. >>> we are going straight to bill karins. msnbc's meteorologist. nbc news meteorologist for the latest on the situation there. bill, what can we expect now in florida? >> this is when all the damage is happening. we can't show you where the worst storm surge is. but we know it is moving in. we have had reports of a ten- foot storm surge in sarasota. as we go down the coast, all the way to naples, it's been at least five to six foot storm surge. that is higher than helene in most cases so we have new significant damage that is being done tonight. as the storm is moving inland. the winds are still pushing that water against the coast. it is still rushing in. the other thing you will notice, the black line is the center. just north of the center which has been the past five hours over tampa, torrential rain. we are talking two to three inches per hour. now that is starting to slide along i-4. that will head toward winter haven and south of orlando. you can see, very rare i get this purple on the map. cam pa, your rainfall rate will slowly diminish. you

now let's turn to nbc news meteorologist bill karins. what can you tell us about hurricane milton's path at this hour? >> alex, we're at that point in the storm we know destruction is happening. k we can't show it because it's too dangerous to be there and there's no power inec those are. once the storm is gone and helicopters are up there showing us the destruction we actually realize how bad it is on the ground. we've had unconfirmed reports of a 10 foot storm surge, and in naples confirmed of a 5 foot storm surge. some of these areas are going to be hit for a second time and in some cases worse. we had on extreme wind warning. we had winds gusting 100 to 90 miles an hour to tampa to st. petersburg. that number is growing quickly with those extreme winds. there is the storm surge still going up. tampa bay had no storm surge at all. these numbers are negative because the wind is actually taking the water from the bay and sending it out to sea. as we go through the current gusts, 90 in st. petersburg, 82 in tampa. typically you start to

let's turn to meteorolgist bill karins, what can you tell us about hurricane milton's path at this hour but it made landfall? >> were at the point of the storm we know there's destruction happening, we can't show it because it is too dangerous to be there and everyone evacuated from those areas. there is no power at the areas anyways, it is not until the sun comes up in the storm is gone and helicopter showing us the destruction that we realize how bad it is on the ground. unconfirmed reports of 10 foot storm surge south of sarasota. in naples, confirmed five foot storm surge so there will be damage in all of those areas. those areas from helene five to seven feet, some areas hit a second time and in some cases, worse. extreme wind warning, wind gust 90 to 100 monon hours the last two or three are from tampa to bradenton to st. petersburg, a lot of population centers here. three-quarters of 1 million people without power and that number is growing quickly with extreme winds. there's the storm surge still going up, onshore flow continues, tampa bay had no storm surge at all, the winds ar

i want to bring back nbc news meteorologist, bill karins.e us the latest. >> yeah, we must have had about 105 miles per hour wind gusts there at tropicana field in st. petersburg, home of the rays. yeah, it just tore the roof apart. it was like a canvas type roof that it was reported, but it should have been graded higher than that. they will need to figure out what happened. st. petersburg right here, the epic center of the incredible heavy rain event. one part as you notice with helene and a lot of our storms, they're delivering more rain. that's what climate change teaches us. we are getting these storms that are doing more things like this. now we're up to 18 inches plus rain in st. petersburg with this storm alone in the last 24 hours. five inches fell between 8:00 to 9:00 p.m. classified as a 1 in 1,000-year rainfall event in st. petersburg. going into every year, the odds of this happening are like .01. so as far as, you know, what's going to happen the rest of the night, the rainfall is letting up. there's a chance they could get ove

. >>> let's go right to nbc news meteorologist bill karins to give us the update on hurricane milton in florida. bill? >> lawrence, milton is causing chaos through 40. it's not just isolated were made landfall. all along the i-4 corridor to daytona beach we have 102 mile- per-hour wind gusts in sarasota. the backside of the storm has a stinging wind with it. and now, this whole entire region, including st. petersburg, tampa, all under a flash flood emergency. flash flood emergencies are issued when we know for a fact that we have water threatening lives. water in homes, water through towns. this is from the storm surge. this from an epic amount of rain that has been falling. insane petersburg we have a report of 16 inches of rain so far with the storm. between 8:00 and 9:00 p.m., five inches of rain fell. that rate of rain equals a one in 1000 year event. that's how rare that is. so the storm is tracking just south of i -- i-4. it will be a orlando around 4:00 in the morning. as we tracked over the last two hours, no south of tampa, southeast of tampa, this pink is where the epic rain

bill karins is tracking those for us, bill, what are you watching and how likely that these systems could about. >> this is where we are, a graph that shows when storms typically form, that's june down here and this is december 1st, the peak of the hurricane center is september 10th, we're right here, roughly about 15 to 20% of the named typical systems left, you know, this little piece here through the october/november, we've had some big storms at end of october. huge impact storms. one, 20% of development off the coast of honduras and when have this 40% area, it looks healthier today heading toward puerto rico, possibly toward the dominican republic, it's heading to dry air, talk to anyone on the east coast, fall is in the air, cold front is coming off the east coast, very rare for a system in this location to make it to the east coast and all our computer models that try to develop it they kind of bend it to the south here and weaken it toward cuba, haiti, nothing brings it toward the u.s. our computer models end here because they think it's going to diss dissipate. >> bill karins, th

bill karins, thank you very much. are at the brunt of this and how are people preparing? >> preparations look like things we have and haven't seen before. we are in evacuation zone a and of course, we have some time yet until milton makes landfall wherever it makes landfall. further down, this is where we saw a lot of flooding with hurricane helene just over a week ago. so we're seeing the things we normally expect with hurricane preparations. of course, sandbagging. we talked about the evacuation orders and the evacuation zones, but something that i think is unique here. remember, the timeliness of all of this. it was just over a week ago that hurricane helene wreaked havoc and it didn't make a direct hit here and it was 100 miles off of the shore and in this entire region they felt the impacts of it and even from that far away and the flooding wreaked havoc on communities that are so vulnerable, jose. so that's one important thing to remember and people are taking this more seriously because they saw what helene did

bill karins is with us now. >> we've had some minor changes.t's gotten the attention of all the people in tampa bay. any significant wobble to the north makes the storm surge worse there, but as we watch the storm, it's now looks like it's going to make landfall around sarasota, possibly to bradenton. it's a couple hours earlier now. landfall could be occurring as we head through about 9:00 p.m. to maybe midnight or so. let me give you a zoomed in track and show you where the storm is going to be going. you will see as we track the storm up through the tampa bay area, then across, just south of that i-4 corridor. that's where we're going to see the heaviest wind. that's where we're going to see the strongest rain, and that's where we have a big threat tonight of flash flooding. as far as storm surge, we're going to be focusing on what's going to be happening sarasota southward. we could deal with 9 to 13 feet, you heard up to 15 feet, but because the max winds have been knocked down a little bit, earlier than we're thinking lan landfall, that's

. >>> let's go down meteorologist bill karins, what can you tell us about hurricane milton's path at this hour now that it made landfall? >> the point of the storm that we know destruction is happening, we can't show it because it is too dangerous to be there, everyone is accurate in those areas, hopefully. there is no power anyways, it won't be until the sun comes up and the storm is gone and helicopters are showing the destruction that we actually realize how bad it is on the ground. unconfirmed reports of 10 foot storm surge south of sarasota, in naples, confirmed five foot storm surge, there will be damage in those areas. those areas for helene, five to seven feet, some of these areas had a second time and some worse. extreme wind warning, wind gusts 90 to 100 miles an hour the last two or three hours from tampa to bradenton to st. petersburg. a lot of population centers here, three-quarter million of people without power, that number is growing quickly with the extreme wins. there is the storm surge going up, onshore flow continues. tampa bay had no storm surge at all, the winds

first, let's get the forecast, the latest from bill karins. is is really a lot worse than we even feared. >> this isn't what we wanted to see happen today, andrea. of course, what it is now doesn't mean it's going to be that when it gets to florida. we've only had ten category 5 hurricanes in our recorded history in the gulf of mexico and we're looking at one here. this little pin eye. it's a small storm but it's extremely intense. the eye's only ten miles wide and that's where these 160 mile per hour winds are. yesterday at this time, it was 60 miles per hour. it has increased 100 miles per hour in 24 hours. that's only happened once in our recorded history with wilma. the hurricane center has it being a strong category 5, liking peaking in intensity tonight and tomorrow morning then going to a category 4 during the day on tuesday. wednesday from a 4 hopefully a little lower down to a 3 as we get landfall. that cone of uncertainty goes up to cedar key, florida and down to the fort myers beach area. so this is a highly populated region and incl

. >>> let's head over to meteorologist bill karins for a look at what this storm did and where it is sun is coming up, and we're about to find out when the helicopters get up there how bad the storm surge was. that's the variable we don't know. we had 80 to 100-mile-per-hour winds along the corridor, which is why we have 3 million without power. trees down, we'll see cars, homes, everything like that. ton of rain. the water rescues. 18 inches of rain fell in st. petersburg. one in a thousand year event. we don't know how extreme the storm surge was just south of sarasota toward the landfall. you see pictures like this in st. petersburg. not sure why the roof didn't survive with 100 mile an hour winds. you'd think it would have been designed better than that. in the atlantic, it is less in daytona beach, new smyrna, heading to the space coast. this will last another hour or two with additional power outages, then it'll be gone. closer look at the radar shows i-4 is starting to dry out. i'm sure it'll take a bit for the water to recede from last night that fell. about a foot of rain in

nbc's weather anchor, bill karins, is with us. bill, great seeing you.ne have on cuba. >> this was like a little baby cane. sometimes hurricanes are all different sizes. we have big, huge ones. you can think of some of the big ones we've had. this one only had hurricane force winds within 5 miles of the center. this did pop up in a hurry. we were watching it all last week coming across the atlantic, thinking it could develop. all of a sudden it popped up in a hurry, and small hurricanes can spin up quickly. that's why we did get all the way up to a category 1. right where it made landfall, maybe some minor wind damage. but it stalled over eastern cuba near guantanamo. there are a lot of mountains here, high elevation. it's still pouring. we've had already reports up to 10 inches of rain. we could get up to 10 inches of rain. and as we've seen what happened in areas of eastern north carolina with helene, heavy rainfall in mountainous areas is a bad recipe. life-threatening flash flooding, mud slides. that's what's taking place now in areas of extreme east

speaking to bill karins earlier, they are reporting two to three inches of rain an hour that will fallthree to four hours. they are looking at a foot of rain in tampa. there may not be the surge that they had originally feared or anticipated, that is a lot of rain on a place already completely saturated from hurricane helene and already dealing with the damage out on the streets and in front of people's houses. when you think about recovery from the storm, it is often trees on top of roads, bridges that are wiped out. you will have debris from all of those homes, scattered on all of those roads making things impassable and impossible. >> stephanie gosk in tampa, thank you so much. i want to bring the conversation to democrat from california representing the harris/walz campaign on the trail and democratic strategists that served senior adviser for 2020 biden/harris campaign, they both join me. concerted effort to put politics aside from the president, vice president calling in to the weather channel, calling into another network to talk about the storm , trying to shake free of the rum

nbc's bill karins is here, nbc's antonia hilton is on the ground in north carolina, and i'm joined by political analyst, and former chief strategist for the bush/cheney campaign, matthew dowd. all right, bill, let's start with the obvious question. how bad could milton be? >> a major hurricane hitting one of the most populated areas on any u.s. coast. i mean, that's as bad as it gets, as far as number of people that could be impacted and the amount of financial damage that could occur because of the storm. i zoomed in here on the eye, just to show you, because it's pretty historic. it's a category 5. we've only had ten in our history in the gulf of mexico. and this one rapidly intensified, as fast as any storm we've ever watched. it went up 100 miles per hour in 24 hours. you can thank the deep, warm water, record-setting warmth in the gulf of mexico for that. you can see, there's that pin eye i just showed you. the storm actually is relatively small, especially compared to helene, right? helene was a huge monster-sized storm, and intense. right now, this one's just intense and on the

bill karins is joining me now. some of the numbers i'm looking at in this warning. 175 miles per hour winds. >> and knowing yesterday we were talking about a 60 miles per hour tropical storm. this is the record breaker. we have never had a storm intensified this fast in 24 hours. this broke the record that was will ma. this is going up, it appears now, 115 miles per hour in 24 hours. you can thank very warm, extremely record breaking warm water in the gulf of mexico and it was the perfect recipe for this storm to explode. a small storm, a pin needle eye. we're not sure how low it's going to go. this is extremely rare to see a storm of this strength anywhere in the world, let alone this close to the united states and mexico. the hurricane center, we're waiting to see when it will peak. conditions will get a little more unfavorable in about 36 hours from now. that's why we don't have this making landfall in florida as a category 5 thankfully. still, a major hurricane is a category 3. the cone of uncertainty, still ki

. >> yesterday, bill karins showed, as that was just starting to develop, showed that tampa might once again be a bull's eye. said something like he felt like crying. this is going to be -- this is a region already devastated, like north carolina. another storm hitting this area. some of these places just completely wiped out. >> yeah. we're going to -- we have so much to get to this morning. plus sports, as well, with a special guest. >>> good morning. welcome to "morning joe." it is monday, october 7th. with us, we have the host of "way too early," white house bureau chief at "politico," jonathan lemire. bbc's special correspondent katty kay. chief political columnist at "puck," john heilemann. and managing editor at "the bulwark," sam stein. good to have you all this morning. >>> we will begin with former president trump, who on saturday, returned to the site of the first assassination attempt against him. now, during that rally in butler, pennsylvania, he and his allies accused democrats of trying to kill him. >> over the past eight years, those who want to stop us from achieving t

if you're getting ready to evacuate, our colleague bill karins had a great idea. take some digital pictures of things around your house before you evacuate so you have some proof of what you have. because this is going to be dangerous. put all of your valuable documents in a plastic bag, take them with you and get the heck out. >> al, thank you. of course we'll have a lot more on this storm throughout the morning. programming note, lester holt will be reporting live from florida tonight on "nbc nightly news." >>> meantime, the race for the white house is entering the closing stretch. just four weeks to go until election day. vice president harris spreading her message to voters in a series of high-profile interviews including "60 minutes." the program also explaining why former president trump cancelled his planned interview for the primetime special. nbc's chief white house correspondent peter alexander has the very latest. hey, peter, good morning. >> reporter: hoe ad good morning. "60 minutes" interviewed the major candidate in presidential election. dating bac

bill is introduced at westminster today. and thomas tuchel is confirmed as the head coach of england men's football team. there will be a press conference later. welcome to bbc news. i'm karin giannone. some breaking news. five people, including two children, have died following a crash on the m6 motorway in cumbria. police were called to the northbound stretch of the motorway past tebay services at 4pm on tuesday. the driver of a skoda, a man from cambridgeshire, was pronounced dead at the scene, the force said. a man, the driver of a toyota, a woman and two children, from glasgow, also died at the scene. a third child was taken to hospital with serious injuries. that's all we have on this breaking news. we'll bring you more when we have it. that very tragic incident claiming several lives with five people dead after that very tragic incident on the m6 yesterday afternoon. there's been a surprise fall in the rate of uk inflation. the annual rate of price rises eased to 1.7% in september — the lowest rate in three—and—a—half years. it means inflation is now below the bank of england's 2% target, paving the way for interest rates to be cut further next month. similarly, the

bill: a big story for a lot of days. things got heated yesterday at the white house in the briefing room. peter doocy pressing karine jean-pierre and the administration's pledge to sunlit money to the middle east while americans in north carolina struggle to recover. a look at how that went down. >> president biden is fond of saying show your budget and i will tell you what you value. if he has money for people in lebanon right now without congress having to come back, what does it say about his values there is not enough money right now for people in north carolina who need it? that's not misinformation. >> no, it is. your whole premise of the question is misinformation, sir. what you don't get -- misinformation. the way you are asking the question is misinformation. there is money that we're allocating to the impacted areas. conscious needs to do their job and provides extra funding to disaster relief fund. that's what congress needs to do and we'll continue to urge that. you may not want that but that's okay. that's what this president wants and what the vice president wants, thanks, everybody. >> bill: we had th