the atlantic has nothing going on. the pacific has been active. low level clouds. fog still on the coast. some reducing visibilitys. i can't see much. 60s on the temps. 50s, 60s for others here. except for clouds over the sierra sunny and warm. the low has packed the bags and moved into the four cornerrers. 80s and 90s inland. highs up 15, 20 degrees from yesterday. >>> the commute so much better than it was yesterday, steve. at this time yesterday the traffic time between the car carquinez bridge and mccarther bridge was 68, 69. i don't know if you remember, but now it's 33. and that's much better. there is still some slow traffic, but 33 is better than 71, obviously. and when you get to the bay bridge toll plaza we are actually beginning to see just a little bit of impr

and go, hello! that's scary. >>> they are attributing it to the el nino that's setting up hopefully bringing us a wet winter. right now it's changing the flow of the fish. we are seeing more of the mackerel going north from southern california. i'll have the santa cruz forecast coming up. right now out the door, we have a compressed hideki matsui looking towards sfo. temperatures we are into the 50s and in the 60s. it is now 66 degrees in livermore and yeah, even at this very early hour, my ac was cranked on throughout the tri- valley. if you want relief head to the beaches. head due west where we'll be recipient of a west wind 10 to 20 miles per hour. that's a sea breeze. otherwise, scorching away from the bay. heating up inland all the way through tomorrow in the hottest locations hitting near 110 degrees. we are talking about subtropical moisture that was lifting from the south to the north producing a few light showers off the coast. there you have that marine layer just hanging very tight to the coast. here's your santa cruz forecast. 85 degrees at the beaches today. we do have a spiked west wind at 5 m

el nino right now. that's undeniable. typically in an el nino summer you would get cooler temperatures in the summer. we really haven't seen that yet and it looks like the next week to week and a half we'll have a lot more heat especially in the southeast. wouldn't shock me if a couple of cities down there sit the century mark. a lot of traders are asking me when is this cold weather going to show up. that's the million dollar question going forward. the prices obviously depend heavily on what's going to happen in the medium-range and into the longer-range. >> if we have a hotter than normal summer -- and last summer was quite cool. i can't remember how many 90-degree days we had in the new york market. it wasn't many if any. if it gets hot, how much more could nat gas rise? >> i mean right now the price of natural gas has sort of built in a cooler summer. everybody is pretty much expecting a cooler than normal summer. we had one last year. we haven't really had a hot summer since 2012. theoretically if we get an above-normal summer prices could skyrocket but we don't expect that. we still expect later june into july we'll see this el

main thing to remember about this the i can give you four years, 1957 '65, '72 and '91 were all significant strong el nino making landfall in the u.s. audrey and betsy and bob and agnes all were big hurricane events. some billion dollar events there. so it -- just because we expect fewer storms to form doesn't mean we can't have a landfall and doesn't mean landfall can't be significant. that's the the big lesson from the hurricane center from the first day of the hurricane season. >> brian, we've all learned that it can be the least busy season on record but it only takes one to hit land and we're all going to be in deep trouble. >> well 1992 was the real perfect example of that. it was right after an el nino year, so there were some lasting el nino conditions that really kept the number of storms very very low, like even less than the forecast for this year. but hurricane andrew came in august 24 and changed this community here forever. so we all have to keep that in mind. so nobody can take their eye of the ball and, of course here at the hurricane center they're certainly not doing that. getting geared