next on the panel we have chris hurd and bill peterman. we were talking off camera and it was interesting. i asked you what the odds were that prices were going up and you gave me some historic odds. >> well if you know what they are going to do this year, i want to know before you tell anyone else. but historically we went back 25 or 30 years and before we really knew the growing season and only one out of six years will soybean prices higher august first than they were june first. so that's five out of six years and you don't end up with the horribly bad crop. i try to encourage producers to play the odds, but five out of six, and it's impressing them with the spring opportunity. >> this conversation began because no one knows what the weather will do. it is early planning going to help? and we also talked about what he could do and what we need to watch for? >> well there are several studies about this. we can get it planted early. we have potential increased odds of the 2-bushel over trendy yield. though at the very least we should be