so let's talk about all of this with amy stoddard, associate editor and columnist with "ab politics."re eyeing this. there are some who have already qualified and some just hoping that they can. if they don't, is that it? are they done? >> i think in a normal year, you definitely need to make that last debate, no question. there is something about this race that is very unsettled, i think. i don't see a lot of coalescing going on. maybe it was fluid back then, too, in different cycles, but i wouldn't be surprised if you have someone that has a passionate following like cory booker and they don't make the debate stage and they're caucus says, are you kidding me? i'm going to redouble my efforts and run around like crazy. in iowa people were saying it's got three places. now people are saying maybe it has four. i don't think we know yet what iowa, how it's going to matter, if we're going to split victories across iowa, nevada, south carolina, new hampshire. people are talking about a brokered convention. i don't know yet that we're going to determine a momentum in the days following tha

valier, john tamney, and real clear top picks associate editor ab stoddard, on where this bull run goes, happy new year and thanks for coming in. john let's start withs it's basically everything. retail, housing, caltech it's just a good decade what do you see going forward? >> well the natural direction for basically free people is for them to progress and keep going so as i see it, the more washington stays divided actually the more they are talking about impeachment in both sides are unhappy with each other the least likely they can impose legislation that is usually what leads to the arrest of a bull market so basically the less we see from washington the more we'll see of this, i think. >> do you buy that? >> i love the honesty, it's true. right now, the trump adminitration needs this bull run to keep going all through next year, and they need a "do no harm" strategy. the president has given us long term risk in his efforts to sure up the economy in the short-term but we can expect washington to stay divided and it's true that this is for the market, you really hope that big change isn't coming and we certainly know that's impossible right now