i want to go back to bill karins here. bill, you think the worst is over? >> yeah.g back to moore, oklahoma. that was 2012, i believe, or 2013. we are not going to see anything like this the rest of the day. we may get isolated damage here and there. this was a big tornado that was on the ground for a long time. these long track nocturnal tornadoes scare meteorologists. where we are on the calendar. we have a lot of darkness. sun was setting in most locations. 4:00 p.m. to 5:00 p.m. last night. tornadoes at night. typically you don't get the warning you would during the daytime. i have to give some credit. i know storm chasers saved a lot of lives. storm chasers put themselves in very dangerous positions trying to track this tornado last night. the fact we have as many images of the tornado we have is incredible. it is not like western kentucky is flat. there are hilly areas. they only knew where the tornado was, a, based on radar on phones or laptops in the cars, and, b when the lightning would flash where the lightning illuminates the sky and we see the wedge or s

want to bring in bill karins now. you're monitoring what could be more scary weather across the midwest. damaging winds and chance for more tornadoes as early as today. what more can you tell us about that? >> it's absolutely incredible we're dealing with a storm scenario today, only five days after what happened in kentucky. we could see pictures, you know, maybe not exactly similar. hopefully not as bad. but we could see damage, significant damage from the storm system today. this is one of the powerful storms you'll see over land. yes, we get hurricanes that are stronger, but as far as storms go over land, this is as powerful as it gets. sucking up warm, humid air from the gulf of mexico. temperatures at this hour are 72 degrees ten days before christmas in iowa. that is extremely unusual. they broke their record high, by the way, at 5:00 a.m. this morning before the sun even rose. this looks like a map you would see in april or may, the peak tornado months. that's what we're expecting. a moderate risk of severe we

i want to go to meteorologist bill karins. bill, 32 tornadoes that we know of that touched down. the circumstances for more tornadoes continues to exist. >> yeah, we have the potential. we haven't had confirmed tornadoes or reported tornadoes since about 1:00 a.m. in the morning. most of the damage that you are seeing was done by one long track tornado. you will hear a lot of reports today. this was on the ground for over 200 miles. the thunderstorm that produced the tornado was showing the potential for producing a tornado for roughly four hours. i know about 250 miles through four states. that is almost unheard of. we don't know exactly if the tornado was on the ground, lifted and came back down and on the ground again. we will find that out with the official surveys. regardless, we know for portions of the tornado's life, it was extremely violent. that is the ef-4 and ef-5. we haven't had an ef-5 in the country for years. ef-5s are ones where all you see left is the cement on the ground. foundation of the house. that's it. if a roof and structure remaining, it is lower than an

meteorologist bill karins live with us now. bill, i know they're still trying to work out the intensity, but there's a chance this series of storms breaks some record in term of power and path >> yeah. without a doubt, tyler we're still getting the numbers in we've already had 26 confirmed tornadoes. we know that at least five of them have been what they consider ef-5 tornadoes. the first thing, the big thing that stands out is the number of fatalities that we have. the governor came out and said that they have 74 fatalities this makes this tornado the second deadliest in concern tucky history already. with dozens more missing, we know this is going to go up to number one eventually. look at the years. not only were they in the springtime 1917, 1925 the modern era when we have technology to warn us, this is an incredibly high number of fatalities it's not like this was a surprise they have 25 minute lead time. as far as the fujita scale goes, that ef-3, that had 165-mile-an-hour winds we didn't see any ef-4 or ef-5 we haven't h

bill karins, the 247-foot cup snake is proof that america is already great.ime for the weather. give us the forecast there, the christmas tree, as we noted is being lit this evening just outside of rockefeller plaza. what's the weather look like here and across the rest of the country? >> yeah. i don't know when the whole cup snake really started. there's the tree. you know, lights will go on later on tonight. you can see the wind's blowing there a little bit on the plaza. so weather forecast is good today. some years, it's raining, snowing and the performances outside aren't very good. today should be a great show. let's get to december. yes, welcome to december. here's your december outlook, overall, temperatures are starting very mild. and it looks like much of the country will see above average temperatures. if you're not covered in blue, that means you're not going to be below average, or just regular earth shades. drier than normal is what we want in areas of southern california. especially for december, when you got wet weather there, pacific northwest

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i want to go back to bill karins. it is december. this is an unusual time for tornadoes like this to be hitting. >> extremely rare, and in this portion of the country where we have kentucky, it just doesn't happen and occasionally yes, we can get them in the north florida panhandle and maybe louisiana, alabama, mississippi, possibly arkansas, but this is one of the strongest, late year tornado outbreaks we've ever seen and it could likely go down as one of the top ten deadliest tornado outbreaks we've ever seen in this country. i'm watching these pictures and we're desperately trying to get these videos cleared, ali. even while i'm talking, ali. go on my twitter account and look at what we will follow. he had a drone and we're just in the works and getting that all done. i don't know if this town of mayfield is going to be the same. it went through the downtown area and it's not just the factory. just a quick glance i'd say a quarter of the town, people won't be able to liver in the structures they were living in before, not to menti

that's right >>> let's check in with bill karins for another look at the weather. ial day weekend forecast that's how unusually crazy warm this is going to be. besides the whole climate crisis angle of this, the covid angle is let's open the windows, get outside. meeting with those families. i mean look at the warmth today we have 50s once again in iowa 70s in texas it's going to be near record highs for day after day as we go into christmas eve, we're going to see 70s as far north as amarillo look at wichita falls, texas, 84 degrees. you're almost turning the air conditioner on at that point a line fro denver, kansas city, st. louis, all the way over towards nashville, charlotte, richmond, d.c. southward, you can christmas barbecue outside without question very comfortably you're not going to get wet. temperatures are going to be in the 60s, 70s and in some cases in texas, you're going to be in the 80s. i know that austin is going to be possibly 84 degrees on christmas day. yes, it won't feel like christmas, but you can be outdoors that's always fun. and you can do

nbc news meteorologist bill karins is back with the latest. ng you see a slab of concrete and then in the distance on the edge of the property you see the trees with what was left of the house in them, and that's when you know you've just dealt with an incredibly powerful storm, and i don't know, it's going to take a while to even figure out who's missing from these homes. >> right. >> i wouldn't be surprised if the death toll numbers go up not just during the day today but sunday, maybe even into monday because it's going to take that long to figure out who was where and what was supposed to be where. so let me just give you the overview first. this was a well-advertised storm. we knew we were going to get some tornados. did we know it was going to be this bad? you never hope so, at least we knew there was the possibility of strong tornados. we had 32 tornado reports. there were a bunch around the st. louis area, a couple in arkansas. we know the nursing home was hit there, two people died in that nursing home. there was like 40 beds that were

let's go to meteorologist bill karins. bill, what's it looking like out there?n, but we still have very non-december kind of weather out there, and then we'll return to normal december weather in the days ahead. we're worried about arkansas, worried about isolated severe storms. we still have that warm air in place. some areas did get hit last friday from severe weather. i do not expect the severe weather outbreak we had last friday. maybe an isolated tornado or two. you have oklahoma and a sliver of arkansas. you could see flash flooding. today's forecast, we're still very warm on the eastern seaboard. 60 again in new york city, 62 in d.c. we had about 36 record-highs yesterday, especially in the northeast. we're definitely colder in the northern plains. look at billings, 12 degrees, minneapolis, 24. there's winter finally returning to where it should be. as we head into the weekend, a little bit of a snow convenient for you. not a lot, but a couple of inches through northern new england. great for ski country. we're going to deal with rain again in the southea

and let's go to meteorologist bill karins. , it's certainly getting cold and blustery in the northeast. that's not where our attention is focused. i know there's a big-time storm out in hawaii. >> yeah. some areas of hawaii are going to end up with one to two feet of rain by the time this is over. they call them kona lows. you may have seen the pictures on social media, the snow on top of like the two volcanic peaks that are about 13,000 feet. that happens every now and then. that's not the biggest thing. but the thing impacting where people live is the heavy rain. it's not able to drain away fast enough. these are pictures from waikiki. the big island toward maui is getting a bit of a break now. it's still pouring this morning as we go throughout the overnight hours here in hawaii. the storm will slowly pull away today, but a lot of the damage is being done now with flash flood warnings still up. so let's return to the lower 48. we had a pretty dramatic storm that swept all the way off the east coast last night. we had a confi

and let's go to meteorologist bill karins for the forecast. runner-up for that competition in the marathon. how does it look out there? >> yeah, i saw that, too. i saw that the vegas odds favor tampa versus new england for the super bowl. do you believe that? >> if that happened bill -- bill, if that were to happen, it would put tom brady, my guy, versus bill belichick, my coach, i'd probably be in a medically induced coma for two weeks and just miss the whole thing. >> yeah, you wouldn't be alone. >>> so, we were talking the last couple of days that there's a little snow heading to east coast. at least a chance of it, the big city you may see flakes in d.c., baltimore. i don't think you'll see flakes in new york and possibly philadelphia. the only accumulating snow we're going to get is interior sections of new england. especially northern portions of new england and the northeast. hartford and boston. will you see rainy conditions in the southeast. it's still cold through minneapolis up through the great lakes. then as we go throughout thurs

let's go to meteorologist bill karins for the forecast. what's it looking like out there, bill?the northeast, especially new england who got a coating of snow. many roads are reported as icy. especially the bridges. they were melted and now refrozen. be careful out there? there? new england. >>> it's bringing a little bit of rain and a little bit of snow. it will get stronger as it begins to move across the country. this is one of our biggest storms we've had yet. we're finally getting snow in the mountains of utah and colorado as we go through tonight and tomorrow. and then there's going to be a heavy band through nebraska, possibly sioux city north of omaha. minneapolis could get into the mix on this one. the snow forecast, once you get into the blue colors, that's 3 to 6 inches. pink and purple, 9 to 12 inches. a few areas, especially the mountains to the west are going to get a good deal of snow. south of minneapolis north of sioux city and north of wisconsin, that's a 6- to 12-inch swath of snow also. there could be a warm side to it. we could be dealing with tornados frida

msnbc meteorologist bill karins is here to help us understand just what happened. er and over and over again. what do we know about what laid the groundwork for this unique storm and the role climate change might have played? >> yeah, i mean, chris, typically when we talk about tornados our peak tornado month is may, and then april and june. we usually call that our tornado season before we get into like hurricane season, but in each fall there's typically a week or two that we will get severe weather events. but you know, usually they're smaller than this, and usually they're not this deadly either. you know, sometimes you just get unlucky. you get a big huge tornado and it goes through a town. this one was on the ground for possibly over 200 miles. we know from the press conference this morning that kentucky's had at least 64 deaths. this one already is the third deadliest tornado in kentucky's history. look at all the other months, may and march dates are on that list. we don't yet know how strong the one tornado was that went through mayfield. they've out doing

bill karins, great to see you. hope you have had a great weekend.t the rest of the country. >> tell you first about the tornados and the set up and then the warmth. one of the reasons that we had this incredible tornado outbreak in the middle of december is because it's been like october. it's been so warm and we haven't had the snow and that's one of the reasons why. so, when you see all these pictures out there, you know, the enhancement of the scale is how we rate tornadoes. we can tell by estimate by how much the trees are damaged or houses off their foundations and how strong some of these were. a couple that came in at ef-3. the amazon warehouse 165-mile-per-hour winds. the one that hit mayfield we know at least an ef-3 likely an ef-4 and bringing in some experts to make sure it is not an ef-5. those are the rare ones. winds over 206 miles per hour. the last ef-5 we had in this country you had to go back to 2013. it's been a long time since we had one that strong. it's possible this one could get there, but most likely an ef-4. and the last ti

let's go to meteorologist bill karins.atching kentucky and other states dig out from terrible devastation from those tornadoes. give us the latest as to what things are looking like around the country. >> yeah. the west coast is having this huge storm, too, so, yeah, the weather doesn't stop. it just keeps churning out. this storm in the west has delivered. i mean, this is exactly what we wanted. i haven't heard too much about structures or mudslides or debris. that's food. we had almost 3 inches of rain in san francisco. today los angeles is going to get it. this is gold. the mountains have picked up 2 to 4 feet of snow, so this is the big storm they were hoping they would get. as the rain continues today, it will push further to the south. so we still have some flood threats out there, about 13 million people impacted from santa barbara to san diego to oceanside. it does not include downtown l.a., but the mountains outside of l.a., we have to worry about some of those burn scars that we could get mud and debris flows. ag

. >>> time now for the weather, let's go to meteorologist bill karins for the forecast. >> jonathan, unfortunately, is going to be an extremely dangerous day. today is one of the more dynamic and explosive storms we've ever seen in december in the middle of the country. i mean, this is just going to be a wild day. just wait till i show you the pictures tomorrow what happens today. the storm is moving through utah. this is unlike any december storm we've ever had in the northern plains. we have a moderate risk of severe weather. yes, another severe weather outbreak in december. and this time, we're talking iowa and minnesota. ten days before christmas. that area of red most at risk. we expect severe wind gusts throughout that area, with widespread damage, even the possibility of a few more tornadoes. so, again, we're really talking to areas of omaha, to south of minneapolis, des moines, mesa city, up towards lacrosse. make sure you have a weather plan and safe area to be later tonight. this will be a whether event like kentucky. minnesota has never had a confirmed event i

bill karines is tracking it in the weather center. >> bill, there's no meteorologist alive that has seentorm like this in december in the plains april? sure middle of december, no way the all-time temperature in des moines this story was hit and they broke their daily record high at 6:00 a.m. in the morning. that was the first indication, wow, this is going to be an insane-type day. let's update you on what happened so far. since the severe outbreak began around 2:00, 3:00 in the afternoon, we had ten reports of tornadoes. we don't get confirmation until the next couple of days. we have not heard of tornadoes that have gone through towns and destroyed them like last friday but regardless tens of thousands of troongds, high winds are causing enough damage as a weak tornado anyways. we have over 146 -- all of the blue icons on there, reports of high winds, anywhere from 60 to 80-mile-per-hour winds widespread and i mentioned some up there 90 to 107 miles an hour omaha, you're now safe the highest winds have moved through. they're over the top of kansas city as we speak des moines, you don'

i'm joined by bill karins to show us what led to the devastating weather event.ministrator not exactly answer when i asked if she saw climate change fingerprints on this. you do. walk me through happened here. >> right. well, i do know the research, but i can't say that i do know this event is tied to climate. that's -- >> right. of course. >> that's why she hesitated on it also. the fact of the matter is that tornadoes are small. they are not large. they're not even -- they're so small compared to hurricanes or heat waves. things we can more easily attribute to climate change. with tornadoes, the sample size is kind of small, and the evidence just hasn't been there saying it's definitely because our warming planet which yes, we are warming our planet. no doubt. but is it increasing the tornadoes and the intensity of the tornadoes? the science isn't there that says that is happening. so that's kind of that. one thing on this event, though, i will kind of update you on is how rare it is. and it's still extremely historic. deadly. we know we've had at least 64 deat

bill karins, is this what you're talking about? it's delaying the openings of some popular ski resorts we'll tell you what is being done now to try and salvage the season but first, this is "today" on >>> coming up, pearl harbor 80 years later. >> on this eve of the anniversary, harry smith shares his trim to the memorial and the impressions during that surprise attack but first, your local news ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ experience the power of sanctuary at the lincoln wish list event. ♪♪ ♪♪ dear ms, from day one you've tried to define me. but i never invited you in. it's my life and this is my journey. i've found a way to do things differently with ocrevus, an infusion treatment that's 2-times-a-year. for adults with relapsing or primary progressive forms of multiple sclerosis, ocrevus is proven effective in reducing relapses in rms and slowing disability progression in rms and ppms. don't take ocrevus if you've had a life-threatening allergic reaction to it, or have hepatitis b. tell your doctor about vaccinations or if you've had

bill karins hey, bill. >> hey, good morning i'd like to -- we all take a deep breath. do have weather of concern, so far, so good tornadoes are possible all of our friends from orlando to tampa, southward. the storm moving through earlier this morning you see the lightning strikes in sarasota that will sweep on through again, isolated tornados, hopefully noll like we saw last week, but there is at least a chance of that as far as that, 10:00 a.m., fort myers, naples and marco island we have 8 million people included in the enters of yellow of intervention. we see it spreading northward, umbrella day in coastal carolinas and virginia and tomorrow, watch out those in maine. snow for you that's a look at the national forecast i am meteorologist, kari hall. we are under a microclimate weather alert as we get ready for the incoming storm that will bring the north bay rain later this morning into the afternoon, and most of the bay area seeing rain later on today. as we welcome in the first day of winter, we will see rain on and often into early next week. we will see tempera

. >>> time now for the weather, and let's go to meteorologist bill karins. ke out there for today and the weekend? >> yeah. the weekend forecast doesn't look too much different to how it's been lately, but the warmth is just incredible. yesterday it was 72 in denver once again, and we're going to continue with more record-highs. it's just pretty ridiculous it's the third day of december, and temperatures look more like october across the map. 70s as far north as raleigh. d.c. will be near 60. kansas city and st. louis, a mild day. these temperatures are 20 to 30 degrees warmer than they should be in the middle of the country. saturday things begin to cool off a little bit. temperatures in the 70s and 60s. how does the weekend shape up as far as wet weather goes? here's the forecast for today. not a lot of travel programs coast to coast. new england, it's cooler. you may have heard winds gusting. boston, a little chilly. minneapolis, a slight chance of showers. the weekend forecast, the southern half is pretty quiet. we'll see a snowstorm across the canadian b

. >> bill karins, i don't know much, but i don't believe it should be 56 degrees in burlington, vermont ahead, despite criticizing president biden's relief bill as wasteful, many republicans are championing state funding by that same money. >>> before we go to break, we want to know why are you awake? email your reasons to waytooearly@msnbc.com or tweet me #jonlemire. don't put an "h" there. we'll read our favorite answers later in the show. we'll read our favorite answers later in the show. zero heartburn. because life starts when heartburn stops. take the challenge at prilosecotc dot com. find your rhythm. your happy place. find your breaking point. then break it. every emergen-c gives you a potent blend of nutrients so you can emerge your best with emergen-c. [music: "i swear"] jaycee tried gain flings for the first time the other day... and forgot where she was. you can always spot a first time gain flings user. ♪ wow... that's so nice! is that a photo of tepechitlan? yeah! the gift of ancestry®, is a walk through your history. do you remember who this is? it's a gift that surprises

. >> joining me now is meteorologist bill karins.gh western kentucky, with where they are in the recovery efforts, how problematic could this be? >> obviously it's going to stall progress. the thing they're concerned about is minor flash flooding. if it rains hard enough, some of the storm drains where there's debris all over the place, could get clogged. this has been extreme weather for december. look at they temperatures. we've already set report highs in new york city, washington, d.c., raleigh, we're one degree away from a record high in charleston. it's just as warm in areas like texas, still. 75 degrees in dallas. if it's the bluer colors, it's been colder than normal, most of the country has much warmer than normal. so the severe weather outbreak one week ago today, we ended up with about 70 records, and then just two days ago, with that -- 434 wind reports of damage or high winds, 27 tornadoes, includes our first-ever tornado in minnesota in debits. one of the reasons we can make a link is what we call a la nina. that brings

. >>> time now to the weather and our own buzzer beater, bill karins. out there? >> it doesn't look as exciting as that. what's better than a buzzer beat never college. i don't know. is baseball better with a walk-off homer? i don't think so. >> they're both good choices, but i will say seeing the fans rush the court like that, i got a little covid concern. go ahead, bill. >> i know. that, too, right? it will never be the same. >>> let's get into this forecast. a very tirch forecast. we've got a snowstorm to talk about and severe weather, maybe tornadoes. winter storm warnings in rockies in colorado. minneapolis will get inon the activity. denver's not really going to see much snow out of this. there the snow drought continues. as far as severe weather goes, heads-up to my friends in northern mississippi, louisville, cincinnati. keep that in mind tornadoes are possible. we could hit 70 in washington, d.c., on saturday, and sunday's a little quieter. it's almost like a springlike weather pattern in december. >> we're two weeks from christmas, and we're t

bill karins. mump. >>> nato allies look for ways to keep vladimir putin from invading ukraine. former nato supreme james stavridis is joining the table and a potential of a new cold war. and donald trump is swooning over those love letters he received from kim jong-un. we'll play it for you when we come back on "morning joe." ♪♪ ♪ >> man: what's my safelite story? i spend a lot of time in my truck. it's my livelihood. ♪ rock music ♪ >> man: so i'm not taking any chances when something happens to it. so when my windshield cracked... my friend recommended safelite autoglass. they came right to me, with expert service where i needed it. ♪ rock music ♪ >> man: that's service i can trust... no matter what i'm hauling. right, girl? >> singers: ♪ safelite repair, safelite replace. ♪ ray loves vacations. but his diabetes never seemed to take one. everything felt like a 'no'. everything. but then ray went from no to know. with freestyle libre 2, now he knows his glucose levels when he needs to. and... when