which is the post-brexit trade deal. in my best case, the uk remains fairly well integrated on the good side of the market but loses the financial services passport. if firms can know that with certainty in two years, things may not be too bad. but brexit is a supply side shock. i see growth falling from 2.2 % to 1.8%. less growth in trade, in investment from the eu, and then a major hit from lower migration, because that affects population growth. >> what does it do to your gdp forecast? are we heading for recession down the track? >> not from brexit per se. in the near-term the uk actually looks good. it's benefiting from the global upturn in demand, consumers seem to be taking on more risk than i would like to see as an economist. we saw today consumer credit numbers. what i see more problematic is the economy overheating in two, three years time and having a recession because of that and the bank of england falling behind the curve rather than brexit factoring into household decisionmaking. >> are you essentially say

post—brexit.ront page is dominated by britain's youngest mp mhairi black who says she "hates" parliament and might stand down at the next election. and the mirror carries a picture of madeleine mccann — it says police want to talk to a former worker at the resort where the young girl vanished. the eye says the tories are in turmoil ahead of article 50 this you wander you wonder how much turmoil week. you wonder how much turmoil they are in because i do not know how many will vote against the two line bill and keep the amendments the lords put through. it will go through. i do not think they will get support for am afraid that thinks amendment. i am afraid that thinks the paper is in a little bit of a term because it is not clear whether it isa term because it is not clear whether it is a row over brexit all over the mandate is to know when he was defence minister of forensic fillip. and now raking a promise in the ma nifesto and now raking a promise in the manifesto — that has never happened befor

post-brexit forecast down.reland and lithuania and romania, these are the countries affected by the brexit vote to pull the u.k. out of the eu. this is the news and this is the u.k. health check. i advise you to check it out. financial u.k. conditions index tracks the overall level of financial stress in the u.k. money, bond, and equity markets. to assess the availability and the cost of credit, positive valuation indicates the financial conditions and negative evaluations indicate tighter financial conditions relative to precrisis and pre-financial crisis norms with the record low -10.6 in november of 2008. the high 1.7 in july of 2014. up .68 and have been positive since after the brexit vote in august. gold could be in the early stages of a bull market with prices could climb to $1400 to 5000 announced according to a company. goal last traded at $4000 in september 2013. great chart. 90 minutes into the trading day in the u.s. julie: thanks looking better than an hour ago. the dow down a quarter percent and t

with mps allowed more than a brexit deal. with mps allowed more thana simple brexit deal. to our correspondence, vicky young, who was there.

i want a soft brexit. you're saying i wa nt to want a soft brexit.in the single market. how do you know? if you want a soft brexit, what you are after is staying in the single market, that means accepting free movement of labour, submissions to the european court ofjustice. labour, submissions to the european court ofjustice. people voted yes, fio court ofjustice. people voted yes, no on court ofjustice. people voted yes, 1100116 court ofjustice. people voted yes, no on a simple question. the detail is coming through. it is very important, and i'm delighted that intermittently telemark independently minded peers are saying to the government on that question, the rights of eu citizens, and that is what the government has been defeated on. they will go back to the commons and the put through unopposed. you will be happy. the telegraph, which we are reviewing, it will go ahead. theresa may will still trigger brexit in two weeks.|j think it would be very good, the traditions of this nation to say to citizens here. worrying, you will fined here —— you wil

quite a lot of people openly saying we did vote for brexit, we're happy with it and it isa brexit, we'reike immigration, aware of sand in the critical, but also i have met people who are starting to go back to the uk. and they believe with health ca re uk. and they believe with health care and pensions, that might start to seize up and they are making their own way back again. thank you for that. a lot of the focus has been on this building behind me today — the house of commons — but we did pause for a short while this afternoon to remember those who lost their lives in the terror attack last week, and the many who were injured. police officers, faith leaders and members of the public gathered on westminster bridge to observe a minute's silence — at iaao — the time the attack started. similar events were held around the country. prince william visited a police memorial in staffordshire where he laid a wreath for pc keith palmer, the officer stabbed by the attacker at the gates of the parliamentary estate. you're watching 100 days from bbc news. still to come for viewers on the bbc news

since brexit. you know what happened in the days after brexit. the ftse 250 sunk.versed those losses in early august. it has been setting new highs since october. similar story for the ftse 100. they've moved on to record highs. from here a lot is going to depend on sterling. a lot is going to depend on the negotiations on business and consumer confidence. this is the 10 year yield. we fell as low as 51 basis points just after the bank of england slashed interest rates in august. implemented further qe. since then, we've gone above the brexit starting level. now we are at 1.18. just remember the move was in conjunction with a global move up in yields. the reflation trade started well before trump. 1.37 was the day of the brexit vote. francine: thanks so much. where less than three hours away from the official triggering of the brexit process. let's get back to westminster and anna edwards. anna: i'm pleased to say i'm joined by conservative mp dominic ron, who sits on the brexit select committee. bonnier only wants to talk about divorce, separation of the u.k. from

by brexit? by brexit, absolutely.n is sabotaging if the brexiteers were to be punished by the break—up of the united kingdom, i guess a lot of people would not be so displeased any more. would that make it easier? we do not know what relationship scotland would want if it were to be independent but would that make it easier? would there be more of a welcome for the scots? i think so. - of the regional dimensions of the european union, and don't forget that the european union is changing very fast. all the conviction and prejudice are changing as well. there is a lot of goodwill towards redesigning the european union. how do you see this? it is all up in air now, isn't it? nobody has a solid and comprehensive view about this battle — the battle over the two unions. what ever happens to the first, brexit case that is, the united kingdom. there are noises now, centairfly.scotlandrhasskartad~= the relationship between northern ireland and ireland, which is part of the european union. today, gordon brown, former prime minis

and since the brexit vote there.t vote there hasn't been much movement in terms of agreement between the uk and scottish governments about what brexit would mean. so the mood music has been there for some time. what would happen if scotland were somehow to be given continued membership of the single market which is what nicola sturgeon says she wants. what that obviate the need for a second referendum? what was quite interesting today in the first minister ‘s speech was that there was no fixed date for the referendum, there was the turn of regret that this is happening and there was also some wriggle room left, there was talk of if circumstances changed. so were it to be the case that in the course of brexit negotiations there was some option where different arrangements we re option where different arrangements were carved out for, say, scotland and northern ireland, then it is not inconceivable that there could be some backtracking but that's a question forfurther some backtracking but that's a question for further

the brexit bill is being debated now by mps.ight we're reporting live from westminster with our political editor, laura kuenssberg. but first, over to our scotland editor sarah smith. sarah, there had been some suggestion that nicola sturgeon might call for a second referendum, but no—one was expecting it today? well, exactly. ever since the morning after the eu referendum, she has been saying another referendum was highly likely. suddenly today, the surprise announcement that she is definitely calling for a second vote on scottish referee —— independence. she says she is making the announcement now because she has judged there will not be a deal that allows a separate exit deal for scotland. clearly she wouldn't be doing this now if she didn't also think brexit has changed circumstances enough that she could wina circumstances enough that she could win a second referendum. since she was 15, nicola sturgeon has print of an independent scotland. no brexit may provide the chance. she says it means scotland must be given a fresh ch

we will push as hard as possible for the softest of soft brexit.e interest of the uk and we need to make sure that the brexit process doesn't break up the united kingdom which is what nicola sturgeon is looking for. thanks forjoining us. that vote in edinburgh today comes on the eve of the triggering of brexit by theresa may tomorrow. let's talk to our correspondent in westminster. the talk up until now has been about whether or not brexit should take place. now we know it is absolutely happening, there's no question about that. the talk is about what kind of brexit we should be getting? that's right. of course, it will only be after article 50 is officially triggered that we are into what i would say is phase two of the brexit process. we have now finally got to article 50 being processed, the formal process that needs to happen to take the uk out of the eu. then we will get into the nitty—gritty of detail of exactly what kind of relationship the uk is going to have with the eu. and whether it is going to have to pay a big brexit bill, as some has

equally, clarity about brexit and what brexit means. iaccept that.n we can't leave that choice until it is too late for that to happen. that is why i have set out the window in the way that i have today. for the uk government to say that they are not going to permit that to happen in that window, broadly speaking, would be compromising the ability of the scottish element if the people of scotla nd scottish element if the people of scotland opted for this to choose a different future and to negotiate a different future and to negotiate a different relationship with europe. it would be i guess tantamount to the uk government having sunk the ship with the brexit voter trying to puncture scotland's lifeboat as well. i don't think that would be an a cce pta ble well. i don't think that would be an acceptable position for them to take. when would you have to make a decision on whether to hold a referendum? decision on whether to hold a referendum ? obviously decision on whether to hold a referendum? obviously there is a set process in advance of the countr

brexit means brexit, and we're going to make a success of it. au revoir! parliament alone is sovereign. the ayes to the right, 498. the noes to the left, 114. this was a nationwide referendum of the british people, and the british people spoke. the ayes have it, the ayes have it. the british people have been led to think of a future that seems unrealistic. this is an historic moment from which there can be no turning back. britain is leaving the european union. we are going to make our own decisions and our own laws. i'm sad. i'm deeply sad. there is no reason to pretend that this is a happy day. we already miss you. thank you, and goodbye. i choose to believe in britain and that our best days lie ahead. hello, and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be bringing us tomorrow.

it was brexit, then it was trump. could the next shock to the global liberal establishment be le pen? we speak to the great hope of populism in france. also tonight, theresa may will formally begins the brexit process with article 50 tomorrow. but where should she finish? and how bad would "no deal" be? we ask two of her party's mps. and we send the high priest of remainism to understand why ebbervale in south wales voted so emphatically for brexit. so much of the investment here has come from the european union. the college, the station, all of these buildings were invested in from funds from the eu. funds which won't necessarily be replaced by governments in london and cardiff. my first question is why did people vote in large numbers against the european union, the source of so much investment in this community? good evening. ‘twas the night before brexit. "one more sleep", as one leave supporting blog tweeted today. by this time tomorrow, the prime minister will have triggered article 50 and britain's departure fr

should be held before we know what brexit means?ld not know what the choices were. should it be the timing, who should vote? european citizens voted in the last independence referendum and obviously what the questions would be, it would be do you want to stay in the uk this time, not do want scotla nd in the uk this time, not do want scotland to go independent? i don't think theresa may would give that one away. that's quite a bit down the road yet. good to talk to you, torcuil crichton, editor of the daily record. a fascinating day to day in which nicola sturgeon made that momentous and, for many people surprising announcement that she is seeking a second scottish independence referendum. that is the latest from edinburgh. back to you in the studio. thank you, ben. let's bring you up—to—date with the headlines. nicola sturgeon has announced plans to hold a second independence referendum for scotland, claiming that the prime minister is ignoring the wishes of scottish voters on britain leaving the eu. theresa may has delivered a for

that is a hard brexit. at the stories behind this single headline, which is of course, we are out and that letter will be going to donald tusk tomorrow from theresa may. you can see the front pages of all of them online and if you missed the programme you can watch it later on the bbc iplayer. relive all the m . on the bbc iplayer. relive all the magic! thank you to my guests and for you watching. goodbye. mixed fortunes for some others and it will feel like early summer for some others. might even be 2! in parts of the south east over the next couple of days. but for others, a lot of rain around and that will knock temperatures on the head. tonight, a lot of cloud and patchy rain around. rain is not too heavy oi’ rain around. rain is not too heavy or persistent in most places, but a lot of cloud, misty and murky. the cloud cover will prevent temperatures from too low. note problem with frost. by morning, rain out west surging up through the irish sea so wet weather for west wales, northern ireland and nort

there is also something positive in brexit. 27 more determined and united than before. i am fully confident of this, especially after their declaration andi especially after their declaration and i can say that we will remain determined and united also in the future. theresa may has reached out through the european press, writing articles denying any rejection of oui’ articles denying any rejection of our shared values and giving assurances there was no intention to harm the eu. there are many more disagreements to come down the line as britain's brexit clock keeps on ticking. dan johnson, bbc as britain's brexit clock keeps on ticking. danjohnson, bbc news, brussels. let's speak to our europe correspondent, chris morris, who's at that meeting in malta. in the shadow of brexit, what's your sense of the mood today? it was interesting, kate, the fact that angela merkel virtually didn't mention brexit. there was a subliminal message that it's not all about you and we are moving on with the other issues which concern us. but clearl

some of the migrants caught in a brexit no man's land. ca re caught in a brexit no man's land.ting to find out if they will be able to stay in the uk once britain has left the eu. at this nursing home in settle, 21 of the 60 staff are eu migrants. all of the 60 staff are eu migrants. all of them are unsure about their future. i like this job, of them are unsure about their future. i like thisjob, i like of them are unsure about their future. i like this job, i like the residents, i like the people. it is like a big family. i love to stay here and the brexit break my heart. ellie was one of the first to arrive here with her husband and two children in 2005. she is considering paying to become a british citizen, to guarantee her family's future. paying to become a british citizen, to guarantee her family's futurem we have to go for the naturalisation, it is £5,000 per my family, obviously we haven't got this money in the pocket but it hard brexit will come, i have to take alone and do naturalisation for my family —— take a loan. it will make it easierfor us to family —— take a lo

that was not caused by the issue, however brexit does have the issue, however brexit does have the potentialirish republican army been listening closely to the push foran been listening closely to the push for an independence referendum been listening closely to the push foran independence referendum in scotland. they point out that just as in scotland, the majority of people in northern ireland voted to stay inside the european union, and they are calling for a border poll, an independence referendum, a referendum really on irish unity. wales voted to leave the european union. there was a recognition of that this morning when carwynjones said he would be working with the uk government to get the best deal for wales. by this afternoon, the cracks had begun to appear and you sensed his frustration when he said he it was regrettable the welsh government had not been able to contribute to the article 50 letter and the devolved administrations had been treated with a lack of respect. he'd already voiced his concerns about economic subsidies. he wasn't sure what would be happening after 2020, he

it was brexit, then it was trump.he global liberal establishment be le pen? we speak to the great hope of populism in france. also tonight, theresa may will formally begins the brexit process with article 50 tomorrow. but where should she finish? and how bad would "no deal" be? we ask two of her party's mps. and we send the high priest of remainism to understand why ebbervale in south wales voted so emphatically for brexit.

really does mean brexit.ak to our political correspondent chris mason at westminster. first of all, the meeting between nicola sturgeon and the prime minister in scotland. nicola sturgeon did not get anything out of the meeting. she was hoping perhaps for clarity on the situation as far as the detail of brexit. did not get that. she also didn't get a wholehearted commitment to more power being handed back to scotland once brexit is over. quite. the atmosphere just watching the report there has been pretty frosty between the prime minister and the first minister. i am not sure that nicola sturgeon would necessarily have expected to learn a vast amount knew from her perspective, or when many things that would add up to concessions from the prime minister on this visit. clearly, as she articulated, nicola sturgeon, there was frustration at not getting that but the expectation within the snp is that that was likely to be the case at this stage, particularly because the prime minister has not yet started the whole

some companies are concerned about brexit, some less so.nisations and putting through a major change programme takes many years. two years is a very short space of time. it is actually a very short space of time for major organisations to implement the changes they might need to do if brexit requires them. do these banks and insurance companies think that the uk has a negotiating team that can get them what they want from brexit? they have made significant representations to government. they have stressed the importance of the financial services sector not just the uk but do the whole of europe. we should see it as a real european asset, this sector. they hope those representations will be acted on by the uk government but also by overseas governments, in preserving the marketplace for the whole of europe. andrew, thank you for your time. traders in the city of london over my shoulder will be watching stirling, because that is going to tell the tale of the impact of brexit. any hint that the uk is going to get a favourable deal should see a

always, always ina talking about brexit. always, always in a negative fashion.e try and bea in a negative fashion. please try and be a little more positive. thank you. weather brexit is a cause for celebration and a great opportunity for the uk to take back control or a process which has already had negative consequences and faces substantial difficulties depends on your point of view. yet others agreed that the bbc has emphasised the latter at the cost of the former. danny gothard. the latter at the cost of the former. danny gothardlj the latter at the cost of the former. danny gothard. i really am getting tired of the bbc‘s biased reporting of anything to do with brexit. country file giving nothing but negative opinions on what could happen to farmers. bbc world news this morning, global sales could drop 30% if we lose access to the single eu market. this morning saying 70,000 banking jobs could be lost if no deal is struck. for heavens sake stop speculating. another viewers said this.|j heavens sake stop speculating. another viewers said this. i realise the b

brexit before.heresa may has struck a conciliatory tone. the primeolutely, minister theresa may saying she wants a friendly split from europe, striking that conciliatory tone after she launched brexit. however she also wants a sweeping free trade agreement including financial services. is this divorce going to be amicable or are things going to turn ugly? policy editor kathleen hays here with more. now but thisight will be at most a two-year process? kathleen: at most. some say it could take three or five years or longer. divorces, those who will do well are the lawyers. saidsa may's brexit letter she wants a special relationship with the european union. the president of the european commission said, we already miss you, britain. you mayude juncker said regret the choice one day. we just spoke with a professor of economics who is also from the u.k. he said the u.k. will regret it because and a lot of ways it does not make sense. >> essentially what the people want is to have your cake and eat it. to

guys on the brexit side.ever allow a divisive nationalists to undermine the union between the nations of our united kingdom. " isn't that what brexit has done? i don't think so, we can't stop the snp because sturgeon continuing with this pretty obsessive tunnel vision towards another referendum if that is really what they want but i'm not sure it is what the scottish people want. it is what the scottish people want. it is to the least to have this pledge made now before we had even started a letter knowing where we know where we will end up with the outcome of the brexit negotiations. i think the best thing that we can do is going to these negotiations with a very clear mandate from parliament, the economy is strong, going and looking for the best deal we can get for every pa rt for the best deal we can get for every part and nation of the united kingdom. while we are at it, the generosity of spirit for the european friends and look for the win— win deals. european friends and look for the win- win deals. of

brexit has changed everything.es who will vote in this referendum. our country is so divided. we do not want to be dragged into the arguments of the past. the differences in scotland between what is raised in taxes public service spending is £15 million for the back is what nicola sturgeon is arguing for, to have less money to spend on schools and hospitals. the scottish labour party is firmly opposed to independence. ie disputing she has the right to call the referendum ? ie disputing she has the right to call the referendum? there would be an independence referendum. nicola sturgeon will win? she well. she'll combined with the greens to have a vote in scottish parliament. when it is down for the section 30 process at westminster. should theresa may say there should be a referendum? ruth davidson has said clearly to the prime minister she should not block a referendum. she is in a better place than i am i think they need to move on to the other is about independence and white remaining part of the united kingdom i

and brexit your top story as well.ll be looking at the economic fallout with a leading economist in world business report. the negotiations will bring a period of uncertainty for the uk economy. britain recorded growth of 2% last year. but in 2017, the international monetary fund predicts this will slow to 1.5%, though this is actually up from their previous estimate of 1.1%. the story gets worse in 2018, where growth is expected to come in atjust1.4%. the ongoing uncertainty has also taken its toll on the currency. since the referendum lastjune, the value of the pound has fallen over 18% against the us dollar. the weakness in sterling has made imports into the country more expensive. in the three months ending injanuary, fish prices rose 8.8%, tea prices were up 6%, and butter prices rose some 15.8%. the negotiations will take place as eurosceptic political parties gain ground across much of the continent. the netherlands is set to head to the polls tomorrow, with france and germany both set to face national elections

but brexit has changed all that. this is my first divorce...usk, president of the european council, today presented the draft brexit guidelines. the mood music — polite but steely. the talks, which are about to start, will be difficult, complex, and sometimes even confrontational. mr tusk was the recipient of the prime minister's brexit letter this wednesday. why him? because he represents all eu countries here in brussels and they call the shots on big eu political decisions. the eu says it doesn't want to punish britain. it wants to keep the uk close with trade and security ties. but gone are those words of sadness and regret that poured out of brussels after the brexit vote. now that the formal process of leaving has begun, the eu's message today: we're ready for you. the eu is committed to a phased approach to brexit. phase one — the divorce. top priorities for the eu — safeguarding the rights of eu citizens in the uk and of britons across the eu. agreeing a one—off exit fee for the uk to cover outstanding financial commitments. and resolvi

the brexit negotiations.nesday, the prime minister will officially begin britain's two year exit from the european union in which she'll write a letter to the eu commission triggering article 50 of the lisbon treaty. on thursday, the government will publish its white paper on the great repeal bill which outlines how it plans to transfer european legislation into british law. and on friday, the european commission president donald tusk is expected to outline the 27 nation's plan for brexit just 48 hours after receiving the formal confirmation. our correspondent catriona renton looks at today's visit by the prime minister to scotland. brexit was top of the agenda when these two leaders met for the first time, shortly after theresa may took office. later today, they are set to meet again. but first, the prime minister will meet at the office for national development. on wednesday, she will trigger article 50, initiating the uk's exit from the eu. but 62% of scots voted to remain. nicola sturgeon has therefore ca

brexit talks?ome confusion in whitehall and the antipathy that they have towards our friends and colleagues in europe which won't help the brexit talks, whereas the talks that scottish government are having with european, wa nt government are having with european, want to pertain its position in the european economic area and wants to move forward constructively on that basis. that constructive dialogue with our european partners than these negativity we are seeing from uk ministers. the day that uk ministers can agree with each other, is the day they can go with each other to europe with a sensible perspective. indicating a clear majority is what nicola sturgeon is doing, she's been backed into a corner. i think the last person is her, considering the uk government is fumbling for a response. i called the previous referendum in scotland, and at the day i called it, the opinion poll for yes was 28%. the la st opinion poll for yes was 28%. the last poll says its 48%. i think if i was prepared to cal

we have to work out what the brexit steps are. it will be interesting to see if it feeds back into the negotiations surrounding exit. talking of things we're trying to figure out, he thought from you -- do we get a hawkish hike or dovish hike tomorrow? look, everyone wants to know. i don't know any better. my guess is with commodity prices falling lower and the lack of runaway inflation would suggest that it's a dovish hike. also the fed has a history of airing on the dovish side. overall, the long-term history has been that way. my guess is that they are not overly hawkish -- it can probably be interpreted either way, but the yield could get lower tomorrow. i have no inside loop -- we will have to wait and see. guy: absolutely. always nice to get your thoughts. are macro strategist. you can follow him and the rest of the teams a smart analysis. joining us now to carry on the conversation from berlin, the president of the german institute for research, also e diw.as that th the as you look from germany and see what is happening in

brexit at any cost, brexit means brexit at any cost, brexit means brexit at any cost, brexit means getting for jobs, and our economy. consequences that is going to have forjobs, and our economy. that is not what people voted for last year. narrowly, british people chose brexit, but it is this conservative government that has chosen this brexit, the conservative party that has presented itself for as long as it has existed, being a party for business, prepared to walk away from the biggest market, even though that means crippling brushless companies. —— british. theresa may choosing to do something that she knows is going to wreck it. the politician ; rose to wreck it. the politician who rose to wreck it. the politician who rose to prominence, four accusing her own party of being the nasty party, deliberately leaving millions of people on and uncertain, if they can even stay in the country they call home. that speech told us more about what theresa may wanted us to know, it sure does what she is worried about, it is not her majesty‘s opposition. this was an important speech, to box off desi

theresa may means brexit is in safe hands.ouglas carswell was jumped before he was pushed and was never really ukip. it really would make very much difference to us, other than drawing a line under something that had caused heartache for about a year. douglas was never that comfortable in the party,. last time he changed allegiances, the cla cton time he changed allegiances, the clacton mp asked voters for approval, but not this time?“ clacton mp asked voters for approval, but not this time? if i was going from ukip to the conservatives, then absolutely. but the voters voted for a ukip mps and either getting an independent. when i was conservative and switch to ukip, i triggered a by—election. i was conservative and switch to ukip, itriggered a by—election. but i'm not changing parties, and not switching sides. so what are people in his constituency think of his decision? it's a disgrace. it's down to him at the end of the day. we can doa to him at the end of the day. we can do a lot about it. mr carswell hasn't ruled out retu

it rejected brexit, but brexit is being thrust upon it.hat would that do for the 300—year—old union between scotland and england? we are being taken out of the eu against our will. that is a democratic outrage. it's not about whether there could be another independence referendum. of course there could. it's about whether there should be one. this week, the prime minister will trigger article 50, and pose special questions for those in scotland and northern ireland that did not vote to come out of europe. nine months ago, just before the referendum on european union membership, i made this observation. it seemed hypothetical at the time. would a vote to leave the european union propel scotland further down the road to independence? it certainly changes the independence proposition in ways we haven't begun to consider. it would confront scotland with a new national question. which union do you want to be part of — the british one or the european one? that's an argument we haven't even started to have yet. it's not hypothetical now, it's rea

the big question is, in a post—brexit iraq, will london remain a globalfinancial post—brexit iraq, willl centre? that post—brexit iraq, will london remain a globalfinancial centre? that will ultimately determine whether or not the american banks stay put —— post—brexit iraq. samira hussain from new york. the us government has launched an anti—dumping investigation against imports of chinese aluminium foil. —— post—brexit iraq. it's a series of cases that could result in the imposition of punitive duties. us companies filed a report earlier this month saying chinese imports are dumped into the market at prices lower than the cost of production. chinese technology giant tensent is best known for its messaging app, 110w best known for its messaging app, now it is investing in electric cars. the company has bought a 5% sta ke cars. the company has bought a 5% stake in tesla. it comes as tesla prepares to launch a mass—market model three. some analysts believe tensent could help test the cell or even build cars in china. uber‘s first report on employee diversity shows low numbers for women,

so brexit will be, of course...ity and the wishes of the younger people who are going to be the ones who will eventually live under a britain outside the eu. ifi go back to will eventually live under a britain outside the eu. if i go back to the statement that britain will not thrive outside the eu, some of the initial ambitions have changed? for example, there will be retention of regulation in some areas that the migration picture will be different. does that not change yourjudgment about britain outside the eu? the key idea is what happened to trade. trade relations. the prime minister is saying we will seek free trade and be free trade champions of the world but we don't want the single market, we don't want that. if the negotiations are leading the way showing the european union will accept free trade without the requirements of the single market, labour in particular and contributions to the european union fund, andi contributions to the european union fund, and i wouldn't advise it but they won't accept that.

but tonight, mps voted for her to get brexit started.ly, the bill went along the corridor of power, back to the house of lords, who had tried to change it. but resista nce who had tried to change it. but resistance has been fading. only the lib dems were left in theresa may's way. contents, 135, not contents, 274. so the not contents have it. co mforta ble 274. so the not contents have it. comfortable win for the government. westminster is different these days. the uk as we know it could soon be very different, too. the question is whether or not scotland is going to be taken into the abyss with this tory government. we on this side of the house have an alternative. there might not be a real, meaningful vote in this chamber, but there shall be a meaningful vote in scotland training a millennium long history asa training a millennium long history as a european nation. weather on rights for eu citizens to stay in the uk or parliament having the final say, the government has not budged much. but it won the day. over the past five weeks, we

it was not the culprit of brexit and should not be the victim of brexiteer. of it? you have to look at the historical context here. to understand why such antipathy towards what might seem a reasonable plan forjoint towards what might seem a reasonable plan for joint sovereignty. towards what might seem a reasonable plan forjoint sovereignty. spain has waged a hot and campaign since 19110 to get gibraltar back. people are very anxious at the consequences ofa are very anxious at the consequences of a brexit that they did not hold for. 96% is as near unanimous as you get! has that view shifted since? we did some interviews and polling sincejune did some interviews and polling since june 23, did some interviews and polling sincejune 23, and there is no indication at all that that has shifted, quite the opposite. there was a time when the gibraltar government was trying to get a buzz book deal and were in talks with scotla nd book deal and were in talks with scotland about that. what happened tonight is that this is no longer a possibility, and gibraltar is very

with brexit talks due to start soon, not everything in the future might be as harmonious.100 days is coming up, but first, the weather. not particularly cold tonight, some frost in sheltered spots in eastern scotland. patchy light rain in the south west and south wales. lots of shoppers to come across scotland, and gale force winds may clip the top of northern ireland and northern england. tomorrow, there is precipitation in the north and the south. the showers in scotland will be confined to the far north and the northern isles in the afternoon. in the south—west, patchy, light showers in cornwall and the channel islands. elsewhere, pleasant sunshine, temperatures up to 16 celsius. we are getting into double figures widely. friday is still mild for most of us, but cloudier. there will be shown was around at the weekend, but sunshine in between. —— there will be showers around at the weekend. hello and welcome to 100 days. as the world prepares for brexit, the british government boasts of an economy that continues to grow. were the gloom mongers wrong? growth forecasts are

that way, little bit perhaps, for brexit.he initial naysayers, their fear is where perhaps overstated . -- were perhaps overstated. if there is going to be a $60 billion bill associated with brexit, if you are not going to be able to negotiate a trade arrangement with the eu in a relevant timeframe, then the slow bleed feels like it is more on the table. michelle: going back to the time of the vote, you said it was a victory for trump. it seems you still feel that way. immigration propelled him to victory and was a key component in the brexit negotiation, freedom of movement. how do think that will go forward in the negotiation? >> we will have to ask the europeans, but it feels important. it could be drowned out, depending on what happens in elections in other eu countries that remain, particularly france. the basic proposition of the will gors was nothing wrong in the economy, and the only change is that we will be able to stop as much immigration as we have been having. it seems that is definitely not going to be true. mic

ideally that would mean no brexit. now we will have brexit. it is not a surprise. my sydney —— sadness dates from june 23 and my six british meps campaign wholeheartedly in favour of remain. there is nojoy. there is absolutely no joy. i as european will be losing. i have done a lot of financial regulation. often times i was on the same side of the table as the united kingdom against the government banking establishment of berlin and paris. and the toughest on financial regulation, with the exception on bonuses, have been the brits. i am losing a very strong ally. there is nojoy. brits. i am losing a very strong ally. there is no joy. the other question is, how quickly can this be done? is it possible to get a deal within a couple of years? technically it is probably possible. there is no regularly —— regulatory divergence. things are the same on both sides of the channel. you have to agree how you deal with new regulations in the uk after brexit? and how do you deal with enforcement. those are the big issues. technically it's probably possible

what do you think americans can expect from brexit plus plus plus?ith the economy, one of brexit's major selling points. >> if we leave eu, we can create more jobs for british workers and cheaper prices for british consumers. >> we are trade as much if not before. we will not lose influence in europe or the world. on the contrary. you could argue we'll gain in clout. >> and those promises sounded great. but let's be honest, americans, anything in this accent sounds great. listen, listen, your children have just been eaten by a wolf! ( laughter ) see? that sounds fantastic! ( laughter ) but let's look at the reality, retail sales in the u.k. have fallen for three consecutive months while import prices skyrocketed, and that hurts businesses including a bunch of jamie oliver italian restaurants because he can no longer afford the spices from italy. no spices is death for british restaurants. no one has ever tasted english food and said, you know what this means? less flavor! ( laughter ) >> trevor: gina, i can only assume it's been bad for your currency

they want the uk because the brexit. they want the uk because the brexit.want the uk government to grant the legal right for a second ballot — a section 30 order. if the scottish parliament vote next week to request a section 30 order, then the prime minister of the whole of the united kingdom should absolutely grab that. in previous discussions with the first minister and as the secretary of state has said, there would be no sense or reason of blocking the will of the scottish parliament stop by and ——. politically be very difficult to refuse outright, but the timing will be crucial, whether it happens before the uk believes the eu, as the snp wants, or much further down the snp wants, or much further down the line. some in westminster simply don't want to distract from brexit. now the government has parliament's backing to start the official process. yesterday was a historic day. we have now formally agreed notice that we are leaving. we can all concentrate on working with the government to come up with a regime post brexit, which will be a massive benefi

labour's brexit secretary sir keir starmer says the party won't support any brexit deal negotiated bynt unless it meets their "six tests". let's speak to our assistant political editor norman smith. the six tests are? most of them are really not that controversial or own arrests. you might even say they are slightly motherhood and apple pie. they are bing is like ensuring the final deal protects national security, delivers the every part of the uk. it ensures we still have strong constructive relations with europe. but there is one condition which is viewed as a killer condition. that is the deal mrs may gets must ensure we get exactly the same benefits outside the eu as we get inside the eu. many people are saying how is this possible? if you leave a club you can't expect to have all the benefits of remaining in the club. what is going on? the view of many people in westminster is labour is looking to toughen its sta nce is labour is looking to toughen its stance on brexit, afterfacing accusations it had just gone along with mrs may and is now seeking to position itself so it can vot

but brexit has made many foreign investors nervous. we are probably looking to set up more offices in the continental europe because of this and as i mentioned earlier, i yesterday had an e—mailfrom mentioned earlier, i yesterday had an e—mail from the germans asking me to move our business there. a lot of people from home were asking me if i felt any hostile environment or anything like that. but, no, to be there, cambridge is a lovely international community. since the exit, it raises uncertainty for members of ourteam, exit, it raises uncertainty for members of our team, they in europe say what will happen in the future? cambridge may boast some of the most intelligent minds in the country but it was the brexiteer is of finland who saw the writing on the wall. more than 71% of people here in wisbech opted to leave the eu and today couldn't come along soon enough. wejust today couldn't come along soon enough. we just got the influx of people coming in and we haven't got the infrastructure, we haven't got enough schools, hospitals and

and give parliament a vote on any brexit agreement. critics argue this would have tied their hands ahead of negotiations with the european union. let's pull in our correspondent who is on the story for us tonight in london. we've got u.k. lawmakers voted. does this mean the u.k. is about to begin brexit? can you hear me? it is brent in berlin? i'm afraid we are having some -- looks like we're having some sound problems. we apologize for that and we will try to get back to her later on. in the battle to retake basel -- mosul, iraqi forces have advanced deeper into the city. plumes of smoke obscured the skyline on monday as islamic state reportedly used mortar and sniper fire to hold off iraqi troops. thousands of civilians have been called in the exchange with 600,000 to be trapped in the area. cutting of major supply routes to the group's de facto capital. the suffering of children in syria possible civil war has reached unprecedented levels. the u.n. children agency, unicef , says more than 600 miners were killed in the conflict last

you are as part of the brexit negotiations. you are concerned as part of the brexit negotiations. far there has been under devolution whatever powers happen they will go back to scotland? it is one of my concerns. there will be maximum devolution when these powers do come back, it would be ridiculous, for example if you take agriculture and fishing, already there is a responsibility for agriculture and fishing. those parts of the policy will be part of the european union and if you look at the 1990s scotland act which sets up at the 1990s scotland act which sets up the scottish parliament, any powers it must be relocated to edinburgh not westminster. well we can speak now to eleanor garnier who's at westminster. a big moment tomorrow obviously in the history of the nation but it is actually going to be quite a strong thing, one per minister to the european commission it might be quiet. there will be a lot of excitement about it and people tuning in to see how it happens and we did learn a bit more about the choreography. it won't be theresa may in the commons, it will actually be