that is a very attractive model and i also think like a lot of conservatives what would the daniels campion have looked like? he kind of has a lot of liability and weakness and he's not a terribly charismatic guy but on the other hand and would have been an interesting contrast with the president. >> any questions? >> you know, you noted the minority share of the eligible voter population is up three points from 2,000 but you also noted dissident clear how it is in the effort. what is the history, how closely does the growth in the etd truck with the change in the electorate because all the calculations are based on the white share of the remaining at least as high as it was. >> looking back over the last 20 to 30 years to see the increase in the voter population. estimate that is the problem with the strategy generally we've seen the reason why the minority share of the voters increase like clockwork for decades it's basically because the share of the population of eligible voters increasing it at the rate so the two things can be tracked each other. that doesn't mean it's actually certain