mitt romney is the republican's best bet. if he's far from their dream date, he's their leading prospect to beat obama. is romney like denny's, you don't plan to go there, you just end up there. no religious text, that's what the constitution says, but what about the voters? ask for one word to describe romney, people say mormon. next year, will the democrats find unspoken ways to work the issue. finally, gaddafi's fall with not a single u.s. casualty, is more evident that republicans can't hit this democrat as soft on national security. i'm chris matthews. with us today, michael duffy, "time" magazine, cnn's gloria borger, nbc's kelly o'donnell and "the washington post's" david ignatius. first up, with two months before voting starts, where's the excitement over the guy who looks like the nominee. see if you detect resignation on the conservative side. >> the conventional wisdom is that romney has the lead and he's the presumptive nominee. >> i would be very, very surprised right now, almost if romney didn't get the nominati

i bet you tell stories. did you tell a story today? >> yeah, i bet you did you went up to our friend and said, did you see that? your friend said, no, no he didn't. right? that's a story. so, i will tell you a story. in india, here we have super heroes like, tell me a hero. >> super man. we have super heroes in india. krishna. lifts mountains and throws them to the ocean to create bridges. i will tell you the story about a super hero. krishna as a little boy in the village where the trees blow and the water flows and the birds fly and the grass grows, in this village there are cows. and people and they go to the river and they go to get their water. and they go to the river and what do they see? an evil demon is polluting the river. callia. and they can't get water because it's killing the cows and the people. so, they go to krishna and say, please, do something about this this is not good. he says, he thinks about it and says, okay. he takes his friends to the river to play. they play ball. they play with the ball and then by accident

>> dennis lost a bet with you once before. >> and he lost with me. >> you have to stop betting. >> don't go to vegas. with have weather to talk about. let's get to it. first off tonight, what are you seeing, dennis? >> some patchy fog coming in, which was not the case over the weekend, but i think things are going to look up. >> i definitely do. tomorrow we have an offshore flow that will be kicking in. it's the northeast winds kicking up to 20 as the area of low pressure moves inland. transporting those winds from the north and the east to the west. and that's going to dry out the atmosphere. therefore, we have a fire weather watch in effect tomorrow night all the way through wednesday night for the north and east bay hills. some of those gusts up to 50 miles per hour. now, ladies and gentlemen, with your tuesday weather forecast, give it up for mr. dennis o'donnell. take it away. >> i'm not as good looking as roberta, but we'll give it a shot. the morning rush, a little bit of fog, patchy fog, it starts clearing up in the afternoon. let me take you around the bay area here. we'll start

morgan's bet against j.p. morgan and apparently j.p. morgan hedges the spread on its own debt when investors bid up the yield and indicator that they think the bank won't pay j.p. morgan makes money because they've taken a bet against themselves that they reported one point nine billion in revenue and bets against itself right that's right the bank is manipulating markets that's true they are treading on insider information that's true they're using credit default swaps invented by their very own life masters to gorge themselves on illicit gains that's true they're bankrupting the country they operate in america that's true jamie diamond is a partner being surrounded by an angry mob looking to lynch him that's true and justifiable so j.p. morgan is an unqualified financial terrorist and this proves it they this is just one more example of bankers using markets to blow themselves up their suicide bankers now we condemn suicide bombers in the middle east for example or in other places around the world or timothy mcveigh. but why no condem

and the global as securities firm has now filed for bankruptcy after making big bets on european sovereign debt is c.e.o. was reportedly banking on government bailouts for these countries he never thought they'd be allowed to go down we asked how many other people are betting on continued government lifeline and keep in mind when you listen to the news on this story according to the bankruptcy protection c n b c is one of m.f. global's largest unsecured creditors and could stand to lose more than eight hundred forty five thousand dollars and speaking of bailouts the u.s. government is still having trouble unloading its have to investments in bailouts during the financial crisis three years later the u.s. treasury department is still the largest shareholder in ai g. with this seventy seven percent stake in the insurance giant and reportedly is likely to put off its second sale of shares of the company because of an unfavorable market condition now meanwhile despite the market volatility american companies are beating wall street's profit estimates for the eleventh straight quarter meanwhile

joe, you were around in '82, i bet you don't remember that. i give you credit. you have run businesses and now you say regular capitalism, making a profit isn't good enough. >> capitalism needs to shift away from the narrow focus on financial returns. >> that is what it is about. earn for the shareholders and we grow. >> it was designed to provide for a public good. i believe capital islamistssome a great instrument to help the common good that it can be innovative and solve social and environmental problems through its activity. frankly the behavior last night was unacceptable. the level of frustration that these people exhibited shows you what is happening throughout the country and around the world. >> you made some games, you suckered the california legislature and governor jerry brown into signing a bill that would create a new kind of corporation. a b corporation that stands for what? best or? >> stands for for benefit corporation. as you know, this i, there isr of corporation structures in the united states and a b corporation is designed specifically to

they have been said it was a massive short squeeze so they were trying to destroy anybody that would bet against the markets yes there are professional hedge fund managers and others to take these enormous sales short sell short positions against the market they're fighting the government who's got their infinite credit capacity to hit them with buy programs and automated program trading so you've got one group of hedge fund a few hundred guys who have. several trillion dollars in credit versus the federal government and there are several trillion dollars in credit the people in the middle the ninety five percent of the world that is not on either one of those two camps are suffering and asked to accept austerity measures that get worse every single day now i just spoke of people who short the market anonymous analytics acquiring information through unconventional means this is apparently anonymous hackers set up activist hedge fund this is fantastic because anonymous has picked up the ball you know we introduced the concept of marrying short sales and market activity with activism and b

joe, you were around in '82, i bet you don't remember that. i give you credit. you have run businesses and now you say regular capitalism, making a profit isn't good enough. >> capitalism needs to shift away from the narrow focus on financial returns. >> that is what it is about. earn for the shareholders and we grow. >> it was designed to provide for a public good. i believe capital islamistssome a great instrument to help the common good that it can be innovative and solve social and environmental problems through its activity. frankly the behavior last night was unacceptable. the level of frustration that these people exhibited shows you what is happening throughout the country and around the world. >> you made some games, you suckered the california legislature and governor jerry brown into signing a bill that would create a new kind of corporation. a b corporation that stands for what? best or? >> stands for for benefit corporation. as you know, this i, there isr of corporation structures in the united states and a b corporation is designed specifically to

. >> would you like to bet me on that stat? >> i will bet you a paycheck? [ laughter ] >> bill: happy to do it. quite a shootout last night on the long-term show. we will letterman show. >> if i win donate your paycheck to charity. [ laughter ] >> caution, you where to enter the no spin zone, the factor begins right now. captions by closed captioning services >> bill: hi, i'm bill o'reilly. thanks for watching us tonight. the first 1,000 days of president obama's administration that is the subject of this evening's talking points memo. monday marks that anniversary. let's do a no spin assessment of the president's tenure thus far. the two most important issues are the economy and fighting terrorism. first ladder he has done well. bad guys are on the run. gitmo remains open and the number of terror plots have been foiled. both the cia and the fbi are doing excellent job. high marks for the president here. on the economic side, things remain dismal. just the facts, jack. since the president has been in office, the national debt has increased $4.2 trillion. co

joe, you were around in '82, i bet you don't remember that. i give you credit. you have run businesses and now you say regular capitalism, making a profit isn't good enough. >> capitalism needs to shift away from the narrow focus on financial returns. >> that is what it is about. earn for the shareholders and we grow. >> it was designed to provide for a public good. i believe capital islamistssome a great instrument to help the common good that it can be innovative and solve social and environmental problems through its activity. frankly the behavior last night was unacceptable. the level of frustration that these people exhibited shows you what is happening throughout the country and around the world. >> you made some games, you suckered the california legislature and governor jerry brown into signing a bill that would create a new kind of corporation. a b corporation that stands for what? best or? >> stands for for benefit corporation. as you know, this i, there isr of corporation structures in the united states and a b corporation is designed specifically to

. >> i bet she speaks japanese better than i do. my kids might not me. >> when i had the gun i knew there was a [inaudible] and i started writing down things and i thought in my mind's eye, i think it looks like this. and it would be like that i had a small village in mind. there was a part in time i thought, i could go back to japan and go there and see how it looked. i had in the book and in my heart what i thought it was, i almost knew that if i had gone back it wouldn't be the same. so i made the conscious choice of not going. now that you tell me this i'm thankful i didn't i think it would have destroyed what i created in my head. i thought places are best when they are imagined. i hesitated naming it after a place where my mom said what did exist. i'm glad i didn't go back. making that conscious choice would have changed had i gone back would have changed the direction of the book a lot. >> when i saw it it was so different than how an imagined from reading your books. >> does that teach you never to look up things. always lis

two years ago on the collapse of america's economy this year he makes bad bets. the capital never actually went to work in the economy to support growth or jobs or legitimate g.d.p. growth all that resulted was a huge around trip for that capital minus john paulson's billion dollar fee and that's all that happened and the point is i think these protesters want to know is is that treasonous and of course the answer is is indisputable yes the fact is it doesn't matter because it's continuing on as this article continues neil barofsky the former special prop inspector general for the troubled asset relief program said quote i wouldn't shed too many tears for wall street this is. demick advantage that the too big to fail banks enjoyed in the lead up to the financial crisis may be diminished in the near term but the structure is still essentially the same and will certainly help catapult them to record profits and bonuses once the good times return that's true the system as you describe it just spinning money through the laundry that is the new york stock exchange cre

would you like to bet me on that stat? >> i'll bet you a paycheck in. >> happy to do it.on, let's go, let's go. happy to do it. >> oh, no. >> i'm not going to do it. >> now we are sure that was all in good fun or at least we hope so. and could it be a fresh start for donald trump and rosie o'donnell? they are known for going many rounds in their wicked war of words but tonight there's a new twist. but tonight there's a new twist. she has new tv show and trump said he would like her to be successful. but when asked if he would go on her show, trump said i don't think so. and this is one for animal lovers. imagine to play with your pet even when you are not home? new technology is making it possible to control cat toys remotely. it installs robotic pets in the same room as your cat and you control them through a control option. now people can play with their new friends b- even adopting them. there you have it. it's the best of the rest. coming up, unexpected trip to be in store for a member of president obama's cabinet. who is it and for sunsweet, growing the perfect prune

i bet romney wins nevada. i bet cain wins south carolina, and the two of them go at it all the way down the stretch unless newt gets his act together. >> we'll be watching very closely as we do every single night. dick, thank you. i'll take a look at that iryou raised about medicare. >> it's so important. >> i'll take a look at it. thank you, dick. >>> any chance the race to the white house is going to get more crowded? is donald trump going to jump in the race as a third party candidate? listen carefully. >> if we choose the right person, i am all for it and i will be the happiest guy in the world and i intend to endorse somebody, i believe, but if we don't, if we choose somebody that's not right, and if the economy continues to be bad which i think it will because we have leadership that doesn't know what it's doing, i would certainly consider running as an independent. >> okay. that's a couple days ago. now there's more. just last night congressman ron paul told our own bret baer that while he did not inten

but fact that there were so if people w made the big bet and it didn't matter to me whether they made $20 billion or $3 million, the fact that they had everything on the line is what matters and what was it about them... >> rose: they see it and the rest of the world didn't. >> and the fact that they'd made their fortune from the collapse of civilization, that that was... that the heroes had achieved their heroism that way, made them even more interesting. made them very complicated heroes so i thought it was an interesting way tell the story. >> rose: which brings me to this. how did you get to this? >> same way, actually. when i was working on "the big short" and talking to people who had been so prescient, i came to kyle bass, a hedge fun manager in dallas. >> rose: right. this is a great story. oh, man. >> i was in a casting search >> rose: ah! in your opinioa casting search in looking for the character? >> i was looking for the character. i knew they came from this pool of characters, i just didn't know which ones. i was looking for the withins i thought could best teach the read

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