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relatively insulated from the regional instability but there is instability in libya or in northern mali as anouris morning it can add up in a political change in a relatively controlled venture. so i'm going to leave it at that, morocco and tunisia and instead focus on algeria and libya. the reason i want to focus on algeria and libya is i know these countries better than i do the other of their to but also i think that there is an outside potential for the regional and stability if the different scenarios in neither algeria or libya come to fruition. these are big significant countries and their intertwined with regional dynamics in a way that morocco and turney tunisia aren't producing 1 million barrels a day that generates a billion of revenue a day. if everything is perceived in a very positive for optimistic scenario, libya could be phenomenally rich and successful democracy on the southern shores of the mediterranean. another alternative scenario is that it could be somalia a stone's throw from europe they could end up as a failed state and i will get into more detail about that. likewise