but what are the betting markets in politics telling us websites like betfair predicted and poly market there users bet on several contests in the 2024 election cycle. the three markets differentiate based on commissions, fees, and which consumers are allowed to participate. for example predict it is for us consumers only poly market is a crypto based outlet for non-u.s. consumers. betfair is more traditional betting market for consumers in europe australia, customers using predicted are limited to $850 per person for each market, while betfair and poly market currently have customers betting a combined total of more than $200 million in the general election, right now, predict it shows vice president kamala harris with a 39% chance of becoming the democratic nominee. aumany compared to president biden's 50% likelihood in the general election against former president trump, betfair says that biden has a 26% chance of beating trump while harris has about a 39% chance the other two markets predict former president trump has about a 60% adds of beating either candidate here to break down t