nbc's carmen wong ulrich joins us now.t's the key indicator that investors, wall street, everybody's looking for in the week ahead. >> we are looking for numbers to not just make a drop which we saw in the past month 262,000 fewer folks looking for unemployment benefits, we are looking for a reverse. we're still talking over 400,000 folks going after new unemployment benefits, 4.9 million taking in unemployment benefi benefits. we are looking for a reverse of that which will probably go into the summer or fall we'll see those numbers shift and see a lot of growth, hopefully in the six-figure numbers. >> what's the betting from most economists? that, yes, we will get to economic growth in the months ahead or are they essentially taking the view of the obama administration which is essentially saying we may still have some rough months ahead? >> i think there is no doubt we'll have a lot of rough months ahead. some analysts are saying during the spring and in the summer we'll see more unemployment changes. but i got to say t