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parties in the center don't have that in the new bundestag. tom:. >> that includes the grains. >>. >> they don't get to the two third of victims on their own change the constitution which out -- without one of the other two parties joining them. what they can do is suspend it for a year and say we have an emergency, we need to help ukraine. i think that will be likely. they will set up a special defense fund. we saw that when the war started. while they will be unlikely to reform the debt break, they will likely be able to suspend it and i think it is likely will see them do that. tom: chad, thank you very much indeed on where things stand. the market implications of the german story, traders hope germany's election outcome will see a pivot towards increase spending on reforms although there are caveats. two straight years of construction -- contraction. valerie, there has been a market reaction. dax viewers -- futures higher, euro gaining. >> market friendly outcome of the german elections, clear winner, two party coalition likely to be forme

we'll speak with fdp bundestag member otto fricke at 930 gmt. tencent shares climbed to their highest level in over three years, as the chinese tech giant looks to integrate deep sea ai model into one of its key apps. our top story this morning geopolitics. u.s. officials will meet russian representatives in the coming days in saudi arabia to begin negotiations toward a russia ukraine peace deal. an aide close to ukrainian president volodymyr zelensky told nbc that ukraine had not been invited to join that meeting. but president trump told reporters on sunday that zelensky would be involved in conversations about peace. meanwhile, a number of european leaders will meet in paris later today to discuss the situation in ukraine after an invitation from president macron. >> the Élysée. said the leaders. >> will discuss the us administration's approach to ukraine, as well as security concerns in europe. we are seeing quite a strong bid for european defense names in europe this morning on the back of developments over the weekend in munich, with jd va

it has been dramatic few days in the bundestag.n immigration passed in parliament with help, with votes, relying on the boats, of ivotes. relying on theshoats. of far ivotes, relying on theshoats, of far right alternative for the far right alternative for deutschland. a taboo in it does make german it —— 5 make german it —— votes. . german it —— votes. it erman it —— votes. it is man it —— votes. it is called politics —— votes. it is called the firewall. then today on friday, legislation was tabled, again calling for tougher immigration rules and the behind this, the driving person behindthis. thesdriving has been the farce. hasheenthef cdu leader, conservative cdu leader, friedrich the tipped be the next to likely be the next of germany, at least chancellor of germany, at least according the polls. he has attending ts th=efitteh=ha= *" that make been saying he saying that make been saying he hasn't sought the help the r77igh7t7777 7 i right bu7t he �* right bu7t he does immi-ration rules �* immigration rules and 7 after 7 7 after h

sevim dagdelen, a member of the bundestag. bfw and anita, thank you for breaking us down.king down for us. all of everything we need to know in the lead up to sunday's election now. join us monday morning for special coverage of that vote. anita and carolyn will be on the ground in germany, joined by lawmakers and business leaders. that coverage starts at 6:00 gmt. coming up on the show, it's been a rough week for us ukraine relations. we'll get reaction from former foreign minister dmytro kuleba. stay with us. >> some people like doing things the hard way, like doing their finances with a spreadsheet instead of using quicken. >> quicken pulls. >> all your financial info together in i got this $1,000 camera for only $41 on dealdash. dealdash.com, online auctions since 2009. this playstation 5 sold for only 50 cents. this ipad pro sold for less than $34. and this nintendo switch, sold for less than $20. i got this kitchenaid stand mixer for only $56. i got this bbq smoker for 26 bucks. and shipping is always free. go to dealdash.com right now and see how much you can save.

but if you step back from all of the drama we've seen in the bundestag over the last few days, firstyou couldn't say that it has collapsed, but it is joining me live is eric langenbacher, professor at georgetown university and senior fellow and the director of the society, culture and politics programme thank you very for taking the time be with us. the german parliament narrowly rejected legislation to tighten with the afd — what would that have meant? of all, you for having me. let's not forget that friedrich merz already on the back one for back on wednesday — so vote back on wednesday — so that $27 what set off that was really what set off this firestorm germany this firestorm in germany and abroad —— afd. it was iven given what happened surprising given what happened that he surprising given what happened this that he a, surprising given what happened this vote, that he a, surprising given what happened this vote, butt he a, surprising given what happened this vote, but itie ,, surprising given what happened this vote, but it shows lost this vote, but it shows some of the member

.- don't 5% you don't get into the get 5% you don't get into the bundestag you're both get bundestagble with eastern coalition with eastern democrats and of course that is semesrats and at caerea�*hat is ,,,,,.,,.,, ,,, party bemesrats and at seerselthatlia , . l party of the the party sf the entrant ,,,,,,,,,, and the party sf the ancient ' " , , and of the party sf the ancient ' .. l l and of course the cthleisrshs�*sf lewes ths party as ershletstshs�*sf lsetss ths party as well. i ehshleistshs�*sf lsetss th.s party as well. i think green party as well. i think merz wants to avoid �* than merz wants to avoid other than in his power is to severely in his power is to have a coalition. we have a three—way coalition. we have a three—way coalition. we have seen a three way coalition in over the last in germany over the last government and it collapsed and government and ittotlapsed and was lot of public there was a lot of public bickering and that's what we are having a election now. is happening earlier than he been do to be because had been do to be because the collapsed after governm

there are a few parties hovering around the 5% mark and if you don't get 5%, you don't get into the bundestagvotes basically get recalculated into over parties. they're talking about a possible coalition with the democrats. i think what frederick mertz wants to avoid is to have a three-waco litigation. we've seen that over the last government. it collapsed and there was a lot of public bickering and that's why we're having a snap election now happening earlier than it was due to be because the government clamsed after various issues but eventually over a budget issue. so mertz hoping he can form a government with just one other party. but the final calculations aren't yet in. >> a few busy days ahead for you and that election takes place this weekend. it's been two months since the assad regime in syria fell. human right organizations estimate that more than 100,000 syrians have disappeared since the uprising began in 2011 with more than 3,000 being children. the bbc has found evidence that some children who were detained with their families were then transferred to orr fannages by orders of

for our traditional press conference, mother from after the bundestag election, we start with the afddoctor alice weidel and the co-chairs are here. one. preliminary remark. because we've got some foreign press attending as well. i wanted to say this. the federal press conference is not an event of the federal government, but it's an independent association of journalists. our job is to organize press conferences so that our members can report on important events. alice weidel, you've got the floor. thank you very much. welcome to today's federal press conference. now for the afd. good morning. very pleased that so many of you have turned up here. yes, we do have the results. the and the a. was able to, uh, have a historic victory. the best result ever in the history of our party. we are very happy about it. within three years, we have managed since the last federal elections, we have, uh. doubled our support. that's a huge success. considering that our party is only 12 years old. no other party has done something like that in such a short time to establish themselves as a party of th

next chancellor, but he needs the support of at least two other parties to have a majority in the bundestage must now quickly regain our ability to act so that we can do the right thing at home, so that we can be present in europe again, so that the world realises that germany is being governed reliably again. reporter: the party celebrating the most is the one that came second, the anti-immigrant alternative for germany or afd, backed by the trump administration. it polled 20% of the national vote, twice what it achieved in the last election. most of its support comes from the former communist east germany, where there is huge resentment towards the 3.5 million refugees and asylum seekers who've entered the country since the former chancellor angela merkel opened the borders to people fleeing the syrian war in 2015. but the afd will not be invited to join the coalition, because of its far right roots and policies. this means its leader alice weidel can make life extremely uncomfortable for the incoming german administration. >> we have become the second strongest force as alternative for g

we'll look back at a heated session in the bundestag friday and what it means for germany now, less thane weeks away from a key election. >> hello. welcome to t-town. >> like men. >> over 40. >> everywhere. >> these guys experience. >> a drop in testosterone. don't worry. it happens to all of us. >> some guys. >> took my advice about how to boost their testosterone. >> and some didn't. >> this guy. >> got the message. >> loud and clear. >> that's right. >> eugenics. >> total t. >> eugenics. >> total t. >> is the unique. man boosting formula powered. by a key ingredient clinically researched to help increase testosterone levels, to help you feel stronger, leaner, with more muscle and drive. eugenics is the number one. >> selling testosterone. >> brand at gnc. >> but you can only get your complimentary bottle by texting jet to 215215. >> thanks. >> it'll make you feel like a new man. >> and by. >> the way. >> she'll like it too. >> get your complimentary bottle of nugenix now. text jet to 215215. text now and we'll include a bottle of nugenix thermo, our most powerful fat shopify's point o

9%, also a surprise. exports across europe. regional parliament. the leader of that party in the bundestagnt germany to be de—industrialised. women are scared to go to the park, and even migrants understand that it's not true when others say we are xenophobic. the truth is that we stand for a better germany for all, we want to change things. we want to bring attention to the topics that others are happy to forget, like a rent cap or basic income guarantees for couples who have children. and we will put pressure on in the parliament and on the streets, because that's where politics happens. now, the mainstream parties refuse to go into a coalition but it is important to look at what their success could mean, especially if they're pulling disaffected voters away from the centre. sumi somaskanda reporting and we will have full coverage of wewill have full coverage of... german elections the the german elections over the weekend. a man who stabbed the novelist sir salman rushdie — of attempted murder. hadi matar attacked the writer as he was taking to the stage for a talk in new york in 2022.

party that gets below the 5% threshold of the total vote gets knocked out of the buddhist -- of the bundestag. that rewrites what's possible for coalitions. you see some support for the cdu dwindle and support for smarty -- for smaller parties raised and you have a fractured system going into this weekend that would make these coalition talks more difficult at a time where we have had two years of consecutive contraction in germany where things need to get done. tom: so we look down the pecking order at smaller parties to see if they can get across the line. oliver crook outside the chancellery for us breaking down and setting us up with a preview of that vote. oliver crook will be part of that. a special program when polls closed sunday live from berlin. the group of seven is struggling to agree on a draft communiquÉ to mark three years since russia's invasion of ukraine. the financial times is reporting the u.s. is opposing calling russia the aggressor, threatening to derail a traditional show of unity and also to derail the truth arguably. a national security advisor push back against clai

and i've just been speaking to the vice president of the party inside the bundestag, the german parliament, who said they were so grateful for both elon musk and vice president vance's comments that they had been a tremendous boost to their electoral fortunes and to the question that fred was just answering. due to the proximity with the afd and the current american administration. of course, even greater on the question of ukraine specifically, this is, after all, a far right party that is not just insistent on closing germany's borders, repatriating illegal migrants. you're a skeptic as well. leaving the euro in an orderly fashion. that's what alice weidel has said. but also, in the end, stopping arms shipments to ukraine again siding with the american administration's position that it is time for russia and ukraine to sit down and for europe to stop supporting at such great expense the ukrainian people. it's been a remarkable night for this party. remember that here in germany, for obvious historical reasons, there has been what they describe as a firewall around the far right that appe

and the second strongest force in the german bundestag. think for many people, the economy is, of course, one of the issues why some people are voting for the afp. but migration is definitely the main one, and it's sort of the big issue that they always put out there when they are at their election campaign events. so that's definitely something that is going to be huge here, folks that we've been speaking to, though, a lot of them are saying that a vote for the afd for them is more a protest vote rather than something that would say they really support all of the issues that this party has, because there are some that are really controversial, like the afd being, you know, almost pro russia, definitely supporting germany, not giving aid to ukraine in the future. one of the other things they want to do is also end green energy policy here in this country as well. and there's a lot of people who are not on board with that. but in any case, it certainly seems as though they are going to have a very strong showing. and that could definitely c

in the german parliament, in the bundestag. one of the things that we are seeing here, kim, is that this is a very consequential election, that voters feel that this is a very consequential election. a lot of people that we've been speaking to, when we asked them a simple question, are you optimistic or pessimistic about the way things are going in germany? a lot of people say that they are quite pessimistic at the moment, and the topics are ones that, you know, we've been discussing a lot over the past couple of weeks. migration is obviously a big topic right now in germany. the economy is a huge topic as well. with this country now two years in recession. but then also, of course, the international environment that we're seeing here in europe right now, with the war in ukraine still going on with that new government in the united states led by donald trump being very negative publicly about germany as well. so those are all things that are weighing on voters. but one of the things that we can see is that many of them are sayi

oliver: very poorly from the bundestag. we have an election next week.tive for deutschland. that is precisely what was at the center of jd vance's speech. we are at the munich security conference about defense. we thought it was going to be about ukraine. that was part of the speculation. he spent little time talking about ukraine and physical defense. he went on a political manifesto about basically the virtues of free speech and promoting not just the america first attitude but values that drive that and saying you need more of that here in europe. he was talking about censorship on social media. he was lambasting mainstream political parties within not

trying to get an agreement with more than two thirds of seats in the bundestag to actually vote for reformt break will be very difficult. annmarie: without the reform of the debt break, what kind of physical space does germany actually have? -- fiscal space does germany exley have? -- actually have? holger: the problem is that national emergencies are by their nature temporary. you cannot put the long-term secure funding of the military on the same basis by having an emergency. there is a small chance if the germans are really moving fast, the outgoing parliament, where they would be a majority for the parties that might possibly want to reform the debt break, that parliament does it but there are technical hurdles ahead of that. as mentioned, one way around this would be to have the european finance more but that the unchanged german constitution will not be easy or would have to be very specific, limited. otherwise, there's a lot of -- judging by how the public is ruled in the past would say no. it is complicated. there are ways to raise spending. it is not easy. lisa: what are some conc

it's a tight margin of error around that 5% margin to get into the bundestag.are talking a good story for europe and that's why in q2 or q3 we're the euro recovering quite substantially. so the mega theme has moved towards it. and i'm hopeful that mario draghi and his column of the week is a fantastic read along with the euro crisis in growth trigger some movement. >> he said forget the united states, i'm paraphrasing here but it is ingrained in my memory. europe at 45 to 100% tariffs on itself through regulation. for a market perspective is that how you trade it now? do trade deregulation headlines. defense headlines paid how do you do it on a day by day basis. >> reconstruction and defense way easier. potential cease fire in april. you could talk about may with victory day in europe. those are things political analysts think that cease fire will be agreed to. reform when i was in luxembourg seeing official institutions is still pretty glum from policymakers about the upside. but i think with mario draghi's momentum and the u.s. attacking europe on tariffs and

bundestag.ry important for the fdp, the liberals, that were part of will be very important for the fdp, the liberal! coalition re part of will be very important for the fdp, the liberal! coalition thattrt of will be very important for the fdp, the liberal! coalition that led if will be very important for the fdp, the liberal! coalition that led to three party coalition that led to the snap election because if they make ll.9% they will not be part of bundestag 7 bundestag this there was the bundestac this. tone thee gr ——— ~~ , , this the bundestac this tone thee as ,,, ~~ , , this discussion that also colleague sumi somaskanda mentioned in berlin with all of the party leaders because now the 55555 55 i will sta rt 75 . . a negotiations will start and friedrich merz who is set to of germany, says 727 he hopes that this will that he hopes that this will conclude as soon as for to take a leading role also germany to take a leading role also when it comes to russia's war in ukraine, to have these uk

bundestag, imembers tohavea majority in. bundestag, the german parliament.ick, iwant to come over to _ parliament. nick, iwant to come over to you - parliament. nick, iwant to come over to you with - parliament. nick, iwant to come over to you with the | parliament. nick, i want to - come over to you with the md. come over to you with the afd. jess was referencing the numbers and those jess was referencing the numi and and those jess was referencing the numi and they hose jess was referencing the numi and they seem projections and they seem to the at around 20% of the the ft at around 20% of the vote, exactly where they were pulling, so what is the pulling. so what is the there? —— put the afp reaction there? —— put the afp at reaction there? -- put the afp at ., , at around 20%. there was loud a- lause at around 20%. there was loud applause and — at around 20%. there was loud applause and - cheering i at around 20%. there was loud i applause and - cheering when = 1——*** exit poll came out 7 exit poll came out and 7 é exit poll came out and the s é ex of oll