this is 90 minutes. >> good afternoon and welcome to the brookings institution. s frank rose and senior fellow here in the foreign policy program. at brookings. we are delighted have such a large

the brookings institution talks about the decade-long research into turnover in presidential administrations. following her remarks, she takes questions from students attending the washington center's 2019 seminar. this is 45 minutes. ar this, is 45 minutes. good morning we have our first speaker dr. tempis. going to talk to us about your hired you're fired staffing and a nonresident senior fellow with governance studies and she's looked at white house staffing with a particular focus on turn over rates an individual white house entis like office of political affairs and you can find her writings at the brookings institute. >> thank you for having me. i used to be at university of south florida. i'm excited to see you. i think if you study political science you may see things and understand lectures from a different perspective than before you came. so i've been studying this 20-25 years. nobody cared until trump came along. i probably wrote articles they probably read over the course of many years. no one cared. and one of my drugs said there is increase in turn over. so why doesbasis. step

frank: good afternoon and welcome to the brookings institut

molly reynolds with the brookings institution is with us. there is also a significant role for the man who is called the dean of the house, don young from alaska. what will that be? molly: don young will administer the oath of office to the speaker elect. again, we presume that will be mrs. pelosi. that is a role he gets by virtue of being the longest-serving house member. he is quite a character, so that is always a bit of a fun moment on this day of high pomp and circumstance. john: don young tweeting earlier today, attending church services this morning in a bipartisan service on capitol hill, tweeted out a photo of himself and nancy pelosi. this is the call of the house, the election of speaker and there is don young seated on the floor. the house under way, the election of speaker coming up. john: guests in the gallery is singer tony bennett and his wife, susan. speaker pelosi. reportedly he sang last night at an italian restaurant. also from california, the fairly famous mickey hart of the grateful dead. john: the center of your screen

discussion on the role islam plays when muslim countries consider their foreign policy, the brookings institution hosts this event, which features several middle east experts. it's just over 90 minutes. >> good morning. and thank you so much for joining us on this balmy

to the brookings institution, the 116th congress is the most educated

according to the brookings institution, the 116th congress is the most educated congress in history.h some of the new members. democrat

the same time fighting isis remnants i'm joined now by scott anderson who is a fellow at the brookings institutein washington d.c. to discuss more on the sides very much for coming on to al-jazeera for those watching far away it really does feel like donald trump sort of and makes these announcements for the headlines but the policy doesn't really come into it is that how you're reading what's happened now he's suddenly realize what he's announced doesn't quite work. something to that effect i think yes you know the president has a very instinct driven unpredictable decision making style he doesn't abide by a process he doesn't like to run certain decisions like this through the usual set of advisors that would normally have input into this issue and decide how to implement what the president wants to see happen in the best way to account for all the different interests and so sometimes the president does what appears been the case here which is that he makes an announcement or he makes a decision insists on it and then begins to learn a little bit about the consequences about what it will mean

the washington center hosted brookings institution senior fellow katherine donetempis, following her remarks she takes questions from students attending the inside washington 2019 seminar. this is 45 minutes. >> please take your seats. [inaudible conversations] >> all right. this morning we have our first speaker, kathryn dunn tenpas, who will talk about you are hired, your 5, staffing the trump presidency, analysis and comparison. kathryn dunn tenpas is a senior fellow with governance studies and secretary of the governance institute. her research addresses the intersection between the presidency and politics including president reelection campaigns and trends in real presidential travel and pulling, expenses, she has looked at white house staffing with particular focus on turnover rates and individual white house exigency like the office of political affairs, office of faith-based and community initiatives and staff secretary. kathryn dunn tenpas authored the book presidents as candidates come inside the white house for the presidential campaign and published 30 articles and papers

she worked on both wall street and at the brookings institution. without objection, witnesses written statements will be made part of the record. you are not recognized for five minutes to give an oral presentation. thank you for being here. >> thank you, mr. chairman and ranking member waters. opportunity tos thank the chairman for his service. i have sat on this side of the table many times and have learned a lot. let me congratulate as well ranking member waters and look forward to her continuing service on the committee. i don't know what to say. for 15 years, i have been talking about the budget and i could draw on you with numbers, but let me just say three simple things. number the outlook is dire and one, it will have consequences . the cbo estimates debt will average about 5% of gdp. that is extraordinarily high for an economy that is at full employment. the debt in the hands of the public will go from 70% to 100% over the next 10 years and continue to spiral more on that unsustainable track. we'll get pictures of the sort that the chairma

. >> our guest with the brookings institution, first date of the 116th congress, the quorum call underway. let's watch and see as new and other members gather on the house floor. >> center of your screen, former navy seal dan crenshaw. members will be sworn in shortly. the first call of the 116th congress. molly reynolds with us as we watch the gathering on the floor. let's get back to the rules for a second. we will see significant changes in terms of the naming of committees and establishment of additional committees in the house. theirocrats in opening-day rules package will change the name of two house committees. they will return what republicans have called the committee on education and workforce back to one of its previous names, the committee on education and labor. that reflects where democrats see some priorities for that committee. they changed the name of the committee that has been called the oversight on government reform to the committee on oversight and reform, i believe. that is meant to reflect the jurisdiction of that committee, how the democrats see that committee's r

the brookings institution talks about the decade-long research into turnover in presidential administrationsllowing her remarks, she takes questions from students attending the washington center's 2019 seminar. this is 45 minutes. ar this, is

four-star general john allen also president of the brookings institution, thank you, sir.. >> honored to be with you. >> senator elizabeth warren, making her case to be the first democrat to be on the campaign trail ahead of 2020. e campaign trail ahead of 2020. amazing than ever. [darrell's wife] uh, honey, isn't that the dog's towel? [dog sfx] hey, mi towel, su towel. more gain scent plus oxi boost and febreze makes gain flings our best gain ever. gain. seriously good scent. >>> massachusetts senator elizabeth warren campaigning in the critical caucus state of iowa a third day this weekend. the first top tier candidate to make a pitch to voters there as she explore, the possibility of a 2020 presidential run. her fifth and last event for the weekend just ended. nbc's is on the ground there and in iowa. how are voters reacting? >> reporter: yeah. richard, this event just wrapped up in the last hour. we had 315 people for this senator warren event. she spoke over the course of five events more than three days. more than 3,000 iiowans. this event was different. this questio

individual white house entis like office of political affairs and you can find her writings at the brookings institute. >> thank you for having me. i used to be at university of south florida. i'm excited to see you. i think if you study political science you may see things and understand lectures from a different perspective than before you came. so i've been studying this 20-25 years. nobody cared until trump came along. i probably wrote articles they probably read over the course of many years. no one cared. and one of my drugs said there is increase in turn over. so why doesbasis. step back and think about the private sector. this is a pig deal. you might find a professor and they're looking at staff and in so what is interesting, they're worried about inhe pish wrensys that arise when people leave. so what does this mean? have you to train the person. so you take those things and with there there is inefficiency that's affects moral. and i would say in the fost, too, so important in working for the government. if you're working in the white house don't just care about the white house. you care ab

i would like to welcome you here today on behalf of the brooking institute for foreign policy, i'm suzanne maloney and the deputy read directory for policy here at brookings. we are here today to launch a paper in tired islamic state press how governments use religion and foreign policy, authored by two of my colleagues, shadi hamid, senior fellow and peter mandeville who is a nonresident with the brookings policy and a senior research and a berkeley center for religion peace and world affairs for at least the past 40 years, ever since a mass political movement espousing the triumph of authority over a seemingly impregnable state, islam has loomed large as the driver of politics and security in the middle east in the broader muslim world. and by extension it has loomed large for american foreign policy and for the global economy. the interest in and to often anxiety over its long policy analysis and deliver relation with exponentially magnified by the 9/11 attacks and the subsequent american interventions and the subsequent military interventions in the middle east. too often, however in o

the brookings institute hosted this event which included several middle eastern experts. it is just over 90 minutes. >> good morning and thank you so much for joining us on this balmy january morning in washington. i would like to welcome you here today on behalf of the brookings institute for foreign policy, i'm suzanne maloney i'm the depth jury directory here at brookings. we are here today to launch a paper entitled islamic state crap how governors use state crap authored by two of my colleagues, shadi hamid senior fellow from the middle east policy and peter mandeville who is a senior fellow with brookings policy in the islamic world. and a senior research fellow at the berkeley center for religion, peace and world affairs at georgetown university. for at least the past 40 years, ever since a mass political movement resulted in the triumph over secular, and the seemingly impregnable state islam has loomed large as a driver of politics and security of the middle east in the broader muslim world. and by extension, it has loomed large for american foreign policy in the

the brookings institutions catherine dunn talks about her decades long research in turnover in presidential'sistrations. washington center hosted this event. >> please take your seats. w all right. this morning, we have our first speaker, i know has katie, dr. tenpas , who is going to talk to us about you are hired, you're fired, stepping the trump presidency analysis and comparison. dr. tenpas is sa nonresident senior fellow with government studies and a fellow at the governance institute. a research address is the intersection between the presidency and policy including the presidential reelection campaigns and trends in presidential travel and polling, expenses she is also look at white house stepping with a particular focus on turnover rates and individual white house entities like the office of political affairs, office of faith based and community initiatives, and staff secretary. dr. tenpas has authored the book president as candidates, inside the white house for the presidential campaign and

all its neighbors near and far and i heard a number of american experts for example from the brookings institution suggest that because of that it may serve as. a house and of the east is that your intention we wouldn't mind but. we do not have this sort of. established goal of becoming one you know one because if you don't you'll get the frustrations so you better not and that sort of situation. what we have in the world with this country what what we have is already pretty good enough for us we do not really want to be this hostile for many things but if the countries choose mongolia we really don't and yet just the other day a month ago issued an invitation to come down on the leader of north korea it's you visit your country whenever he find suitable and that korean sides with the prospect of a second meeting between the north korean leader the american president. apparently there is a search for of the most convenient for that what do you think a lot about are can offer that singapore wasn't able to provide singaporeans a cool great place if they could provide everything so we're not in the s

according to the brookings institution, about 36 million americans currently hold jobs that can be mostly performed by machines with current technology. that includes deliveries, restaurant workers, even farming. the report adds people without college degrees will be hardest hit. >> and a big question is what happens in the next recession? recessions are when automation kicks in most as workers become relatively more expensive for companies. >> some white collar jobs could also be taken over. robots are expected to learn paralegal work in the near future. >>> on that note don't be alarmed if you see a cooler on wheels making its way through your neighborhood soon. it is amazon's newest delivery bot and its name is scout. the tiny blue cooler on six wheels is designed to deliver packages along a set delivery route. right now it is still being tested out in washington and there is no word yet on when it will come to the bay area. >>> an animal thought to be nearly extinct found roaming in south bay neighborhoods, what's behind the stunning return of the tulio. >> move over san francisco, a

. >> according to the brookings institution, the 116th congress is the most educated congress in history 72% of the house having earned a graduate degree. she's recently spoke with some of the new members. democrat chris pappas is a restaurant owner and first openly gay member of congress from new hampshire. >> i read democrats have been trying to recruit you to run for a long time. why did you say no before? why yes this time? >> i care about the state where i served at the statehouse for a number of years. i needed to make sure i was meeting my responsibilities to the voters who elected me. this seems like an important time to be counted and put together the campaign we needed to restore faith in the institutions of our government and get some things done. while and may have heard before from people that wanting me to run at a different point in time, this was the time to do it. i did it at a time when people were running campaigns just like iran in new hampshire about ensuring we reformed the way our democracy works so that it is in the hands of ordinary folks. i ran a restaurant busi

on how tomorrow will play out, i spoke approved, go with -- i with a senior fellow at the brookings institutionoesn't look good. is there any chance shget this through tomorrow? >> i think it is very unlikely. you might remember this vote was supposed to be held before christmas and it did near she had the majority then. she pulled the vote and hoped that saner minds might prevail through the holiday period. there is tweaking at the margins but we are in the same position weere weeks ago. jane: if she is defeated, can she survive? >> it depes on how the scale of the defeat is. you may remember in december her own conservative party brought a vote of no confidence in her leadership. means theat, which paery cannot try and replace for another year. one possibility is that jeremy corbyn, the leader of the labor opposition partycould bring a vote of confidence in our -- in her government. it seems likely she would win that. her mp's don't party overthrown, and the democratic unionists from northern ireland are likely to back her. ne: after 2.5 years, what would actually change to bring anybody toge

the brookings institutions talks about her decade-long research into turnover and presidential administrations. following her remarks, she takes questions from students attending the washington seminar. this is 45 minutes. >> please take your seats, think we're ready to start. we have a fabulous panel here to discuss congress, the new congress, old congress. will it be the same old politics? speakers,variety of tom davis, the former member of congress. congress, a member of as well. -- a democrat from virginia. we have eleanor clift. she is an msnbc contributor, the reporter for the daily beat and i used to watch her and she was group back inlin the day. we are moderated by bob cusack. he is editor and chief of the hill. [applause] bob: thank you very much. thank you for coming out. i think this will be a very fascinating discussion. you have veterans of washington politics. i was to start with what is going on right now. this is the longest shutdown ever. numbere entering week four. house is going to end? moran: i wish i knew. it has to end pretty soon. the people are suffering. i think that

dany bahar is a venezuelan and israeli economist, and a fellow at the brookings institute. all of this playing out, most likely? well, i think it shows a little bit of desperation by the government. they are desperation by the government. they a re really, desperation by the government. they are really, for the first time in months, definitely, and perhaps a year or two, they haven't been under so year or two, they haven't been under so much year or two, they haven't been under so much pressure year or two, they haven't been under so much pressure by their own people. and they really are trying to, as always, blame somebody else for their mistakes. i think that they put up this attempt to expel diplomats, and to break the dramatic ties. it is not clear how it is going to play out, because the us doesn't accept him as the president any more, and the diplomats have been asked to stay in the country, so been asked to stay in the country, so it will be interesting to see how this will play out, i feel. what is your best guess? well, there are so many open questions, to be hones

the eu with a laura: for more, i was joined earlier by amanda sloat, a senior fellow at the brookings institution's prime mi is going to return to brussels to try to renegotiate a deal that brussels said it won't renegotiate. can she succeed? amanda: no. insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result. that is where we seem to be with the british position on the withdrawal agreement. laura: the latest twist in all of this is that mps are saying very firmly they don't like the backstop that was negotiated to get rid of the hard border between northern ireland and the ir bh republic. ssels going to budge on that in any way, shape, or form? amanda: absolutely not. ere president of the virginia council came out ahe vote and said that it was not up for e negotiation, and second, they would not budge on the backstop for northern ireland. the irish leader said this was absolutely a red line for them. laura: meanwhile, britain is due to leave theu on march 29. it is almost february. do we have a real prospect of britain crashi out of the eu without a deal? amanda: i

according to the brookings institution, the 116th congress is the most educated congress in with 72% of the house having earned a graduate disagree -- degree. we recently spoke with some of the new members. elected, he isas a restaurant owner in the first openly gay member of congress from new hampshire. i read that democrats have been trying to recruit you to run for a long time. why did you say no before? why did you say yes this time? >> i care deeply about the state where i run -- live in. sure that i was meeting my responsibility to the voters that elected me to my state office, to my business. this seemed like an important time to step up and be counted. but together the kind of campaign we needed to be able to restore faith in the institutions of our government and get some things done. while i may have heard before from folks that wanted me to run, this was the right time for me to do it. people were running campaigns all across the country just like the one we were running in new hampshire about some of the issues that are critically important. ensuring that we reform the wa

. >> thank you for -- >> with the brookings institute. haveek good d. >> yeah, thanks so much. take care. >>> coming up, the savings crisis that is now facing millions of americans. >>> well, it may be friday, but here's a look at what you should watch for next week. on tuesday, apple reports its earnings and, as you know, the company cut its revenue guidance earlier this month in part because of china. >>> on wednesday, quarterly results from dow components boeing, mcdonald's, microsoft and visa will be released. and on friday,the governm issues its monthly employment report. that is what to watch for next . >>> a record number of suspected cases of elder financial abuse were reported by banks last year for a total of about 24,000.s that double the amount of five years earlier. according to "the wall street journal" banks are increasing training programs for hmployees to detect and stop the issue without violating a customer's privacy. >>> the seshutdown and t workers who went without pay got us thinking about savings. avt of all the surveys that show americans don't enough mo

. >> according to the brookings institution, the 116th congress is the most educated congress in history. with 72% of the house having earned a graduate degree. c-span recently spoke with some f the new members. democrat chris pappas was elected to congress and the of openly gay member congress. >> why did you say no before? why did you say yes this time? papanikolaou well, i care about the -- mr. pappas: well, i care about the state i grew up in. i needed to make sure that i

according to the brookings institution, the 116th congress is the most educated congress in history. with 72% of the house having earned a graduate degree. c-span spoke with some of the new members. chris pappas was elected to new hampshire's first congressional district to my he is a restaurant owner and the first openly gay member of congress from hampshire. i read that democrats have been trying to recruit you to run for a long time, why did you say no before, why did you say yes this time? chris: i care deeply about the served live in, where i as a member of the state house for a number of years. to they responsibility voters who elected me, this seemed like an important time to step up and be counted. and to put together the kind of campaign we need to be able to restore faith in the institutions of our government and to be able to get some things done. while i may have heard before from folks that want to -- wanted me to run in a different point of time, this was the right attempt to do it and i did it at a time when people were running campaigns across the country like the one

i'm bill gallstin, a senior fellow in governance studies here at the brookings institution. i'd like to welcome all of to you this event and congratulate you all on braving what in some parts of the country is record cold. and pretty cold here in washington, d.c. this event will be on the topic, the dissatisfactioned public, what can congress do? and that title contains a truism and a surprise. the truism is that the american people are dissatisfied. the the surprise is the possibility that the congress could do anything about it. but we'll find out what that might be. i'm also please pleased to tell the audience that we are joined by c-span. so for those of you who care about such things this will be a great time to tighten your ties, adjust your hair or do whatever else you -- you want to do to be appealing on national television. but let me proceed to the substance. the public is dissatisfied and mistrustful. we know that. and we'll hear more about that in just a few minutes. congress is stalemated and dysfunctional. we know that too. and we don't need a report to tell us

molly reynolds, senior fellow with the brookings institution. the will announce her presence momentarily with a big california delegation. what happens next, in terms of what we hear from speaker elect pelosi and legislatively? thing that happens is we will see the minority leader, kevin mccarthy, make some brief introductory remarks. we then we'll see don young of alaska, the longest serving member, swear in pelosi. -- pelosi wille make remarks to the house before by don young. she then will swear in the rest of the members. by don young. then we also expect to see the adoption of opening day for the new congress, things related to the budget, other things like changes to the discharge petition, a new consensus meant to open up the house to more power to rank-and-file members. we will see an end of term limits for committee chairs for that -- that republicans have in place. we are expecting votes on a couple of different measures aimed at reopening the government, ending the partial government shutdown going on since before christmas. majority

the brookings institution hosted the projects of strategic's arms reductions treaty which establishes limits on the u.s. and russia. this is 90 minutes.

. >> according to the brookings institution, the 116th congress is the most educated congress in history. with 72% of the house having earned a graduate degree. c-span recently spoke with some f the new members. democrat chris pappas was elected to congress and the of openly gay member congress. >> why did you say no before? why did you say yes this time? papanikolaou well, i care about the -- mr. pappas: well, i care about the state i grew up in. i needed to make sure that i was meeting my responsibility to the voters that elected me to my state office, to my family restaurant business. this seemed like an important and be counted to restore faith in the institutions of government and be able to get some things one. this was the right time for me to do it. i did it when people were running campaigns just like the ones we were running in new hampshire about issues that are important, lowering the cost of medicare, making sure that everything works for everyone. reforming democracy so the power is in the hands of regular folks. >> what were you do before you ran? mr. pappas: running a res

this is 90 minutes. >> good afternoon and welcome to the brookings institution. here at the fellow foreign policy program. senior fellow here in the foreign policy program. at brookings. we are delighted have such a large audience for our topic today. the politics of the new start treaty and strategic modernization. this is the first in a series of to hostrookings plans on the future of u.s. nuclear weapons policy over the next year. i look forward to seeing you at our future events. by the time, by the end of the obama administration, a very fragile bipartisan consensus had emerged between congress and the executive branch over nuclear policy. consensus""fragile the obama administration and congress agreed that the united states would modernize its strategic nuclear deterrent but would also support effective and verifiable strategic nuclear arms control agreements like new start. said, regardless of your views on arms control and strategic modernization, i think there is broad agreement that that fragile consensus may be "falling apart." there are a number of fa

i'd like to welcome you here today on behalf of the brookings institution foreign policy program. i'm suzanne maloney for policy at brookings. islamist state craft, how governments use religion and foreign policy authored by two of my colleagues, a senior fellow from the middle east policy and peter mandeville a nonresident senior fellow with brookings project on u.s. relations in the islamic world and senior research fellow at berkley center for religion, peace affairs at georgetown university. for at least the past 40 years ever since a mass political movement espousing the triumph of the sacred authority over secular toppled the monarch and seemingly impregnable state, islam has loomed large as a driver of politics and security of the middle east and broader muslim world and by extension it's loomed large for american foreign policy and for the global economy. the interest in and too often anxiety over islam and policy analysis and deliberation was exponentially magnified by the 9/11 attacks and subsequent interventions in a series of military conflicts in the middle east. too

we have a professor of trade policy at cornell and a senior fellow of the brookings institution joiningon the phone. when we look at the varying types of headlines, what is going on between the china-u.s. talks? >> the fundamental shift taking place -- that has taken place is a balance of leverage. of last year, it looks like the economy was slowing down and china had incentive to make a deal. showsth the u.s. economy signs of that slowing down later this year with the stock market not doing so well. it is in the interest of both sides to make a deal. while the chinese have been willing to make some confessions, they are not willing to concede to all of the demands the u.s. has put on the table. made, anddeal can be less china can make some concessions without capitulating totally is the question. potential concessions, which ones do you think china would be most agreeable to? signaled it is willing to get into certain u.s. demands. it is easy to find more u.s. products. they indicated they are willing to make concessions in terms of providing market access to what u.s. and other firms

the middle east analysts participated in this event hosted by the brookings institution in washington. it's about 90 minutes. >>> good morning. thank you so much for joining us on this balmy january morning in washington. i would like to welcome you here today on behalf of the brookings institution foreign policy program. i'm susan maloney. i'm the deputy director of foreign policy here at brookings. we're here today to launch a paper entitled islamic state craft how governments use religion and foreign policy. authored by two of my colleagues. a senior fellow at the middle east policy and a nonsenior resident with brookings on u.s. relations with the islamic world and a seven fellow at the tuberculos berkeley center. for the past 40 years ever since a mass political movement toppled the monarch and impression national assembly sta -- impressionnabl authority. by extension it's loomed large for american foreign policy and global economy. the interest in and too often anxiety over islam in policy analysis and deliberation was magnified by the 9/11 attacks and the subsequent american in

i'd like to welcome you here today on behalf of the brookings institution foreign policy program. i'm you zan maloney, i'm the zech ty director of foreign policy here at brookings. we're here today to launch a paper entitled islamist state craft. how governments use religion and foreign policy, authored by of two my colleagues, shadi hamid, senior fellow for the policy. and peter manda dlts vill, islamic relations with the islamic world, and a senior research fellow at the berkeley center for religion peace, and world affairs at georgetown university. for at least the past 40 years, ever since a mass political movement espousing the triumph of the sacred authority over secular toppled iran's absolute monarch, and the seemingly impregnable state, islam has loomed large as a driver of politics, and security of the middle east, and the broader muslim world. and by extension, it has loomed large for american foreign policy and for the global economy. the interest in, and too often anxiety over islam and policy analysis and deliberation was exponentially magnified by the 9/11 attacks a