ben harris used to work at the us treasury department and helped us to break down the numbers. think the fed will not cut in march, the probability of a cut is about 28% but there is a fair amount of data that will come in between now and then. in particular on the labour side we will have to see whether or not we will get a strong reading like we did last friday. we saw an unexpectedly hot reading when it came to payroll and unemployment falling to 4.1%. the fed is in a wait—and—see mode. we need to see what will happen with the labour market but today's information is unequivocally good news. information is unequivocally good new-— information is unequivocally aood news. ~ . ., good news. what about the fed auoin good news. what about the fed going forward — good news. what about the fed going forward for— good news. what about the fed going forward for 2025? - good news. what about the fed going forward for 2025? i - good news. what about the fed going forward for 2025? i think| going forward for 2025? i think the fed is _ going forward for 2025? i think the fed is watching

ben harris used to work at the us treasury department helped us to bring down the numbers.hink that the fed will not go in march, it's around 28% but there is a fair amount of data they will come in between now and then in particular on the labor side will have to see whether or not we will get another strong reading like we got last friday. we saw an unexpectedly hot print when it came to payrolls and also unemployment following 4.1% so the fed is in a wait and see mode and see what happens with the labor market but today's information is unequivocally good news. what about the fed going forward for 2025? for 2025, the fed is watching the trump administration, the expectation now is one to two cuts. if we have a very tight labor market moving forward or if we have an inflationary tarrif policy, the fed will continue to pause, it's unlikely that the fed will begin hiking but the fed needs to see conclusive data, both with respect needs to see conclusive data, both with respect to the labour market and with respect to inflation before it will feel confident by cutting by mor

what will be the big deal at the end of this war and nobody knows what i want to thank oh guess, ben harris natasha fielding and alex tito, i'm thank you to for watching. you can see the program any time by visiting our website. how does there don't com and for further discussion, go to a facebook page. that's facebook dot com, forward slash a inside story. and you could also join the conversation on x all handle is at asia inside stored for me and wrong. com and the whole team hit bye for now. the a unique perspective. what could my community be gaining if we weren't spending money on all of those bonds? killing innocence, timothy 11, on on her voices. the world has turned its back on so that our lives to match. so many people not here just as much as any other connect with our community and be part of the conversation. we feel very unsafe because of the 2nd 12 presidency. they don't see the need and then trying to a piece of people on social media. the stream on out to 0 again, and it's designed to inflame and defensive the way that the story is being told, not right. and it's not accurat

amazing. >> i've had a long life. >> harris: in a short period of time. impressive. enough loving on benthank you. >> harris: democrats can't seem to find their footing. trump's big wins during his first week are not helping. exactly what is dividing that party right now? and when are the voters going to count for them. president trump's illegal immigration crackdown continues full steam ahead and his dhs secretary chrissy christie -- kristi noem today in new york city. numbers that he already accomplished. >> the promise donald trump made on the campaign trail and they're moving swiftly and quickly and very straightforward on removing all the rapists, murderers, gang members that have come across our southern border. but who has the time to clean? that's why i love my swiffer wetjet. it's a quick and easy way to get my floors clean. wetjet absorbs and locks grime deep inside. look at that! swiffer wetjet. as your host, i have some rules. first, no showers longer than 5 minutes. this isn't a spa. (laughs) that's a rule. meanwhile, at a vrbo— when other vacation rentals make you share you

ben. >> look, harris, we are in the yolo period of the joe biden political career.he is just not going to be listening to anyone who is giving him advice who wants him to sound a note of unity on the way out. instead you have these divisive choices that didn't need to be made. you don't need to do this. he is making them of perhaps his own volition or the volition as congressman donalds said of those around him, family and staff. they serve as a divisive ending note to his presidency. he is going out as an unpopular guy and in part because he has failed to live up to the standard that he set for himself. when he came into the presidency and gave his inaugural address he promised america he was going to be a return to normalcy, a return to calm. instead he proved to be an incredibly divisive president. someone who engaged in some of the most extreme policy we've seen. policies that were unpopular and didn't work in terms of our economy in particular. awarding somebody like george soros in particular, i think has to stick in the craw of every american who knows someon

ben harris, a former treasury official in the biden the brookings institute and our own steve liesmanhink it's interesting whether or not there's some down side weakness that reignites this idea that maybe the fed might cut in the first half of the year. >> rick, i think anything that a lays inflation fears -- what what are you thinking? >> if we don't get negative job growth i agree with you, i think inflation issues and general supply debt issues around the globe are going to take preference. my guess on this number would be close to steve's, right around 160,000, close to expectations. i pay particularly close attention to average hourly earnings. i think that that gives us some types of glimpse into the topics of inflation. it isn't correlated there, but obviously if the incomes remain on the high side, there's going to be an issue potentially down the road to continue to monitor higher wages and that all feeds through into higher prices. >> all right. here we go. nonfarm payrolls for the month of december on our jobs, jobs, jobs report, way hot, 256,000. >> wow. >> what a shocker

douglas emhoff. ♪ [applause] >> harris: coming in next are the first and second lady incoming. benations that get watched around the world anyway but particularly at this moment. why for you? >> i think that what we're about to see is the very rapid addressing of a lot of different issues that affect our allies and other nations around the world. particularly you mentioned the executive orders related to mexico including naming mexican cartels as terrorist organizations. of course, we are aware of the issues regarding israel. also facing the fall of syria, recent coup in south korea and the issues related to the war and china. the trump world order will require shifts in all those different areas. this new team will be required to start working on day one to reverse the mistakes of the last four years. >> harris: getting those cabinet members confirmed, some as early as today. steve, i want to wait for the next announcement to come so we don't begin the top of it. let's watch for that and then i will come to you next. ♪ [piano playing] ♪ >> harris: you were seeing just then donald

nearly wiped out but celebrity filled suburbs to tom hanks, ben affleck and reese witherspoon are now deserted. vice president kamala harrisesidence will return to, no one knows. i will be ok. return to, no one knows. i will be 0k- i _ return to, no one knows. i will be 0k- i am — return to, no one knows. i will be ok. i am tough, _ return to, no one knows. i will be ok. i am tough, even - return to, no one knows. i will. be ok. i am tough, even though iam 91 be ok. i am tough, even though i am 91 years old, i will start over again. i am 91 years old, i will start over again-— over again. on the ground, there is _ over again. on the ground, there is limited _ over again. on the ground, there is limited water- over again. on the ground, i there is limited water supply. wildfires have caused massive issues for power supply, affecting 1.5 million people. it is surreal. it is without words that i can even explain to you what is taking place. my heart is heavy but i have to say resources both financial but also resources for routes on the ground —— muck boots on the ground are here and we will continue to fight this fight. prom

its celebrity—filled suburbs, home to tom hanks, ben affleck and reese witherspoon, now deserted. vice president kamala harris'sidence also affected. what residents will return to no—one knows. i'll be ok. i'm tough and we'll start over. you are tough. even though i'm 91 years old, i'll start over again. 0n the ground, there's limited water supply. the wildfires have caused massive issues for power supply too, affecting 1.5 million people. and it is surreal. it is without words - that i can even explain to you what is taking place. my heart is heavy, but i have to say, resources, both - financial, but also resources for boots on the ground - are here and we're going to continue to fight this fight. | but promises of help will do little to calm fears. scientists warn that wildfires in the region are growing faster and more unpredictable, fuelled by climate change. as residents watch the orange haze on the horizon, all they can do is wonder what the next hours will bring. financial, but also resources for boots on the ground - are here and we're going to continue to fight this fight. | but promises of help will d

celebrities came out in droves for kamala harris and it did not move the lecture, ben stiller and jennifer is a shot at that, as well. hollywood needs to do business in the u.s. instead of outsourcing it like other countries have. donald trump recognizes this, symbolic move and it sends a message. let's make movies in america again as pertains to silver screen. >> todd: double back on something we did in the tease, make hollywood great again. carley forgot the g. >> carley: make america healthy again, make hollywood great again. >> todd: daddy's home in the white house, one of mel gibson most underrated films "daddy's home 2," watch it next christmas. happy weekend to you and thank you for your insight on magh, appreciate it. >> joe: we can't have braveheart 2. >> todd: prequell, it could happen. thank you. kristi noem heads to capitol hill for senate confirmation hearing to become dhs secretary and she's getting a huge wave of support from america's biggest firefighter unions. >> carley: more on that coming up next. dave's been very excited about saving big with the comcast business 5-yea

. >> go to harry's dot com slash tv to claim your $5 trial. >> ben thinks he's playing a game, but heas no idea. >> it's all a prank on him. >> boy, do i hope we're all friends after this. the joe schmo show premieres tuesday at nine on tbs. set your dvr now. >> closed captioning brought to you by book.com. >> if you or a loved one have mesothelioma, we'll send you a free book to answer questions you may have. call now and we'll come to you. >> 808 two one 4000. >> in just a few minutes, president-elect donald trump is expected to arrive there at the capital one arena in washington, d.c., where you see thousands of his supporters have gathered for a celebration and rally ahead of tomorrow's inauguration. it is slated to be one of the coldest inaugurations in american history. look how wintry that looks. meteorologist derek van dam joining us now. and derek very frigid temperatures forecast for d.c. obviously they had to move the actual inauguration inside the capitol for that very reason. >> yeah, indeed. jessica. and you think about the vips, the delegates and the thousands of people

gerrymandering in america that i've ever seen in wisconsin, yet ben has pushed democrats back into a winning position in the state of wisconsin. almost helped harris carry wisconsin over the finish line this past year. but ben said this, listen to these stats, fascinating. for americans who follow the news, kamala harris won by 6 percentage points. she was plus 6. for americans that don't follow the news regularly, she lost by 18 points. when you hear numbers like that, you realize, we can sit here and talk about how great things are going in america, but for these people who don't follow the news regularly, that have alternative sources to get their news, for them, chances are very good their headlines were the signs outside the gas stations when they were driving past and saw gas prices up much higher now than they were four years ago. the stories they read were not "the new york times." the only story they needed to read was on the receipt when they were leaving the grocery store and their grocery bills. they saw grocery bills were just too high. so, yes, two things can be true at one time. america's economy can be the envy of the world. things

ben does legal leaders. barn munich have returned from the winter break with one year old victory against bras. you want to an glad black. it was harry kane's penalty that prove the difference. his 15th legal of the season to go for points, clear champions, buyer lever to send chain has he up to when a trophy in his career and he's wary of laboratories in challenging his side for the title this season. once again, a really good saying, you know, they don't need us once and fully assess the game. so, you know, we, we know it's a susan that we're going to have to be on it. and every moment that i'm good for my being a one quite okay. it's in a row, so we just have to do the same various times major. the season is underway and men's well number 6, casper roots involved a real scare. it has opening round of the australian open. the new region was pushed to the brink and his match. against how many lunar of spring after marathon latch lasting more than 3 hours, varied, eventually sealed the victory 5 steps to beth for the 2nd round and the women's ro . well, number 5 came when jang of china felt back past remaining in qualifier and had to

ben. >> what have we done? >> the joe schmo show premieres january 21st on tbs. >> vice president kamala harris, serving in herole as president of the senate, presided over congress as they certified the election that she lost. monday's events on the hill. it's an understatement to say that they stood in stark contrast to what happened four years ago, when a violent mob stormed the capitol to contest joe biden's 2020 electoral victory. hellas harris, telling reporters that what took place yesterday a peaceful transfer of power should be the norm. >> and today, i did what i have done my entire career, which is take seriously the oath that i have taken many times to support and defend the constitution of the united states, which included today performing my constitutional duties to ensure that the people of america, the voters of america, will have their votes counted, that those votes matter, and that they will determine then the outcome of an election. >> kate bedingfield a pretty striking moment there where she, you know, had to say the exact count donald j. trump received. and then kamala harris received. bu

ben stiller, everybody. second season of "severance" begins streaming friday on apple tv+. we'll be right back with pauline chalamet. [ cheers and applause ] pauline chalamet. [ cheers and applause ] ♪ [ magical sound in distance ] ♪ harry ♪ [ fiery whoosh ] [ rolling thunder ] [ magical strike ] [ beast roars ] youve got to see this. come on. what are we waiting for? one of five immersive worlds in epic universe only at universal orlando resort the bold louisiana flavor and crispy crunch of popeyes signature chicken is the meal your craving deserves. and now you can get 3 pieces for just 5 bucks, and make it a meal for only 3 bucks more. ♪♪ ahh, yellow! didn't pass the tissue test? buckle up! whoa! there's toothpaste white, and there's crest 3dwhitestrips white. whitens like a 400 dollar professional treatment. pilot: prepare for non-stop smiles. crest. on chewy, save 35% and shop all your favorite brands. for any taste, or any diet, at prices you love. delivered fast. for low prices, for life of pets, there's chewy. >> no application fee if you apply by february 12 at university of maryland global campus, offering online and hybrid courses and lifetime career services. learn about our more than 135 degrees and certifi

it's celebrity—filled suburbs, home to tom hanks, ben affleck and reese witherspoon, now deserted. vice president kamala harriso affected. what residents will return to, no—one knows. i'll be ok. i'm tough and we'll start over. even though i'm 91 years old, i'll start over again. 0n the ground, there's limited water supply. the wildfires have caused massive issues for power supply, too, affecting 1.5 million people. we went up and it is surreal. it is without words that i can even explain to you what is taking place. my heart is heavy, but i have to say resources, both financial but also resources for boots on the ground, are here and we're going to continue to fight this fight. but promises of help will do little to calm fears. scientists warn that wildfires in the region are growing faster and more unpredictable, fuelled by climate change. as residents watch the orange haze on the horizon, all they can do is wonder what the next hours will bring. let's speak now to our correspondent helena humphrey, who is in los angeles. helena, the fires are still raging with no end in sight. that is very much the message

its celebrity—filled suburbs, home to tom hanks, ben affleck and reese witherspoon, now deserted. vice president kamala harris'slso affected. what residents will return to, no—one knows. i'll be ok. i'm tough and we'll start over. you are tough. even though i'm 91 years old, i'll start over again. the scale and severity of these blazes is changing day by day. here in hollywood, in the hills, another fire on the horizon, showing how the situation can change in an instant. 0n the ground, there's limited water supply. the wildfires have caused massive issues for power supply too, affecting 1.5 million people. the eaton fire is now at around - 10,600 acres with 0% containment, but we have over 2,000 city- employees deployed and working non—stop to address this. but promises of help will do little to calm fears. scientists warn that wildfires in the region are growing faster and more unpredictable, fuelled by climate change. as residents watch the orange haze on the horizon, all they can do is wonder what the next hours will bring. helena humphrey, bbc news, los angeles. i want to show you these life pictures, what