betting on sports. if i set up a factory and start churning out sweatshirts for the giants or san francisco logos on the chest i will eventually get something in trouble by taking something that is not mine. ifif i spread out betting opportunities on this week's pro basketball games, the cash registers ring. nba commissioner adam silver will take another look at betting. joining us for that . dave zire sports editor for the nation and al jazeera sports competitor. granted it was light on details but given the outline that adam silver gave us, what does he have in mind? >> i think you always have to look at it in a view of how does the nba benefit? i think he sees a way for the nba to push for legalized sports betting. >> opening the door wide so that any company that wants to get involved would make some sort of partnership with the nba? or would this be a partnership with one outfit, which would become the place to bet on games? >> i mean there are a lot of different ways to structure it. a few days be

. >> most people have no self control, and they're just gonna keep betting and betting and betting ons dying hard as his favored seahawks were failing to cover the eight- and- a-half point spread over the green bay packers. >> i did bet on the game, i went with my heart, not with my brain on this one. >> reporter: the thrill of his seahawks coming back to win by six in overtime seemed to overshadow his gambling loss. fellow seattle fan mark barrett and friends were also wearing seahawks gear. and you bet on seattle? >> of course. >> reporter: of course because? >> i'm from seattle. >> this is not rational, this is uniquely human, there's no chimpanzee who could have anything comparable. >> reporter: like me, harvard psychology professor jerome kagan identifies with the new england patriots. he said, days after this interview, that when the country branded them cheats for deflategate, he felt anger and shame. >> i belong to my family, i live in new england and therefore anything good or bad that happens to those categories, affects my emotional life, i have no control over it. we are s

betting on the best athletes basically. soon gamblers may be able to bet on the olympics.and several sports books are lobbying to allow betting on the upcoming summer games in rio and want to change the laws so that gamblers can bet on nonsporting fechbts on like the academy awards. >> that goes on in offices some places. >> we did that. the golden gloves. betting on olympic events was allowed in nevada years ago but that has now changed. olympic betting has been frowned upon because the games involve amateur athletes and in some cases decisions made by judges. >> my cousin lucky says the only sure bet in in world with henry wofford. >> i would put my money on henry. >> so would i. i have. >> that's very kind of you guys. i have a feeling he lost a lot of money if he considers me a sure bet. okay? i'm not even a sure bet to show up for work on time. all right? hey, coming up in sports we have a story you do not want to miss. he went from student at hayward high school to the next head coach of the silver and black. we introduce you to jack del rio next in sports. >>> welco

would you bet on this? >> you took my bet.hey should be betting on the inflated balls but balls and boobs go together. i showed a lot cleavage. why not? she has it. >> this is a football game and it is not some kind of a pr -- porno magazine. >> football players players janet jackson. >> i find it objectionable they who poison the wonderful game with this horrible lusty -- >> you haven't seen seen a football game. >> or katy perry for that matter. >> i know her friends. >> and her ex-husband. >> you are her biggest fan. andy, thoughts. >> always bet on rack. >> i didn't see puns coming in on this one. i know i will get slammed for this one. i believe katy perry is an attractive woman. i stand by it. she was smart enough to leave russell brand. she was smart enough to marry and live with for a few months. >> she was over that. >> this is a great idea for a science fiction novel. then things are fixed. once you know she can bet on that they can bet on the dress. >> or she is just going to go topless so no one wins. >> everyone w

two weeks ago, carter and mike made a bullish bet on housing. >> we think that 40 is a good bet. based on the breakout, on the here and now. and we like the xhp. >> i'm looking at the march 34 calls. you can spend $1.20 to buy those. >> it was up today as the market dropped. what are you doing with the trade now? has it become a new safety trade? >> i am not sure i would consider it a new safety trade. if we see rates tick up, that will be poor. i don't think you want to stake in the money calls, either. i would look to sell those. they were trading about $1.80. you look at the march 6s then. you're going to be playing with house money to continue the bullish bet. >> you stood over there on the smart board on "fast money" and said itb. a different instrument. you said itb was the trade. >> right. the premise -- the technical set up is something that doesn't care about crude oil and china slowing down. it's very interesting. and this low rate environment should continue to favor this area of the market. >> i think you just said, if rates go up, it won't be good for them. if rates

but paying $11 just to bet against tesla.to cut costs dan then sold not one but two february 180 strike puts for a total of $7. now between the $11 he's paying and the $7 he's taking in dan is paying $4 for the trade. that means that he only needs tesla shares to fall $4 below the higher strike put to make money or below 206 by february expiration. but we have a problem. you see because dan sold more puts than he bought he could be subject to serious losses if tesla falls further than he expected so to protect himself he bought an even lower strike put. specifically the february 150 strike put for and created his butterfly. he's now paying a total of $5. he'll see profits as long as tesla falls below 205 by february expiration. who is on first? but it's not that complicated because all you need to know is tesla shares have tanked making dan's trade a quick winner. the better question is what will dan do with his tesla trade now? >> dan you're up. what now. >> here's the thing. so the stock is down almost 15% since we put the

place those bets.you want to follow along, see how we do, follow cousin sal on twitter @thecousinsal. to learn more, go to moxloveproject.org. are we all set? >> we have 10 seconds, we're ready to go. >> jimmy: thanks to everyone at the west gate las vegas race and sports super book. gloria, jay, ray. we hope we take all your money. hopefully on sunday the gods of the odds will be in our favor. >> sal: that's right. can i get a kiss for good luck? >> sorry, i'm married. >> sal: i'm talking about ray. come on in here. >> jimmy: thank you, sal. you and ray are very happy together. all right, thank you, thanks sal. [ cheers and applause ] >> jimmy: tonight on the show, music from vance joy, elle mcpherson is here, we'll be right back with david beckham so stick around! [ cheers and applause ] ♪ it's the time of year to bundle up. now at at&t, when you buy any smartphone for $0 down you can get an lg tablet for free. because two devices are cozier than one. ♪ keep your spirits high... the calories low... a

and that's really the bet. if you own the s&p right now, that's what you're betting. all of this weak data, in europe and emerging markets, is going to play catchup to what the u.s. is doing. i don't see it. u.s. corporate earnings are probably going to be strained in the first half of this year. >> i'm not asking people to buy money center banks here. some of the private equity firms, names like kkr, are the types of entities that will run into the oil patch and start tapping up assets. and those are the places you'll find bargains. >> my thanks to brian. and we'll get back to the other boys in a second. >>> up next, raise your hand if you said oil would hit 50 bucks this year. or the dollar would surge. far-out predictions that are likely to come true, 2015. back after this. >>> sis boom bah. >> sis boom bah. >> describe the sound made when a sheep explodes. >> well, even the amazing car knack could not have predicted $50 oil, or the dollar surge over the past year. begging two questions -- what crazy stuff is going to happen in 2015? can we begin to predict it? i'm

i'm going to bet the pats.the pats have a bigger fan base that's a reason to think it is a favorable bet on seattle? >> partly true. the markets may be more efficient there because there's a lot of games there. there's not one particular one that's getting so much handle and so much investment that could really hurt us financially. when we have a one-off game like this this, it is not worth it for us to put that much more opinion. we're going to take the patriots no matter what. we're going to make them pay a little more to do so. >> pat, where are you? >> i'm parts unknown. you nailed it right in the in intro. >> i'm very curious. mvp, first to make the touchdown, what do you know about that? >> what's interesting this year is this is usually something every year we're losing on either starting quarterback and past super bowl champions. there is a trend to be an offensive player. eight or nine years, it wasn't an offensive player. because of all the talented players in the seattle secondary, defensive players

action hasn't been a great bet to make.u think about it is there cause or potential for disappointment? no doubt about it but when you think about the move that we've seen just in the last few weeks, just this year in u.s. treasuries, in the euro, just getting absolutely demolished. people are convinced that it's going back to parity. with the preemptive move possibly by the swiss, you've got to think there's going to be fireworks next week. at least news or some sort of continuation or counter trend. >> have we seen a lot of positions when it comes to currency, etfs or other related instruments? >> well, we've seen a huge uptick in things like gld and huge upticks on the gold miners. regular and junior miners. and i think the answer is yeah absolutely. a point carter made was a good one. if we were about to see evidence that a prolonged zero rate environment is going to persist something is going to have to break one way or another and i'll let him speak to it but the multis are -- >> if rates are going to continue either

i think there's a lot of good bets out there and a lot of sharp sophisticated money on the prop bets.ieve there's good value there. you just have to shop around. there's 200-plus that we offer. >> john, it's going to be exciting. it's certainly going to be an exciting game, thrilled about it on nbc, but it's going to be exciting as heck out in vegas i'm sure. thank you for joining us. >> oh, so welcome. >> tomorrow, don't miss cam newton live here on the halftime show. we'll get his pick and talk about so much more, and, of course, catch all the super bowl this sunday on nbc starts at noon eastern time. >>> coming up, today's worst trade bad news for those who like taking selfies. that and the final trade. know that chasing performance can mean lower returns and fewer choices in retirement. know that proper allocation could help increase returns so you can enjoy that second home sooner. know the right financial planning can help you save for college and retirement. know where you stand with pnc total insight. a new investing and banking experience with personalized guidance and online

last week dan bet the bond rally was about to end.a listen. >> i think that the markets are going to start pricing higher rates quicker than people think. i bought march 130, 120 put spread. i paid $2 for that. if we get better wage inflation and ecb qe, i think bonds go lower. >> we did get ecb qe. rates continue to fall. what is the move now? >> i've got to tell you, we were talking about volatility before. the volatility in tlt, morning draghi introduced, the tld was trading at 131 and today 135. that's a massive move for a bond etf. this trade is down 50 cents. i specifically look to march, because i want some other things to play out here, jobs data and a fed meeting next week. to me, i think you stay put here. i think the strikes are the right strikes here. i like owning this march 130 put. >> what do you think? >> we made record lows this week in the 30 year treasury. ten years bouncing around at 18. i think it is a money flow issue, an issue spread versus blends. it is tough for u.s. rates to move higher when the rest of the w

to change the law so gamblers can bet on nonsporting events like the academy awards. >> olympic bettingned on because the games involve amateur athletes and they can't get in on it. >> it's supposed to be for the love of the sport. >> in some cases the decisions are made by judges arbitrary. maybe you can't bet on the best athlete and get it. >> i think there's pressure enough. sort of like rob may yed da. >> we're looking at clouds coming in right now. no rain at least underneath the clouds coming into the bay area. a different story in the pacific northwest where the windshield and rain is headed towards seattle and portland. tomorrow may have a few isolated showers up in the north bay. some drizzle in the north bay. temperatures in the low 60s tomorrow. end of next week, we could start off next weekend in the 70s. >> that high pressure is strengthening as we go through the week. >> i'm glad we got december. >> got the rain then. >> change of fortune in february the way things are going. >> "nbc nightly news" is coming up next. more local news here again at 6:00. >> see you then. >>>

let's look back over last few years betting against corral bank action hasn't been a great bet to make. think about it, is there cause or potential for disappointment? no doubt about it. when you think about the move we've seen in the last few weeks, in this year in u.s. treasuries n euro getting demolished, people are convinced it's going back to parity. when you head to a meeting like we have with so much precipitation with possibly moves by the swiss, you think there's going to be fireworks next week, news, some sort of continuation or counter trend. >> have we seen options in the market when it comes to currency etf or other related instruments? >> we've seen a huge uptick in gld and options volume on gold miners junior and regular. i think the answer is yeah, absolutely. i think a point that carter made before we came on was a very good one which is if we're about to see evidence that a prolonged zero rate environment is going to persist, something is going to have to breaking one way or the other. i'm going to let him speak to it. the multiples are an important thing to look at.

certainly, vix traders betting that the stimulus will drive the vix lower. that's why we have seen the vix drop. it starts to get really interesting here. i think when the vix starts to trade below 16 in this year of 2015, i think that's an indication that the market is reaching a top. it is time to look for hedges and buy puts on your portfolio. the low range likely is 13 or 14, given all the volatility here and the oil markets and the high valuations in the stock market. i would be looking to hedge when the vix gets below 16. when you see it pop above 16, up to that 22 level, that's a time when you put cash to work and get into the stock market. this range, 13-22, is how i would be playing the vix even though you have seen this huge put buying volume. >> a lot of folks at home don't deal with volatility or want to trade the vicks. in terms of implementing the strategy, what would you choose to buy on, s&p 500 or nasdaq? >> the simplest way would be to buy. i would issue one bit of caution. it was a huge mistake to try to hedge too much when the fed was a b

two weeks ago carter and mike made a bullish bet on housing. take a listen. >> either way we think 40 is a good bet based on the long-term charts, based on the breakout, on the here and now. we like the xhb right here. >> i'm looking specifically at the march 34 calls. you can spend $1.20 to buy those. >> that trade has been working out and the xhb was up today even as the market dropped. mike, what are you doing with this trade now? holding on? and has this become the new safety trade? >> i'm not sure i would consider it a new safety trade. if we see rates tick up, that's going to be poor. i don't think you want to stick with in the money calls either. i would look to sell those. they were trading about a buck 80. you can look at the march 36s which were about 75 cents. you'll be playing at house money at that point to press a bullish bet. >> you think it's a safety. i mean, you stood over there on the fast board the other day which is a different instrument than xhb. you said itb was the trade. >> and they're both very house related. the prem

which one should you place a bet on if you were to bet. to one of las vegas's betting experts, the top guy for decade where you should put your money and how it is trending right now in vegas. while most super bowl host cities see a pretty big economic boost from the game, the mayor of this year's host city is saying they will bring in less in cash than they spent on it. more on him and from him next. >> hi, everybody, i'm gerri willis. coming up on my show at the top of the hour, have the good times for low gas prices come to an end? we'll have latest forecast on prices. that is one of the big stories coming up on the will list in just a few minutes. urns and fewer choices in retirement. know that proper allocation could help increase returns so you can enjoy that second home sooner. know the right financial planning can help you save for college and retirement. know where you stand with pnc total insight. a new investing and banking experience with personalized guidance and online tools. visit a branch, call or go online today. they take

>> do you bet illegally, adam?admit it. >> you know, i'm high roller here, 4 billion every now and then, you know, pocket change. >> chump change. >> i will bet on things, but i don't bet on the superbowl. and i know not to bet against certain family members because i'll always lose, for instance, my mother, you never bet against the yankees, even though she is from new england, don't bet against her, because she has some evil power and you'll lose. but the superbowl, are you ready for this? this is coming from the american gaming association, threat get real touchy the gaming folk if you call it gambling. so we'll call it gaming. the american gaming association, really gambling, says that $3.8 billion, i want to repeat that, $3.8 billion will be wagered illegally by people who bet on the superbowl over the next couple of days. now, the legal wagering, or gaming. that will take place in places like las vegas, $100 million. a tiny measley amount compared to the $3.8 billion i am legally waggled that's why people, ad

he's betting on some unusual activity in one tinseltown name.e's going to reveal it when we come back. the half time report, with scott wapner is the place for market moving interviews. >> when you see large currency moves, and large price moves in a commodity like oil you have to be worried. >> real money. >> what makes things cheap is uncertainty. >> real debates. >> my bet is buy every canadian oil stock there is. >> the most profitable hour of the trading day. >> do you think dick costolo will leave that job? >> we think there's a good chance he's not there within a year. >> the half time report noon eastern. here at fidelity, we give you the most free research reports, customizable charts, powerful screening tools, and guaranteed 1-second trades. and at the center of it all is a surprisingly low price -- just $7.95. in fact, fidelity gives you lower trade commissions than schwab, td ameritrade, and e-trade. i'm monica santiago of fidelity investments, and low fees and commissions are another reason serious investors are choosing fidelity. c

fifs a betting man, i would not bet for it. i've probably seen him smile twice and that was behind closed doors, so -- >> so bet no? >> bet no. it all depends on how the game goes. >> if at the end of the game we're ahead, he'll be smiling, i would say so. >> reporter: not during the game? >> probably not during the game. >> i'm going with yes. if we come out of the game winning, that's definitely a yes. >> he'll have his game face on. that's all i'm going to say. >> game face all day. >> i don't think you'll see him smile. >> maybe to start the game. >> yeah. >> that's it. >> what would be your bet? >> reporter: got a little smile out of bill belichick there. that may be the only one here this week in phoenix, arizona. america, i would say bet no according to bill's patriots players. i'm john clark live in phoenix, arizona. >> you did get him to crack a smile. i'm sure if he gets doused with gatorade because of what that means. >> reporter: if the patriots win, of course. >> exactly. john thank you. john clark live in phoenix,

you can bet that coaching -- jaguars. you can bet coaching the raiders was a dream of his. you can bet on that. it will be a very popular move as well with oakland raider fans. that is what social media is indicating. he too will be introduced in the next 48 hours or so by the raiders. getting back to the 49ers for a moment. you remember in the off season last year, vernon davis was a no show at the practices and had a bad year, wait till you see what he tweeted out today. we will have that and more sports later on. but -- >> good tease. >> yeah. >> i like it when teams promote from within. jim tomsula had a long career. i was reading when he was a coaching assistant, he wasn't getting paid and he lived out of his car but he was determined. >> he is popular with the players. 49ers known for their defense, the defensive coordinator under jim harbaugh, a lot of people thought he would be the guy. you can bet he is not too happy about jim tomsula getting the job, jumping over him to get it. there will be more on that. he might wind up with the oakland raiders. [ talking at the

the bet is that caterpillar is going to break. bad break implies something along the order of 75 or back to the lows of 2011. >> you can buy the february 86 and that would be about $2.80. it will capture those earnings. >> carter, 75. still in the cards? >> we are not quite there. there is massive run over 20 or 30 years, lower implications. >> mike, what are you doing? >> i am going to sell and roll down and out. we are not going to have that much gearing in the options we have. take the profits and apply them to something else. >> i was skeptical of pressing it. it was a great call. the stock found a home at 80. even today it did not budge much from 82. the company bought $4.2 in accelerated buy backs last year. i think maybe that give its support between 75 to 80. >> it wasn't just caterpillar. a few weeks before that carter bet against qualcomm. are you staying in this trade? >> this was so aggressive. the gap is so big. we would say move along and declare victory and walk away. >> the biggest disappointment is that we did not

that's bet. if you own the s&p right now, that's what you are betting is all of this weak data in europe and eamericaning markets will play catch-up to what the u.s. is doing. i don't see it. so to me i think u.s. corporate earnings will be strained in the first half of this year. >> i'm not asking people to buy money center bapgs, some of the private equity firms. kkr, are the types of entities that will run into the oil patch and start grabbing up assets at distressed prices. those are the places i think you will find bargains. >> they will find lots of places, thanks, we get up to the rest. raise your hand if you said oil wouldrise raids to $50 bucks this year or the dollar would surge. when we come out, far out predictions that are likely to come true this year, 2015. we are back after this. we needed 30 new hires for our call center. i'm spending too much time hiring and not enough time in my kitchen. [ female announcer ] need to hire fast? go to ziprecruiter.com and post your job to over 30

this is a bet on the ecb. the people doing this were betting that the ecb would disappoint. that's a hard call to make. >> two sides make a mash. it was a crazy thing to do that. we knew they were try to do something big, and they did. >> you talk about as an asset manager, protecting the portfolio, you have a big portfolio, take no insurance on it, and they disappoint it and the market cracks he loses value in the portfolio. >> maybe they don't disappoint, but it's factored in the market. >> that's the bottom line. >> protected themselves big. >> the overall money compared to what's trading every day is small. >> okay thanks guys appreciate it very much. check out the article on powerlunch .cnbc.com, and we appreciate it, guys. what are you doing over there? stop it now. the ultimate judgment on mario draghi -- it's the naked shorts thing, ksh the stimulus news has been and will be the news. sara eisen has where it stands now. >> a lot of shorts i don't know about naked ones. you see it in the euro action. it is plunging we're at levels not seen since back in 2003. this is

it's irresistible. ♪ >>> courtney, you and steve have actually made a bet, quite a big bet, over howretailers will do. you have some money on the table, the losing team has to donate so the other's charity. the national retail federation is predicting holiday sales growth of 4.1% and you think it's going to come in lower. steve, you think that number is going to come in higher. >> well, that was back on november the 26th when the bet was placed here on the show and now it is time to announce the winner. drum roll, please. the winner is courtney reagan. the nrf announced a 4% gain in holiday sales this last season. just shy of their forecasted 4.1% sales growth. so steve liesman, you lost by 0.1%, a hair. >> yeah, let's be clear about the loss here. first of all, my first affirmative defense is i am demanding a recount. the second is i'll get it back in the revisions. the third is if i lose by 0.1% on a strong 4% number, you know what? that's fine. and you know what? i have one more thing to say, which is part of the loss is i have to make a donation to courtney's charity, which is th

plus the blockbuster that makes a bet on inflation. i'm david shuster in for ali velshi and this is real money. >> saudi arabiaen dignitaries and officials from around the region comes mourns king abdullah. he was buried in an unmarked grave like his predecessor who died in 2005. israel offered their condolences on the king's death. vice president biden is expected to lead officials to riyadh to pay respects. by the airplane spring in 2011, saudi arabia dismal record on human rights took a turn for the risk. it expressed the mildest form of dissent were punished and thrown in prison prison. they spent $20 million to stop wider protests. the new king salman is expected to carry out the new policies carried out by abdullah which includes funneling money and weapons and participating in an u.s.-led air campaign against isil in iraq. the saudis will continue to obsess over iran's assent in the region and yemen's descent into chaos. and saudi arabia will continue to rely on the united states for diplomatic and military support. on oil keep

and i have to bet. so we bet the mayor of providence.nd i've never lost a bet, but i think mayor walsh has a different story. >> i'm not betting the super bowl. i had a couple bets as the mayor and they didn't go my way, and i don't want to lose. i'm a huge patriots fan, a season ticket holder for over 20 plus years. i was at the afc championship game. i look forward to a good game on sunday. mayor murray and myself we'll figure something out after the game is over. >> sounds good. >> perily gino capaletti, at holy cross, that's all we talked about. mayor marty walsh of boston and ed murray of seattle where they don't have an accent. i'm joined by willie geist and sally jenkins. >> how are you doing, chris? >> you know i got through the whole interview without talking sports. you write this great column you're almost every day in the paper in the "usa today" -- no! "washington post." >> yes. >> there was a long period of time when there weren't any good super bowls, they weren't grate game -- great games. >> the super bowl can be a letdo

the fun starts with the prop bets. the ridiculous, more than 300 things you can bet on. will marshawn lynch be fined ahead of the big game. odds say that yes, he will. what style and color hoodie will bill belichick wear? how many times will tom brady's smoking hot super model wife, gisele, be shown. one and a half. but it is three on how many times deflate-gate will be mentioned throughout the broadcast. you may not have heard the end of that. towards the end of the game, what about the color of gatorade bath that will soak the head coach. orange is the favorite there. and after the game, who is headed to disneyland. tom brady favored to be the mvp followed by russell wilson and marshawn lynch. we talked to arian foster. super bowl winning quarterback, danny white and lavar arrington. >> cut offs or full sleeves? >> cut-off. it is inside and a dome. >> cut-off or full sleeves? >> full sleeves. >> what color gatorade will it be? >> green. >> green is the heavy underdog. >> the gatorade shower at the end of the game will be red. >> red. what color will that gatorade be? >

one trader making a big bullish bet on yahoo!f earnings, we've got the details coming up and what do your stock picks say about you? find out what our traders' holdings say about their personalities and guess who has the youngest and hippest portfolio. >> wow. >> the answer might surprise you. we start off though with biotech, marks the day, the final day of the jpmorgan health care biotech conference. our next guest says even with today's pullback we're in the midst of a golden edge for biotechs. let's bring in chris raymond. great to have you with us. >> thanks for having me. >> so even after last year with stocks underweight biotechs? >> i wouldn't say they are underweights. funds whose actually dynamic is the most important is that funds have, you know, really a steady stream of dollars coming in, one of the things we've been tracking for a while and the flow of funds and dedicated biotech mutual funds really unprecedented. >> let's talk about your three specific under-the-radar picks, names we don't always talk about, ultrag

and i have to bet. so we bet the mayor of providence. and i've never lost a bet, but i think mayor walsh has a different story. >> i'm not betting the super bowl. i had a couple bets as the mayor and they didn't go my way, and i don't want to lose. i'm a huge patriots fan, a season ticket holder for over 20 plus years. i was at the afc championship game. i look forward to a good game on sunday. mayor murray and myself, we'll figure something out after the game is over. >> sounds good. >> pirrelli, gino capaletti, at holy cross, that's all we talked about. mayor marty walsh of boston and ed murray of seattle where they don't have an accent. i'm joined by willie geist and sally jenkins. >> how are you doing, chris? >> you know i got through the whole interview without talking sports. you write this great column you're almost every day in the paper in the "usa today" -- no! "washington post." >> yes. >> there was a long period of time when there weren't any good super bowls, there weren't great games. >> the super bowl can be a letdown. the

i think they have a strong defense and i bet sean hannity the same bet. cooks dinner for the other one on air. >> so i like to seahawks. and i think i have a bet with you now, bob. >> i will get around to that in a second. >> and by the way lee majors said he wanted the patriots. we have dinners going now. >> i am consulting an expert. i think we have a photograph of a decision that is being made. and i am going to wait to find out what he chooses. >> he is looking at patriots. >> this super bowl in particular is disgusting. what kind of would want to beat a seahawks. i have no plans, no television. i am asking our viewers in the new york area if you are throwing a super bowl party in the area facebook me. my conditions are four bottles of petite. you cannot look me in the eye at any time during the game. i may be bringing a guest depending on who answers my craigslist ad. >> have you bien around a bunch of seahawks when they fly over head? >> i change my opinion on this because eric and i need to have a bet here. i am going with the patriots because my b

but the truth of the matter is that they have a couple of high-profile bets like their deal with ford. if any of these things don't play out, that obviously is going to be a problem. if they do work though, that could introduce competition from other aluminum producers. they are ultimately in the commodity business. 15 times earnings might look like it is cheap but it has rarely done much better than that. so i think one of the interesting things i'm also looking at here is the options premiums are quite rich. we want to be a better seller. normally we might look to a put spread. this time i think i'll look to sell some options and specifically selling the february 16-17 call spread. you can sell the 16s for 65 cents, then buy the 17s to cover that for upside of 30. you collect 35 cents on the dollar between those strikes. one final point. january 12th is when they announce earnings. only 7 times out of the last 20 has the stock actually gone higher rather than lower. right now traders are skeptical it usually averages closer to 3%. >> when you think about fundamentally, these guys ta

pallone's would except new jersey from the federal ban on sports betting. the other bill would reopen a window for any state that wants to legalize sports betting within the next four years. since 2009 new jersey has been trying to offer sports betting but keeps getting shut down by the courts. >>> the first state aims to become the first to do something else. >> delaware is aiming to save you some trips to the dreaded dm dmv. handcuffs apparently not enough to stop pennsylvania woman. she actually was still able able to drive off in a cruiser at high speed. whole thing caught on tape. tom. >> lucy the physical lease confirm a fox 29 report they have a new president and david montgomery has a new role. insight from our h you know... there's a more enjoyable way to get your fiber. try phillips fiber good gummies. they're delicious... and an excellent source of fiber to help support regularity. mmmm. these are good! the tasty side of fiber. from phillips. ♪ >>> new video shows a rather amazeing police pursuit in pennsylvania. cops say a handcuffed woman took

. >> bet on it. so you probably been in a conversation, an argument where you get really pompous and you make all the big claims and somebody says let's bet on it and you feel it right then you go, oh. wait a minute. what exactly were we betting on, how were we going to word that again? i meant something like this. you back off and clarify because you know you're on the hook. incentives change your mind. john: and prediction markets are groups of people doing that at predictive.com or betfair betting on future events and they are more accurate than pund snit. >> absolutely. if you want to find out the betting market look at the odds. john: thank you, robert and to join the discussion follow me on twitter at fbn stossel, or "like" my facebook page so can you post on my wall. i want to know what you think? >>> coming up, most people believe a minimum wage helps the poor. most people believe charity helps the poor more than investment. they're irrational. that's next. . >> raise the wage! >> one of the

that's going to give us time to make that bet. it will capture those earnings. >> so carter, 75, still in the cards here? >> we're not quite there yet. we would say there's more down side and the long-term structure here is a massive run over 20 or 30 years. >> mike, what are you doing? holding on to the puts? >> i'm going to sell the puts and roll down and out and we're not going to have that much gearing in the options right now. take some of the profits and apply them to a lower strike put. >> i was a little skeptical of pricing. it was a great, great call. >> fantastic call. >> the stock did find a home at 80 this week and it didn't budge much from 82. i'm hard pressed to think the company back $4.2 billion and i have to assume they get back an start buying again. maybe that gives support between 75 and 80. >> a few weeks before that they bet against qualcomm? are you staying in this trade? >> it's so aggressive. all the pay came at once and we would say declare victory and walk away. >> yeah, the biggest disappointment was we

ty likes to do one-sided bets where he'll bet if he makes something and if he misses it's nothing. >> and i bet garret that if i made a shot from across the backyard, he had to pay more my sandwich. >> of course, college guys got to make a free lunch any way we can. >> i took the bet for some reason. >> i thought, there's no chance. >> i threw up a shot from behind the back and drained it. >> he made it. swished the shot his very first try. >> they can't believe their eyes. >> so we go grab the little picture camera. >> we'll see if we can get it on film. as soon as we saw it on the camera, that was the game changer. >> we all wanted to top each other. >> crazy shots behind the tree. >> standing up on the roof. >> over a fence. >> it's in the hole! >> we just started filming everything. >> bigger and bigger and bigger. >> this is the laser shot. >> the guys edit the footage together. but before, they decide the posse needs a name. >> the name came about on accident. we were sitting in the backyard and we decided to put the camera up on the rail. he looked through the camera and saw th

i'll say tuesday is the day, not sunday. >> so you can bet -- can you bet on when the baby is being deliverednment purposes. see, according to our game control board, we need to do things that are played out on the field that no one knows or has any inkling that it can happen before we do. somebody knows if richard sherman's baby is coming before we do. >> that's a good point. johnny. thank you so much. i know you'll enjoy the game. joining us now is jon taffer. a frequent guest on this program. jon, 13 million people they don't stay home. they go to the bars and restaurants for this weekend. is this -- if you own a bar or restaurant, how do you prepare for this? and is this where you can get some new customers that will come back? >> oh, it is. and as you probably know i'm one of the creators of sun bay ticket. another football industry. there's two things. obviously, you're going to fill up. you'll have a lot of people. there's usually a unique factor. bars about an hour and a half. in the super bowl environment, they'll be there four hours. a 4-hour period of time, you can feed them three

events from betting. >>> this morning, we are following a breaking story out of burlington county. a baby is in the hospital after police say somebody lit the child on fire right in the middle of the street. nbc 10's matt delucia is following the developments. matt? >> rosemary i've been working to get new information. coming up we'll tell you how police found out about this crime. >>> temperatures in the teens, it feels more like the single digits. i'll have your full forecast, coming up. >>> nbc 10 breaking news. >>> breaking from overnight, a baby set on fire in the middle of a south jersey street. authorities are trying to figure out who did it and why. >>> a woman stalked for an hour then shot execution style at the bus stop. the new video philadelphia police want you to see to help them catch the killer. >>> another bitter cold morning. here's a live look at center city. we're going to see plenty of sunshine today but it's not really going it warm the temperatures up too much. >>> good morning, this is nbc 10 news today. i'm rosemary connors. it's 6:00 on this saturday. meteo

i bet this is the weakest link in the lot of these campaigns and if you're right, one or more of these candidates will go down on family stuff. >> i do not think you can do the george w. bush thing. there are too many players in the game who were not there. >> you cannot stop the supermarket tabloids and drudge and other websites. if you work it in a disciplined in principle -- and principled way. think of a pushback strategy ended -- and intimidation strategy that works. siblings are the hardest area they're adults but not so close to you that you have the same leverage. chelsea clinton is part of the campaign. three guys who might run for president are in the news because they said some interesting things. mike huckabee said women should not use the f-word in the workplace and lindsey graham suggested a connection between same-sex marriage and polygamy. in a crowded field when you are trying to stand out is saying something controversial. more smart? >> it can be supersmart. he can rally the base and in people do not like what you said it can be -- if the media attacks you you can us