and could see around 18,000 fans in the stadium — something with england's managing director, ashley gilese next hour. a global temperature limit is set to be reached in at least one of the next five years. a study says that by 2025, there's a 40% chance of at least one year being 1.5 celsius higher than the pre—industrial level. scientists say it is an important development as global warming gets worse. the analysis is based on modelling by the uk met office. let's speak to our science editor, david shukman. it isa it is a modelling exercise using computer models, led by the met office, scientists from ten other countries, including the us and china involved. it has a real global basis to this work. what they have done is try to come up with an assessment of what's going to happen in the next five years but there's a reasonable possibility that one of the next five years will have an average global temperature that is at 1.5 celsius above the preindustrial level. they do add that they don't expected to be anything other than temporary, but it would one year alone reaching that level, beca