our second speaker is barbara slavin who specializes on iran at "the atlantic council. as a public policy scholar at the woodrow wilson center for sol lars, she authored bitter friends, boss some enemies, iran, the u.s. and the twisted path to confrontation, assistant managing editor for world and national security at the washington times. in 2008 and 2009. prior to that served for 12 years as senior diplomatic reporter for usa today where she covered such key issues as the u.s.-led war on terrorism in iraq, a policy toward rogue states and the arab israeli conflict, avoiding three secretaries of state on their officials travels and reported solo from iran, libya, israel, egypt, income, china, saudi arabia and syria, all the garden spots. our third speaker today is of ali nader, a senior international policy analyst at the rand corporation. his research has focused on iran's political dynamics, decision making and iranian foreign policy. ali raises publications include coping with a nuke rising iran, israel and iran, the next supreme leader, you can ses in the republic

the two countries, i spoke a short time ago to the deputy director of the africa center of the atlantic council. thank you very much for coming in. it is clear who is the main aggressor in this case, sudan or south sudan? >> obviously, each side will blame the other side was the aggressor. the north was really being more aggressive than the south, until the south moved to capture the oil fields a few weeks ago. i think that was definitely part of escalating the conflict. >> there have been widespread celebrations when it saw the den -- south sudan declared its independence, but the revenues from oil will always sparked tension. >> that is true. basically, the north and the south have been locked in a war for decades. there has been a longstanding habit of looking at the oil revenues as zero thinking. and the territories as zero some thinking. it would have been very unrealistic for them to think, well, we are joined at the hip and we have to start getting along if we want to succeed. >> everyone is hoping it does not get to that level again, and it seems the key player is going to be china. wha

this is hosted by the atlantic council in washington. we will show you as much of this as we can until the brief u.s. house session at 11:00. >> it brings senior u.s. and allied military leaders to the council to discuss issues surrounding campaigns, complex issues in the campaigns such as iraq and afghanistan as well as other international security issues. this series is generously supported by saab north america, and the council thanks them for their support for this important series. thank you. last april, at the atlantic council hosted major general richard mills as part of the commanders series, and then the returning rc southwest commander. now one year later, with major general john toolan. he just completed one year as the rc southwest commander. this particular brief is particularly relevant because next month in chicago, nato leaders are going to get together and talk about the progress in afghanistan as well as plan the next terps ahead -- next steps ahead. it is my distinct pleasure to introduce our special guest, major gener

war between the two countries, i am joined by the deputy director of the african center of the atlantic council. thanks very much for coming in. is it clear who is the main aggressor in this case? >> obviously both the north and south -- for the most part, it has seen that the north has been more aggressive than us out, until the south move to capture the oilfield a couple of weeks ago. that was definitely a massive step in terms of escalating the conflict. >> this was kind of inevitable. last summer when south sudan declared itself an independent country and voted for independence, the unresolved issues of he was going to have access to the oil and therefore the revenues from oil. >> that is true. basically the north and south have been in a war for decades. there has been a longstanding have a of looking at the oil revenues as a zero sum game. and the border territory is a zero sum game. it would have been unrealistic to expect the two sides to say we are divorced but we are still joined at the hip and we have to start getting along if we want to succeed. >> everyone is hoping it does not get

roger kirk, atlantic council. my question is what kind of training and support do you expect will be needed after 2014? and what are the prospects that you see of getting that? >> i think there are some areas that the afghans will not be able to build capability or capacity over the next two years, and so they're going to need our support. as i mentioned earlier, the afghans in the intelligence realm, human intelligence, nobody is better than they are, so that's a powerful resource for them. but they don't have the rest of the intelligence capabilities. they don't have the intelligence surveillance resaun kansconnais assets that we have. which have grown in the battlefield and i'm a very happy commander with what we're getting out there. the afghans know that we have that and they want to maintain or have access. so i think we're going to have to provide that for a while past 2014. there is no medical support capability anywhere in the world better than what we have. and we -- nowhere on the battlefield was a casu

here at the atlantic council, we are looking at the nato summit in less than a month in chicago. where afghanistan will be one of the primary if not the primary agenda item. and we've had some headlines over the last couple of months of what it looks like some key coalition and ally contributors coming out a little bit early with the uk -- or maybe it wasn't the uk but certainly france and we've heard about australia and others. and so the question i have is from your point of view. i mean, how -- what's sort of the plan, you know, for this transition? what partners do you see as key potentially going forward if you're allowed to be that specific. and for my view, what's the key strategy, again if you can be that specific, you know, till the transition in 2014 and then afterwards? because i think that's the part that's missing. we've had a lot of time phased announcement. but i think more importantly is what's the strategy guiding our footprint and our activities going forward? because this is going to have to be a long-term partnership. we're in places like bosnia still, you kno

major general john tullen spoke earlier at the atlantic council in washington, d.c. the u.s. will continue to defend the afghan military for at least ten years after the country formally takes control of its security according to an agreement signed earlier. this is about 45 minutes. >> i'll ask one question and then just look to the audience to continue the discussion. you gave us a good sense of sort of the threat specifically. but can you talk sort of more broadly about the taliban, you know, where are they now in your estimation? what's the chances of them popping back up? i don't know that depends on the trajectory of the afghan security forces. can you give us a sense of where they are politically and militarily in your view? >> i think the taliban there's always going to be i believe a hard core element that is going to continue to install sharia law. i've seen some of those folks. i've had an opportunity to speak to tom of them. it's a hard core radical belief that this is the way they need to operate. what produced that, i'm not exactly sure. but i think they will co

to accept the atlantic council 201 award for distinguished humanitarian leadership a tribute to his work on behalf of military veterans and their families. the prince is the captain in the british army and he was in the united states last year for the apache helicopter training. so he will be back in washington, d.c. >> car chases in the streets of l.a. are normal. >> stay tuned. the car chase that we have on video may surprise you. it surprised officers. we will tell you about some the moves. >> cot new orleans saints be marching into a bigger mess. a new report and what the team is saying about it. >> we are dry but cloudy. i will tell you when we will see the sun again. >> reporter: no early accidents to report but we have an incident on i-95. we will have details on that straight ahead. >> reporter: good morning. topping america's money social security in trouble. the fund is projected to run out of money in 2033. that's three years sooner than expected. a huge wave of retiring baby boomers is draining the coffers and people are living longer as well. ael's quarterly earnings report

to accept the atlantic council 2012 award for distinguished humanitarian leadership honoring him for work on behalf of military veterans and families. he is the captain of the british army. >>> police chases of all sorts are in los angeles we will see them on the news but this takes the cake. >> see a wild chase and a dog biting someone in a most uncomfortable position. good morning maryland returns in a bit. so, ah, your seat good? got the mirrors all adjusted? you can see everything ok? just stay off the freeways, all right? i don't want you going out on those yet. mmm-hmm. and just leave your phone in your purse. i don't want you texting, all right? daddy...ok! ok, here you go. be careful. thanks dad. call me -- but not while you're driving. ♪ [ dad ] we knew this day was coming. that's why we bought a subaru. ♪ >>> >>> you're watching the station that works for you "good morning maryland ." >>> i the baltimore grand prix could be in trouble. coming, the problems facial the race and why the city is working hard to keep it alive. >> now or lien saints may have found -- new orleans

his humanitarian work supporting the armed forcee.he'll receive the presttgious awarddat the atlantic council'snual awards dinner on maa 7th.he will accepp on behalf of his brother prince william and their foundation. ryan seacrest is sticking around s host of american idol. the fox netwook announced last night that seacrest wwll continue to host the hit t-v show. he has been the host since tte show's premiere ten years go. details of the new contract were noo given. coming up... against the man... accused of killing her mother, brother ann nephee..he history he has with the suspecc...and the &pwarning siggs... sheeremember and new developmeets... in the case against george zimmmrman. what's being revealed about his life outside of prison... after being reeeased on bond in the fatal shooting of &ptrayvon martin.you're watchin george zimmerman's attorney is describbng his client's life on the outside... afftr his release onnbond in the ftal phooting of floridd teen, trayvon martin.and as rick pinccnt explains... there's pnother new developmenn in the . case. george zimmermaa was released on bond

he spoke monday at the atlantic council in washington, d.c. while he's in the u.s. for ten days. an agreement signed sunday states the u.s. will continue to provide support to the afghan military for at least ten years after the country takes formal control of its security. we pick up this event with the q&a portion of general toolan's remarks. >> i'll ask one question and then look to the audience to continue the discussion. you gave us a good sense of sort of the threat specifically, but can you talk sort of more broadly about the taliban, where are they now in your estimation, what's the chances of them popping back up. i know that depends on the trajectory of the afghan security forces, but can you give us a sense of where they are sort of politically and militarily in your view >> i think the taliban, there's always going to be i believe a hard core element that is going to want to install sharia law. you know, i've seen some of those folks, and i've actually had the opportunity to speak to some of them, and it's just a hard core radical belief that this is the way they need

recent military coup in mali i'm joined by peter pham in washington he is the director of the atlantic council's michael and sorry africa center and in london we go to james snyder he is the editor in chief of think africa press all right gentlemen this is cross talk you can jump in anytime you want and i very much encourage and peter if i'm if i go to you in washington first what is in play here let's before we talk about what's going on with the coup now and afterwards let's talk about how we got there i mean there seems to be this rule of thumb is that critics of the libya intervention say i told you so the law of unintended consequences if you shake up the regime forcefully and impose order there you're going to have a i'd undesirable effect and we've got one in mali is that a fair reading a fair narrative. well i think there's a great deal of truth in it the fact is for all his faults colonel gadhafi was more or less in his box in recent years and he kept by himself all sorts of undesirable actors once that regime collapsed some of these actors including some of the toerags who are now caus

i would refer you to the atlantic council website where we have a number of papers that our task force has done and a couple that deal in particular with iran's reliance on china and on barter transactions. hard currency can't change hands. currency can't change hands so essentially iran is sending oil to companies up is as india and china and getting credit and receiving back goods and services from those countries. iran an oil production is going down. i think so in part because iran realizes it can't sell the oil it wants and get the money that it wants. it is down to 3.3 million barrels a day. that's down from 3.8 million barrels a day just a few months ago and 4.1 million barrels a day a year or so ago. this is truly hurting the i ran an economy and the reel real, the currency dropped by half against the dollar. inflation is up. unemployment is up and there is a lot of discontent within the country. what are the other signals we're seeing from iran that it might want to deal with the united states and the rest of the p 5 plus one? the kinds of things that we follow like hawks if y

royal officials say he is to receive the atlantic council award for distinguished and humanitarian leadershipn washington d.c. next month. the countdown is on to the summer olympics. 1 million tickets will go on sale this wednesday, sold on a first-come first-served basis but not all tickets are going on sale. some of the most sought after tickets such as soccer, will be sold at special booths in the weeks leading up to the games. some kids in sacramento getting ready for a new event in the junior olympics. >> it is the first year four- speed stacking. the event that looks like the tape is fast forward. but they are actually moving this fast. they stack and on stack a dozen plastic cups. the junior olympics are in texas this summer. >> have you ever tried that? >> my kids and i did. >> it is so neat. i am so much lower than any of those kids. >> 844 los angeles laker faces a suspension for hitting a player in that. world peace was ejected for a flagrant foul, he had just dumped on a fast break and then while celebrating he hit a player from oklahoma city in the back of head and he stayed down

he will be in town may 7 to accept the award at the atlantic council awards dinner..s. last year to take part in an apache helicopter training. correct analyze demand -- >> and alaska man found the spaull while he was out beachcombing. nothing special, he thought. not until he looked at the japanese characters. his white translated and found out it was the name of a school hit by last year's tsunami in japan. tracked down the balls owner a 16-year-old boy, and are now sending it back to him. >> gordon peterson has a look ahead. >> we have the latest on the case of the u.s. marine that was murdered not far from the marine barracks in southeast washington. the suspect in the case, who is also a u.s. marine, just finished a court appearance. will have the latest on that. we will also go to western maryland where the season seemed to be going backwards. winter has returned. people out there are digging out. those stories and more at 6:00 p.m. >> c with a bit. >> it is a big night for dancing with the stars. a vote at 8:00 tonight. then at 10:00, a dance floor confidentia

officials say he will receive the atlantic council award for distinguished humanitarian leadership inton d.c. next month. ok. the countdown is on to the summer olympics in england. at 1 million tickets will go on sale this wednesday and be sold on a first-come first-served basis but not all tickets are going on sale. some of the most sought after tickets like soccer, will be sold the special booths in the weeks leading up to the games. >> the next big deal at the junior olympics, stacking cops as fast as you can. >> have you ever done this? is fun. a sacramento teenager will be competing this year. it really is a skill. it looks like the tape is running on fast forward but it is not. there really moving as fast. they stack and aon stack a dozen cups. the junior olympics are ex

michelle kosinski, prince harry will be here may 7 to receive the humanitarian award from the atlantic councilt is expected to be a quick one, though. >>> when we come right back on news 4 at 4:00 a routine story turns into chaos. now a man is facing charges for interrupting a reporter on live tv. >>> and up next you've seen the pictures. snow in april. now chuck bell will join us live from western maryland to show [ male announcer ] knowing your customers is important to any successful business, which is why at wells fargo, we work with you to get to know the unique aspects of your business. we can recommend financial solutions that can work for you that have helped millions of business owners save time, reduce expenses, and maximize cash flow. as the number-one small business lender for nine years running, we're with you when you need us so you can be there for your customers. wells fargo. together we'll go far. >>> i don't go out on dates with guys who don't open the door for me. >> really? >> really. >> seriously? >> yes. >> oh, man. >> think like a man roared into theaters over the weeken

here the atlantic council we're looking at the senate. it would be one of the primary agendas and we've had some headlines over the last couple of months of what looks like the ki coalition and l.i. contributors coming out literally. we've routt australia and others, so the question i have is from your point of view. what is the plan for this transition, but partners to you see potentially going forward if you were allowed to be that specific what is the key strategy to be that specific until the transition in 2014 and then afterwards because that is the part that's missing. we've had a lot of time announcements but i think more importantly what is the strategy guiding the footprint activity going forward so this will have to be long term per persian places like bosnia still many years after the fact so we should certainly begin to set the expectations of the american people and of the populations and the allied coalition nations as well. if you have any thoughts on those it would be great to hear. >> i think someone said it is a coalitio

the atlantic council will present prince harry with the distinguished humanitarian leadership award nextred for his work helping wounded warriors. prince harry has chosen to accept the award on behalf of his brother, prince william, for their joint work through their foundation. it supports british and american veteran charities. >>> d.c. music legend chuck brown is in the hospital this morning. last night a statement on his facebook page read, "the brown family wants to extend their thanks and deepest appreciation to everyone for their concern, prayers, and best wishes for chuck brown during his hospitalization. they ask for your continued prayers." his family did not say why he was in the hospital. chuck brown is known as the godfather of go-go music and was supposed to play at a soldout show at the new howard theater this past saturday. that show is now rescheduled for june. >>> 40 degrees at 6:26. a marine murder trial. the altercation that police say led one marine to kill another. >>> also, breaking news overnight. george zimmerman is out of jail. what his attorneys say he's doing

harry will be honored may 7th by the atlantic council for humanitarian work on behalf of wounded veterans. prince harry and his brother prince william lead a foundation that helps wounded service members return to civilian life. it's a cause that is close to harry's heart. he is an apache helicopter pilot and captain in the army air corps. >>> in the travel industry it's called a shoulder seat. if you're looking to go on vacation now is the shoulder season. it's a good time to do it. places like florida, the caribbean, mexico, usually see a slowdown before summer. that's why hotels and resorts offer deep discounts this time of year. cruise ships are also offering some bargains in light of recent mishaps at sea. >> a lot of the vacation company providers are putting out packages inclusive of air fare. some cases actually waiving it all together just to get people out there. >> reporter: if you have to pay for air fare experts suggest you book your flight on a late tuesday or early wednesday. they also say you should look for flights that leave on tuesday, wednesday, or saturday in order to

the atlantic council announced it will present harry with a lineup award monday, may 7, two weeks from today. a spokesperson for the royal family says he will also receive the award on behalf of his brother, prince william, and in recognition of their charitable foundation. it supports british and american veterans charities. >>> the smithsonian will honor betty white next month here in washington. the smithsonian associates program will have an evening with white. that will happen sunday, may 17. white says she started in television before it even existed. she says she's excited about this honor. we are excited about getting betty white back here in washington. >>> storm 4 meteorologist tom kierein is here. he says it is snowing out there someplace nearby. boy, we weren't red write for this. not again. >> lot of -- >> not that much so far. >> they had up to six inches in western maryland. more than we had all winter here. they had just this morning on april 23 in many municipalities are not prepared. they have not mounted the plows back on their trucks and the salt and sand already ha

it is hosted by the atlantic council.coming up later, a conversation with former vice president big cheney -- dick cheney. steve scully will moderate the discussion and we will have it for you at 1:00 p.m. eastern. while we wait to take you to the atlantic council, we will bring you calls and headlines from this morning's "washington journal" on afghanistan.

the atlantic council's award for distinguished humanitarian leadership and put it into context here, the other awards received this year are want ban ki-moon. it's right up there. he is thrilled and he is coming over, carol, to the united states, when is it? 7th of may. so he's coming back to the u.s. >> did you talk about the joke? >> the joke? marathon? is that what you're talking about? >> yes. >> this is something that happened yesterday. london marathon yesterday. harry was the finishing line. he was welcoming winners come across the line and think announced that william and kate in a tv interview would be running the marathon next year which made a bit of a story but only about ten minutes. he is making it up. just a joke. but this is the strange thing about this. no surprise he is making jokes and dropping his brother in it. since then, sort of campaign has built up that kate and william should be running the marathon next year and betting companies are taking odds on it. so maybe they will. >> maybe they will. set a fine example for everyone worldwide. we will see. max foster

prince harry is coming to dc the royal will be in washington may 7th he is being honored with the atlantic council humanitarian leadership for charity work he and his brother have done to help wounded soldiers. >>> man could we use a little warm up and a little sunshine today. >> yeah, don't know we will get either tucker barnes is here with the update on our forecast. but first, something to warm us up. >> yes. >> this is what you were getting at. >> let's get to it allison, time for our my first 5 photo of the day, this is carly and genevieve. >> good morning. >> they look gorgeous in their white dresses. they went to florida, to be flower girls, in their uncles wedding. >> i bet they stole the show. >> here they are waiting for the bride to walk down the aisle and looking fantastic. >> how sweet. >> they don't have anything in their hair. >> no, but flowers behind them >> i love that look because yes, you see the anticipation in their eyes >> hay look great. >> so sweet -- they look great. >> so eat. >> what does a young -- so sweet. >> what does a young man do. >> ring bearer. >>> to send us y

live coverage hosted by the atlantic council begins tomorrow at 10:15 a.m. eastern. >> there is room for positive government policy. they drive development of private sector. it really feels it. we have some vision of where we are going, some encouragement. if ever we needed that, there's an opportunity trading this. >> former member of the education commission on legislation to reform the sec. >> political's playbook breakfast series posted eric cantor on thursday. he discussed a number of topics including tax reform and the 2012 presidential election. mike allen moderated the conversation. this is one hour and 27 minutes. thank you for coming. i am mike allen, the chief political correspondent for "politico." hello to c-span and cnn. thanks for following this. we are on twitter. jake sherman will join me in a minute for some pre-game. one of our great congressional correspondents is going to take us behind the scenes a little bit, set the table for a great conversation with house majority leader erich -- eric cantor. i would like to think the bank of ameri

the atlantic council, focus on the relationship between the u.s. and the uk is presenting harry with its distinguished humanitarian leadership award. get ready to see prince harry on american soil once again. only this time it won't be military training or official duty for the queen, but he is being invited to be honored. he's done for soldiers. over the weekend we saw him congratulating people at the london marathon. and in his joking way signed up will and kate for the next marathon. >> my brother and his wife will be doing it next year, i think. >> reporter: but the military, and in particular wounded warriors, has been a cause very close to his heart. ever since he served in afghanistan back in 2007, with some of his fellow soldiers were hurt. he's raised money for charities that support soldiers, and most recently, those returning home from duty. he trekked in the arctic with wounded veterans. and the last time he was in the u.s., two years ago, he visited american soldiers, paid a visit to the aircraft carrier "intrep "intrepid." in 2009, he

i am from the atlantic council. i want to talk about egypt's role in the region. it is interesting that they would say that the u.s. was trying to undermine. egypt hasn't had much of a role in the last two years. the question is, can it play role regionally? what factors do you see that might actually cause it to be able to overcome this domestic turmoil and play a role regionally? if israel attacks gaza again, will there be pressure to do something about the peace treaty? if israel attacks iran, will there be something about the peace treaty? or can we expect this year that it is just going to be egypt focusing on getting its affairs in order? >> i think a little bit of both. on one hand, it is true that egypt is much more internally focused, in fact, he's -- peace talks have taken place. egyptian way is nothing new, as he pointed out. i think it will take some time. for now, the main power -- egypt has the negative power. when you go to israel and asked the officials about the way they have to do things in gaza, for example. their main concern is how egypt will

your remarks to i wonder if both of you, and you'll comment all of it on this piece with the atlantic council in december, but i wonder if you all could each comment on how well you think that the administration, i'm not looking for partisan, just an assessment, how will the administration is doing in fulfilling the types of policies that the both of you are advocating here today? and what you think they should be doing next? >> i don't really know how to get my arms around a question like that. the kinds of policies we adopt and how the administration is doing them. let me just say that i think the administration is facing a very different world, and i think we see it. we see in the arab spring. i think the arab spring and its consequences in russia has been described there will. the reaction would be different almost every place it happens. and so i think fundamentally we have to be agile, thoughtful, and broad-minded. the atmosphere in washington today is none of those. and that worries me. i think, for example, in russia, i agree completely with zbig, we don't always agree with everything

we had a discussion not long ago with the atlantic council on the subject that came up that there was perception that maybe race in in chicago by couple of our allies. we always point out that we want the europeans to do more, and we've been working with them on various development projects over the last number of years, one of which they seem to be very antagonistic toward the fact that they feel we have kind of pulled the rug out from under them. and i was surprised at how strongly the opinions were voiced on this, and to the effect that there'll be some discussion of this in chicago. i don't know as much about as i should but i would like to hear your opinion of where you think that might go. >> this is an issue that, about which there are strong views in congress, and i think that that will not be a topic in chicago. i think that is a topic for a bilateral discussion with her german and italian colleagues, and take place in defense jails. but i don't anticipate it being on the agenda in chicago. >> there was a question here in the second row. >> hello. ii am correspondent of serbi

i am from the atlantic council. i want to talk about egypt's role in the region. is interesting that they would say that the u.s. was trying to undermine. egypt hasn't had much of a role in the last two years. the question is, can it play role regionally? what factors do you see that might actually cause it to be able to overcome this domestic turmoil and play a role regionally? if israel attacks gaza again, will there be pressure to do something about the peace treaty? if israel attacks iran, will there be something about the peace treaty? or can we expect this year that it is just going to be egypt focusing on getting its affairs in order? >> i think a little bit of both. on one hand, it is true that egypt is much more internally focused, in fact, he's -- peace talks have taken place. egyptian way is nothing new, as he pointed out. i think it will take some time. for now, the main power -- egypt has the negative power. when you go to israel and asked the officials about the way they have to do things in gaza, for example. their main concern is how egypt will rea

here at the atlantic council, we are looking at the nato summit and in less than a month in chicago, where afghanistan will be one of the most primary agenda item. we have had headlines over the last couple of months of what looks like some key coalition and ally contributors coming out a little bit early. possibly the uk and france and others. the question i have is from your point of view, what sort of a plan is in place for this transition -- what partners do you see going forward is if you are allowed to discuss that specific, and what is the key strategy, if you can be specific, until the transition in 2014 and afterwards occurs? that is the part we have missed. we have a lot of announcements, but i think more importantly is what is the strategy guiding our footprint and our activity going forward? this is going to have to be a long-term partnership. we are in places like bosnia, many years after the fact. we said sure and only -- we should certainly be able to talk about this and if you have any thoughts, we can take it from here. >> coalition warfare is very difficult. it is e

. >> hello from the atlantic council and our new web site on the middle east.i want to ask a little bit about whether this is kind of dramatic or something real in terms of the threat to have an independence referendum and so on. he made a number of appearances in washington last week, and he talked about this lot. is this just because the kurds and the central government are fighting over the contract, is it something deeper and what can they do to help resolve this problem? >> about dumping arms inside iraq without any control over that and somehow the military relationship with iraq. obviously that is a dangerous precedent and not to the quick and the training and we have a monopoly on the world class training inside the military and also helps to build a relationship as well. but absent social which commits our soldiers to operate inside iraq to work they can never come back in. the state department anticipates trying to establish with iraq to permit the training of iraqis as the fundamental basis for that relationship. and the second question on business i

i am from the atlantic council. i want to talk about egypt's role in the region. is interesting that they would say that the u.s. was trying to undermine. egypt hasn't had much of a role in the last two years. the question is, can it play role regionally? what factors do you see that might actually cause it to be able to overcome this domestic turmoil and play a role regionally? if israel attacks gaza again, will there be pressure to do something about the peace treaty? if israel attacks iran, will there be something about the peace treaty? or can we expect this year that it is just going to be egypt focusing on getting its affairs in order? >> i think a little bit of both. on one hand, it is true that egypt is much more internally focused, in fact, he's -- peace talks have taken place. egyptian way is nothing new, as he pointed out. i think it will take some time. for now, the main power -- egypt has the negative power. when you go to israel and asked the officials about the way they have to do things in gaza, for example. their main concern is how egypt will rea

i would refer you to the atlantic council web site, ac u.s..org where we have a number of papers that are task force has done and a couple that deal in particular with iran's reliance on china and on bartered transactions. hard currency cannot change hands. currency can change hands so essentially iran is sending oil to countries such as india and china getting a credit and receiving goods and services from those countries. iranian oil production is going down. i think in part because iran realizes they can't sell the oil that it wants and get the money that it wants. it's down to 3.3 million barrels a day. that is down from 3.8 million barrels a day to just a few months ago and 4.1 million barrels a day a year or so ago. this is truly hurting the iranian economy. the currency has dropped in value by about half against the dollar. inflation is up. of unemployment is up and there is a lot of discontent within the country. what are the other signals we are seeing from iran that it might actually want to deal with the united states and the rest of the p5+1? the kinds of things that we fo

here at home the defense department, the cia, the national security council, internationally the world bank, the imf, north atlantic treaty organization, the united nations, all of those happened in that period and they have been serving us in varying ways over the decades since. we reach the ininflection point the end of the cold air and the beginning of the information age and the 21st century some time back and have not stepped up to adjust those institutions to fit the 21st century. and we need to. they are not working well. they are rusty and nato made some changes, it's been enlarged. the defense department made changes with goldwater-nichols. you would build an air force base next to the naval air stations. two within 15 seconds of each other. mindless. just mindless. separate runways, separate hangars, controllers, separate security. it was the dumbest thing in the world. thanks to goldwater-nichols, much greater extent we're creating a joint force and achieving a leverage that is critically important. i think there ought to be a new hoover commission as there was i think in the '40s and 50s. the problems w

council on jobs and competitiveness. she spoke at an economic summit hosted by "the atlantic magazine. this is about half an hour. >> laura tyson is the -- the way i really know her was when she was at the berkeley roundtable on international economy. we know her because she was president clinton's economic adviser, now on a key advisory board on the economy and jobs for president obama. i wanted to start the conversation about your days at brie. we read your book on basically how to manage the economy back then. and you were -- you were i see bernard swartz here in the front of the room. you were kind of, i wouldn't say -- bernard swartz was a tyson acolyte in that sense because you were talking about the importance of infrastructure and to some degree industrial policy. where we are today and given your experience in both the clinton and you know somewhat within the obama administration although you're an adviser in that, not an official of the obama administration, what will do you think you won't have thought or won't have written at brie given your government experience? >> what w

atlantic" magazine. this is about a half hour. >> thank you, everybody, for joining us here. larry lindsey, former director of the national economic council. we're just going to dive right in. >> great. >> there's been a lot of discussion today about how difficult the last decade has been in global markets, global economies. we don't need to belabor it, but what's your diagnosis of what we've just gone through, the problems that we've been facing? >> well, you know, i think -- the guilt that we should all have, a little bit of hubris in in order. professionals started talking about how the economy had changed, how we in a new normal, how, you know, we conquered re. we conquered variation. all that tends to do if you have a long period where everything's moving up is people tend to take more and more risks. the longer it guess on, the more they think things will be going up. things go up. we had a huge crash in early 2000. it had a bad economic effect. we pulled the textbooks off the shelf. they said fiscal monetary stimulus, we did it. we started up again. everything worked. that only built our confidence further. that near death experien