axel merk, president and chief investment officer of merk investments made the argument last august. earlier today he spoke to my colleague, brendan greeley. -- >> we have had years of central banks compressing complacency in the markets. they were not aware of it. now with what happened last year , the fed decided that they would pursue an exit in earnest. meaning that they took the lid off the pressure cooker with the risks rising. rather than buying them, people are going to sell them. it's a process, people will not realize immediately that the markets have changed. people realizing they have more interest in presuming -- assuming capital. we have janet yellen looking at somethingmarkets and like inflation expectations. labor markets are backward looking indicators. she will be slow to react to this. the market will cascade much, much lower. >> there is no sign anywhere in consumer or market indicators that there is inflation pressure , so why would she change her mind based on assumptions about inflation? let's just compare janet yellen and mario draghi. they are looking at rela