i want to you look at the stock of giant used car dealer carmax. it was up nearly 10% say after a spectacular upside surprise. but just in earnings the ceo painted a grim picture this morning i'm going to quote it here the huge challenges in the used car industry are well documented with affordability pressure by inflation, climbing interest rates, tightening standards and prolonged consumer confidence. and yeah, the average selling price for a used car declined by 9% per unit. roughly $2,700 a year every year total sales to $5.7 million. they were down 26% so far so good this company is so good at what it does, carmax said it made 44 cents per share. the street was only 20 cents this is an unfortunately mixed picture. great for the shareholder, lousy for the fed. the used car prices were actually down and that affected the stock which soared, igniting the entire industry rally. which by the way, the action pushed up by lithium motors, and then even the the dreadful car vana of course, the game plan doesn't really work unless businesses are actuall

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carmax. but do they really? do they see all that you are?mcdonald's. the classic burger is getting a makeover. >> good morning. the headline here is that this ain't your mama's mcdonald's burgers. it is a mcdonald's make of it. consider it a beefing up of those mcdonald's burgers with a little bit of a gourmet twist to get your driving through those double arches. >> reporter: they've been an american classic since 1955. the mcdonald's burgers there with ♪ ♪ >> reporter: now, mcdonald's is hoping some small changes to how they cook their burgers will have your flipping over their signature menu items. because these are the best burgers every. >> reporter: the new and improved big mac meant a noble cheeseburger and burgers promising soft ribbons, caramelized patties cooked with white onions on the grill, meltier cheese and even extra special sauce. mcdonald's claiming they are so good that even the hamburger is coming out of retirement to steal a bite. >> looks like we've been hamburgled. >> reporter: but why change a classic? the business of

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look for earnings before the open from carmax and albertsons.resident austin goolsby and patrick harker and neel kashkari all speaking today. >>> turning attention back to the broader markets. earning season kicks off this week with the outlook gloomy first quarter profits for the s&p shrunk as of last week, 106 companies issued first quarter guidance. three quarters have given negative guidance. the most since the third quarter of 2019. the highest number of companies issuing negative outlook let's talk about this with kari firestone. kari, great to have you here. >> thanks, frank >> we will do something here on "worldwide exchange" with your word of the day. what is your word for the trading day ahead? >> anticipation. >> that is interesting why? we have cpi tomorrow and the kickoff of the earnings season on friday. what do you anticipate today >> oh, gosh. today, we have carmax and united healthcare two stocks we care about that cpi number will be huge in conjunction with earnings and what people are saying about guidance for the year. you kn

we talked about carmax when we talked about used car vehicles.are still profiting from it and it's helping their bottom line. the labor story showing up in the likes of albertsons when they are talking about a tough environment to retain labor. i will end with the macro again. keeping eye and how you position if you're worried about a turndown. the two year yield mirrors this trend where consumer staples is outperforming the white line. at the end of the day people will stick with the consumer staples. if you are hypothetically to overlay the two year yield. the message you need to take away his people are worried about recession and it's showing up in markets. guy: if you look at the market positioning now in the options market positioning for a move either way. fantastic as ever. thank you very much indeed. the imf lowering its growth outlook in large part thanks to the global banking system shocks we have seen. in the latest report, the funds chief economist says the risks are weighted heavily to the downside in large part because of financial

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migration to the product has been slow, so that's part of the reason why they downgraded the stock carmax surging higher after earnings doubled estimates, 44 cents versus the 24 cent estimate, the biggest beat since late 2009. unfortunately, it's not necessarily because of demand, but because of cost cuts shares up 10% and the year of efficiency continues snowflake selling off. a downgrade from midwest boutique but a recent company or company insiders, including the co-founder, selling stock and it was only revealed in the -- yesterday insider selling sometimes seen as a bearish signal and that's why contributing to the sell-off, down 5%. >> thank you very much kristina partsinevelos >>> focusing in now on the tech trade, the nasdaq the center of out performance up 15% but something seems to have changed in the past week as the index, as christina pointed out, pacing for the fifth negative day in six. components like tesla up more than 50%, despite having to cut prices, down more than 10% so far in april while mega caps like apple up more than 20% this year, but slumping recently. so has

as we start to get ready for earnings season, carmax is an interesting one. the revenue not that interesting but the profit per used vehicle was more encouraging and we will see how other players fair with their bottom line through the week. kriti: may be boring on the macro front but on the micro, not at all. earlier today, the imf spoke about the state of the economy and the warning of high uncertainty. take a listen to pierre olivier explain the outlook. >> this is reflecting the fact we have advanced economies reopening, moving ahead, china reopening, and we have the tightening of monetary policy. plus a little financial instability that could weigh down the lending point. put all this in the mix and that's where you have our base. the concern we have is there could be a lot of things going off the rails, in particular in the financials to ability space. jon: within that imf update, we had two reports -- the growth outlook and natural ability report. for more insight, let's bring in maria tadeo from the imf meetings in washington. the chief economist for

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i wouldn't be surprised to hear if the story is better than expected just like the carmax was tuesday and not what they want to see or hear. i like union pacific and i want to hear about the different parts of how businesses are doing within this. we also need to know about a new ceo. no process by which they parted ways. it makes me a little queasy. i don't know about you. what really happened? i have no idea. we get results from newport, too. i wonder if there could be a further number cut from when they preannounced not that long ago. i would be a byard -- a buyer of the stock, not a seller. on friday we hear from proctor and gamble. i think they are making tailwinds out of headwinds and so many different currents and even surfactants. many people i met were skeptical not that long ago. i will do another one this weekend. it will be the same. there is a reason we on this one. come on, club members. get on the case. the company is inexpensive versus ahistorical growth rate. that they will talk about how they thought many years of service projects ahead of them. halliburton told us t

their primary lending program is either through the carmax is where you getting a good warranty on the you want or you are buying a car from a used car deal -- dealer where the lender will get paid back. the person selling the car better sell you a good car or they won't make money. we like where the incentives are aligned. the history of subprime auto blending, it is a way to lose money. this world won't be perfect but one of the -- the economy chugs along and there is not this precipitous fall. wage growth is strong on the low end. it might be hard to find people losing on the subprime. dani: how does that you change if you expect a heart landing are severe cash severe recession go -- a heart landing or a severe recession goal? cole: we don't. most americans are getting their coffee and going to work because they don't have to worry about fdic insurance. you have to remember, we are in the investment business. i deal in finance. we forget what is going on in middle america. that is bad on wall street, people think interest rates rises dictates the economy. the answer is no, the econo

carmax is up eight or 9%. the best performing stock on the s&p. they were able to squeeze more profit out of each car they were able to sell which is quite impressive considering the softening used car market prices plus an overall sale malaise. not priced into certain areas on a micro level. bitcoin well off of its highs. is it following tech or following rates or is it on its own now. definitely over four as we head into wednesday. guy: what is the relationship between money supply and inflation? that is something people are conjuring with now. the chief economist of the bank of england once wrote tongue-in-cheek what did risks ever do for us. but what did the monetary risks do for us. if you look at this chart here, what they did do was may predict the inflation we are dealing with now because we have this huge surge, this is eurozone we are talking about. into 21 through the pandemic this huge amount of money and then started obviously feeding the inflation story. is that coincidence or a correlation of the two events related. i think what we'

you have research about carmax or something from the company there. >> yeah.n every year which is usually a sign to sell, except, david, their net earnings turned out to be -- the net earnings were just not as bad as people thought. people were looking for 20 cents, they came in at 44. what they've done, they managed to make a lot more money with less robust margins the margin increased $82 per car. then again, there's just real issues here. for instance net revenues were $ 5 /* 5.7 billion, down 25.6%. >> revenues declined by a full quarter. >> you can say it's up because com store sales were only down 14 we're in a situation where people thought carmax was in big trouble. they weren't they weren't in trouble at all >> any read-through at all just that they executed well in a difficult environment? >> all indications they're doing well lithium motor had is one to watch. think eve been on a buying spree of dealers that's become one of the three largest players in the industry and nobody talks about it. so watch lithium. >> one interesting point was used vehicl

. >> kari, jose in florida says bought carmax at $64.20.w your thoughts here what's the grade and what do you think? >> so i'll give you an a-minus, jose we own the stock and i'm on your side, but the used car mark has been tough we need three things to happen we hope they hit 20 cents or more used car market has to be picking up more vehicleses on the lots number two, gaining some market share from carvana and some sft weak competitors and number three, they spent a lot of money on capex let's see some return to investment on that big investment that they made. so i'm with you. i hope the timing is right let's get them going >> gotcha. michael wants to know, weiss, palo alto networks short palo alto $180 call at th $20.23 against a long-term stock position what do you think? >> he's probably going to close -- >> probably will close before earnings. >> right look, i think it's at least a b because i like the fact that it's hedging i think palo alto's had too big of a run here. i sold the stock a little lower than this. >> okay. >> so i thin

we're pulling liquidity out of the system at the same time that carmax came out today, we'll tightenrial lend something going down. usually going into recession you see companies grabbing for cash. banks are not having any of it. this is part of what happens when policy collides with these bank failures. charles: there was another time, the first time they introduced qe, quantitative easing, they bought everything up. they said they would run off the balance sheet and they never came anywhere close. do you believe they will really run off an extra two trillion dollars? >> it is hard to believe that they can accomplish this. i think what is unique they plan to maintain this liquidity dimmish shun if you will even after they stop hiking interest rates. and that's what market participants simply don't believe. charles: you know my pet peeve is excess savings. every time someone brings it up i lose my mind. yeah, rich people got the money. everyone else is struggling. i read a great piece in "the ft," this is phenomenal. japan has had the pom of excess savings for 10 years. this is their

. >> carmax is one because of its quarterly earnings just smashing analyst expectations thanks in large cost-cutting efforts and not demand it's not all good news the auto giant missed on revenue and cited a number of headwinds including rising rates, tightening lending centers and low consumer confidence. the stock is on pace for the best day since april 2020. shares are up almost 11% right now. bitcoin, talk about positives, trading above 30,000 since last june giving a nice boost to coinbase that you're seeing here, up 6% and smaller crypto players like micro strategy and marathon digital up 17% at $10.60. >> we'll see you in a bit. kristina partsinevelos thank you. >>> s&p 500 bouncing more than 6% over the past month driven bay rotation back into the mega cap tech trade our next guest, though, believes the charts are signalling a poor risk-reward setup from here. joining me jason hunter, jpmorgan's head of technical strategy welcome back good to see you. i just finished a conversation with somebody pretty positive on the market, but then i have chris harvey who says sell before may

ralph lauren, newell brands, pool all up big and carmax up nearly 10% after reporting earnings this morninguarter of a percent of the time, the s&p finishes unchanged maybe that tells you just how -- i don't know, on the wire it is in terms of the cpi and the ppi reports coming out >> yeah, well, and retail sales also on friday, so there's a lot of important data this week on top of bank earnings, and i can understand the pair of twos, especially because nobody thought it was going to be here. but i just feel like this market is giving you a lot of opportunities to trade, so, if you blackjack is a higher velocity game than poker, sometimes you throw your hand down pardon the kenny rogers, i guess was the gambler. sorry for the poker metaphors here i just feel like -- well, you started it i think you have a case here where this is a market, that's probably why it's interesting, because people have continued to think that the market can't go higher meanwhile, back to this breath conversation, and everybody's been right about the reasons for megacap tech outperforming, it's been a safety trade

see their stocks thriving, especially if they have an ai kicker tuesday morning we get results from carmax one of the largest car dealers in the country i bet there's still plenty of demand but you can't expect them to do well with the cost of financing double what it was a year ago the year over year comparison will be horrible fed wants to hear that used car prices are plummeting. they're not going to get their wish we also hear from albertson's which is trying to merge with kroger i don't know about that. but i do know i want to hear about inflation. has any food, any aisle, anything gone down year over year i've got to know that. you've got to know that. and i don't see it so far. here's a treat we have two fed speakers who are both very, very outspoken. and in a good way np neal kashkari and austan goolsbee, rational, logical, not fiery, not dogmatic and they are well aware of what could happen if the fed keeps tightening in a downturn on wednesday we get the minutes of the last fed meeting. they've got to start thinking a bit more flexible. wednesday morning the march consumer price

más bueno, más breyers carmax está reimaginando cómo comprar autos.e llegar a esa conjetura no te sabrÍa decir, especialmente cuando tiene que ver con adicciones y hay que tener cuidado con eso pero te puede ser que muchas veces carmen campuzano habÍa dicho que a pesar de haber vivido momentos muy pasionales e intensos con Él, viviÓ momentos muy tour tosos y tristes al lado de Él, fue como este tipo relaciÓn que te amo, te quiero pero no puedo estar contigo asÍ es como yo describirÉ la relaciÓn entre ellos dos. hay que recordar tambiÉn que andrÉs garcia muchas veces tambiÉn dijo que ella habÍa sido el gran amor de su vida. hay muchas personas que dicen pero por quÉ no te acercaste mÁs a Él? por quÉ esperas a escribir estas cosas fallecido? no necesariamente eso serÍa lo ideal pero cuando la relaciones acaban en se acaban. jomari: asumo que son temas muy delicados porque es un hombre que tiene gran historia que mucha gente lo ama pero tambiÉn es un hombre que demostrÓ que era un hombre fuerte, de una personalidad fuerte y he contado cuando entrevista l

carmax.gias. dile zy a tu día™ ¡ es un niÑo!... en las satcha: fÍjate bien en esta imagen, en lo que arrastra la corriente del rÍo bravo, es un niÑo en las presentes imÁgenes se observa a un soldado de la guardia nacional de texas que corre para rescatar al pequeÑo migrante. autoridades nos informan que logran sacar los ani salvo del agua, lo preocupante es que es sÓlo una muestra de la crisis que se vive ahora mismo en la frontera sur. pÁnico reina en plena semana santa en mÉxico. una persona muere y cuatro resultan heridas en una intensa balacera en acapulco. saldo fatal en cancÚn. eduardo melÉndez en vivo nos dice quienes eran las vÍctimas y quienes serÍan los responsables. eduardo: a todos muy buenos dÍas. porque hay venta de droga, porque hay quienes la estÁn pidiendo. y grupos que se estÁn peleando la zona de distribuciÓn la hotelera de cancÚn, se suscitÓ la balacera y se encontraron dos grupos rivales y salieran las armas a relucir. cuatro personas perdieron la vida y todo son aparente

benefitting from some of that takeover chatter around that enas phe energy as well rounded out by carmaxck after this. >>> we mentioned earlier the cast of "the marvelous mrs. maisel" is here at the exchange. welcome. >> thank you. >> the fifth and final season dropping today with three episodes, of course, on amazon and then one a week after that amy is with us, daniel and rachelle, along with as we said the entire cast. last night, i got a box from amazon at my household. >> was it pink >> it was pink the maisel logo. i thought you can't pay for that kind of marketing. >> you can we got a bill. but no, i mean, it is like when you get the box, like we're getting a box. then you know like that they're taking it seriously. >> how do you know, the shoe show was a phenomenon from the beginning, how did you know when it was time to say goodbye >> is it time to say goodbye >> i don't know. i'm still processing the fact that we're saying goodbye, so there's a lot of like therapy involved and like deep breathing and yoga but, you know, we made the decision and then we all sort of jumped on boar