, brexit, brexit.hat is brexit? why? why when people are suffering? everybody, everything in mind first when you wake up, brexit. when you sleep, brexit. reporter: for london, the chaos at westminster has become business as usual. on tuesday, the rejection of theresa may's brexit deal. today, a vote of no-confidence against the prime minister. >> for me, it is driving me crazy. get on with it, do it, sort it out. and let's do what the vote said. >> i think everything is a bit of a mess at the minute. make a decision one way or the other and let everyone know what they are doing. it has gone on far too long and is confusing more and more people, especially myself. >> people are uncertain, unhappy. people of all ages, all generations, all parties, all thoughts and beliefs are unhappy and uncertain. we need more certainty and decision-making. reporter: it is this uncertainty which threatens abdul's small businessss. most of the products in the shop come from eurorope. withth brexit, h he expects sers prob

and for keen brexiteers, that's brino. brexit in name only.ons, rebel tories might do everything to block it. ministers would likely resign. some brexiteers would rather see a brexit with no deal at all. yes, most mps want to stop that. mrs may says it would damage the country. but if no other plan's in place by brexit day on march 29th, it could happen. then there's a fresh referendum. we could find ourselves back at one of these, a ballot box. just now, even fewer mps openly support that than a softer brexit. many say it would enrage voters who trusted parliament to obey the last referendum. yet, could what its supporters call a people's vote end up as a way out for everyone if nothing else breaks the deadlock? parliament will have the final say and some mps will move next week to take control away from ministers and mrs may who will be under pressure from all the factions at westminster and meet some of them face to face. of ending with no brexit after a referendum, say, or if article 50 is delayed will drive brexiteers back into line. some

brexit lot is only a disaster, but we never give up brexit lot is only a disaster, but we never giveistics content —— concerning trade about the possible effects on the economy will be what eventually shapes this withdrawal bill and shapes this bill? and eventually leads to the uk backing down, you believe? you have to know that britain have to look at his interest and not just at europe's and not just at interest and not just at europe's and notjust at europe's interest. here they have to check the situation as it is. we do not like brexit, i had fed it in parliament today, but we will not destroy the european union in order to ablate a ha rd european union in order to ablate a hard brexit. that must be very clear to the united kingdom —— ablate a high brexit. he was put together and go forward as 27 and we are ready for a go forward as 27 and we are ready forafair go forward as 27 and we are ready for a fair deal, but not at the cost of destroying ourselves. what about the possibility of a three—minute on the possibility of a three—minute on the backstop? because we know the europe

you said it is 77 days until brexit. isaid you said it is 77 days until brexit. i said 78.lution it will be 70 days. i sit on the steering panel for the department for transport with chris grayling and others and we have been talking about this for a year and we still haven't got any guarantee. talking about this for a year and we still haven't got any guaranteelj still haven't got any guarantee.” am going to introduce you to simon clark, conservative mp he will vote against vote against mrs may's deal. you believe their worries around no deal are exaggerated but you have heard it from kevin's mouth this morning so what do you say to him? the most important thing to say is that we heard from the president of the calais and boulogne ports earlier this week in a powerful interview on bbc radio four. he was setting out very clearly that in an ideal scenario, which is not inevitable, and there is still scope to get the deal through the house, but in that scenario there would indeed be no additional delays relative to those that exist at present. if there is a 70 seconds delay i

soft brexit.rancine: are you suggesting there's another deal on the table that we would get in the next couple weeks? >> i would expect theresa may to run the course of her deal, which means a second vote next week. thereafter, parliament will decide essentially what outcome it wants to go for. if you don't decide an outcome a deal with the eu, it's a hard brexit. that is what we have to watch. you need something to avoid a hard brexit. my bed would be that the eu will signal the u.k. can have any of the deals that are off the menu, there probably is a majority in parliament for one of those under the pressure of the situation. francine: how do you see it panning out? what she put a second vote to parliament, or if we do see that, can they negotiate them? >> we notice she has to come back and present plan b, what she will not have. she will come back and say there's no majority, so we will go back to brussels to get a better deal. that depends whether we see some movement in parliament. the parlia

they will not be ready for brexit. they will not be ready for brexit.om, say, european clients, and i had one tiny company making garage doors, 20—30 people working for {losers , 29—50 eeagle we r% but their biggest customer is them, but their biggest customer is in europe to because qqdlerned fag-413 , , 7, 91?cher 3m“ get , ,,, .-.-. 95519595152 élfifiz: 5:55. la. egé elf—we'r— products in time. for managifi ofa of a small firm like director of a small firm like that need you need politicians to compromise: need to on, you need politicians to compromise: need to - on, so you can keep you need to move on, so you can keep doing what to do. nicole sykes from the federation of british industry, thank you so much. let's take a look at some of the other stories making the news... because it's not all about brexit, is it? the us has charged ten defendants, including two ukrainian hackers, for their roles in the 2016 breach of a key government financial database. authorities said the hackers broke into the corporate filing system, gaining confidential informatio

—— no-deal brexit.ed a game of chicken on both sides. this story is about the class party backbench belt being put together by yvette cooper. she is suggesting that if there is not a deal by february 26 then parliament should move to delay article 50, because that essentially lit have laid disaster of a no deal, which there is a majority in parliament for no deal, not much for anything else which is why it is so gridlocked. there seems to be consensus over that at least a part from what we are now openly describing as they had been there at wing of the tory —— had bangor it waned. i had seen it in and left his paper is now to think —— i have seen enough newspapers now. it should be dealt with that? aside from that, eve ryo ne dealt with that? aside from that, everyone has agreed that no deal should be removed as an option, and this mechanism of delaying article 50 up until december, according to this proposal, although i think there is flexibility on that. that is not locked in. that is what the labour

that's if there's no final trade deal ready, after any brexit transition. after any brexit transitionmay to agree an alternative, but brussels says there isn't one. back home, of course, brexiteers and the dup say checks could happen away from the border. trade could be tracked with new systems, new technology. getting round the backstop might, just, might, unlock a deal but brussels says the technology doesn't exist. and even if the eu gave ground, and there's no sign of that, reopening the brexit divorce deal could open up new problems. spain could renew its claims on gibraltar. france might veto any new deal. the eu is clear it would shift position, if mrs may went for a brexit closer to europe, staying under eu customs rules, say, but that's not a true brexit, according to mrs may. and, anyway, just imagine the reaction of brexiteers back at westminster. mrs may will be back in the commons, in around a fortnight. and it could be tough. if she can't win concessions from the eu, brexiteers are still threatening to vote down her deal. other critics on all sides could well try again t

it is a negotiated brexit. brexit or a note deal brexit. need toa deal the mps strike.nable, what i see from strasbourg is political games. theresa may appears like she is opening the door. she is saying it has to be brexit and it has to be a customs union. she stands by the red lines while saying she would pronounce them. on the other side of the aisle, you have jeremy corbyn playing games as well. he obviously does not want to engage and take his share of responsibility. this is not glorious either. >> we are hearing that theresa may could be ready to blur some of the red lines. that is the case, what would they do? when you think of it, it seems like a permanent customs union might have a majority in the house of commons, but actually, it needs and requires a withdrawal agreement to be in place. it has to do with the future relationship, and actually, when you look at it, a permanent customs union is making some provisions of the irish backs up permanent. there is also a great deal of the irish border problem, not all of it. for a regulatory alignment needed between

some want to have a hard brexit and the others want to have no brexit at all. now it is up to the british to make a proposal to reconcile it. >> it seems like the european union will have to offer something so theresa may can save the deal or that set -- or so that any deal can pass. what can they offer the u.k.? >> there's the question of the irish border that was agreed on. they will have to come up with a proposal. >> one contentious issue is the backstop, the insurance policy to avoid a hard border between ireland and northern ireland. should we limit the backstop in let's say five years? >> you do not limit the insurance before the fire comes. it's an incredible thing and they have said in london that it is legally binding, that the backstop will never come if you agree on a free trade agreement in a transition period. therefore we have to wait on what britain will say now. >> what is your gut feeling, as someone who has seen many decades of european policy, what will be the next steps? >> britain has asked to leave the european union without having any in

brexit will no longer mean brexit.ating our business forever. theresa may reshuffled her cabinet, making dominic raab her brexit secretary and jeremy hunt foreign secretary. she'd barely had time to draw breath before the american president, donald trump, arrived for a long—awaited visit, but not the state visit he had initially been invited to. perhaps the uk has left the eu. i don't know what they're going to do, but whatever you do is ok with me, that's your decision. he arrived having made critical comments of the chequers plan and supportive noises about boris johnson. but there were protests, including this giant baby trump balloon, which london mayor sadiq khan approved to fly over westminster. before parliament broke up for the summer recess, there were still some votes on the customs bill to get through. the european research group of conservative brexiteers had started to make life difficult for the prime minister by tabling amendments that they said would prevent the government pursuing what they saw as a so

and that is, of course, brexit.res the moment she learns she has survived the no—confidence vote. "brexican stand—off‘ — may and corbyn‘s parliament clash this evening and his attempt to oust her is dramatically illustrated on the front of the metro. as the prime minister hopes to hatch a new plan for brexit — the labour leaderjeremy corbyn refuses to hold any discussions unless may rules out a no—deal scenario, that's on the front of the ft. ‘ditch no deal‘ — the mirror leads on corbyn‘s ultimatum to the prime minister. the labour leader is accused in the daily mail of playing politics over his refusal of a meeting at downing street offered by the pm. come on over to may place — the prime minister's invite to the labour leader takes on romantic connotations on the front of the sun. his rejection of her offer for talks is also on the front of the times. and the telegraph leads with an exclusive story that chancellor phillip hammond has revealed to business leaders that the threat of a no—deal brexit could be taken o

thats a soft brexit, and it is not what hard brexiteers wants, not what theresa may wants, and not whaty corbyn once. babita: absolutely, we keep hearing no way do we want to go to the norwegian model. no offense to our norwegian viewers. we have a few hours. we scratched our heads as to wh will happen next. for now, thank you very much, cindy yu"t o spectator." lots of questions and little banswer we will continue to pover the detailsore --e over the details. president trump's nominee to be u.s. attorney l general has vowed he wt be bullied by the president. thtop u.s. law officer mr. barr would lead the department of justice, which is meant to be politically independent. here is william barr speaking earlier and his confirmation hearing. mr. barr: president trump has sought no assurances, promises, or commitments from me, expressed or implied, and i have not given him any other then i would run the department with professionalism and ingrity. toita: let's cross live washington and speak to our correspondent rajini vaidyanathan. perhaps not getting off to a good start with the presiden

that could of course lead to no brexit at. lead to no brexit at all.mps can't agree on any alternative, then — deal or no deal — brexit will happen on march the 29th, in just 75 days' time. with me now is our assistant political editor norman smith. it's all about the numbers. any evidence of the sea change that theresa may requires, it might happen. i think the blunt and says no. i thought it was striking listening to the prime minister today. she was asked, do you believe you can wind? she body swerve that and said, i'm working to get as much support as i can. the international trade secretary liam fox was rather blunt and said publicly it was quite unlikely mrs may can win. the name of the game now is really trying to reduce the scale of the defeat in the hope that if mrs may does not go down to an absolutely shattering defeat, she can come back with some sort of tweak, reworked deal that she can potentially put to mps a game, which is why today we saw her trying to reel in some of her critics, saying to brexiteers, be careful. if you vote against m

we have voted against a no—deal brexit.s secretary thinks that's a good idea. the prime minister was unable to answer my question on this during prime minister's question time. and no—deal brexit would be dangerous and damaging forjobs, industry across this country. mr speaker, this government cannot govern and cannot command the support of parliament on the most important issue facing our country. every single previous prime minister in this situation would've resigned and called an election. it is the duty of this house to show the lead where this government has failed and pass a motion of no confidence so that the people of this country can decide who their mps are and who their government is and who will deal with the crucial issues facing the people of this country! then it was theresa may's turn. mr speaker, last night, the house rejected the deal the government has negotiated with the european union. today, it has asked the simple question — should the next step be a general election? i believe that is the worst thin

she could try and turn this around and say to the brexiteers, look, you're jeopardising brexit happeninge isn't a majority for a no—deal brexit in the house of commons. so to look on the bright side, that is the only bright side we can see. so to be clear, does this definitively ruled out a new deal brexit? know, doesn't. isjust a skirmish, i think you could say. ifa a skirmish, i think you could say. if a today danny lee were saying that it isn't catastrophic. —— downing street. this is about parliament trying to say to the government, we can control this process if it comes to it. i think that's the point about tonight. i will say, those on the side who are trying to go against a no—deal brexit, this shows they have the numbers to stop the government going down that path. that will be argued against by the brexiteers to say that in law it's not the case, but it shows it —— how difficult it would be for a government to get this through if it goes down a path that the majority of mps do not want. our system relies on being able to get its foot —— stuff through parliament and the governme

it wants a brexit deal.graham brady. was theresa may bright to go down the route of trying to win over the respect —— us in your own party and the dup, rather than going for votes on the labour side? it is a difficultjudgment on the labour side? it is a difficult judgment to make. on the labour side? it is a difficultjudgment to make. my on the labour side? it is a difficult judgment to make. my gut instinct is that the votes went there on the labour side. if labour wanted and laura wake arrangement or a softer brexit, they would've had to have gone through the withdrawal agreement to get that. there was nothing legally binding in the withdrawal agreement that would have prevented a type arrangement. in fa ct, prevented a type arrangement. in fact, the backstop the city was that. what we learnt was in the end, a lot of european member states, felt it was a pretty good deal and we re felt it was a pretty good deal and were expecting labour to vote in favour. what we discovered is that they didn't and the prim

let's talk about brexit. we are going to have a big week talking about brexit. the moment of truth is nearing for theresa may's plan. the prime minister's warning brexit may not happen if her deal is voted down. latest attempt to win support for a deal. jeremy corbyn said he is ready to call a no-confidence vote in theresa may. >> if she does lose that vote, do you immediately put out a vote in no-confidence for the government? table the motion at a time of our choosing. jeremy corbyn speaking over the weekend. joining us over the phone, our bloomberg editor. theresa may is going to the brexit heartland. what can she say to convince lawmakers if lawmakers are her intended audience? what can she say to convince them to muster support for her plan? >> her argument used to being it was either her deal or no brexit or no deal. now parliament has been more assertive about preventing this no deal scenario. now perhaps it is a stronger argument. risk brexiteal or being thwarted. risk parliament will take control. the brexit you promised will be off the table. the riskg

brexit is not just a tactical the other about brexit. brexit is notjust a tactical point.er of points of basic principle. this is about the right of generations of current and future migrants, both to and from the uk. it is about the rights and prosperity of working—class people. soi prosperity of working—class people. so i think really labour has to take a quiz then on this now.|j so i think really labour has to take a quiz then on this now. i want to jump a quiz then on this now. i want to jump in there. the trouble with a radical rethink of the withdrawal agreement is that the eu says is not possible. this is the agreement, this is the deal. in a scenario where there were a general election, if one were able to do it in time and so on, there's very little wiggle room. absolutely. there will be no labour brexit yonder... if labour comes to power and tried to enact brexit, it will be able to deliver either something that is a bit like theresa may's deal with a few minor alterations or a norway's volume deal will we essentially just give up ourown volume deal will we essen

they are running out of time with brexit. for some mps, they are running out of time with brexit. forsome mps, it they are running out of time with brexit. for some mps, it does not appear to have taken them by surprise. they spend thousands of pounds on skiing holidays and breaks, and they are expected to be a pilot. this caused an outcry and a set but you need to help us, fund oui’ set but you need to help us, fund our holidays, they said no, which went to a letter tojulian smit and said that if you do have holiday time with family, you are entitled to ta ke time with family, you are entitled to take that. a bit awkward. time with family, you are entitled to take that. a bit awkwardli time with family, you are entitled to take that. a bit awkward. i think mps spotted on some lounges are on the ski slopes will get backlash. one of those stories that are engineered to outrace the motor. also the idea that mps did not realise that this could possibly happen. you would hope that your mp5 would focus in on brexit and they we re would focus in on brexit and they were worried about wha

here is the brexit countdown clock! it's 72 days until brexit.that a deal with the european union. because of that, the opposition labour party tabled a motion of no—confidence. that went the way of the prime minister. the ayes to the right, 306. the noes to the left, 325. cheering. the noes to the left, 325. so the noes have it, the noes have it. unlock! let's bring in christian fraser and rob watson, i will westminster dream team, ready to take on all of our questions. let's start with this, is there an increased chance of a no—deal brexit because of yesterday's huge defeat? go on, christian. well, in statute, the uk is leaving the european union on march 29, in law. you can only replace statute, law, with more statute and law. so the big question, the puzzler for people watching, is how do you get to that point? there is a majority, probably, in parliament to try to stop no deal, and the parties meeting with the prime minister tonight have said their terms for having more in—depth discussions with the prime minister is for her to take no deal

and second referendum at 15% and general election at 15% and no deal hard brexit >> softer brexit dealthe highest probability out of that list. >> softer brexit deal was the highest probability of that and that would come about if she wins a vote of confidence tomorrow and negotiates with parliament or soft brexit but the scale of this defeat on this vote, i would say, increases the chance that she has to resign or the chance we have a general election that's the slight flexibility from yesterday the chance we lead to new polls and second referendum is still quite a long way off the reason i say that, and didn't hear what jeremy corbin just said now but an hour ago said clearly if may loses this vote, he will urge for a general election and so at the moment, we don't have the leefader of t opposition or teresa wanting a referendum huge defeat for the prime minister. >> what does a soft brexit mean and would the members of teresa may's party go along with it >> it's very hard to know. i mean, the definitions of this are so wide. the focus really has been on what's happening with the bor

we want a brexit deal based on thejobs and economy, a brexit deal with a customs union, a brexit dealallows access to the single market. looking up the jobs, the economy, the environment, and a friendship, a cordial comradeship with the other eu states. if she does not cross those lines, if she cannot cross those lines, if she cannot cross those lines at the same time keep her party together, would the labour party wa nt party together, would the labour party want to bring another motion of confidence in the government?” would think it is absolutely impossible for theresa may to bring her party together. if she decides on one thing, the other side will disagree. if she decides on another thing, the other side will disagree. we have to get serious and get a brexit deal that satisfies the best interests of the people in this country. to satisfy the best interests of working people, the best interests in business, so we can get back to looking after the domestic situation which is a failing ordinary people in the country. as politicians, we have got to get together and negotiate. but we

pre-brexit conservatives uniting numbersi-brexit labour -- members.eremy corbyn will attempt to force a general election. he's calling a no-confidence vote later today. theresa may expected to win this vote. >> it is clear that the house does not support this deal, but tonight's vote tells us nothing about what it does support, ithing about how, or even if intends to honor the decision the british people took in a referendum parliament decided to hold. says the euroi area is not heading towards a recession, but softening momentum underscores the need for central bank stimulus. the ecb president warning members that the current slowdown could be longer than expected. investors are questioning whether the central bank will be able to start raising rates this year after disappointing data from the region. kenya's president says security forces have ended on attack on an office in the capital with all assailants killed. at least 14 people are reported dead in nairobi. security officers engaged the assailant. it is the first apparent major attack by an al

whatever deal goes through it will continue this war between brexit and no brexit.his might not feel like a grand occasion but these are some of the most important hours in theresa may's career. there is no surprise she has come to leave supporting stoke but she is heading back to parliament where her real problem lies. most backbench brexiteers heading to work have real fears about the deal, worrying we would be stuck in a close bind with the eu but despite months of rows some might still be persuaded. as i told the prime minister when she phoned yesterday and as i have told every constituent, i will listen to the debate very carefully. indeed i intend to participate in it this afternoon and tomorrow evening when it's over i will make my decision. afternoon and tomorrow evening when it's over i will make my decisionlj it's over i will make my decision.” just want to say thank you... but eurosceptics aren't making friends by compromise. dozens of them including former cabinet ministers like him are dead set against theresa may's agreement. you've got to balance the

a big day for brexit.about 12 hours away from this key vote on theresa may's withdrawal deal. the question is less about whether the deal is going to get but what the margin of defeat is going to be. the numbers we are going to be watching, if it is less than 50 votes, it could mean the eu comes back with moves to placate theresa may's opponents. bloomberg news is talking about a defeat of 150 votes. the worst in 95 years for a british government. becomes, what happens with brexit? there were so many different options on the table. permutations. i want to look at the bond market. for me, it is about the pboc. words from teresa saying the fed can be very patient. fixed income, hsbc, just finished our conversation. sees the disinflation impulse coming from china. the ecb will find it difficult to normalize. hsbc neutral. for stephen, that is almost as if it is a bearish quarter. -- blackrock are neutral. perhaps we have all got too far ahead on the weakness assumptions. is it cold where you are? nejra: it is

the brexit to —— former brexit sterry dear david davis urges the prime minister to...says the more likely a good dealfrom the prime minister to... he says the more likely a good deal from the the prime minister to... he says the more likely a good dealfrom the eu at the 11th hour will come. brexit makes the front of the guardian, saying jeremy corbyn will defy members calls for a second referendum, insisting the government should secure a new deal with the eu if theresa may's deal is voted on by mps. comedian billy connolly says he's not afraid of dying, saying instead it's an adventure. times says universities have been warned there on the brink of a credit crunch as they mount a bit trying to attract more students from home and abroad. and finally, the daily mail there says breathalyzer tests can detect early signs of cancer, it could save thousands of lives every year. as i say, a mixed bag of front pages there. no real consensus of what the front page should be. sajid javid pops up on quite a few of them. including the front page of them. including the front page o

well, that's it for brexit: the debate. let's stay with brexit.other hit today, with the resignation of assistant whip gareth johnson. he says the deal theresa may has struck with the eu would be ‘detrimental to our nation's interests.‘ i have looked at the deal from when it was first announced and i was in the whips office at that time and i knew there were significant issues that i had with it. it did not enable us to leave in a clear way the eu and it created divisions down the eu and it created divisions down the irish sea between northern ireland and the rest of the uk, and it caused problems with the amount of money being handed over without any trade agreement. i was encouraging the prime minister to go back to brussels and try to change the terms of the agreement which she did. it now transpires that there will be now significant —— there will be now significant —— there will be no significant change to the steel before the meaningful vote and asa steel before the meaningful vote and as a consequence and as the government whip i have had t

macro. —— no—deal brexit. to a no—deal brexit macro. —— no-deal brexit.s if the majority is moving towards trying to avoid a no—deal brexit sumac there is no majority for any of the other options, whether that is a prominent customs union, even a general election. that is the problem. parliament is deadlocked. they had to have a deal to avoid no deal? they do. you have to replace nothing with something. they talk about a constitutional crisis in the editorial of the sunday times, which you can understand because this would be a big constitutional shift, taking power from the legislative, parliament taking back control. is that a constitutional crisis? is that a constitutional crisis? is that a constitutional crisis? is that a coup? 0r that a constitutional crisis? is that a coup? or is that mps doing what we want them to do, it is to drive what happens in the country? that is an important debate we need to have. also in the sunday times we have gotjohn major writing an article. this brings home why it is so article. this brings home why it is so important

pushing for an ideal brexit.eason, he thought the eu was a capitalist club. but when he says he doesn't want a second referendum, he thinks there is a labour form of brexit they can negotiate with the eu, all the tactical considerations that we talked about, but there are also —— is also a sincerity that, he believes there is a socialist written that can be forged outside the eu. he is also a democrat and more than anything he believes in the democratic right of party members to make decisions and stand by them. we saw that when they thrash out this really convoluted settlement, if you like, on brexit, to bring all the bits of the party together. and my instinct is that he would go with what party members wanted, ultimately, if it came to it. he might try and engineera particular version of a manifesto policy, for example, on brexit. ultimately he was put in place by the members and he will have to listen to them. let's go to the front page of the daily telegraph, the trans— argument as men get access to women's

other critics, on all sides, could well try again to take control of brexit, force her to delay brexit time, unhappy ministers might resign and join the rebellion. as things stand, mrs may will be back in the commons, reporting a deal if she, somehow, against all the odds, gets one next month. and if no deal‘s agreed, she will report that to mps, a day ahead of a big debate and crucial votes the next day, valentine's day. but don't expect much affection in the house between rival factions, rival parties or, for that matter, towards mrs may if britain seems closer to the outcome many fear — a no—deal brexit. john pienaar there. in a moment, we can talk to laura, our political editor, at westminster. but first, let's go to dublin and our ireland correspondent, emma va rdy. how would you characterise the response and the stance of the irish government today? well, on the face of it in various exasperation and disappointment with theresa may's u—turn on the backstop. in public, britain is going back to the eu to ask for something that brussels and dublin have said they cannot deliver. in p

brexit could slip through yourfingers. that is no brexit. brexit could slip through your fingers.om the eu, this letter from donald tusk and jean—claude yunker, which says that the eu doesn't want to go into the back stop like the uk, wanted to be as short as possible, will use its best endeavours to make sure it doesn't go on for ever and a pay. there will be no need for additional regulations in northern ireland. there can be a storm or check to ensure the northern ireland assembly, if it is up and running, can block additional regulations, and suggesting they want to move to the next age, the political declaration as soon as possible. all fine and dandy. the problem is it doesn't look legally binding. theresa may said it has legal force at the eu says it has legal value. but it is not written into the withdrawal agreement, and that is the basic problem for all the warm words, many mps will say, that is fine but it is aspirational. it is not binding. that is, what she has got to find is a mechanism that will give a legal force to these words of good intent, and so far it doesn't

whatever deal goes through will continue this war between brexit and no brexit.d occasion but these are some of the most important hours in theresa may‘s career. it‘s no surprise she‘s come to leave—supporting stoke and she is speeding back to parliament where her real problem lies. most backbench brexiteers have real fears about the deal, worrying we‘ll be stuck in a close bind with the eu. but despite months of rows, some might still be prepared. as i told the prime minister when she called yesterday and as i‘ve told every constituent, i will listen to the debate very carefully. indeed i intend to participate in it this afternoon and tomorrow evening, when it‘s over, i will make my decision. see you soon, cheerio. but eurosceptics are not making friends by compromise, dozens of them including former cabinet ministers like him are dead set against theresa may‘s agreement. you have to balance the undoubted but manageable short—term risk with our what i think would be devastating economic and this is not for six months or a year, this is for our children. a smalle

then the other option is to pivot towards a harder brexit and bring on board the brexiteers, the dup tory mps voted against that, so she needs to win them back. one thing they want, amongst other things, is to get rid of the irish backstop. the last—gasp guarantee for keeping the border in ireland open. that would solve things for a lot of tory mps, if you could take them out of the legally binding withdrawal treaty, but the eu has said they are not willing to countenance that and will not reopen the legally binding document. there area the legally binding document. there are a lot of tory mps who say we should leave with no deal and have the courage of our convictions. the problem with that, a lot of people are predicting it would be extremely are predicting it would be extremely a chaotic and there is no majority for that in the house of commons. that brings us back to where we started. there might be a majority against no deal in the house of commons but this process is trying to find what they might be a majority for, and we don't know that yet. chris, thank you very much. there'

situation what will happen there as you said, maybe no brexit or hard brexit, whatever.ow you have theresa may's own fight as well. is it just us, or are there really now two distinct fronts where the fight will take place? >> i think mrs. may has been in this fight all the way through she lost the big vote on december 4th she lost another one on january 8th and another one on the 9th she lost another vote the day before this one. she got beaten out of sight yesterday on her withdrawal proposal as well the fact of the matter is she is still there. one fight that she has won recently is her own party had a vet on her confidence on her, and said, yes, we do think that she is the right person to lead us she can't be touched by her own party or challenges within the hard brexiteers for at least one year the challenge can only come from without or if she decides to quit herself many have said today -- i spoke to the chairman of the labour party. she said she should acquit if she wins tonight's confidence vote, one thing i can tell you that the labour party will keep on with c

the brexit is one. once that was made -- that decision was made, it should be an effort to make that work at this point. but the uncertainty is a drag. it is hard to quantify. people have tried to but it is certainly a drag on the economy. hope we get over this and other elements of policy uncertainty around the world. vonnie: your name has been brought up in the context of potential next leader of the world bank. would you accept and what would your priorities be question mark less it is a very important job. committee to make recommendations about how the world bank and other development banks need to work better to improve growth around the world, to continue to reduce poverty. we made huge progress in that. but there is still a lot more to do. think the leadership of the world bank and institutions are important. again, it is a global world. --t individual company countries do an effort than asia is so important. and encourage good economic reforms are good economics makes such a difference in peopl

those on the brexiteer side seeking ideological purity with a deal are risking brexit because there isnfold growing risk that events could unfold in ways and they are leaping the door ajarfor unfold in ways and they are leaping the door ajar for waste... you are not offended by the role of the speaker in all of this? he is doing hisjob defending the rights speaker in all of this? he is doing his job defending the rights of parliamentarians and benches against the executive? i respect the role of the executive? i respect the role of the speaker i and i was surprised as many mps were by the decision this week. the point is for brexiteers like me is that the risk posed by people in parliament who stood, the vast majority stood on a manifesto to respect brexit, both the labour party and conservative party ma nifestos party and conservative party manifestos said they would respect the referendum result but it is self—evidently the case that the risk of parliament acting in a way that frustrates what was the biggest vote in our history has increased. many of the sunday newspapers have report

let‘s return to brexit now.is the netherlands‘ second most important export market. dutch producers want to ensure brexit doesn‘t disrupt this just in time supply chain. an hour away, at the port of vlaardingen, they want to keep the traffic moving too. they‘re looking at a green lanes concept, a digital preclearance system suggested by dutch growers, to fast track perishable products at the ports, which would in theory allow customs procedures to be conducted before the trucks enter the terminal, and uk customs officials could check the lorries‘ loads remotely, before the vehicles disembark. green lanes or fast lanes would be a good idea in order to speed up the process. are you able to implement them now? no, not at the moment. to be honest, we won‘t be able to do that before the 29th march, when brexit may be a fact. they are in the process of building extra capacity here. pro—brexit politicians have said warnings of delays are exaggerated, but of course, you have got to tackle any tariff avoidance and mainta

breathing brexit.ommunicating some of those terms. i am hearing thisjungle ofjargon that we have assembled on the subject of brexit and the complications around it. every second sentence complications around it. every second sentence some complications around it. every second sentence some terminology is used that is a real struggle to understand. let's be honest, when you have that kind of terminology it is baffling and occasionally a smidgen boring. today we run a supercharged mission to explain. brexit has turned out to be a rather messy business, full of words, sayings and jargon bandied around. but when we boil it all down, do we know what on earth most of it means? what is the backstop? what was in the prime minister's withdrawal deal? and away from westminster, how much of a grasp do people have of it? i have been to luton market to find out. it's very frustrating because you are getting comments from people from all over, all different types of politicians from all persuasions. three years talk

in the end i think there will be brexit.at britain has to get over its own sort of aversion to europe and get brexit done. the proof of brexit lies in the leaving. something has to give and britain has been at loggerheads with europe for so long. very few good words said in the past about the eu and even now there is so much vitriol poured on brussels. let's have a separation and severance of relations and see what happens. the proof of brexit lies in the leaving, and then we will see. an american view. the shinzo abe point, do you agree it is not a moment for foreign leaders and yet, where is trump? how much time do we have? not a lot on that question. i want to make another point on this which is i think the story of 2019 will be, on the one hand, we will show, and i speak as a second brit on the panel, part of the political social genius of the country is to muddle through. i think we will muddle through and the media has played its part in slightly overcooking all of this. you don't think we're back to the religious wars

it will be smaller after brexit than it would have been had brexit not happen.putative chancellor, deliver on all the spending promises, the socialist building infrastructure and investment programmes that he has promised? john gave the best answer when he was asked that question. he said he found the magic money tree that was planted in the cayman islands. he was going to uproot it and return it to the uk. that is £40 billion a year robbed from you and i, from the treasury, by greedy fatcats. .. and that will build a socialist britain? of course it would. really? £40 billion a year? damn right it would. and the reality is that labour has given promises that ordinary working people are interested in. a disorderly no deal brexit could cost up to 8 or 9% of gdp over the next ten years. how all $40 billion from offshore tax accounts going to solve that? i agree, a disorderly brexit would be catastrophic. that is why we oppose it. we do not want a no deal brexit. but the stance of the labour party today makes that all the more likely. you could be the enablers of su

as a result avoid a no deal brexit. the prime ministerfor her to get result avoid a no deal brexit.r to get a version of the deal agreed, she needs a change of direction from brussels. the northern irish backstop would see the uk stay close to eu rules. if she can get a guarantee this this would be temporary, some will look again at her teale. 0' e — teale. temporary, some will look again at her teale. 0' e - teale. i have been in favour of a deal. i think the withdrawal agreement is u nsatisfa ctory withdrawal agreement is unsatisfactory and doesn't meet the requirements of leaving the eu clearly. but if the problems are changed, then it isn't so much a question of softening, as there is a new reality. today the prime minister and other ministers continue to meet mps who have got their own ideas, including those calling for another referendum. we have to take control. the prime minister hopes long—standing brexiteers will change their minds and her message isn't subtle. she is saying in effect, hold your noses and back my deal or something like it, otherwise remainers may seen the

hard brexit, soft brexit, we've been preparing for this for two and a half years.the way through. can you guarantee everyone else will be ready? no. early this morning, our tomatoes reach england, bound for the shelves. 0ur journey stops at the supermarket distribution centre. the nature of our very efficient food supply chain is that there's very little surplus cost, so the more inefficient it becomes, the ability of suppliers and indeed the retailers here in the uk to absorb that for very long is very limited. they will be passed on to consumers quite quickly. the story of this cherry tomato shows us just how reliant we are on the eu for fresh produce, especially at this time of year, and just how slick an operation it is to get it here. emma simpson, bbc news. just a reminder. if you're finding any of the language around brexit confusing... you can use our online jargon busting guide to check the most used terms and phrases. all you need to do is go to bbc.co.uk/brexit or the bbc news app — and click on brexit jargon explained. lets go back to the severe weather

the germans are raring -- preparing for a hard brexit. no one wants a no deal brexit. are a couple of lines. down, sterling up for a fifth day in a row. that is the story we just covered in regards to the minister, that is the job he used to have at ubs. nejra: in london outside westminster where i am, big questions over where theresa may goes from here. she is facing this vote of confidence against her government but the expectations are she is going to win it. broadly about europe because we heard from mario draghi yesterday for the first time in 2019. this is bloomberg. ♪ nejra: this is "bloomberg daybreak: europe." i'm nejra cehic at messed with -- westminster. manus: i'm manus cranny in our dubai studio. the chinese go for stimulus. slip into the red, nikkei down .5%, began stronger ofyen stronger and the yuan 1.5%. higher on is snipping the back of the huge stimulus into the cash injection into the market. nejra: the euro area economy isn't heading for a recession according to mario draghi. of parliaments yesterday, the question we should ask, is this a sag or he

global dealing with supply chain, brexit or no deal brexit is a disaster.ted to do what, you know, the next day. manufacturers, subcontractors that work for multinational sectors, airbus should be prepared but were they prepared enough? that is an open question. a lot ofthere is not time left. there could be disruptions. there will be interim stopgap editors if we get to know deal, but there could be chaos. victor: that is why asian investors are fairly prepared. historically london is our natural hub for european investment. in addition to london, we must have another have. in our case it is [indiscernible] but many friends, luxembourg, paris, frankfurt, we are quite for the, but i think manufacturers, relying on global supply chain is still a real mess. stephen: there is a lot of messes. there is a lot of volatility in the markets, a lot of pain in the chinese economy. how is that affecting where and what you invested in china. -- china? victor: we might have a leg up on trade, but there are longer-term issues. the winter of discontent will be a long one.

it boils dowown to the fact that willll it be a hard brexit or won't it be a hahard brexit? a seems the probability of hard brexit is lower than it appeared months ago. to -- - they will it be calm by the next political drama that happens? >> if we do not see further indidication there could be a delay, the market might b begino lose its nerve. sterling investors could sell the pound again. we are headed for that hard brexit. we need some degree of legislslation t to push us on course. if brexitn'n't and start date begins to draw closer , that would unnerve investors. seeing how bad things can get for sterling or is it too early to talk about something like that given this newfound optimimism? c consensusus, forecasterers, indepenendent researchchers, the consensus has been that we will not see a hard brexit. hard brexitit, it would be a a shock to asset pricices. significant,e a downward impactt on the price of sterling, if there were to be a hard brexit. in termrmsa lot at s stake of the economymy, in terms of rl busineness, employment, investmentnt, as welell as asset pri

yesterday -- brexit negotiation. yesterday historic defeat was the result of two years of chaos and failure. it's now clear that this is not capable of when he support on its plan on the most vital issue facing this country -- winning support on vital issuethe most facing this country. within two years, they have managed to turn a deal from what was supposed to be one of the easiest in human history into a national embarrassment. in that time, we have seen the prime minister's demands quickly turn into one humiliating climb down after another. brexit ministers have come, brexit ministers have gone, but the shambles have remain unchanged. they are accommodating in an agreement which was described as one former cabinet minister as "the worst of all worlds. let's be clear" , the deal the prime minister wants this parliament to support leave the u.k. in a helpless position facing the choice of either seeking and paying for an extended transition time, or trapped in the backstop. theprime minister may claim backstop would

brexit won't happen at all. a very compelling message from her just to kind of... she is saying... you can see where parliament is beginning to take control over the affairs. you saw last week where dominic grieve on the amendment, they had to come up with a plan within three days if the meaningful vote on tuesday doesn't work, so she is going to the brexit support heartlands of stoke—on—trent, who voted overwhelmingly to leave, so trying to break out of the westminster bubble perhaps one day before we will be accessed with the westminster bubble on tuesday but... the express says 2a hours. westminster bubble on tuesday but... the express says 24 hours. 24 hours, yes,. as rachel was saying she could lose the vote by hundreds and they are almost trying to portray that if we lose by less than that, we might have something to play with, so this is not normal politics, but on we go. not normal politics, well, before we move onto the express front page, what do you make ofjohn bercow‘s involvement and recent actions?