it was enough to keep beijing guessing. now it is not enough to keep beijing guessing.ause china has been more ambitious. the way to tip the balance is to signal more willingness on the u.s. part and western allies' parts to help taiwan more clearly to send the message out. i think it is not an act of provocation, it is an act of rebalance and deterrence. host: what about the question on intellectual property? guest: the way to grow for china is to steal their way to the top. i think china has done well catching up to number two in the global economy and a lot of technology sectors. i think it is a very hard balance to strive because often times the intellectual property theft conducted by beijing or through legal means like business collaborations with american companies and then t:. guest: that is part of the unfair trade practices. it is hard to do given how intertwined the u.s. and chinese economies have been. host: a question from kevin, republican from milton, delaware. "what historical claim does china have to taiwan? guest: the civil war of china ended after the

it was enough to keep beijing guessing. i think now it is not enough to keep beijing guessing.nd i think because china has been more ambitious. the way to tip the balance is to signal more willingness on the u.s. part and western allies' parts to help taiwan more clearly to send the message out. i think it is not an act of provocation, it is an act of host: what about the question on intellectual property? guest: the way to grow f to stee top. i think china has done well catching up to number two in the global economy and a lot of technology sectors. i think it is a very hard balance to strive because often times the intellectual property by beijing or through legal means like business collaborations with american companies and then they figure things out. host: so business practices. guest: that is part of the unfair trade practices. it is hard to do given how intertwined the u.s. and chinese economies have been. host: a question kevin, a republican from milton, delaware. "what historical claim does china have to taiwan? guest: the civil war of china ended after the second war

beijing _ issue. you mentioned the us election. beijing often - issue. with countries. how will the us election have a bearing on the dynamic? election have a bearing on the d namic? �* election have a bearing on the dynamic?— election have a bearing on the d namic? �* ., ,, ., dynamic? bei'ing would like to see a dynamic? bei'ing would like to dynamic? beijing would like to see a more firmer _ dynamic? beijing would like to see a more firmer us - dynamic? beijing would like to . see a more firmer us government that sticks — see a more firmer us government that sticks to the one china policy _ that sticks to the one china policy. and while you're thinking about strategic ambiguity, china would like the us to _ ambiguity, china would like the us to he — ambiguity, china would like the us to be firmer about stopping taiwah— us to be firmer about stopping taiwan from being too proactive on safeguarding autonomy, and to he _ on safeguarding autonomy, and to be honest, if you look at this— to be honest, if you look at this election, one big lesson of this— th

let's discuss more about what this means in terms of the beijing-taipei relationship. jennifer parker, adjunct fellow for naval studies is joining us. great to have you with us. yvonne was just telling us about how the reaction has been restrained as it comes to just ahead of the elections. could we see the pressure get ramped up after he takes office? >> good morning from camera and thank you for having me. it has been restrained compared to what we saw last 12 months where they were near record numbers of aircraft and vessels crossing the median line in the straight but that said many chinese officials in the lead up of the election said voting for the dpp was voting for war. between now and may we expect to see increased activity from china. if it reaches the levels of the large naval exercises conducted around nancy pelosi's visits to taiwan, or latching's visit to the u.s. in august 2023, we are not sure but we will see increased activity ramping up today. shery: what is the most likely and dangerous situation when it comes to the beijing-taipei relationship? >> t

actually have among voters -- with beijing?— with bei'ing? they faced some real with beijing? taiwan. - with beijing? they faced some| real challenges in taiwan. they picked a pretty unique candidate. hou yu—ih was born and raised in taiwan, he speaks the local language quite well and he's sort of a local hero is a former police chief and cop. when he's promising to bring to the table is what he would frame as a pragmatic approach by engaging beijing in approach by engaging beijing in a way that's protecting taiwan's interest. it's a little different from what we've seen and i think it's intended to address those voter concerns. it will remain to be seen how voters are persuaded ijy seen how voters are persuaded by that when the polls close tonight and we start to see the vote count,. tonight and we start to see the vote count”— tonight and we start to see the vote count,. jennifer, how much influence has _ vote count,. jennifer, how much influence has china _ vote count,. jennifer, how much influence has china on _ vote count,. jennifer, how much influence has china on the -

beijing adheres to the concept limited retaliatory nuclear strike.s at the minimum level necessary to ensure national security. about 100 have. nuclear warheads could reach us territory. france is the only country in the eu with nuclear weapons. it has about 300 strategic ballistic missiles on four submarines, as well as 60 aircraft-launched tactical charges. between 2018 and 2025, the authorities of the fifth republic allocated almost twice as much as before for the maintenance and modernization of nuclear forces. the uk's reserves are much more modest. according to official data, it is armed with 225 warheads with a yield of up to 100 kilotons, of which about 120 are ready for use. the country's nuclear force consists of american triident missiles launched from british submarines. pakistan and india have 165 and 160 warheads, respectively. neighbours. for each other an object of nuclear deterrence, but are consistently expanding nuclear arsenals, for example, newdeli is working on the creation of long-range systems, including those that can hit tar

the election campaign, there were some misfortunes, there were attempts by beijing to put pressure oncess, there were corresponding responses and proactive actions by washington, it is clear that the victory of the democratic progressive party and mr. chante. between the two countries, for the first time in many years , we see a decrease in mutual direct foreign investment and, nevertheless, a certain balance of interests has been achieved, in which a significant degradation of relations, not only around taiwan, but in general, is unlikely to occur will be in the near future, at least until the end of the presidential election campaign in the united states, in beijing they are well aware that... potential republican candidate donald trump is taking a tougher line towards china, with a tougher position, in the case of his stated position on trade -economic issues. and beijing over this election campaign, taiwan will not be the focus of rising tensions between washington and beijing anytime soon. some of your colleagues believe that 2024 may be the year for beijing. a year of opportunit

we have had response from beijing, saying reunification i from beijing, saying reunification with taiwans this new election change any of china's position, if at all? not much. china's position on taiwan is now defined by a supreme leader shooting pain, who says taking taiwan into china is part of the requirements to fulfil the china dream of national reunification, and he set a date for this to be completed, which is the end of 2049. therefore, we have about 25 years before the time runs out. fine therefore, we have about 25 years before the time runs out. one more cuestion. before the time runs out. one more question- for— before the time runs out. one more question. for people _ before the time runs out. one more question. for people watching - before the time runs out. one more question. for people watching this i question. for people watching this around the world who don't follow china, taiwan relations as closely as you, why does this matter in the broader geopolitics of the world? well, it matters because beijing makes it into something very important. having threatening people if

thanks very much for in beijing as well. thanks very much for that, shaimaa _ in beijing as well.anks very much for that, shaimaa khalil, we are i for that, shaimaa khalil, we are watching closely and there will be highlights of his speech on our later bulletins on bbc news. in the meantime, back to london. thank you, steve, thank you shaimaa khalil. jubilant scenes there in taiwan is the dpp's william lai set to be taiwan's next president gets ready to make his victory speech and as steve said there, he will bring you all the highlights later on in the programme. do stay with us here on bbc news. hello, there. most of us have seen plenty of this today, a lot of cloud around, but it is predominantly dry. the weather story, though, is on the change from tomorrow and into next week. it's going to turn noticeably colder with a risk of snow, even at lower levels in the north. and, yes, we will see some severe night—time frost. for the here and now, though, for the start of this weekend, we've got this cold front sinking its way steadily southwards. the real cold air not quite arriving

a sharp response immediately followed from beijing. the chinese foreign ministry expressed hope that washington will stop, i quote, sending false signals to the separatist forces. along with the election of the head of the island administration in taiwan, they voted for members of parliament, where the balance was not in favor of those wishing to gain independence. what can the changes lead to and should we expect something new? the spiral of escalation around taiwan, ksenia nekrasova examined. the candidate from the ruling democratic party celebrated his election victory on a grand scale, but speaking on stage in front of supporters, the newly elected head of taiwan's administration, niknim, addressed beijing, saying that he was determined to defend taiwan, for this rhetoric laizenday was nicknamed the candidate of war. taiwanese residents watched the vote count live, showing the gap between the victorious laitz and the opposition candidate houyou. less than 7% of the representative the gamindan party, which advocates rapprochement wi

i have come back four days ago from beijing. it has been a very active period in our relationship with the chinese. i was with the president a month ago this week in california just north of the stanford campus for his meeting with president xi jinping. a few thoughts for me on where we stand. i look at this and think most people do, the u.s.-china relationship is the most consequential relationship the united states has now. particularly, that we will have for the next couple decades. we are the two leading economies in the world and will be into the 20 30's and 20 40's. we are the two most powerful militaries in the world and certainly will be for the next two or three decades. we are the two countries with the widest global reach, if you think about the economic, societal, political, strategic breadth of the interests of both countries. and we are vying for global power, as well as regional power. i think we are systemic rivals. if you think about our larger security and economic and political interests around the world. in o

elections and what it means for europe's relations with beijing.e and rationalize beijing's outer proportion trading relationship with china and profound questions about how much brussels will be able to find common purpose with washington in a year. those tensions will persist for the next 12 months. rishaad:rishaad: going into this presidential election cycle, it's almost as if congress is trying to outdo each other on both sides of the aisle on who can be the biggest hawk against beijing. how does someone who is standing here or how to someone in beijing look at all that and balance the rhetoric to what could be the reality? >> i think there's a certain fatalism in beijing about the relation of travel of the u.s. relationship. a lot of debates right now i'm picking up about which candidate would be better for their interests. ultimately when you look back at their major once every five year foreign affairs conference they held in december, look at what they are saying. their conclusion about where they will be with the u.s. in five years are pre

already announced a series— beijing had already announced a series of— beijing had already announcedquity market and ithink— aim to support the equity market and i think it _ aim to support the equity market and i think it has — aim to support the equity market and i think it has been put in place for systemic— i think it has been put in place for systemic spill over to the financial sector— systemic spill over to the financial sector and — systemic spill over to the financial sector and i don't think there's a lot of— sector and i don't think there's a lot of concerns as of this point and 'ust lot of concerns as of this point and just out— lot of concerns as of this point and just out of— lot of concerns as of this point and just out of control to a major financial— just out of control to a major financial shock to a chinese market but i financial shock to a chinese market but i would — financial shock to a chinese market but i would say, this is rather the beginning — but i would say, this is rather the beginning rather than the end of the 2010 period at the top 100 and by the end

itself, beijing does have an _ election itself, beijing does have an automatic winner.ionalist party will be the ones — nationalist party will be the ones to— nationalist party will be the ones to take the presidency and the parliament. that's because the parliament. that's because the kmt— the parliament. that's because the kmt typically has a more pro—china stance. i advocate more — pro—china stance. i advocate more dialogue and they accept that one — more dialogue and they accept that one china policy, this idea — that one china policy, this idea that taiwan is a part of china — idea that taiwan is a part of china 50 _ idea that taiwan is a part of china. so china has a preferred winner— china. so china has a preferred winner and _ china. so china has a preferred winner and they are really hoping _ winner and they are really hoping that the current ruling party— hoping that the current ruling party does not get an unprecedented third term. the rulina unprecedented third term. the ruling party — unprecedented third term. tie: ruling party the democratic progressive pa

a supporter of independence from china became the head of taiwan, how did beijing react to this? flying out of virtuality into reality, like participants in future fidgets. igor is preparing for drone racing. eight-year-old maxim suffers from a serious illness. if we help him, he can get back on his feet. about the main thing for this minute in the studio ilya fodorovtsev. hello. the first delegation from the united states will arrive in taiwan today. this was reported by the american institute in taiwan. this is washington's de facto representation on the island. the delegation will include senior officials from the white house and state department, but all with a prefix. ex, current congressmen can visit taipei after the inauguration of the new head of the island’s administration. this was announced in the house of representatives. laitsinde, from the current ruling party, won the elections that took place the day before, which means that the anti-chinese course of the island authorities will continue. after this news, the people's republic of china expressed hope that washingt

i can confirm i am in beijing. we had a _ government. i can confirm i am in beijing. confirm i am in beijing. we had a from the - government. i can confirm i am in| beijing. we had a from the taiwan affairs office which says the results of these elections of the taiwan region show the democratic progressive party can't represent the mainstream public opinion on the island, a nod to the results that william lai, the new president of taiwan, president—elect got 40% of the vote. you cannot represent the mainstream public opinion on the island, taiwan is part of china, reiterating their belief on that. these elections cannot change the basic framework and direction of cross strait relations. the statement is what we would expect from beijing at this time. they reiterate the point that taiwan is part of china, that these results are local elections, and reunification will happen. there is no mention of force in this statement. it says the taiwan issue in achieving national reunification remains consistent and unwavering. their position on that. they firmly oppose separatis

alexander baalsky, nikolai petrov, evgeny samsonov, lead the beijing bureau. not so much a professionf life. on russian press day, military correspondents, thanks to whom we learn every day, literally in real time, about the situation in the northern military district zone, were invited to vladimir putin’s election headquarters for a meeting with volunteers. varvara nevskaya found out what they were talking about. from the simplest and most humane questions about favorite books, songs that warm you away from home, to acute, fundamental and in many ways defining the profession of a modern journalist. what changes has the russian one undergone? walk, they must themselves understand the origins and reasons why perhaps many events have now happened, and without the history of how our country almost collapsed in the nineties, in fact, many extremely important things are now impossible to explain and comprehend. a unique opportunity to gain first-hand valuable experience and gain guidelines for your chosen profession. their years really gave useful advice that can be implemented, and vlad,

he's viewed by beijing as a dangerous separatist.ugh mr lai says he simply wants to maintain the status quo for taiwan. china's minister of foreign affairs, wang yi, had this to say. translation: taiwan's election is a regional. affair within china. no matter what the results of the election are, they cannot change the basic fact that there is only one china and taiwan is a part of it. taiwan has never been a country. it wasn't in the past, and it certainly won't be in the future. meanwhile, china has accused the us of sending "a gravely wrong signal" to those pushing for taiwan's independence. us secretary of state antony blinken congratulated president—elect william lai on saturday. that message was seen by beijing as a violation of washington's commitment to maintain only unofficial ties with taiwan. earlier i spoke to steve lai in taipei who told me more about the situation. those words of congratulations from antony blinken have been backed up with some actions as well. just yesterday a delegation of former senior officials arri

and that's how he related to beijing. so you look at the way that the chinese government was, you know, really reaching out to ethiopia, giving them tons of infrastructure and assistance, you know, really. and for decades doing that, it shaped behavior and his approach to china. he knew that he had that he couldn't criticize them publicly. and that's what we see in his and how he guided the w.h.o. and i think in the early months of the pandemic, that was and it was obviously the wrong decision. but i think it was really harmful the way that he couldn't be honest. what was happening in china. but here's the here's the the place where it changes that eventually didn't work. and i don't actually think that tedros was is an agent of china i think that he was shaped by his long standing relationship beijing to try to get his in a way that they could accept. but what's encouraging about this is that when it didn't work, when the w.h.o. was not able to get scientists into for an independent mission to understand the origins of t

that was laura bicker on beijing the's reaction.of william lai, presidentjoe biden said the united states does not support the independence of taiwan. as we've been hearing, taiwan is a key flashpoint in the tussle between china and the us for supremacy in asia. but what is the historical background to their current, complex relationship? our reporter tom brada has more. the elections in taiwan are being closely watched around the world. that is because taiwan finds itself at the centre of a geopolitical flashpoint between the us and china. for all practical purposes, the island has been independent since 1949. but china sees it as part of its own territory which will one day unite with the mainland — if necessary, by force. on that, here's the chinese president speaking in 2022. translation: we will never promise to renounce the use| of force as an option. to understand why the issue of taiwan is so contentious, it is important to understand some of the island's history. in the first half of the 20th century, there was a civil war

but there is also that strained relationship with beijing and how beijing _ relationship with beijingnto power. geopolitics is very much— comes into power. geopolitics is very much present here, that context you were _ very much present here, that context you were talking about with maryam moshiri~ _ you were talking about with maryam moshiri. this is thought to be a close _ moshiri. this is thought to be a close race _ moshiri. this is thought to be a close race and we haven't had potting — close race and we haven't had polling for ten days and a very consequential election geopolitics looms— consequential election geopolitics looms large, china's shadow looms large _ looms large, china's shadow looms large over— looms large, china's shadow looms large over this election. yes, looms large, china's shadow looms large over this election.— large over this election. yes, this is certainly _ large over this election. yes, this is certainly a _ large over this election. yes, this is certainly a very _ large over this election. yes, this is certainly a very unique - large over this election

beijing hasn't ruled out using force for example to take back taiwan.i back taiwan. do you see that as a likelihood?— likelihood? i think china actually startin: a likelihood? i think china actually starting a war— likelihood? i think china actually starting a war with _ likelihood? i think china actually starting a war with taiwan - likelihood? i think china actually starting a war with taiwan is - likelihood? i think china actually starting a war with taiwan is not| likelihood? i think china actually. starting a war with taiwan is not a high likelihood. ithink starting a war with taiwan is not a high likelihood. i think that beijing will continue to restrict communications on both sides of the straight, that more family happened in 2016. however i think that beijing will see more of the same, more of the same of what we have seen, however i understand beijing is quite concerned about william lai's previous comments. folks are saying he seems much more pro—independence and that is a concern in beijing. we will see but however, his vp, she is a candidat

what does hong kong's fate tell us about beijing's worldview? regina ip in hong kong, welcome to hardtalk. thank you. good to talk to you. let me ask you a very simple first question. 0k. since 2020, hong kong has been living with a very draconian national security law that was imposed from beijing. now, it seems that the hong kong government is determined to legislate an even tougher national security law during 202a. why? well, our national security law, mandated by beijing, is not draconian at all. it is far less comprehensive and sweeping than the national security act that your parliament enacted last july, you know? you created a lot more new offences. our national security law enacted by beijing is nothing compared to what you have. what you have is far more stringent, comprehensive and draconian. well, i think a lot of it depends on the implementation, doesn't it? and when your territory uses the laws that you have through the national security legislation to lock up opposition politicians, pro—democracy activists, to eliminate independe

we have had somej displeasure from beijing. goes. we have had some - displeasure from beijing. to this more long—term? beijing hasn't ruled out using force to take back taiwan. do you see that as a likelihood? i take back taiwan. do you see that as a likelihood?- that as a likelihood? i think china actually _ that as a likelihood? i think china actually starting - that as a likelihood? i think china actually starting a - that as a likelihood? i think| china actually starting a war with taiwan is not a high likelihood as close of time 2025, 2027 as some were saying. i think beijing will continue to restrict communications on both sides of the strait that morph firmly happened in 2016. however, i think beijing will see more of the same, more of the same of what we have seen however i do think beijing is concerned about william lai's previous comments. he seems much more pro—independence than the former president and i know thatis the former president and i know that is a concern in beijing. we will see, however, his vp, she is a candidate that has earned much trust from the unite

quote: yes chinese media made it clear to the united states that beijing will not allow washington to island after the elections. about provocations. and yet not in vain. the head of the taiwanese administration in his election program said: washington is the main ally, after all, before leitzend had even taken office, this ally had already sent guests with congratulations, formally, all of them were former assistant to the us president hadley to the former deputy secretary of state steinberg, which means it’s like the official white house is here nothing to do with it, but in beijing they regarded everything as the americans crossing the red line and expressed a strong protest. "we urge the united states to approach taiwan-related issues with caution and not in any way, shape or form send any wrong signals to the separatist forces over the so-called independence of taiwan." and indeed. biden personally, and the head of the state department confirmed with him the other day, the united states does not support the independence of taiwan, but then how can these words be explained? we are

party, apparently, are losing the majority, and the opposition is in favor of rapprochement with beijingthey show, the election results will affect the future of taiwan and not only it, in a report by the chief of our beijing bureau, alexander baletsky. these are not official results yet, vote counting is ongoing, but supporters of taiwan's ruling democratic progressive party are already celebrating the victory of their candidate in the center of taipei. lai, qingde, aka william lai, is leading in the election of the head of the island's administration, his main rival from the opposition kuomintang, howe, whose third of the votes has already been recognized defeat, in third place, as expected, is another oppositionist from the taiwanese people 's party kovzhe, he also has almost a third of the votes, which means the opposition is still in the majority, which is for change. most of us taiwanese are not that worried because tensions with china have been going on for a long time, so young people are a little tired in this environment. i think many candidates are avoiding the topic of cuttin

to beijing's rules, we are, i think, wrapping up here.but i just wanted to thank everyone, bethany, going to stick around a little bit. there are books for purchase available in the back. you get a signed copy. i mean, how do you that? thank you all. folks that are streaming in and here if if you're interested in learning more about fdr program, go to npr.org. until then we'll you soon thank you so much for for stopping by and for taking time with us today and pick up your your edible version of the book. yes. i guess you can't beat it. there's a cookie with literally beijing rules. on the other hand, it for you. thanks so much, ♪♪ weekend long c-span2 are an intellectual piece. every saturday american history tv documents american stories and sunday'sk tv brings the latest nonfiction books and authors. funding for c-span2 comes from these television companies and more including comcast. >> you think is just a community center? it's way more than that. >> comcast is partnering with 1000 community centers to create wi-fi enabled this so st

from beijing, here's our china correspondent, laura bicker.had a statement from the taiwan affairs office which says that the results of these elections in the taiwan region show that the democratic progressive party cannot represent the mainstream public opinion on the island. that's obviously a nod to the result that william lai, the new president of taiwan, new president—elect of taiwan, got 40% of the vote. so they're saying he cannot represent the mainstream public opinion on the island. "taiwan is part of china," obviously reiterating china's belief on that. "these elections cannot change the basic framework "and direction of cross—strait relations." now, the statement is very much what we would expect from beijing at this time. they reiterate the point that taiwan is part of china, that these results are local elections and that unification will happen. but there is no mention of force in this statement. it says that the taiwan issue and achieving national reunification remains consistent and unwavering, their position on that, and they

but that does not sit well with beijing.ost significant supporter of taiwan, and maintains unofficial links with taipei. on the us position for taiwan's security, here is president biden. the us position for taiwan's security, here is president biden.— here is president biden. the idea that it can be _ here is president biden. the idea that it can be taken _ here is president biden. the idea that it can be taken by _ here is president biden. the idea that it can be taken by force, i here is president biden. the idea that it can be taken by force, just taken by force, just not appropriate, it will dislocate the entire region and be another action similar to what happened in ukraine. taiwan finds itself in the middle of a diplomatic tug—of—war. and the outcome of its domestic elections could well have a profound impact on some very delicate international affairs. more on those taiwanese elections on the bbc news website. thousands of pro—palestinian protesters have marched through central london as part of a global day of acti

in reunification, representatives of the gamindan hou party, he is in favor of dialogue with beijingthird candidate: this is a representative of the kovz labor party, who is also not against building dialogue with beijing, but also the united states, in general, too, in general, responsibly, of course, the residents of taiwan had to make a choice today, which they actually made. i am not happy with the current government, it is corrupt and does not satisfy many of the demands of the people, it is more domineering and i don’t like it, while everything is fine in taiwan, anyone can be a leader, but when problems arise, we change the government, the polls opened at exactly 8 am polling stations, there are 17 of them, you could vote approximately... in person, no absentee ballots, no voting in general, only at the place of registration , and the polling stations themselves have very strict rules, no understandable campaigning, no conversations, especially on political topics, mobile phones are only turned off, but all this is monitored very closely, of course, in beijing itself, by the w

beijing demonstrated what the chinese army is capable of during nancypilosi’s visit to taiwan. information. purchasing american weapons, the dem party will be more difficult, despite winning the race for the seat of the head of the island’s administration, it lost its majority in parliament 52 seats to the gamindan party, which opposes the arms race with mainland china, which taiwan cannot win, which is also why they consider it necessary to restore dialogue with beijing. make a choice in favor of peace. ksenia nekrasova, polina timofeeva and alexander gusev, especially for ntv. however, the peace that many in taiwan and china hope for does not seem to suit the united states. and, although in words, washington does not support the independence of the island. biden said this again the day before. the white house is trying with all its might to spark a conflict that could cause significant damage to the economy of the entire region. a similar scenario has already been played out by the americans in europe, where. ukraine was chosen as a tool for causing damage. the eu economy is

that is a redline for beijing.e also heard from president biden right after the election results, saying the u.s. does not support taiwanese independence. so they are still some olive branches, if you can call it that, being seen here, some reassuring words after this election/when it comes to the table economy, its chip industrys is so important. stephen engle asked about the security of the industry to lai ching-te and during his postelection press conference permitted take a listen. stephen: how do you now mitigate the risk that increasing tensions with china essentially could weaken the strategic advantage, the strategic importance of the chip industry that it provides to taiwan? >> as long as there is a quality and compatibility between this two sides of the straits, taiwan is willing to exchange with china for exchanges and cooperation. you will vigorously assist the semiconductor industry in material, and equipment, r&d, packaging to testing to form a more complete industrial chain. shery: analysts have talk

yes, i think that's more what beijing was hoping | that's more what beijing was hoping for, they werehe was going to win. he was odds—on favourite to do so and he has in fact won by a clear margin. what they wanted to do was make sure he didn't feel any temptation to push his rhetoric beyond what he had said before and what his predecessor president tsai ing—wen had said, not going for some more radicalform of declared independence. it seems beijing's rhetoric worked to that extent, he stuck to his position but hasn't gone further than he might have done had they not made that particular threat.— have done had they not made that particular threat. could you explain for us, because _ particular threat. could you explain for us, because i— particular threat. could you explain for us, because i think _ particular threat. could you explain for us, because i think it's - particular threat. could you explain for us, because i think it's really i for us, because i think it's really important to highlight the fact this isjust about taiwan, important to highlight the fact this is just about ta

beijing has chosen to essentially cut off dialogue with this ruling party.nd now that it seems clear that in just any minute now the ruling party will likely declare victory in the presidential race and the excitement is so intense back there, the crowd, we had to step back this way to get a signal because the crowd is growing very quickly, but this is going to be a something that beijing will definitely respond to. intelligence officials that we have been speaking with here in the taiwanese capital say they do not expect an immediate response from beijing. frankly the weather on the taiwan strait is winter and very difficult weather to pull off those massive military drills like what they did when nancy pelosi visited this self governing democracy last year. however, in may, the weather is much better and that's when this new president will be inaugurated. so we have to keep very close eye on what's happening in this region. really potential flash point here, but we have to see how beijing responds to all of this. >> yeah. just quickly, will, you were sayin

as for going to understand think this alternate architecture beijing according to beijing's rules.we are wrapping up here. books you get a signed copy how do you beat that. thank you all folks that are streaming and here if you're interested in learning more our china program. until then we will see you soon. thank you so much for stopping by and for taking time with us today. >> pick up your edible version of the book. c[laughter] >> you cannot beat it it's ae' cookie. thanks so much, guys. [applause] ♪ of you are enjoying book tv sent for newsletter to receive a schedule of upcoming programs offer discussions, book festivals and more. tv every sunday television for serious readers. or an intellectual feast. every saturday american history tv documents america's story on sunday book tv brings you the latest in nonfiction books and authors. funding for cspan2 companies television companies and more including buckeye broadband. ♪

it supports a conciliatory attitude towards beijing in 2015. then president, my young joe, a member of the corman time party shook hands with chinese president. she's in pain this historic encounter and single for a few debates, both outside the party and within the while the parties use, sees itself is taiwanese, the old guard supports swift unification with continental china. from was it in which you are the bottom to so many people see the word china as a bad word, but for me it's an asset. it's only because china doesn't just stand for the communist party or people's republic. kenya, the china stands for 5000 years of history, the book, and that includes taiwan. and so right now it's on, we're in a state of separation on perhaps my ideas are not through is that the majority of tie when he is we'll see what i think the deep diverse weights, 40 percent of the population feels like i do see the, the chinese are taiwanese or taiwanese and chinese, that's the question are frequently put to the islands population. just 20 percent of the populatio

and pro beijing got 26% of the vote. lot of numbers but what this means is that yes, the democratic party got another term and that's good for the biden administration. but every time they go to the taiwanese legislative body now, they've lost their majority and they're going to have to do deals with the pro beijing party. so yes, a good result for the white house. result for those who support democracy and independent or at least a taiwan that stays the way it is right now. but not so clear cut. >> yeah, i mean, and taiwan and the u.s., they've been bcenterig their ties. the u.s. has been increasing support in arms sales to the island but there's also been, kim, there have been these visits from congressional leaders that have angered the chinese. might that need to sort of be dialed back a little be it? how does the u.s. approach this? and is this a powder keg that might erupt? >> you know, i don't think that either the democratic or the republican party are going to stop their outreach to the incoming taiwanese admini

— the amount they can't trust. —— beijing i— the amount they can't trust. —— beijing.r william _ that pressure might increase after william lai assumes office. at that point, _ william lai assumes office. at that point, he _ william lai assumes office. at that point, he was given he will give an inauguration speech. at that point, it is possible we will see larger show— it is possible we will see larger show of— it is possible we will see larger show of force from beijing. do it is possible we will see larger show of force from beijing. show of force from bei'ing. do you think it's show of force from bei'ing. do you think its a — show of force from bei'ing. do you think it's a possibility _ show of force from beijing. do you think it's a possibility we _ show of force from beijing. do you think it's a possibility we might - think it's a possibility we might see that micro... think it's a possibility we might see that micro. . ._ see that micro... anything is ossible see that micro... anything is possible at — see that micro... anything is possible at this _ see that mi

richard, thanks for joining beijing. oppose the d p. i'm very confident my pay. richard, thanks for joining beijing. oppose the d. p. i'm very confident during the campaign . so with that in mind, how does china reacted to lodging? does when? so yeah, that, that's why it had to, i mean, in advance of the selection, the chinese was saying that the tie, one of the photos must make, will include the correct choice and the selection and picking lighting to is certainly not the correct choice from beijing's point of view, and this being the statement where there was a statement released by the foreign minister, we pretty soon off to the result, came in and is quite, you seem to look at what the statement says. it says that, you know, whatever changes take place in tie. one of the simple fact that there is only one china in the view of china that taiwan is positive. that china, those simple facts will not change. so that was in that statements. and i think that could be interpreted as being relatively reassuring the message saying that nothing has changed might be inte

that is the perception from beijing. since the communist party believes taiwan is not an independent country s, they see williams lai's party as such. they perceive the likelihood of the status quo. the parties are not very different. his main rival of the kmp ruled out unification talks. the polls have narrowed but continue to suggest william lai is going to win. for investors in the business community in the u.s. believe this is important because of what it says about the security situation. right now, because beijing has been framing this as a choice between peace and war, if lai does win, beijing has already indicated it would maintain a hostile stance toward take'aipe. it would ratchet up the military and it would announce economic punishment with the tariff rates. in terms of security of the supply chain as well, frank, that is another thing that would be on the minds of ceos. >> a lot of broader implications from the selection, but also from the u.s. deciding to send people to taiwan following the elections. can y

now, the reality that beijing faces, however, is that they need the private sector.m enterprises in both the manufacturing and services sectors have been very important for generating employment growth. so unless the chinese government can fix this problem of declining private sector confidence, especially private business confidence, it's going to be a tough slog for the economy. xijinping's big economic vision for the world has been that that $1 trillion belt and road initiative, which actually has just marked its 10th anniversary. and to the uninitiated, that's china investing in building infrastructure all over the world in an attempt to fuel economic growth and things ranging from what ports in greece to to railways in zambia. is that spending by china likely to slow now thatjust china is struggling so much economically at home? so for a while when china was doing well economically, it seemed to make sense for the government to use the belt and road initiative and other initiatives to try to use its financial clout to also increase its geopolitical power around

that's a provocation for beijing. the it also represents a break with the traditional self image of taiwan as pronounced by chiang kai shek . his national memorial hall stands in the center of the capital type pay the these days. there's still a ritual changing of the guard here that the dictators legacy is a controversial one. the born in 1887 and a chinese proven south of shanghai. chiang kai shek became the leader of the republic of china in 1928. when japan set about conquering china and the late 1930, he left the war of resistance. during world war 2, he formed alliances with britain and the united states. after japan's defeat in 1945 civil war resumed pitching the nationalist government against the chinese communist party, led by mom's that on the chinese is still fighting chinese communist victories, which began and mandatory i have now spread their control. their dominance in north china is rendered complete. with the fall of the in september 1949 communist troops entered, raising mount stone was triumphant. t

so beijing has really been kind of trying — so beijing has really been kind of trying to influence this, very conscious of. there's a _ are very, very conscious of. there's a lot of talk here about _ there's a lot of talk here about how beijing has been trying — about how beijing has been trying to sway this election in either— trying to sway this election in either direction.— trying to sway this election in either direction. yes. so much at -la . either direction. yes. so much at play- 50 _ either direction. yes. so much at play. so much _ either direction. yes. so much at play. so much at _ either direction. yes. so much at play. so much at stake. - either direction. yes. so muchj at play. so much at stake. not just for the people of taiwan, but the broader region and international players as well. we'll be keeping a close eye on it here throughout the day. thank you very much forjoining me. back to you. with less than three days to go until the iowa caucuses — we'll take a closer look at the first presidential contest of 202a. every four years, the us state of iowa kicks off the pre

nick: looming behind taipei-beijing relations is washington's relationship with beijing. the u.s.d its military presence in the pacific, especially in japan. and the u.s. has worked to improve taiwan's military. but the administration says it's policy hasn't changed, including that taiwan should not declare independence. pres. biden: we maintain the agreement that there is a one china policy. >> the prc is really always worried about somehow losing taiwan. and the thing that they worry about the most, honestly, is that the u.s. will encourage taiwan or somehow give taiwan a blank check to bust a move and do something that will force the prc to respond militarily. nick: on new year's day, chinese communist party general secretary xi jinping reiterated his promise that taiwan and beijing will one day fly the same flag. >> the reunification of china is a historical inevitability. nick: of course, all politics are local. voters have economic concerns and are exhausted of same-party rule. >> okay, and then my taiwan-style pork chop. nick: but beijing is on their mind. and young taiwane

there's the more conservative and beijing—friendly kuomintang, or kmt.yu—ih. he's promised to boost the island's defences while restarting talks with beijing. there's also the smaller taiwan people's party, or tpp, which lies somewhere between both parties on the political spectrum. their candidate is former taipei mayor ko wen—je. joining me is our asia digital reporter tessa wong. taiwan prides itself as having a vibrant democracy and an engaged electorate. you don't have to go far to see political dialogue, debate and disagreements all play out in the media and in public forums. but that openness also means that it can be vulnerable to disinformation. joining me is our asia digital reporter tessa wong. tessa, great to have you with me up here. let's focus on this information with regards to the taiwan election. what does that mean? set the context.- mean? set the context. what we've been — mean? set the context. what we've been seeing _ mean? set the context. what we've been seeing in - mean? set the context. what we've been seeing in the - mean? set