caroline hyde. caroline: thank you. financial authorities have identified the third attacker from harris. they say is a man who left from syria in 2013. all attackers were killed. two detonated suicide vest and a third was shot. the u.s., congress is trying to increase security in the wake of the recent terror attacks. the house overwhelmingly voted to bar people from visiting from iraq and syria in a program that allows visa free entry. iraqi forces have made a breakthrough in their fight to recapture a key capital of the islamic state. they say they have regained control of the section of the city of ramadi. iraqi forces are getting air support and training from the u.s. beijing raising hopes that china will come up with a fix for pollution. the alarm raised to the highest level. the schools,losed shops, and factories imposed restrictions on driving. they say they will eliminate capacity to try and reduce pollution. inland, more severe weather is in store for cities hit hard last week. the forecast calls for rain and wind with gusts up to 70 miles per hour. last week, more than 13 inches of rain fell in a 24 hour period. these ande on other breaking stories, go to bloomberg.com. tom? tom:. thank you so much. much talk today on the dow and dupont mergers. all of that is tied into the data. let's look at equities bonds and currencies. onfrancine mentioned, a bid commodities. the euro is dashing the hopes of the parity. jaw-dropping, and now a nice rebound after the carnage. onto the second board. from 15 up to 17, brent crude back about 40, copper i put in there because you go from 240 206. even copper is getting a bid, and some of the currencies don't react to the commodity rebound. as we is 17.02, weaker, saw the south african rand breakout to new weakness as well. francine: we also looked at the brazilian. there's a lot going on. this is my data set. i wanted to show you european stocks, i wanted to show you earlier gaining. basically commodity producers extending their lowest level in six years. if you look at the various commodities, crude you can see gaining a touch. tom, i think you bring us to the terminal. tom: we will go to the terminal now. this has to do with dow. nightmare. we will have a lot of coverage for you today not only on this merger but the why across all of corporate america and as you bring it over into economics. this is america's animal spirit, our nominal gdp just after world war ii, the volatility of 1947. here's the deflation of the eisenhower era, and here is the boom in the money illusion of nominal gdp. this is the growth to borrow with. we all grew up and down we go. what dow and dupont and every other company is dealing with is very little growth out there. did you like how i got stephen colbert in their? we do it all here. francine: and you had animal spirit, stephen colbert. colbert is an animal spirit of himself. francine: [laughter] let's bring in our managing editor for more. aaron, when you look at this, talk us through what we are expecting. they're merging and splitting to create value, which is why those stock prices are often pre-tried. >> that's right. we are getting a merger of two giant companies worth $60 billion. the chemical companies and the crop science. what you create is the world's second-biggest chemical company and the world's biggest crop science and feed company, bigger than monsanto. you create a behemoth that would then split up to focus on their strengths, which are what we talked about, and split off the less centralized -- point, ando tom's going back to his nominal gdp chart, this is often because we are awash with cash. >> that's right. we have seen multiple megadeals, pharma deals, and now this. what we are seeing is companies can get cheap financing. they also want to be able to cut costs. you can get synergies, cut costs, help on investments. tom: aaron, here is what we are living in in december of 2015. showsinancial times" 85,000 jobs. nice job coming in with the camera. twoan stanley, these chemical giants, they have 116,000 bodies. how many will go? >> well, that remains to be seen, but there is no doubt there will be a lot of job cuts. it doesn't matter what industry we are looking at. it's all about cost-cutting and that will hit jobs. it is unavoidable. tom: can i be a cynical as possible? is it about these guys who can't make their mega bonuses, so they are merging to discover growth? so they can get paid? it's fair to say that both of them know they cannot stick to the status quo, so they need to find a solution. they have been under major pressure from activists, and they know they have to act. by doing that, this merger can are investors, look, we going to do a make a deal and create a strong company, and let's be honest, whichever executive leaves, they are going to get a nice paycheck. but at the end of the day it is about reacting to investor pressure, shareholder pressure, showing them they have a plan to get out of this phase. tom: francine, i think it's time for "surveillance" gossip -- was she shown the door because she couldn't do this deal? you know all the gossip. >> i think she went out the victor and left. so why did she leave in the end? when ed took over there were a lot of big questions. he hasn't waited long. a lot of people thought he would review the business. a couple months later he is getting close to announcing a megadeal. i think it is there was a lot of pressure. francine: and where does it leave the competitors? >> that leaves the competitors very nervous, in particular monsanto, which tried to do a big dale. monsanto approach syngenta multiple times. management managed to push them away, which cost the ceo his job. but that pressure has not gone away, and with is still being reported, it is only going to increase. as the spring monsanto back to the play, or the white knight out there, the chinese, were looking at the agenda. guarantee you there'll be more to drop. francine: out of the units that will be created, which one will have the most value? is there a special segment within this industry that demands higher premiums? >> i think the most value will definitely be in terms of where the scale and cost cuts will be. the crop science, the agricultural products, the pesticides. there is no doubt that there is so much demand, and it is such a cyclical business and it is so global that if you can combine those, that will be the strongest. i think that is why investors are applauding. tom: we have to brush off our textbooks on to wobbly. howe do have dow dupont, will the germans respond to this merger? >> well that is always the million-dollar question. usually germans take a lot of time to think things through before they pull the trigger, but you don't only have bsf, you have another big player. everyone is going to crunch the numbers, look at strategies and ask themselves, doing need to do something now? if anything, the competitors will also be looking at if they will be splitting into 2, 3 parts, if they will kick off the smaller parts. tom: thank you so much. we got lucky. in our next hour, william janeway will join us. this was not planned around dow dupont, but it is the perfect person to speak to today. no nominal gdp. the meeting continues. ♪ francine: welcome back. this is bloomberg's "surveillance." i'm in london, tom is in new york. beautiful pictures of hong kong. look at that. we have that inflation data out of china, not great but better than expected. let's get to the bloomberg business flash. carolineit would be the largest deal ever in the chemical industry. dow chemical is in the final stages of talks to merge with dupont. a deal may be announced this week. the company would break into two or three businesses because of regulatory and other issues. they have both faced pressure from activists. the price of oil has halted its decline. crude has lost almost 9% in the last three days, at the lowest price of more than six years. kindergarten is cutting its dividends so it can save cash. and china has cut the yuan's reference right to the weakest since 2011. speculation is that they are trying to release pent up depreciation pressure. last month, china's exports shrank, 7% from a year ago. that is the bloomberg business flash. francine: thank you. sticking with china and chinese consumer inflation, cpi rising 1.5% for the month of november. let's bring in tom orlik, our chief asia economist. right to speak to you. that news about the yuan -- what is more significant? >> so i think on