bill karins, thank you, sir. bill karins, we have reached the 3:00 p.m. hour east coast. this is -- as long as 24 hours ago you were talking about a roughly 3:00 landfall in the afternoon for naples, florida. >> up to this point this has been a wind event. this has been wind-caused damage. looks like a little storm surge damage in the miami area. there was confirmation from the national weather service of a ten to 14-foot storm surge in the keys as it went through this morning, which is very impressive and the heads-up of how powerful the winds are, how big a storm it is. this is going to be the story going from here on out, so we have the storm, now making, you know, landfall, marco island is about to come into the eye. now, the landfall point, just for technicality reasons, is the center. so if the very center does not come onshore, it will be a landfall. that's a technicality, and this is probably going to be the boringest weather graphic i show you all day, but it's the most important if you care about property and lives on the west coast of florida. this is a tidal g

. >>> let's get to bill karins with a check on the weather. ll, you're tracking hurricane maria, it's a category 4 on puerto rico's door step and could potentially be delivering a severe below in san juan. >> right now, roofs are being torn off homes and a lot of people in their safe rooms. so that's what they're waking up to in puerto rico. again, the eye, went through a wall replacement cycle last night and that did bring it down just a little bit. that is weakening it but instead of ten miles wide, it's now 30 miles wide. that means the devastation is through a larger area but not as extreme. this red circle shows you, san juan got to 78. that's when it does structural damage, trees are falling down, power is going out. and there's the center of the storm, about an hour, hour and a half away from landfall of a strong category 4 hurricane. they haven't seen something like this since 1932 in puerto rico. here's the eye. you can notice that the innerportion of the eye which was really pronounced kind of is falling apart. and this wider eye is t

but let's go to miami before we go to meteorologist bill karins. got sam champion who i note has put on another protective layer. good luck with that there, sam. >> not just because we were soaking wet, but the temperature, it's much, much cooler than it was when we were getting the leading edge of that warm air. now the temperature's dropped a little bit. it becomes really kind of important to be protected and dry. we'll see how that goes. one of the things i've been watching since you and bill pointed it out is that one band, that very sharp bright red band with the heaviest winds that we've seen yet kind of working its way from key largo through homestead and toward miami right now. because as you read at the top of this -- when you just came into us, that from what we've seen earlier, we had all the crane damage and everything else. so we've been trying to repair people. even our reporters out in the field for the strongest winds we've seen yet in this storm. to come across the state of florida and back into that storm. and that includes everyb

i want to bring in bill karins for that. i know i'm not supposed to compare hurricanes, but we were tracking irma last week. that's top of mind. the rainfall with maria is a lot more than irma ever delivered. >> yes. florida's flat. when we get tropical systems with mountains, that's when they really ring them out almost. the mountain sticks up into the circulation and can create the storm just to sit there and create the feeder bands that sit over the same areas and the mountains have the runoff. flooding is a bigger issue. the storms move about 10 miles per hour. irma was moving faster. of course, we saw it happen with harvey when the system stalls out. here's where the eye is located. it's a major category 4 -- category 3 storm. they're getting worse than they were thinking they were. there's also flooding concerns with some of the higher mountain regions. we have tremendous amounts of rain still falling over the state. there's a flash flood warning for the island of puerto rico. there's not one spot not under a flash flo

>> well, i think, you know, bill karins nailed it earlier at the start of your show.e explained is exactly what we've been talking about at the emergency operations center for hours. i think he correctly nailed it really, saying this storm is so big, you know, it's so immense, so intense, that we're all going to feel something. but from where we were last night when i was talking to you to where we are tonight, we're looking at a substantial reduction in the wind from the wind that they're going to get on the west coast of florida. but who knows what happens after, you know, tonight? but you also, you know, you look at that storm surge, and god bless mayor henderson listening to him talk about that because that's exactly the issue that scared us last night because we're looking at a full moon, a seasonal high tide. the push, all those factors, the storm surge, and now the west coast of florida is looking at that exact same thing. we're going to keep them in our thoughts and prayers and try to figure out where this storm is going to go because this thing has been hangi

bill karins is here. >> this is bill karins. i just saw a prediction for the storm tidal gauge in charleston, south carolina. that was as bad as matthew last year. that really caught me off guard. that would be for monday afternoon. can you speak at all about the people in coastal georgia, in south carolina, with what kind of surge they can still see from this? >> we're still talking about several feet plus there because of the very large size of the storm. matthew is large, too, but for the most part, they were on the other side of the storm. on the west side of the storm as matthew veered off and away. this is a case we'll have the onshore flow coming with the hurricane, tropical storm force winds but accompanying the hurricane farther to the north. >> ed, what about southern pine country in georgia. georgia is going to get a heck of a lot of weather out of this system. >> they certainly are going to get a lot of the rain we've been seeing in florida with observations already over 15 inches and possibly getting to 20, 25 inche

bill karins. >> good to see chris at high elevation. most important thing that will kill people with the storm surge today is going to be people at low elevations when the water rushes in. good to see him. throughout weather one, put naples on the map. 43 miles from the northern eyewall, four hours from now. i also added blue arrows on weather one. drop the banner there. that's where peak of storm surge is occurring. it is on the ride side of the eyewall. winds north of that are blowing from land out to sea on the northern portion of the storm. that water surging on the eastern side. it is not until the eye is close to you that we see water levels coming up. as the eye goes past your location, winds shift to offshore. that's when we see catastrophic 10 to 15 foot storm surge. tide is now coming in to areas from naples to marco island. high tide expected this afternoon. add three feet to storm surge. >> let's hear from guys tracking it and have been and will be into the early part of this coming week. mark demaria at the national hurrica

nbc meteorologist bill karins is here with us. bill, the anticipation, the leadup to the storm, the last couple of days of the storm have all been about south florida, about miami, the keys, up the west coast. we have now moved into the face where this is a north florida story. >> yeah, jacksonville, people that lived there their entire lives they've never seen water this high. to update you, it's a flash flood emergency that you're seeing on this river that you're seeing here. this is st. john's river in florida. runs from south to north. orlando area. the river dumps out in jacksonville. the way the winds would be blowing, it's not allowed the river to dump out, with the storm surge running up through the river. plus a tremendous amount of rainfall. that combination has made this river up to five feet. it doesn't sound that much, but the previous highest level was four feet. you can see the rivers in the streets of downtown jacksonville. they're saying that this river is going to go up another one for two feet. it's already highe

we want to go right to bill karins for the very latest. bill? to their homes for weeks, maybe even months. that's how serious it is. that's because of the wind damage and the possibility of the storm surge could even wipe away buildings that are existing on the coastline. overnight not a lot changed with this storm. we want to show you comparison images. hurricane andrew 25 years agos the storm of record. that had 16 mile-an-hour

it's not an easy assignment. >> bill karins, thanks for that.et's go back to florida and joining us from ft. lauderdale/hollywood airport. give us an update on how things are looking at the airport, the challenges for folks there for travelers and workers and the airport. >> reporter: there are plenty of challenges ahead. the airport just opened an hour ago. we are seeing the travelers come in and try to get their flights situated. there's a lot of -- so far, a lot of frustration. they are learning their flights have been canceled. they are showing up at the airport with their bags. they didn't get word until now they have to make other accommodations. a woman came here, she thooz go back to school, but won't be able to get a flight out until monday. she's trying to figure out what she's going to do until monday. there's going to be confusion, slow going. again, anytime you take a couple days where you shut down airports, ft. lauderdale, miami, there's going to be these situations and frustration. the board, they say all canceled. that's not nec

bill karins, our meteorologist -- >> things are calming down a little bit. looking at the radar, looking at naples, they are very close to getting in the eye in the next five to ten minutes. what we see down on marco island now. >> look at these precip bands. looks like someone has an enormous bucket. >> yeah, sitting there spinning over the top. so naples is now about to clear out of the northern eye, so it's important, obviously, we have all our reporters there, we have fascinating, you know, pictures to show you, but it's important to tell you who's next. bonita springs, the northern eyewall is going to be on top of you, if not already, very shortly. from there, up the coast and about two hours from now it will be in the fort myers area and fort myers beach area. we have someone there with us now? >> i don't know. >> okay, looks like we did for a little bit. so this scene that we watched, first in marco island and with all our reporters over the last half hour was just the northern eyewall. they'll still watch the winds change direction and have strong gu

bill karins is here with us this morning. what are we watching right to you. >> jose is an inveebs and maria life-threatening. the closest to the areas on the east coast and then we'll get to maria approaching puerto rico two days from now. jose still a category 1 hurricane safely off the coast of carom. it's heading due north. the concerns are for anyone with interests in the marine areas or along the beaches. that's where we see the highest waves and get the beach and do you know erosion. rainfall 3 to 4 inches maybe on the cape. you can see the looping of the forecast offshore. it's a big inconvenience. gusty winds on the coast. not a ton of damage compared to what maria could bring. about 24 hours away from heading towards martinique and guadeloupe and near the virgin islands and puerto rico throughout early wednesday morning. looks to be the time frame. and the hurricane center has that as a category 4 at the current time heading straight over puerto rico. i can't tell you a category storm 4 storm going over puerto rico

. >> let's bring in now meteorologist bill karins with a look at our weather week. orning, bill. >> good morning. maria is still out there. it is going to be affecting the outer banks. that will be one of the weather stories of the week. still a large storm sending a lot of battering waves to the south east coast. people weren't able to swim on the beaches on this hot past weekend. it is about 85 mile per hour winds so down to a category 1 which is good. it is just going to lash the outer banks. i'm sure we'll have problems with overwash on highway 12 like we typically do. you can see the path lingers tuesday to wednesday and finally get rid of the storm by the time we get to thursday, friday as it heads out to sea. look at these temperatures today. we had widespread record highs yeds, especially through areas of the northeast and the great lakes. today just as warm, 91 chicago, 90 in st. louis. and the nation's capital once again near 92. th's a latoo where the rain and thunderstorms will be, west texas and north texas this afternoon. >>> now, the rest of the week l

bill karins join us.ou were over at the wall looking at the leading edge of this eye wall. >> it's not weakening either. it's just as strong as it was. i don't see any reason why it won't have cat 4-type gusts that are going to come on shore. gabe just said 76 was the highest mile per hour gust we've seen. kerry was elevated a little bit when we had him a couple hours ago when those gusts went through. they're going to end up with like 120. the wind itself is -- again, we're focusing a lot right now on the wind. because the wind is the life threatening thing that's happening now. about an hour or two after the eye goes north, even worse than the wind, is going to be the life threatening portion with the storm surge. we'll talk about that as it begins. i got all our weather producers are monitoring all our tidal gauges. as soon as that comes up, i will let you know immediately. it has not yet. the northern eye, this is where the strongest winds are with this storm. look at the purple in here, this thunders

bill karins will have the latest in just a few moments. >> the uk is waking up with a lower terror threat, dropped from critical to severe after a second arrest was made in friday's subway bombing in london and security will be stepped up as commuters go back to work today. as a possible images of the bombing suspect have surfaced obtain by our broadcast partner. what do we know about this most recent arrest? >> reporter: good morning. the two young men arrested over the weekend are still being questioned by the police and more locations are being searched in connection with the attack even today. now the fact that the authorities lowered the terror threat level means they are confident that they have those responsible in custody. now one of them has been identified as a 21-year-old syrian refugee by the british press but this is not yet been confirmed by the police here. in the meantime, our broadcast partner obtained exclusive cc tv footage. the man is believed to have walked out of the house that belongs to ronald and pinelope jones that offered foster care to refugees. now the couple

. >> let's turn to nbc meteorologist bill karins, that hurricane looks bigger than the island it's headed for. >> yeah, we are only 60 hours away from when florida will get its strongest impacts. we haven't been able to say, you're safe, or we will get a glancing proceed. we have a chance, including the miami area. that's why we are hearing these dire messages for people no get out to safety as you possibly can. 180-mile-an-hour wins, we have two days of a category 5 storm. typically, they're powerful for one, two, the longest ever was three days. we think this will be a category 5 as we go to friday. this will set records for how long it will remain this intense. it will avoid the mountains in hispaniola and cuba t. only thing that will weaken is a northerly sheer. some of the winds will blow and weaken slightly. that's why we think by saturday 8:00 p.m., that itself the key time. when does that turn north occur? if it returns as a forecast that red line, that's the worst case scenario with the eye going through the miami-west patchy, ft. lauderdale area. we want that cone to be further

. >>> let's get a check of your weather with nbc meteorologist bill karins. puerto rico's still in a dire situation. and you're telling me about the relentless heat and humidity that's there. and they're really not getting any relief. i guess the heat index yesterday was 108 degrees in san juan? >> yeah. that was -- i mean, it's not that exceptional, i think florida's the same way this time of year. but think of the many people without power. in dealing with especially the elderly and children and sick, 108, that's in the shade, too. imagine what the apartments feel like so just ugly. today is a little cooler than that. heat index will be about 100 degrees, san juan, right around 96. it's still very uncomfortable. that really hasn't changend and it's not going to either. we're still tracking maria. by the way, it was seven day, a week from now that maria was making landfall in puerto rico. only seven days. think of all. stories and miss ray that's happened. here's the latest. 70-mile-per-hour winds. a tropical storm, about 150 miles due east of cape hatteras.

caribbean with a catastrophically powerful wind right now and let's bring in nbc meteorologist bill karins with a look at where it is now and where it's headed. good morning, ibm. >> overnight we had land fall, 165 mile per hour wind. the island of dominica was literally smack on right in the middle of the eye. so, add that to barbuda and other islands that have been devastated this hurricane season. they are going to need a lot of help. and then deflected a little to the north and the southern end of guadalupe got hit hard. now the storm is starting to move away from the islands. the islands do have mountains. it did weaken it slightly down to 155, that's why it's a cat 4 now, not a cat 5. still extremely dangerous. it could fluctuate between a cat 4 and cat 5 between now and when it gets to puerto rico. it has it going over the east of puerto rico to st. croix. that could be wednesday at 8:00 a.m. that's 24 hours or so from now that that storm maria will be doing the devastation over portions of eastern puerto rico. very close to san juan, too. then the dominican republic and further to

. >> bill karins, the story this morning the unrelenting heat in florida, affecting everyone withoutwer and those affected by irma? yeah, it's cruel. the people without power going on day four without air-conditioning and trying to live in those conditions, the heat index in the early afternoons is getting up near 100 degrees. florida doesn't cool off until october. it will remain hot. even into friday, no changes whatsoever. tampa, other areas around 99. so you get the picture there. as far as other weather concerns, we are watching a lot of rain and cloud left over from irma, western new york is getting soaked pretty good right now. bring your umbrella, all the way through new england. i hate missed scattered showers and storms. that's all from the tropical moisture of what's left from irma. so now let's get into jose. this is a pesky little storm, still remaining a hurricane. it's moving slowly to the west t. forecast overnight has shifted a little closer to the coast again, still off shore, this is the hurricane center just out. it does have it gentleman from a tropical storm bac

i'm ayman mohyeldin alongside my good friend bill karins.nk karen and i today are most inspired by the volunteers. to see the passion and every person should know, even at this difficult time are. >> that was vice president mike pence, of course in flood ravaged texas yesterday assuring the storm victims that the government is there with them and that southeast texas is going to come back. but as those waters slowly start to recede, the incredible scope of that recovery is just beginning to be realized. we're going to go live to texas where the storm has claimed at least 38 lives so far and rescue teams are searching for more survivors. also today, a lot of breakin

bill karins will have the very latest on the hurricane path coming up in just a couple of minutes. >>cheduled in st. louis today. last night assembled for a peaceful night of protest outside the city jail. the past three days saw peaceful protest during the day descend into destruction at night. 123 arrests have been made. several incidents of property damage being reported. follows friday's acquittal of a former st. louis police officer in the 2011 shooting death of a black suspect. >> demonstrations in atlanta over the deadly police shooting over 21-year-old georgia tech student turned violent last night. issued emergency alert urging students to seek shelter. earlier in the evening gathered for a peaceful vigil. police say shot him saturday as walking towards officers with a knife and ignored commands to drop the weapon. >>> now back to top story and president trump will address the united nations general assembly for the very first time later today. north korean crisis as you can imagine will be a main focus on his speech. he will also promote america first doctrine. at the same t

. >>> let's get an update on hurricane maria from nbc meteorologist bill karins. >> unfortunately still in puerto rico, still have at least one area of flash flood warning. the flash flood warning continues. believe it or not, they could get an additional four to eight inches of wran from some way outer bands of maria and that could cause some additional flash flooding concerns. some areas could end one a total of near 40 inches of rain. that's incredible. it's not like houston where it was flat. this is hilly terrain. you can imagine the runoff problems. still hurricane warnings north coast of dominican republic, turks and caicos and southern bahamas. we will be watching the dominican republic improving today as the eye in the center of maria continues to head to the north. right now the worst is over the turks and caicos, they are getting that storm surge currently and this is the possibility of up to nine to twelve foot storm surge. you can imagine the damage that will do. the turks and caicos gets the double whammy there. they of course got hit really hard by incrediblea and now the

let's check in with meteorologist bill karins on the remnants of irma, my friend. >> there is only a little bit left. the rain we're dealing with, the current conditions, 35 mile per hour winds northwest at 15. and now it is just drifting its way through georgia. and we still watch the rain. it's made its way all the way to the mississippi river, through mississippi and also through tennessee. that's kind of rare. you don't usually see that with tropical sis temtz especially heading onto florida. the paths of what's left of it will head up into tennessee, again, the winds won't cause any more issues. we did lose a lot of power in georgia. almost 2 million people lost power just when it was a tropical storm. the rain forecast has bands still bringing heavy rains in the areas from wilmington towards fayetteville and lumberton, rain in mississippi, tupelo, not bearable and those temperatures that are cooler there in arkansas that's when the clouds from irma also. >>> so we're just about done with all the problems. a two-day event of irma and the winds and the surge and it's just about o

be safe, sir. >> thank you. >> thank you for the call. >> bill karins we'll check in with him in the "weather center." he continues to geek out as well. we'll check in with bill on the other side of the break. we'll be with you throughout this storm. this msnbc. as we leave you, some very important phone numbers. these are florida emergency hot lines. this information we also have on our website as well, nbcnews.com. we have these phone numbers and some other very helpful phone numbers and websites. bare sea >>> >>> let's go back to nbc news meteorologist. he's in the msnbc weather service for us. bill, this storm appears to have stald a bit. >> after. we're waiting for the north movement to occur. we know it's coming here, it might as well get it over with. this is cuba, poor cuba, we haven't seen pictures out of it yet. this category 5 storm, then a 4, then a 3, the hurricane has been over cuba almost 24 hours. the eye hasn't become much better defined. two close to land to get its act together. once it starts moving, which it can do any kind. this is like delaying thing. people are

thank you, bill karins. joining us now is chuck lindsey, the city manager of mare thon, florida, which is located in the florida keys. chuck, good to see you. you heard the potentially good news, and it's too early to tell, but potentially good news that the eye of this thing might go west of you guys. there are still some people in the florida keys, though. >> yeah, absolutely, ali. you know, just in marathon alone, remember, it's a long chain of islands. but just in marathon alone, i've got over 30 firefighters. i've got numerous emergency management personnel, and that doesn't count the residents that didn't heed the evacuation orders that we've been giving out for the last three or four days that may still be in their homes. >> there's one road out of the keys onto the mainland. marathon, my guess, is three to five feet above sea level for most of it. is the highway maybe a couple feet above that at best? so you're talking about under ten feet if you're driving around marathon. >> yes, ali. absolutely. t

let's get a quick check on irma with bill karins. >> rivers are still high, but the water is recedingter in their homes or water the on the roads, but it's not worse. it will slowly recede and head out today. and now we need good weather for the cleanup. the army of utility crew workers are heading to the state. so here is what is left before still amazing how wide and huge the circulation is. you don't see a storm that can send clouds all the way back here into oklahoma and kansas and at the same time, the same storm has clouds well off the east coast. even up from philadelphia over to kansas city. that is all from irma. the storm itself is now a depression. and it will drift toward continue s tennessee and then it will die off. rainfall, just this little area here from fayetteville down to wilmington, 2 to 3 inches there. isolated flooding concerns. but the important part is getting to on dry weather here. rest of the country is fine by the way. but for getting the power back on, we don't want to be who hot of course. if you don't have power, you need air conditioning in time in flo

bill karins our meteorologist. we are joined by the mayor of key biscayne, florida, an island just off the coast and south of the city of miami proper in the waters of southeast florida. it sects to the rest of the state via brings and causeways. mayor, how does what you just heard affect at all how you view this storm and your preparation? >> well, i think the idea of how dangerous it is, is relative. this is a monster storm. it's unprecedented and we've never seen a storm like this before. and i'll tell you, to expect over 100-mile-an-hour winds and particularly the storm surge, which we are expecting at high tide during a full moon. so it will be at the peak, is troubling to me, and we take this very seriously. i'm confident that it could be worse and it seems that we are catching a little bit of a break. but this is still a very dangerous storm. >> those of us a certain age remember the first time we heard key biscayne is because richard nixon had a home there. john f. kennedy visited him there. how would you d

i know you'll be tracking it for us, bill karins. i want to go to joe friar now who is in tampa. the mayer who made all these preparations and said they were prepared to get punched in the face and they were relieved to only get a glancing blow. even though they may have dodgeled tdodged the worst, there is still some damage there. overall, how is the city looking in the daylight? >> right now the rain has let up a little which is nice. some cars are starting to venture out. officials aren't really fond of that right now. they've only had a few hours to go out and start assessing the damage. they're seeing a number of trees down. street signs blown into the road and other debris. plus with power out throughout the area, a number of traffic lights are out which can create a dangerous situation. they're still responding to the backlog of 9/11 calls from overnight. they're still urging people to be cautious because there's still a flooding risk today. first, they expect to see some more rain but also marriageirma to send wind to the bay here. that could create a storm surge. this is

i want to start of course with nbc news meteorologist bill karins, who is tracking irma's path. bill, gives the latest. when i talk to people in puerto rico, as worried as they are about having a complete blackout, they feel relieved that this thing has gone north of them. >> an important point. they only missed the eye by about 40 to 50 miles. they got bad winds, but they didn't get devastation. that's what we want for south florida, to get the storm about ho 40 miles off the coast so we only have minor impacts. we don't want the impact we're forecasting. miami is expected to get the worst-case scenario right now. we have 60 hours to change that. well-defined storm, a huge major hurricane, a cat 5 for two straight days, the longest we had in recorded history was three days and we think this could top that. here's the forecast path. 5:00 a.m. from the hurricane center, only two hours away from the new path. they take it right through the florida straits away from cuba, 150 myrrh winds south of miami. they weaken it down about 30 miles per hour from now. but this angle of approach

reporters covering all of this throughout the region, but let's start here with nbc meteorologist bill karins. bill, put up the map. what are we looking at? >> new information in from the hurricane center, we're now down to 145-mile-per-hour winds and also with the storm we're still heading to the north-northwest at 13 miles per hour. it is 15 miles away from san juan, puerto rico. that puts san juan in that northeast quadrant of the strongest winds. that's what we were afraid of, the highly populated areas going through an extended period of the northeast eye. that's what's going to cause the most long-term destruction through there, horrific destruction. the black line shows you the path of the storm. there was the landfall just after 6:00 a.m. right now maria is smack in the middle of the state. i can't show you the radar imagery because the two raiders in puerto rico are done. we're actually in that dreaded blackout period. it's hard to get any phone reception with anyone in puerto rico right now. the raiders are down, all our weather instruments are down. right now we just call this the

bill karins. it's been a surreal september.tracking a significant storm. >> thankfully quiet. florida going to get a tropical wave. done with maria being a hurricane. down to a tropical storm. race out to sea. done with any affects whatsoever. just rip currents at the beaches. careful over the next day or two. now we're going to focus back in the western caribbean. go into october. development region. gulf of mexico or the western caribbean. area of low pressure may try to develop over cuba next five days. 40% chance it could become a tropical depression. even if it does, conditions not favorable for huge storm. rainmaker heading up to florida. rain in the forecast over the next couple of days. texas the worst weather in the country right now is here from dell rio. through new jersey and blue on the map. even snow in the area of the central rockies. that time of year. during the day today, umbrella area for texas, new mexico. continue up there in colorado too. rainfall totals shouldn't be too bad. flood watches in effect. right

we want to go to meteorologist bill karins who has been standing by. bill. >> good morning the storm is finally winding itself down. it is still a huge tropical storm. that will be the legacy of the storm. today we have life-threatening weather in the jacksonville area a. lot of bad flooding. near record flooding on the st. john's river t. heavy rain bands have continued into northeast florida and the storm surge of that on shore flow in areas of georgia and even south carolina will cause storm surge flooding issues as we go throughout the day today. i know in charleston, they're expecting this afternoon to have water high as well as matthew. it was that big huge hurricane, this is weakening. we are down to a low hurricane 1. if there are gusts left, cedar key north of tampa, a little area in hernando county t. windfield goes 160 miles. this is all yellow, if rule of thumb, few get inside the tropical storm force winds, you have a chance of losing power. here it is on radar. there are a lot of tornado warnings with that, a lot of heavy rain and flash fl

we want to go to meteorologist bill karins who has been standing by. bill. >> good morning the storm is finally winding itself down. it is still a huge tropical storm. that will be the legacy of the storm. today we have life-threatening weather in the jacksonville area a. lot of bad flooding. near record flooding on the st. john's river t. heavy rain bands have continued into northeast florida and the storm surge of that on shore flow in areas of georgia and even south carolina will cause storm surge flooding issues as we go throughout the day today. i know in charleston, they're expecting this afternoon to have water high as well as matthew. it was that big huge hurricane, this is weakening. we are down to a low hurricane 1. if there are gusts left, cedar key north of tampa, a little area in hernando county t. windfield goes 160 miles. this is all yellow, if rule of thumb, few get inside the tropical storm force winds, you have a chance of losing power. here it is on radar. there are a lot of tornado warnings with that, a lot of heavy rain and flash fl

. >>> let's get a check of your weather with nbc meteorologist bill karins. ll, looks like a nice day here in new york. >> yeah, many areas are actually looking very good. we do have still the leftover moisture from irma. and the track of clouds for the next two days. and the annoying storm jose, five, ten days, yeah, i said annoying for a reason. irma is still spinning over tennessee, some showers through nashville and paducah. that will be about it. it drift torltdz thwards the ea. 87 in minneapolis. few spots 90 in south dakota. 91, dallas, san antonio very hot at 96. still thinking about people without power in southern florida and georgia. it gets very hot in those houses even with the doors open. interior sections of florida will be in the 90s. it is a little humid. it's very uncomfortable in florida this time of year. september is still very much a summer month. where irma is located, 60s today with all of the clouds. d.c., slight chance of a shower today, about 81 degrees. so, let's take you through the timing of how we're going to deal with as we go t

. >>> let's get a check on the weather with bill karins.cal depression that's forming near florida, looks like the rest of the country is gearing up for nice fall weekend. >> most states are going to have one gorgeous day, some will have two, florida is the exception. still locked in the possibly of the tropical depression. in other words, it's either going to form in the next two days or won't at all. system is located near the keys. not well organized. computers don't think it's going to become a big deal. if we start tracking it officially or not. it's going to be the same. development zone is bahamas and east coast of florida. east coast of florida is going to have rip currents this weekend. large waves. not going to want to be at the beaches anyway. here's how we go throughout the day today, most of the rain in south florida as we start the day. bring that north wards throughout the sunshine state. not going to pour all day long. periods of rain. a lot of moisture. kind of humid. cold front stalled out to the front. didn't make it to f

now let's bring in our meteorologist, bill karins. ey still making trouble in places like tennessee. >> new pictures from nashville. this is south of nashville. last night heavy rain caused flash flooding. look at this. more vehicles got flooded out. office of emergency management reports 20 to 25 water rescues needed with water in homes. there are people in an emergency shelter in tennessee in nashville nashville from a heavy rain from harvey. this is day six or seven in a row of dealing with this storm and causing problems like this from texas now through tennessee. what do we have to worry about today? now that we're watching in kentucky, heavy rainfall across the bowling green area north toward louisville. bowling green under the flash flood warning. roads will be like what you saw, especially in low lying area. turn around, don't drown, don't drive through it. then the next storm, this is going to get a lot of buzz. it's going to be a huge storm, maybe category 4 throughout the holiday weekend. it's still four or five days away fr

we want to go right to bill karins for the very latest. bill? >> when they say people won't be able to return to their homes for weeks, maybe even months. that's how serious it is. that's because of the wind damage and the possibility of the storm surge could even wipe away buildings that are existing on the coastline. overnight not a lot changed with this storm. we want to show you comparison images. hurricane andrew 25 years agos the storm of record. that had 16 mile-an-hour winds. right now irma is about twice the size. it could be andrew-like but bigger. a lot of the northern islands, we still have this horrendous video, barbuda, they say 65% of the homes can't be occupied. this is before the eye went over the turks and caicos for four straight hours. we're still waiting for reports and at daylight we can find out just how bad ffs as they went through the northern eye wall. here's the latest on the storm. there's the clear eye. the thing that developed last night is it was start to develop an eye wall replacement sickle. there as a nashville

we want to go to miami -- oh, actually, we have bill karins. he has been working tire lessless in harvey and irma. do we have a new update? >> yeah, and they didn't change much. we were worrying about the intensity. what will they do now that the eye is off the coast of cuba. how intense can it get in 24 hours. here is the brand new path. and they have it almost going over the to which of key west, this is at 2:00 a.m. at 135 miles an hour. so that is not much strong are than it is now. so the keys will get the equivalent of a strong category 3. and then we have this painful wait of about 12 hours as the eye will be offshore not doing much damage. and then it gets -- my finger is right where marco eye land is. naples is right here and then we head up toward ft. myers. that is the right side, the dirty side of the storm at 140 miles per hour cat 4, that is where we'll get the worst of the wind damage, storm surge, the homes completely destroyed. and that damage will be taking place. so 2:00 p.m. is when the eyewall will be over them. so you have

. ♪ >>> nbc meteorologist bill karins is at the msnbc weather center. latest on hurricane irma? >> good evening, lawrence. there's no good information coming out. a lot of the evening models continue. our thoughts are with the turks and caicos. look at the eye of the hurricane just breaking the islands here for the last four straight hours in that northern portion of the eye wall. they never got the calm of the eye. so let's go show you the wider view. one thing to notice, look how much wider and bigger the storm got. the cloud field just really expanding. the storm is breathing. it's not really showing any signs of weakening whatsoever. that's more bad news. as i said, i don't have anything good to report for the state of florida. 175-mile-per-hour winds continues. there's 55 miles west-west of grand turk island. next it will be into the southern bahamas. we're waiting for a new update from the hurricane center. we'll be getting that shortly. i want to show you that forecast path. it does take it 2:00 p.m. near miami as a category 4, then straight up t

nbc meteorologist bill karins standing by. we're done with mayor. jose, those trending towards the coast. could be feasibly a threat. >> here's the latest. 70 mile-per-hour winds. tropical storm. this was the 5:00 a.m. advisory. about 510 miles to the south-southwest of bermuda. here we go. this is the new forecast path from the national hurricane center. overnight trends are once again to the west and closer to the coast. this is the cone of uncertainty. we've learn you don't have to pay attention the centerline. the cone is determined by the average forecast air and when you get out here about five days the forecast air is about 250 miles in elter direction. for the first time with jose in the cone of uncertainty is the outer banks, ocean city, jersey shore, new york city, long island, connecticut, rhode island and southern portions of massachusetts. the reason why is because our computer models overnight trended a little bit closer towards the coast here as we take the lines to the north. here's our squiggly lines. our different computer models t

nbc meteorologist bill karins is standing about i. already so much destruction in the wake of this hurricane, bill, and then really looking ahead, so many americans want to know what's going to happen this weekend? >> and it's going to be such a hard call. i mean, the difference in that turn for south florida of about 20 miles will be the difference between billions of dollars of disaster and a glancing blow with minor problems for miami, west palm beach, fort lauderdale. it's going to be almost a repeat of what we had with matthew last year. that was a huge piece too. it just missed and hit the bahamas. you can still see the storm is now pulling away from puerto rico who at a glancing blow category one or two. a million people without power on the island. here's the update. still amazing. now a two-day straight here of category five strike. typically the storms only maintain category five status for maybe one day, two days. the record is three days. the next big one will be 11:00 a.m. this morning. it does take it clear of the mountai

we'll go straight to meteorologist bill karins with a check on the storm's latest track. bill. >> power knocked out. roof damage done, structural damages beginning as the strongest weekends are moving on shore in puerto rico. overnight, can you see the storm, 124-mile-per-hour winds in st. croix. now the storm is about to make landfall. let's get into the zoomed in radar. you see san juan to the north here. then the storm, can you see the center of it. now beginning to come on shore here, it has winds of 150 miles per hour. because of what we call an eyewall siej the center weakened last night. it's a 154 cat 4. this is regarded as the strongest storm to move into puerto rico since 1928. this will leave extreme damage. we are concerned what will happen with the northerly path around san juan in the populated area. tammy. you had a wind gust of 92 miles per hour t. wind center was knocked out at the airport. i imagine you are feeling it? >> reporter: oh, bill, we are feeling it. no doubt about that. we had to move in out of the elements a little bit because trees have been

i want to go back to nbc's bill karins. it with precise detail, the timeline earlier in the hour. what do you have for us now? >> i'm very concerned with our friends in cuba. that's been the million-dollar question, how bad will the storm be in cuba? i want to show you the visible satellite imagery. it goes black as the sun set, but look at the eye, really closing in on the cuba coastline. this is going to be raking the coastline of north cuba. we haven't really talked much about the effects of the storm on cuba, but they could be just as devastating, especially if we continue this westward drift. very scary and nervous times for the north coast of central cuba and all the way up through the northern portions. the hurricane center here is assuming this storm will not weaken that much over cuba. there's still a chance it could. that could be one of the saving graces for florida. we're going to assume at this point it doesn't weaken over cuba. that leads us to two things that are going to cause the most damage, the storm surg

nbc meteorologist bill karins continues with more. what's irma up to?it's not going to go harmlessly out to sooer. that's the big message, unfortunately. it looks like someone is going to have to deal with it. i wish hi the exact location in the u.s. that's going to have deal with it, but that's still going to be determined in the days ahead. we do know our friends in the islands, the northern care bean eelds, and puerto rico and the virgin islands will have to deal with the storms. right now the storm is continuing on a due westward track. a little south of that. 120-mile-per-hour winds. it's only 600 miles away from antigua and bermuda. this was the 5:00 a.m. forecast path from the hurricane center. the updates come every six hours. 11:00 a.m. eastern coast time will be the next one, and notice category four near the northern islands here. very close call for our friends in puerto rico. you have about two days to make all your preparations that you need for the possibility of a category four hurricane making a direct impact. puerto rico, you're the fi