bet on now?n't think there's any question. it's 80-plus percent chance. >> you bet on a long shot on the horse race? >> that would be for fun. the problem is -- >> brexit had odds stacked against it. >> that's like saying, it's rigged, it's rigged. at some point you realize, there's a reason the house exists. it's because the house has the odds in their favor. at some point you look at these polls and you say, it's all the polls. at some point you say the house is favored. the safe bet for trump is to go. republicans say they are comfortable with donald trump, 80%. he has some gains to make there. that's a good place to start for him. to work on saying to republicans, you can be comfortable with me. all he has been doing the last few weeks is making -- on republicans who should be his base, more uncomfortable. i don't know why i'm giving him any good advice. >> they won't take it. >> thank you for your honesty. >> it happened in vegas, we went gambling. who won? who lost? stay tuned. ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ >>>

you're already making the up side bet.is a less expensive way to play would be to just buy that put. now you've got your straddle on. >> so, carter, what do you see in the charts for the s&p in general? >> same thing. what we know is we had that very tight range. 43 moving more than 1%. and then it was resolved down. came in for labor day, straight down. now we've climbed back to the scene of the crime where we collapsed. we're back to where there is overhead supply, interested sellers. i think we stay in the range but regardless of that, it's about asymmetry. there's so much more downside risk in my opinion than upside reward. >> and is how much are you spending to make that downside bet? >> i know, that's the craziest thing. when you look at it -- i often start looking at the straddle for something like that. just to get a sense. what is the market implying over this period of time? this was kind of a volatile week, we started moving around. we had election stuff with the debate. we had deutsche bank, and we had some ear

so i'm just going to make the bet that this is due for your next checkback. group chart of the top five stocks in the s&p tech. all right. now here's that same group. this group juxtaposed against the s&p. and that's something that also is a little bit -- your s&p has made no progress for essentially two years. which means if there is any stumbling here, what's that going to mean for something that's made no progress in two years? let's keep going. all right. final chart. this is telling. relative strength, relative performance, is one of the highest-rated factors in all quant models. the top panel is qqq, the top big stocks, a third of the weighting. and the bottom panel is a relative performance to the s&p 500. and so what we know is that the qs actually got up back above their high, made new highs, absolutely. but have not made relative highs. meaning after all this, after y. but have not made relative highs. meaning after all this, afte. but have not made relative highs. meaning after all this, afte but have not made relative highs. meaning after all this

so bet on that. i want to bet. >> now to the best performing sector this week, the financials. the xlf nearly 2% since monday. this is earnings season officially kicks off next week. cnbc's dom chu is in the news room with what we can expect. hey,dom. >> melissa, traders getting ready to kick off another earnings season, that time of year again. the early part of the season dominated by the financials. this time around traders aren't expecting fireworks. here's what we're talking about. shares of citigroup as we head toward the earnings. the options market currently pricing in an implied move of around 3.1%. versus an average one-day stock move for citi around earnings closer to 3.5%. jpmorgan chase expected to move by around 2.4%. the average there post earnings is 2.7% less volatile there, as well. embattled lending giant, wells fargo, could move by around 2 or 4% up or down. the average move 3.5%. and regional bank pnc. a 1.8% move up or down. the average is 2.9%. there are a number of reasons we could see less volatility. among them, bank stocks laggard's pretty much all ye

on the bottom 250 than it is to bet on the top five. that's apple, amazon, google, most microsoft, and so forth. so facebook is going to have to be perfect. and the question is, is it priced in. >> so what do you do? >> i actually think it could be. when you think about just the price action today. like i said, amazon down 5% and google barely up. and i think the risk is really to the down side in facebook. if you're interesting a new long and think the stock could break out to a new all-time high and maybe a new high earlier in the week, i think you want to define your risk. the problem here is the option actions in facebook are very high headed into the print. i got inspiration from mike's playbook on butterflies last week. if you want to define risk long, think of it as a stock alternative, maybe take some off the table, want to define your risk into a potentially volatile event, it's $22.5 billion, given this current stock price. so i think it does make sense to define your risk. i would use a call, butterfly, looking at november ex

--betting area at all with a batting spell right now. --betting >> reporter: we have this car that had latched onto the tropical moisture in europe that is in somewhat of a typhoon. it looked like it if going to land and the northwest. that will integrate with damage. -- that will bring wind damage. >> reporter: thought to this may be 40 to 50 mi. per hour in what cost. and two to 5 in. of rain and of north bay. and i am watching a storm system comtian on friday or saturday evening. if gestalt weakens the a whole lot of rain in discussing with that moisture. >> pam: >> announcer: the following is a paid presentation for starshower motion, brought to you by bulbhead. hanging old-fashioned lights can take hours and cost you big bucks. even untangling that box is a frustrating chore. not anymore. last year, millions of americans transformed their homes with the newest rage in decorative lighting -- starshower laser lights. so popular, it sold out everywhere across the country, and this year, we're back with an amazing new feature you have t

you can bet on this like a sporting event. not on the winner, the winner won't be announced until tomorrow night's results show but you can make a prop bet on things like will donald trump mention bill clinton? yes was the favored. you had to bet $210 to win $100 for yes. will hillary clinton mention melania trump? yes, bet $100 to win $300. these are not jokes. this is for real. total number of times the word racist or racism is used by either candidate, over 2 1/2 times, 165 to win $100, under 2 1/2 times -- it's complicated. number of times the word liar or lying is used by either candidate, over 5 1/2 $135, under 5 1/2 plus 105. no $185 to win $100. what will the candidates do when they meet onstage for the first time? shake hands, no embrace, you have to bet $350 to win $100 on that. no physical contact with each other, 100. if they don't touch, 350. hug with no kiss, plus 400. hug and kiss on the cheek, $100 to win $800. and have hot and crazy rage sex. if you bet $100 you win the trump hotel of your choice. [ laughter ]

>> if i was betting when i was >> jimmy: you're not betting? you never gambled illegally? >> if i was betting when i did it, it would be violation of the law. >> jimmy: i see, you're a bit of an outlaw, interesting. phone books. the yellow pages. how is this still happening? >> how is it still happening? do you ever say, man, i'm being sued for libel and fraud, i better go to the yellow pages. >> you don't even find escorts there anymore. >> i do. i mean -- >> jimmy: trust me on this. >> i will trust you. >> jimmy: water fountains. >> i don't know. >> jimmy: when was the last time you drank out of a water fountain? >> i would say probably at elementary school. >> jimmy: stickers on fruit. where do you stand on those? >> i've -- >> jimmy: i probably have 1,300 stickers on my body right now from apples. >> are you supposed to get the sticker and trace it to its point of origin? i thought it mattered to some of you guys in california, knowing know which tree it was. very organic here. yes. how often do you go to concerts? >> i go to maybe four, five a year. >> jimmy: my idea

and i bet if i have a party and

we can't lose this bet. our bet was tim horton making good on that bet right now. >> you are. we appreciate it. >> nichole: roll it right in. the sweet taste of victory arriving right now. >> tia: you can't go wrong with tim bits. i do respect the fact you did pay up, so you get a lot of love from the t-ster for that. that's any nickname. >> you don't want my bagels. they would have had no flour. it would have been more like a cracker. in mansfield just south of you on i-71. i don't know if he's still there. >> tia: he's not here. >> if charlie hill is there or not. >> nichole: victory tastes good in the morning. are you going to cheer for the indians in the world series now? that's what we have to know. >> we say good morning to everybody in cleveland today. so we're now giving our prediction for the and we're going to tell you who we're cheering for. tammy, you start? >> i have to start it. >> cleveland is watching, tammy. >> cleveland rocks. that's who i'm cheering for. there you go. i'll say it. >> nichole: yes, we do. >> tia: it's a while since cleveland has won the world

i'm not willing to make a bearish bet. >> you can keep it really simple and just own premium. in this case, just owning calls or the puts, especially in net of what happened this week is really the easiest way and least expensive way. >> if there's any guidance as who how the earnings might come out, one of the best things you can look at is the prior quarter. there was that gap. you are playing for this fatherly tight range. >> there are new businesses, lower-margin businesses. you don't like the linked in deal. you have to differentiate your product. the cloud services are going to have to get people basically built onto their platform. >> we're not going to know anything about linked in. obviously, we want to know the cloud revenues. salesforce.com, one of their major competitors right now issued billings below expectations. the enterprise software could be soft. investors may be looking beyond it. you have microsoft at 20, a massive bucket of cash, momentum to their back. this this is a good, defined wa. and this is a chart for you. i think the stock has really good suppor

ov money was bet on hillary clinton. >> when people make a bet that's 4 to 1 or 5 to 1, 5 1/2 to 1, whatgod's going do this for me? why does somebody think they're going to win a 6 in 1? >> i'm the only person who booked tyson on a 27 to 1 favorite. thousands of dollars came in on tyson and went up 42 to 1. we made a mint at the mirage that time, but remember he lost the fight. a 42 to 1 favorite lost the fight so we don't know who is going to win this election, trust me, no one knows -- donald needs a double off the wall to keep the game going. >> why don't they allow political betting? >> federal law, it's been that way forever and even the gaming commission, we can't even do local or state elections. it's going to be a long time after we're gone. >> i had one bet, that's crazy that may go either way. >>> that does it for the live coverage tonight from las vegas. if you missed the debate, stick around, you can catch the whole final debate in its entirety right now. good night. well this here's a load-bearing wall. we'll go ahead and rip that out. that'll cause a lot of problems. hmm. t

sot: "usually i bet the underdog so like i'll bet chicago when they go back home first game ... wherever the money's good that's where i bet" the intense matchup between the two teams is a win-win.. because fans get a good game.. and the sports book gets a good chunk of change. sot : excitement a lot of people cheering and hooting and hollering the book the hype has been amazing both these 2 teams had long droughts its not clear how much the sports books have made so far.. but vegas is knowns for its odds. last year.. a man won 2- point-5 million dollars after betting in vegas that the royals would win the world series game three of the world series is this friday. you can watch it world series is this friday. you can watch it right here on fox five. it starts at five p-m. we will have a special editon of fox5 news before and after the game. remember all the excitement last week about the new stadium?? yea.. about that... we may have a problem. our goal has always been to deliver an opportunity for mark davis to stay in oakland. reports out of the bay area indicate the city is w

and placing their bets at the south point casino and sports book sot: "usually i bet the underdog so like i'll bet chicago when they go back home first game ... wherever the money's good that's where i bet" a good match up between the chicago cubs and cleveland indians means a home run for sports books all over the valley. chuck esposito is the sports book manager at sunset station casino. sot : excitement a lot of people cheering and hooting and amazing both these 2 teams had long droughts lots of fans it's been exciting for us win win for the networks baseball and definitely for the sports books here in vegas with only 2 games over in the world series... fans here at south point casino look forward to more exciting games and chances to win big. sot : i just want to see a good series sot:great world series great teams haven't won it for a long time so it's exciting closed captioning will resume shortly game three of the world series is this friday. you can watch it right here on fox five. it starts at five p-m. we will have a special edition show before and after the game. new this

informal betting about last night's debate. among the wagers we're told could have been placed was weather donald trump saith more. >> we have to go back and count on that one. we know for certain those who bet the candidates would not shake hands were winners. >> no handshake in the beginning or end. >> i thought maybe at the end, but it was an awkward little moment. >> i suppose if they go after each other, if they don't feel they feel that way about each other, not affectionate enough for a handshake, why fake it? super typhoon with gusts over 175 miles per hour. >> terrifying moments on video as a bus erupts in flames. what happened next. you're watching "world news now." so when i found out medicare doesn't pay all my medical expenses, i looked at my options. [ male announcer ] if you're eligible for medicare, you may know it only covers about 80% of your part b medical expenses. the rest is up to you. call now and find out about an aarp medicare supplement insurance plan, insured by unitedhealthcare surance company. like

that's where the betting money was, where was the betting money coming from? >> think about it.ey was the london institutional establishment. >> if you're sure that the vote is going to be 50 -- >> the little guys were betting -- >> if you're sure it is -- >> shawn, thanks so much. thank you. we'll keep talking. >> i'm not saying don't believe predict it or the betting markets but my point is what steve said. my guess is the people betting on clinton also probably live in the d.c. -- who is on the predicted markets? probably people more in the sort of -- >> the financial center. >> in the financial centers which tend to be on the coast. i'm just saying, i don't know if people in toledo are making bets on -- >> betting markets, not polling. >> we tend to -- >> cite the poll of polls to smooth out all the volatility. >> too many pandas and too many polls. >> you can only make one bet. you can only bet yes or no on this. >> binary. >> that means you have to assign a much larger percentage chance to the probability than you do with the -- >> i'm voting tomorrow. i'm voting tomorrow.

from straight bets to prop bets....folks with the superbook say the number of bets being taken in for baseball right now saying it's comparable to taking in as many wagers placed on a big monday night football game. and they feel they know the reason why that is. (( jay kornegay/westgate superbook: "they've always had true fans. large fan bases and the indians they're not slouch compared to the dodgers and cubs. " they have tremendous fans very loyal fans so they're very excited so no matter who comes out of the national league to face the indians the sports books are going to be hopping each and every single game of the world series." )) ((mauricio marin)) >> but that can also bring could be paying out big time if whichever team---the cubs or dodgers--- ultimately win the world series against the indians. of course that's the fun of the game---not knowing who will win. ((mauricio marin)) >> fans we talked with today are excited for tomorrow's game between the dodgers and cubs. understanda bly---cub fans want their team to close the deal tomorrow in chicago. and dodger fans are rootin

you want to bet on it. i want to bet on uni vert. >> this is earning season kicks off next week. dom joins us with what we can expect. >> traders are getting ready to kick off another earning season, the early part of the season dominated by financials. this time around, traders aren't expecting nearly as many fireworks when it comes to those results. check out shares of citi group. the options market currently pricing in an implied move of 3.1%. versus an average one-day move at 3.5%. j.p. morgan chase expected 2.4%. the average is it 2.7%. embattled wells fargo could move by 2.4% up or down, the average move there, 3.5%. and pnc, 1.8% up or down and the average is 2.9%. there are a number of reasons why we could see less volatility. they are viewed as being that compelling of a story. also the idea that maybe more clarity on the future direction of interest rates will likely be needed before any big directional bets placed on these bank. so melissa, it is that time again. back over to you guys. >> thanks, dom. so, dan, how are you playing the banks? >> on friday morning you're

. >> julie: i bet a lot of >> julie: i bet a lot of homework won't be done because they will be out playing at fenway all the time. >> daniel: can't blame them. >>> leave early because dealing with wet roadways and windy conditions. pike moving along fine. live drive times, 13 minutes on 128 to the tobin. 20 minutes on 3 south. 24 minutes on the pike eastbound from 495 to mass avenue. >>> speaking of those weather troubles. meteorologist shiri spear comes in and breaks it all down for and the residual effect >> the heaviest stuff pushing out and still wet out there. a ton of wet roadways there, guys. a pretty extensive storm. all of new england is a mess right now. you go far north to find those snowflakes because temperatures have warmed up. we see these shift northward and draws in some of the showers into central massachusetts and pushes them toward the coastline and we are not done with the rain yet. boston got over half an inch worcester nearly got an inch of rain. the first month since the drought began that we have above average rainfall. on top of that, .65 inches of rain we got yes

--betting >> steve: we will return from the budget-- break! >> reporter: we have this car that had latched onto the tropical moisture in europe that is in somewhat of a typhoon. it looked like it if going to land and the northwest. that will integrate with damage. -- that will bring wind damage. >> reporter: thought to this may be 40 to 50 mi. per hour in what cost. and two to 5 in. of rain and of north bay. and i am watching a storm system comtian on friday or saturday evening. if gestalt weakens the a whole lot of rain in discussing with that moisture. >> pam: tune in at and we will see you tomorrow and have a nice night different at the marine mammal center, the environment is everything. we want to do our very best for each and every animal, and we want to operate a sustainable facility. and pg&e has been a partner helping us to achieve that. we've helped the marine mammal center go solar, install electric vehicle charging stations, and become more energy efficient. pg&e has allowed us to be the most sustainable organization we can be. any

the odds now, in london, they have betting odds on this campaign to make $2, you have to bet $11 for hillary. basically, she is the overwhelming favorite. your candidate is the 4-1 underdog. you only get $4 back from $1. how does he overcome those odds in the next three week? >> i'm interested in knowing what brexit was. i have no idea what the numbers were on breflit that turned out to be a big surprise. i think he has to do a little like harry reid, actually said, although for a different purpose. he has to stick to the issues. he has to point out yes would be a better president than hillary clinton. jobs, putting people back to work, fixing schools which she can't do because the teacher's union prevents her from doing it. he has to talk about the iran agreement. people get a chance to make an up or down vote. do we agree with making iran nuclear in ten years? so i would think the best thing for him would be a highly issued debate. on the majority of the issues he comes out ahead. and so far in this campaign, the issues have been buried under e-mails on the one side. >> did you thi

they even bet $100 that he couldn't make it. we actually have the footage of it. ( cheering ) ( cheering ) ( applause ) >> that's amazing. what a shot. >> start the show! >> stephen: we will in a second. >> start the show! >> stephen: sir, i've been doing start the show. >> then get to it, already! >> stephen: hey, it's the guy who made the putt, david johnson. look! ( cheers and applause ) hey! david! first of all, congratulations. that's really impressive. but, you know, you don't just start a show, you have to begin with topical, political humor. >> i could do it. ( laughter ) >> stephen: oh, really? lot harder than making a putt. >> i can do both. >> stephen: okay, why don't you come up and show me? ( cheers and applause ) >> okay. >> stephen: david johnson, everybody! ( laughter ) i'll tell you what, let's make this more interesting. my friend mr. lincoln says good luck. david johnson, everybody. drumroll, please. ( drumll ( cheers and applause ) ? >> announcer: it's "the late show" with stephen colbert! tonight, mindy kali

so keep that in mind for your commute although public transportation may be your best bet. >> golden gate park am going to chief meteorologist, he has been tracking the conditions. >> it is a good pattern and all over the bay area don't change your plans just take a jacket. light sprinkles at best. no fog along the coast right now. so you are setting up nice. it is mild and a beautiful first day. tomorrow is going to be nice as well. let' look at the forecast you can see as we head into your bay area tomorrow it will peek at the blue grass festival at four owe clock. it will not be warm or hot. twill be breezey and mild temperatures -- it will be breezy and mild temperatures. if will be nice with a chance of a sprinkle. but it should be out standing. for any evens just take a jacket. ask. >> you will find more on the music festival and the other events going on. we posted more information under web links. >> and developing now in dublin a big rig has snarled the evening commute fox ski skyfox flew over head and the eastbound lanes were closed and crews worked to put out to the fire a

of new: speaking businesses, it is counted as other bets.creased to 196 dollars from 149 million a year ago. losses narrowed. it is moving in the right direction, but it is not going to be a big contributor, is it? paul: no, we are really talking about the core search business. the cost for clicks are down, but the number of clicks are up dramatically. that reflects the migration from the desktop to the mobile environment which i believe google is managing very well. what continues to grow the story, probably over the next couple of three years for the is youtube the bulls and macleod. -- and the cloud. oliver: does amazon do a lot better in the other bets category? alexa may be amazon's most beloved innovation yet, literally with over two and a 50,000 marriage proposals from customers and -- 250 thousand marriage proposals from customers and counting. matt: he is talking about amazon theory. they also have -- amazon siri and prime. and have done so much more so much more successfully than google has. aws is a $10 billion business. yesterday

one of of your only bets, best bet and you will to have take it until broad street reopens. we will let you know when they to. you can see crew is still working. this is where we have an accident in delaware, route one southbound between smyrna and all lanes are block right now, all of them, you will to have use an alternate as well. route 13 southbound will be your best bet and let you know when that clears as well but sound more significant. construction here, speaking of delaware route seven southbound ramp to churchman's road is closed but should be reopening right about right now and more construction delaware 495 northbound at route 13 that left lane is block and that is blocked until end of october. we have more to talk about in a little bit but first, jim and brooke, back to you. >>> well, update ago this breaking news, in north philadelphia, an early morning fire has forced neighbors out of their bed. >> "eyewitness news" reporter jan carabao is live on the scene on broad street, jan. >> reporter: brooke and jim, certainly some chaotic moment for people living on th

big break one way or the other and we have an identifiable -- >> would you be willing to make that bet on the direction though? a break higher or a break lower. >> my inclination would be to make it on the lower side. these have been punished severely, so you have to figure if that's what's baked in the cake -- >> times are good. >> i'm good or -- >> i mean, graded. feels like a b? >> they can draw the lines just the way people want. could it be 16 times cash flow or 18? it's all nuts. here's the reality. this is almost like classic doubt there. this is the greatest performing part of the market. i think it multimately there's upside potential. i think you'd be contrary to bet up. >> does it concern you that this is going to be a by partisan issue? >> it wasn't like it was down party lines. >> i think evaluation is a big issue here. i think there's some pinups. when i looked out to january expiration, the call premium plus the put premium and the xbi was offered at 15% of the underlying stock price. the s&p between now and the same period in january 20th which happens to be inauguratio

let's talk hoopla's best bets, since yu hankewich come in to talk about wicked divas.best bets oct 27 2016 circle of ash today to monday, oct. 27 to 31 after a brief hiatus, circle of ash is back, ready to scare the yell out of you through halloween. every night is the scariest night of the year at this little shop of horrors set up at the linn county fairgrounds in central city. the attractions happen both indoors and out, so dress to ward off the chill of the thrills, and any mud underfoot. or is it mud? bwaaaah. we'll never tell. the brave can explore a haunted house, frightmare forest, pandemonium maze, crow additional fee, a "go alone" coffin ride, elevator ride, an underground site beneath crow creek and a halloween homicide ripe for solving. circle of ash 8 to 10 p.m. today , sunday and monday , 8 to midnight friday and saturday , linn county fairgrounds, central city; $20 to $50, gate or circleofash.c om https: cheech and chong friday and saturday, oct. 28 and 29 counterculture icons cheech and chong didn't go up in smoke. after 25 years apart, they reunited in 2009 and are br

going into the quarter a lot of money managers had bet against the stock of boston beer. in fact, the shortage was a very high 19%. when the quarter turned out to be bad, some of the short sellers decided ka-ching, ka-ching, let's ring the register and cover our short positions. that means take a profit in them, and you have to buy the stock back in order to do that. in this case, though, there weren't enough natural sellers, people who panicked or didn't like the quarter, to offset the short covering. so those short covers had to go take the stock higher to find the supply they need to cover their short and close out the position. on top of that, boston beer got a boost from a bloomberg piece that suggested it might be an attractive takeover target given the stock has come down so dramatically over the past 18 months. we know there's been a lot of consolidation in the beer industry. however, if you really want to understand today's crazy reversal, and i know i did, you need to know where the bulls and the bears are coming from. and it just so happens that last month we g

at this point, rainfall amounts of at least a half-inch look like a solid bet, especially across the northern half of the state. temperatures will be wide-ranging, with the potential for highs struggling to hit 50 in northern iowa, but making 60 in southern iowa. dry weather returns for the end of the week and weekend.toda y: mostly sunny. wind: ne 5-10. high: 58 alo: 56 dbq: 57 w: 59night: nd: e 5-10. low: 40 alo:0q: 39 th only 15 days to go, thete abl double-digit lead over donald trump. the presidential nominees are back in key swing states today to try and gain some last minute support. abc's maggie rulli reports. hillary clinton's camp - fanning out across key swing states. sot - president obama "you've got a guy who proves himself unfit for this office every single day." donald trump - saying the polls have it backwards? sot - donald trump / presidential nominee"numbe rs are looking phenomenal in florida. don't believe media." as he outlined his vision for his first one hundred days in office ? sot - donald trump / presidential nominee"it's a contract between donald j. trump an

for example, you can win a bet. i say, "i bet i can tie a bow in this rope faster than you can tie a bow in your rope. i bet you a beer. >> stephen: a bow, all right. >> you say go -- >> you trained, of course, obviously. >> i practiced for four hours. you say go, and then we'll both tie a bow. >> stephen: a bow. thing. >> stephen: okay, i know what a bow is. >> okay. >> ready. >> stephen: one, two, three, go. ( cheers and applause ) >> and they're the coolest? yeah! >> stephen: and then someone buys you a beer? >> no, it's never actually gotten me a beer gro mountain climb? do you do dangerous things? >> yeah, i like to, yeah. >> stephen: are you known for doing dangerous stuff. is your wife cool with that? >> no, my wife for the longest time is convinced i had what you call a frontal lobe issue. she says that's where you assess risk and danger and all that, and she says mine is severely underdeveloped because i -- >> what would do you? >> whatever. i mean, so, well, yesterday, i-- this is just-- i decided to go ju