of representatives, now the forecast has been revised to 20 seats in swing states such as arizona wisconsin biden'spproval rating is higher than donald trump's emotional trump is losing his temper. and this only plays into the hands of the democrats, former attorney general. the bar said the search in the maralaga draws attention to the person of the forty- fifth president of the united states and the method of his work, which in america is not to everyone's liking. it was necessary to return these documents and in fairness he returned most of them. i wonder why we are suddenly talking about this now after almost 2 years and less than 100 days before the elections to the congress. why are we talking about the trump documents, they are not about the economy about inflation and the democratic administration and friendly media unanimously talk about success in reducing inflation, it is no longer nine-odd, but at the level of eight and a half percent before the presidential biden. inflation was less than one and a half percent, but this can not be remembered denis davydov anna lvova news from the unite

now the outlook has been revised down to 20 seats in swing states like arizona wisconsin, biden's approval rating is higher, than donald trump's emotional trump loses his temper, and this only plays into the hands of the democrats, the former attorney general. the bar said the search in the maralaga draws attention to the person of the forty-fifth president of the united states and the method of his work, which in america is not to everyone's liking. he needed to return. if it's fair to say he returned most of them, i'm wondering why we're suddenly talking about this after almost two years and less than 100 days before the congressional elections. why are we talking about documents trump, they are about the economy not about inflation and the administration of democrats and the friendly media are unanimously talking about the success of reducing inflation. she is no longer nine-odd, but at the level of eight and a half percent before the biden presidency. inflation was less than one and a half percent. but denis davydov and anna lvova news from the united states the federal part of the iss

representatives, now the forecast has been revised to 20 seats in swing states such as arizona, wisconsin, biden'sroval rating is higher than donald trump's emotional trump is losing his temper . and this only plays into the hands of the democrats, former attorney general. the bar claimed to be searched in maralaga draws attention to the person of the forty- fifth president of the united states and the method of his work, which in america is not to everyone's liking. it was to return these documents and in fairness he returned most of them. i wonder why we are suddenly talking about this after almost two years and less than 100 days before the congressional elections. why are we talking about the trump documents, they are about the economy not about inflation and the democratic administration and the friendly media are talking in one voice about the success of slowing down inflation. it is no longer more than nine, but at the level of eight and a half percent before the presidential biden. inflation was less than one and a half percent, but you can forget about it denis davydov and anna lvova news

arizona, they might vote for biden. we the legislature in arizona, georgia, pennsylvania, michigan, wisconsin, there are a bunch of thoses. they have blue presidential electorates. what is going on is a carefully laid plans from 2024. they want to actually take power away from the voters in the presidential election and relocate them to the public in state legislature. republican into senses, but republican party, it is also indirect in filtered. all of these places, it is because of gerrymandering. there is geographic clustering and other things. you have red states legislatures. there is also blue presidential electorates. that is what is going on. >> part of their's works into the old concept of the independent state legislature theory. there is the idea that your state legislature is your choice and your representative. when you represent those legislators, the decision is up to them. >> right. there are two points on that. one, it is true that the constitution gives a lot of power to state legislatures. state legislators are creatures of state constitutions. they are not really independent. state constitutions come

remind people wisconsin the week before the election abc and "the washington post" said joe biden was going to win by 17 points. and joe biden won by .6 points. wisconsin cannot be polled. arizonao think people like herschel who i talked to today they are becoming better candidates by the week. the leader is setting expectations low but i still think he is looking to become the majority leader again. >> bret: fair enough. i get your comments about polls. and how to poll and i think we have a major problem in the country about polls. we're going to try to bounce around to these states and talk to actual people to make sure we get a sense of the pulse on the ground. i want to turn to the pennsylvania race. john fetterman, lieutenant governor in the senate race, harold, out campaigning for the first time just a few days ago. take a listen. >> who would ever think that i would be the normal one in the race here. i gave away the lieutenant governor governor in pennsylvania, the only lieutenant governor in the history to do that. eliminate the filibuster and let's get some stuff done for america. >> bret: obviously, he is coming off the health scare and the stroke. but is he out on t

biden won in 2020. arizona, georgia, wisconsin, pennsylvania, nevada.t those states and republican recruits are not sort of performing at the highest possible level like herschel walker in georgia or mehmet oz, these first timers are still working out the kifrpgs. >> how problematic is it for democrats right now, when you look at polls, that the economy and the inflation are the top issues right now for voters? >> this is problem new one for the democrats because they are the party in power of the white house. the house and the senate. and in our most recent poll, 67% of registered voters said they are extremely interested in inflation. that is the motivating issue for them. of those voters, in terms of their generic congressional choice, voting for the republican or democrat, advantage republicans by 17 percentage points. so it is right now inflation is definitely something that is hurting the democrats in these midterms. >> the democrats do need a big legislative win between now and november and this new legislation chilimate and healt care bill that

arizona, georgia, pennsylvania, wisconsin. these are all states that were b bone by joe biden by a point or less. point lead for kelly and georgia four-point lead for warnock. pennsylvania 11-point lead there and biggest shocker is barnes is up by six points in wisconsin. why ask that? look at the quality of these candidates. they are all in the red. they are all in the red. look. blake masters in arizona four points under water. herschel walker in georgia four points under water. i don't know if i've ever recalled a number that bad in a purple state for a republican candidate. ron johnson eight points under water. compare that to the democratic noom nominees who are above water here. it is very clear that democrats are ahead and the reason why is pretty simple and that is their candidates are liked and the republican candidates at this point are not, simply put. >> a few words from mcconnell about candidate quality getting everyone talking for sure on the senate side. harry, thanks very much. >>> let's get some analysis here and bring in senior political correspondent. let's start with the argume

i wonder when you look at the races in arizona and wisconsin, why are these democratic candidates running, outrunning president biden'sey running away from president biden himself? >> there's a long ways to go. take ohio, for example. you look at the democrat there is trying to pretend to be a pro trump democrat. his ads are talking about supporting the trump agenda. the longer it goes between now and november, when that record is exposed and the voters find out like they will in arizona, other key battleground states that these democrats are on the radical left wing end of the socialist democrat party, those numbers will change in a hurry, i believe. so the american people -- 90% of the american people are saying america is on the wrong track, this is a throw that bums out election. get rid of the democrats controlling this country and sending it over the cliff that is the reality that the democrats are facing in the mid-terms. >> trace: which is my next question, congressman. you're right. it's been in the high 80s, the low 80s, the mid 80s for months now about americans that think this country is on the wrong track

biden. and if you look closer at arizona, georgia, michigan, pennsylvania, and wisconsin, all battleground statesaced those claims about the election being rigged, as well. you know, there's a lot in that story. but what is interesting, if you look at pennsylvania, the nominees for governor there, which has the most influence over the results of any election, is an election denier, he was at the january 6th insurrection on capitol hill, he has not denied it, there's video of him there. this is doug mastriano. he is someone who could actually have a direct influence on whether or not the votes are counted. because he says -- secretary of state. and a similar situation to, in arizona. so there is a situation brewing here. with all these election officials up and down the ballot, will there be chaos, possibly, and closer elections in 2024? >> i think that's exactly right. i think that's what people need to be bracing for, is the possibility that some of these republicans -- mastriano is trailing pretty badly right now in pennsylvania. there is somebody who sent buses to the capital, organize them in

young people under the age of 30 who won arizona, michigan, pennsylvania, wisconsin, georgia -- by an average of 20 points. that's the reason we have president bidenthe white house today and not president trump. now what we are seeing, to me it looks a lot like 2018. people did not expect to see a democratic wave. they didn't expect to see young people turn up the day before the election. -- we are seeing the same thing play out today. young people said they were angry. young people are registering, they're showing up in real numbers. i think it's very very likely that we see a significant change in the face of the electorate over the next several weeks. >> you mentioned showing up. young people showing up. what you are saying, especially what you're saying about winning elections, it kind of goes against the convention of wisdom in d.c. for many years now. the conventional wisdom as young people don't matter. it doesn't matter what they care or do. because they don't vote like order people do. they don't turn out like older people do. they don't stay engaged like older people to. who cares about young people? that must frustrate you to hear that

running for governor as well in arizona, michigan and wisconsin, that they remember why they did not like trump. and that sort of trumps, no pun intended, where joe biden's numbers are. we have seen an uptick in the democratic numbers. they have had legislative successes with the inflation bill and other climate provisions in there with that bill. but i think particularly, the decision that sent roe back to states on the question of abortion has energized the democratic base. when i talked to republicans, republican strategists, they kno w that they are frittering away a good opportunity. i spoke with republican senators and they know that trump is influencing the party, but they still cannot say anything because they risk a backlash. so, it is really confounding for them how they try to still win, because donald trump has cost them the house in 2018, he got them the senate in 2020, and i think the house is likely to flip based on redistricting. but he could cost them a senate majority, too. martin: andrew, do you think that the system favors the more extreme positions? does trump harm the republican party more than he helps them? andrew: i think we will

wisconsin, pennsylvania plus 11, georgia plus 4, arizona plus 8. you see democrats in all of these swing states actually outperforming joe biden's numbers which, johng, we will get to why democrats shouldn't spike the football. one thing i want to point out and we will talk about this with dana bash, but mitch mcconnell the senate minority leader who desperately wants to elect republicans to the senate is acknowledging that one thing that might matter here is the candidates actually running. >> yeah, the candidates that are actually running. there is an easy way we can test this, the net favorability ratings of gop senate candidates, that's the favorable rating minus the unfavorable rating. blake masters in arizona under water at minus 5, her she will walker in georgia minus 5, under water. mehmet oz in pennsylvania, minus 20, well under water, and this one is perhaps the biggest shock tore me, ron johnson under water at minus 8. an incumbent who has been elected twice. i think john and i were talking beforehand the wisconsin numbers i think are the biggest surprise. >> it might be the most problematic, for an incumbent you may think the favorabili

arizona, georgia, pennsylvania, or wisconsin. >> dagen: david. trump is not on the ballot. trump is not even in the white house. and i love how jason just said hey, joe bidend trump and do -- don't do what he did. so it's about trump, david. >> actually if you look at endorsements by trump in this primary season, he has had largely wins. there are always losses but interestingly mark kelly is in one of those 10 vulnerable democrat states and you would think if he had a biden behind him, a popular democrat president, he wouldn't have to run. now he has to run away from biden's border crisis. he has to run away from a president who has let north of 257,000 illegal alien children into america and now they are going to overburdine like new york where they need to hire 1,000 more teachers to deal with the influx of illegal aliens during the last two years. people are looking at their pocket books. they are looking at their economics and inflation and looking at a real recession, not a redefined recession. it all ties to the president and his policies. so his cross-country tour is really a way to come out and be the skilled political liar saying don't pay attent

biden was actually on their side. they know the incredible impact they made in electing him, if not for young people in arizona, michigan, pennsylvania, wisconsinwe're having this conversation because young people showed up and now they're receiving i think a show of respect from the white house but also something that connects to what they're looking for, which is just some sense of financial independence. millions of young people, i think 90% of this relief is going to young people who make less than $75,000 a year. this is going to be something that will affect this generation and potentially generations to come. >> and it really matters to young voters. i remember being outside of the supreme court and after the decision was leaked with regard to roe v. wade and in the same sentence some women were talking to me about abortion rights were also talking about student loan forgiveness and how the president needs to live up to the promises he made in his campaign. i want to play for you something outside of new york city, a reaction to this announcement that's coming and then we'll talk on the other side. >> looking at a world where students mi

his opponent, joe biden, finished ahead in the key battleground states of arizona, michigan, wisconsin, pennsylvania, georgia, and elsewhere. nevertheless, and for the first time in history the losing presidential candidate fought to hold on to power. as we have seen in previous hearings, he did so through a variety of means, on election day he sought to stop the counting of the vote knowing that they millions of absentee ballots, elections officials would be counting on election day and thereafter would run strongly against him and deliver a victory to joe biden. next, and when he could not stop the counting he tried to stop state legislatures and governors from certifying the results of the election. he went to court and filed dozens of frivolous lawsuits, making unsubstantiated claims of fraud when that also failed he mounted a pressure campaign directed at individual state legislators to try and get them to go back into session and declare them the winner, decertify joe biden as the winner, or send two slates of electors to congress. one for biden and one for him. and pressure vice

arizona democrat mark kelly with a lead over blake masters. kelly also among those democrats who will not commit to backing a biden 2024 bid. in another pivotal senate race ron johnson from wisconsinndela barnes by four points. but a statistic call dead heat. also an enthusiasm gap that could boost johnson's chances. 66% of his voters are excited to vote compared to 57% those backing barnes. what do you make it the about the enthusiastic factor. is it real and play a part in the mid-terms? >> six years ago when ron johnson was on special report last night and pointed out that in the last election ron johnson was behind in the polls by 3 points right an election day and won by 3 1/2. the polls have gotten a lot of stuff wrong. what we have to go on and it is troubling. if you look at the 538 average of some of these key averages. dr. oz is losing by 11 points in pennsylvania. in arizona masters losing by 10. in georgia herschel walker is losing by three. in ohio vance is losing by 1.2. a tie. rob portman won that seat six years ago by 20 points. joe biden is the least popular president in the history of presidential polling. we have the worst inflation in 40 years. the highest gas

old swing states like wisconsin and michigan and pennsylvania, not thinking about arizona and georgia back in those days. you know a fair amount about the blue wall that joe biden. we've got this republican candidate, mr. michaels who won the gubernatorial primary last night. here's what the "new york times" says about this. wisconsin republicans embraced trump in a race defined by 2020 grievances. mr. michaels subscribed to mr. trump's outlandish conspiracy theories, he would draw the state's electoral votes. a move that would have no basis in federal law. on tuesday night mr. michaels did not mention the 2020 election or the state's voting laws and last week he was very, very fired up about it. the little bit we've seen suggests it could be a single-digit race between him and tony evers in wisconsin, and that guy sounds like a guy who's going to be running like from the play book of someone who's not going to be crazy like the republicans are in arizona. someone who's going to try to find a more middle ground. how dangerous is he this fall? >> well, i think there's a larger question. one is he's not going to be able to escape his record and the campaign's not

biden today but also a lot of hard work from the democratic party campaign arms, the democratic candidates, especially those i talked to who were running for governor in places like pennsylvania, wisconsin, arizonare they're critically important this time around, but whoever gets installed in those positions is really going to have the keys to democracy for 2024 and beyond. >> yeah, i mean, ben, i wonder if you can pull back the curtain on how many -- i don't want to use the word "legitimate," but how many elected republicans are swimming around in sort of the same toxic sludge on truth social when it comes to the qanon accounts? >> the qanon accounts, i would say, it's not that many people. but they all have to play to that base. you can't ignore them. you can't run over them. you can't pretend like they are not part of the situation. there are people who have tried to do that, and their names are liz cheney and adam kinzinger. so, like, those are the two people and they are no longer really part of the party anymore. i do want to add, you guys were talking about the 5% of the country thing. >> yeah. >> the three percenters, you know, the people who stormed the capitol, they are based on the no

biden won fairly comfortably. but if you look at those individual states, really tight in wisconsin. really tight in -- not quite as tight in michigan, but in georgia, arizonaate. republicans understand, what democrats are starting to understand a little more right now, is if donald trump is losing 30% of the republican party, yes, liz cheney only got 30%. a person who is prosecuting a case against, you know, the key figure in the republican party, that's that 1/3 that's going to cause republicans so much trouble in 2024. not in the house races in 2022, because you gerrymandered districts. but in 2024, this is going to cause -- again, we always talk about the suburbs of atlanta. we always talk about the philly suburbs. the suburbs of detroit. it's just a real problem and something "the wall street journal" is trying to do, something i was doing yesterday, something i've been doing, trying to warn republicans that donald trump is the path to electoral defeat. turn away before it's too late. of course, they haven't listened for five years, so they won't listen now. >> we were joking the last hour about dr. oz and the crudite. that is donald trump's hand-picke