ann selzer: i think he's getting the press support that is bolstering those numbers.ohn: do you think in trump's case -- the perennial question about trump is the ceiling. he has been losing out to two. he is still ahead, but he's losing altitude steadily. does that help us know in retrospect what his ceiling is? ann: i don't think we know the floor or the ceiling. it is starting to shake itself out. he took up so much of the space. he took up 30% out of a large field of what was 17 people. of course, he's going to get less. john: he is at what number right now? ann: he is first. john: what percentage? j. ann: he is at 28%. i'm sorry, he is at 21%. john: he basically topped out around 30%. have you ever seen a candidate dropped 10 points in this cycle, then climbing up and regaining? ann: i've seen so many cycles, john. john: it's unusual. ann: it is unusual, but if you are the leader, you can drop points and come back. john: let's ask you about the democratic side of the same poll. put the leaderboard up. tell us what you learned. ann: the race between hiller -- hill

mark: ann selzer, thank you very much. when we come back, craig shirley, author of a new book.er this word from our sponsors. ♪ ♪ [organ playing] moore: wait until you see what we do for arbor day. you might get a sense that the candidates for president really, really like ronald reagan. recently we were visited by one of the most prolific reaganites on the planet, craig shirley. his latest book is "last act," one of many books about ronald reagan. so what sets the book of part? -- of part? apart? you have written many books about president reagan. what is different about this book? craig: it is about the end of his life. i was working on a previous book. my 11-year-old son mitchell was highlighting all of these binders -- binders of news clips and materials for the reagan library and he was supposed to go through it and every time reagan's name came up he was supposed to highlight it. my books of always been family affairs. my wife does all of my editing and creative input. my boys have done research and my girls have done fact checking, things like that. he says, dad, has any

ann selzer, the president of selzer & co, who conducted the iowa poll taken earlier this vice president announcement that he would not be running is "good news for in that you have vote that was with vice president biden and is now free to go someplace else." amanda: switching gears now-- to a big storm threatening the eastern coast of mexico today, amanda: hurricane patricia is now the strongest eastern north pacific hurricane on record. winds are at 200 miles an hour, making it a category five hurricane. the national hurricane center says patricia is expected to make what it calls "potentially catastrophic" landfall today in southwestern mexico. along with its destructive winds and storm surge -- forecasters say patricia could dump eight to 12 inches of rain, getting as much as 20 inches. amanda meteorologist sam schrier joins us again with a look at your forecast. sam we have had a few days of rain this week, but we're finally into friday and it is still we have had a few days of rain this week, but we're finally into friday and it is still looking like a pretty good day for addition