, james carville, is not exactly the white house's favorite strategist or analyst, and carville and greenberg have been saying this for years. they told the president and the democrats not to talk about recovery in 2010. i think they told them not to talk about it in 2012. they're telling them that again, but, of course, if you have no offense at all, you're only on defense all the way along the way, and there are places to say things, and there are things to be said of positive news. it is true that the overall numbers of what's happened to real wages of middle class people, those numbers don't lie, and they say that both men and women have fallen back in recent years. still, you have to make a case of some kind, and i don't think the -- i think the white house and the democrats will try to do it where they can, whatever james and stan have to say. >> yeah. speaking of numbers, howard, there's a new poll out today, washington post, abc poll that i am sure you have seen. not great for the president or democrats. having his approval now at 41% down from 46% to the last three months of this yea

happy easter, carville.ectly ahead, judge napolitano on the constitution and the nevada ranch controversy. then, later, megyn kelly on why the feds are investigating a rape charge against heisman trophy winner winston. [ male announcer ] this is kevin. to prove to you that aleve is the better choice for him, he's agreed to give it up. that's today? [ male announcer ] we'll be with him all day as he goes back to taking tylenol. i was okay, but after lunch my knee started to hurt again. and now i've got to take more pills. ♪ yup. another pill stop. can i get my aleve back yet? ♪ for my pain, i want my aleve. ♪ [ male announcer ] look for the easy-open red arthritis cap. introducing the more everything plan. our best ever plan for families. four lines for only $160 a month. including 10 gigabytes of shareable data. 25 gigabytes of cloud storage to connect all the content you love. unlimited talk. and unlimited international messaging. all so your family can do more-- for less. our best plans. on the best networ

happy easter, carville.ectly ahead, judge napolitano on the constitution and the nevada ranch controversy. then, later, megyn kelly on why the feds are investigating a rape charge against heisman trophy fighting constipation by eating healthier, drinking plenty of water, but still not getting relief? try dulcolax laxative tablets. dulcolax is comfort-coated for gentle, over-night relief. dulcolax. predictable over-night relief you can count on. that corporate trial by fire when every slacker gets his due. and yet, there's someone around the office who hasn't had a performance review in a while. someone whose poor performance is slowing down the entire organization. i'm looking at you phone company dsl. go to comcastbusiness.com/ checkyourspeed. if we can't offer faster speeds or save you money we'll give you $150. comcast business built for business. >>> factor follow up segment tonight. all is calm in nevada bundy grazing rights. government says he owes a million dollars in fees and fines he will not pay. h

this moment. >> carville, listen to yourself.t because we don't know doesn't mean there isn't any. >> okay. listen to yourself. >> at this point in time, there is zero evidence of white house involvement. >> i'm just glad you are not in charge of the fbi. all right? that's what i'm glad about. >> all right. >> james carville, everybody, you might want to check out his new book love and war written with his wife mary matlin. directly ahead, a exclusive, former sharyl attkinson will be here. could laura ingraham ever vote for jeb bush? we'll find out in just a few moments. and just give them the basics, you know. i got this. [thinking] is it that time? the son picks up the check? [thinking] i'm still working. he's retired. i hope he's saving. i hope he saved enough. who matters most to you says the most about you. at massmutual we're owned by our policyowners, and they matter most to us. whether you're just starting your 401(k) or you are ready for retirement, we'll help you get there. ♪ nothing's missed with tenatwist ♪ ♪ don't mi

. >> james carville "on the record." then, monkey business for a news reporter. [ laughter ] why would this hit close to home for me? first, breaking right now australian company claiming it has found wreckage from a commercial airliner there is a twist it adds to the mystery. the scofer is thousands of miles from the area where searchers have been hunting for flight 370. for the latest grn reporter roger maynard is live. tell me about this new discovery. >> greta, this is a fascinating claim but is it true in the australian company insists they found material consistent with the wreckage of a commercial airliner in the bay of bangor. which is thousands of miles to the northwest of the present search area. now, according to multi-spectral images taken from the air two days after flight mh 370 went missing, significant amounts of titanium, comer, steel allies and jet fuel residue were detected about 100 miles south of bangladesh. geo scientists compared these images with march the 5th and march the 10th before and after t

tony willingham, tennessee, thank goodness for my dvr so i can skip miller and carville.ters. >>> canada and british wages may be rising faster than ours but take takes out more. uk income taxes are higher. carol of brooklyn new york, just finished reading "killing jesus," where is the concentration at the last supper? after 30 weeks on "the new york times" best list, "killing jesus" is number three and the audio is going great, as well. we can sign books for mother's day for your mom if you get the orders in quickly donated $80,000 to get high-tech wheelchairs to the wounded vets and the kay earl foundation donated a whopping $250,000. he was a tremendous patriot, air force guy and railroad man. we're honored to have both donations. thank you very much. you change lives. >>> and finally tonight, the factor tip of the day, the 100 most influential people, beyonce may have a negative effect on young girls. in the video ms. beyonce is doing all kinds of explicit things saying explicit things. i would have ignored this had it been anyone else but with president obama putting

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and i guess my advice byte pairs racing james carville. they never 1992, carville said over and over again it's the economy, stupid. well, i paraphrased that and say it's the primary, stupid. it's the primary. because we can see as conservatives this wave coming and it could be up soon on the proportions that's going to drive many of them out of office this fall and if all it does is bring in more big government established with republicans we would have wasted the opportunity of a lifetime. so it is the primaries. the deadline hasn't passed as plenty of opportunity yet to file for office before the congress, for the state offices, the governor, lieutenant governor, city council, mayor's. we just have to remember is the primary. and in my opinion, it is entirely possible if we focus on taking back the republican party from the big government republicans we can do that. and by 2016 and in 2017 actually governing america. now this war started actually 102 years ago. a lot of people think maybe it started with the tea party movement in 2009,

comes to our economy, and for democrats running for re-election, top democratic strategist james carville and stanburg putting out the word, stay away from the word "recovery" because people are still hurting. what does it say about the real state of our economy. this is bulls and bears. and we have our guests. welcome to everybody. what is the message? >> sounds like the left is finally getting the message and they are being honest that this recovery is horrible. it's the anti-recovery. i think the economy rests on three pillers, one is the employment, and median income and housing prices. if we look at the total unemployment number, that's up since obama took office from 9% to 12%, and if we look at the median income, that is down since the end of the recession, and if we look at housing prices they are down since obama took office. we have the three pillars, all of which are negative. >> do you agree, jonas? >> no, we have recovered. it's not going to get a lot more job creation more available jobs than we have right now, and i don't want to say it's as good as it's going to get becaus

look, here's what i think carville is referring to. the demographics. unless you improve the demographics in a presidential election it looks tough. that's why i said it's about changing the definition. one thing will happen. if something done -- when you have the kind of discontent in this country, which is in the 70 percentile, the numbers are overwhelming and nobody speaks to it. there will be -- >> you seem to have given away the 2014 is a goner for democrats. >> i'm saying so far. >> do you say that and it's more problem -- >> physical this week it was working that way. a couple of senate races, gives warning, that could be the democrats trying to come back. right now the selection looks really cooked badly the way it's formally. for the democrats because of obama's rating, obamacare, and whatever that pig you can't put enough lipstick on to make this work because people are experiencing it. but the -- the economy, if people still feel it's strong, but what is the question who is is going to see the future. the republicans have a division between t

and i get my advice my paraphrasing james carvill. in 1992 he said over and over is the economy stupid and i paraphrase that and say it is the primary stupid? is the primary stupid? we can see as conservatives this wave coming. it could be a wave of tsunami proportions that will drive the democrats out and if it brings in more establishment republicans we will have wasted the opportunity of a lifetime. it is the primaries and most states the filing deadline hasn hasn hasn't passed so there is opportunity for conservatives to file for office, congress, state office, lieutenant governor, city council, mayors and we just have to remember it is the primaries. in my opinion, it is entirely possible if we focus on taking back the republican party from the big government republicans, we can do that and by 2016 and in 2017 be governing america. this war started 102 years ago. a lot of people think it started with the tea party movement in 2010 or certainly by 1980 when reagan was elected. no. it started literally 102 years ago when teddy roos

wait until you hear what james carville and debbie wasserman-schultz have to say. one more, ethanol is worse to the environment than gasoline. the markets moving up a little. spring is here, and "varney & company" is about to begin. ♪ ♪ stuart: start with gas prices. look at that, keep on climbingment national average for regular a little higher overnight, $3.66 is your current national average. but wait, look at california. highest in the nation by a long way, $4.21. underlying gas prices, the price of oil to. where's that this monday morning? $104.51 a barrel. it's up there. sandra smith is with me. gas has been up, i think, almost if not every single day for a month. >> yes. stuart: now, i've got two questions. why is that? and number two with, $4 gas on the horizon for this summer? what do you say? >> let me give you the easy answer, it's geopolitical tensions in ukraine, okay? it's the federal reserve pumping money in the system, devaluing the u.s. dollar, driving up those commodity prices. the more difficult answer as i look into this gas price rise is consum

neil: and when i hear james carville say when the strategizing to leave out of word recovery because people don't buy it, when that is your own troops to say there has to be a better way. that is not good to. >> it is a problem for the president as a politician once you lose the public's trust it is hard to get it back with a wave after wave of scandals or promises weather keep your health care and an essay on the left does not trust the president that is why his numbers have gone down. not every american believes all the conspiracy theories but the a drip and drip drip is a major problem. after this election what can get done? if he loses the senate the democrats will be open warfare with the white house yesterday with a good bunch of kids they revealed how little faith they have in institutions. don't trust it. agent to your point when you mislead people once or twice they tend to doubt if it is fair or right or to the business leaders or congress they don't distinguish between these guys and entertainment. >> i can see that. in this case all politics are local they believe their g

comes to our economy, and for democrats running for re-election, top democratic strategist james carvillestanburg putting out the word, stay away from the word "recovery" because people are still hurting. what does it say about the real state of our economy. this is bulls and bears. and we have our guests. welcome to everybody. what is

. >> james carville "on the record." then, monkey business for a news reporter. [ laught

if you are a democrat running -- quite frankly, it is why now you see james carville and stan greenburg saying don't talk about our policies on job creation. >> we just did that. go back to the 1% again. isn't it a risky move for the president, for the senate? you have these very vulnerable democrats who petitioned to get this thing passed. now it is going to be dicey. do you think this helps the democrats or hurts them in the mid-term? >> no question, it hurts them. >> i think it does hurt people like mary landrieu which is why you see her so forcefully throughout attacking the president on this. i will say, he's really in a box on this one. there are elements of his coalition he'll offend one way or the other so he's punting until after the mid-terms. if you are the senator from louisiana or arkansas and you are in a very tight election this year. mary landrieu and mark pryor seem to be in the fight of their life. are you desperate to get something on the board zbrp especially on the heels of obamacare and that not being too successful for them. >>> the drone strikes targeting terrori

. >> so david, a new democracy memo put out by james carville and stan greens be burg, lays out the democrats' mid temple problem and makes it pretty stark. democratic voters are seven points less like will than republicans to say they're almost certain to vote in the off-year election in november. that same memory though prescribes the cure, and it's a laser focus on that issue of fairness. and the message it boils down to is the incomes of ceo's, the top 1% are soaring. everyone else is working harder just to get by. essentially much like the 47% message that worked in 2012. >> i'm a big fan of the 47% message, boy. but politics message and mechanics. you're talking about creating a national frame work for the election. the hard thing is taking a national frame work and really applying it. and the mechanics of getting people out to vote and people getting attached to that message at the local level. it's much easier for a national campaign. okay, this is our message and it call gets poured into one candidate. in that case, barack obama beating another canada, mitt romney. to take this messa

laura ingraham, james carville. former labor secretary, robert reich. and ana navarro. matthethe matthew, let me begin with you. rand paul seems to be striking a chord for the gop to change. >> i think this is a unique territory for republicans. usually they have a candidate chosen. it's totally different this time. i think rand paul does have some of the elements you need to win the nomination. and the general election. he's got the passion, lot of people out there want him. i think he's not yet laid out a policy vision. the third thing is, which has become very important in the republican primary, does he have the probability to win the general election? that's an important element. >> laura, you were in new hampshire with rand paul, how did he do? >> he was very well received. huckabee had them on their feet and ted cruz was walking the stage again without notes, speaking off the cuff. paul's trying to peel off support from traditionally democracy constituencies. he was well received at berkeley, secretary rice told me. he's out early and saying a lot. you wonder at

and the key for the democrats to win the midterms is maybe the operative stan greenberg and james carville message that was used by president obama. the more powerful setup for democrats' economic message is the contrast with ceos and the 1% whose incomes have been at hold. we are joined by our panel. i got some of the accolades correct, heather, but if that is the strategy, focusing on the 1%, does it work vis-a-vis how the democrats may be facing the criticism about the aca? >> well, the democrats have a really good opportunity here to respond to what is what keeps mosting family up at night, and it is not just the 1%, but how well they are doing, but how poorly other people are doing. they have health care income, and the college and so much more that the congress can run on the minimum wage and so much more before november. >> well, before november is a big underline, because it is a bunch of months ahead of us, and how might the democrats do it. mitt romney was the candidate, and how do they leverage the difference here, because it is a midterm election? >> well, they won't get all of

. >> it's different without james carville. >> i know, right some. >> we all look better on tv. >> isk you a question here, so we have the ncaa and they seem to have, shall we say, softened a little bit on this issue of allowing athletes to eat. amazing in 2014, but it seems to be one of many things that they're getting hit on, on the licensing case on whether or not they have the ability to use the likeness on video games and a lot of negative headlines out there. the ncaa seems to be taking hits on all fronts. is it just a matter of time before they recognize, you know what some this isn't amateur ath letix and this is a multibillion-dollar industry and we're operating as a non-profit. >> i think there are smart people, and when we say ncaa, and i think there are smart people that know that. there are true believers that believe in the concept of amateurism and in the student athlete which was a term created in the 1950s to dodge workers' compensation claims. >> right. >> there are a few that just don't get it yet. but no, it is a multi-front battle and the ncaa can't win, you're i

look, brian, democratic strategist dan greenberg and jim carville who famous folks are out with some research now saying "be careful, democrats, accepting conventional wisdom on the aca and 2014 being a republican year whash. what do you think about the notion that the democrats are out running, especially the vulnerable dems running in red states, should they reject the conventional wisdom and stop fearing that the aca that bottom care could derail their campaigns? >> i've seen this moment coming for mows. unless the roll-out had been so bad that the insurance expansion had been negligle, then you have a political disaster and a policy disaster on your hands, and there's nothing a vulnerable democrat can do or say to spin that away. having set in point and rolled through the exchanges and growing a lot of people on medicaid, a lot of people in their parents' plans, and republicans not able to say much more than we want to repeal all that, that's actually a really strong rett cal position for democrats. i mean, republicans, if you look at it that way, are really boxed into a canyon t

james carville is contributor. the more powerful message is the contrast with the c.e.o.'hose incomes have soared while everyone else works just as hard to get by. that reflects the real feeling in this country because the economy has not turned around because when the president says we're in economic recovery, the vice president says we're in a recovery, no one believes it because it doesn't feel that way. >> it worked before. the question is will it work again. >> without mitt romney as the bogeyman. now it makes sense that senator harry reid brings that up on the floor for noç reason. >> unfortunately for harry reid, half the country doesn't know who the koch brothers are. half the people think they are the brothers who invented that soda everyone loves. >>> as it turns out there was an interesting interview yesterday on one of the other channels. cheryl atkinson who has done fine reporting on benghazi and corruption in this administration, she's taken a shot at the administration on a couple of fronts in the past. now what she's doing is she's taking a shot at media m

bush and then when that bomb hit the trade tower you know a carville said everything i just said is off the record ok no this is obama's economy he had many years where he had a democratic congress he had he got his jobs act he got his recovery act he got obamacare and all three things have done nothing to help black unemployment youth unemployment low and low maintenance programs well actually the stimulus was we went from losing seven hundred thousand jobs a month the node saved or created was a new phony standard that was made because it would not capture that we never recovered those jobs it took almost five years to kind of catch your breath again i get it you know i don't absolutely i. don't get you know live in the big man republicans who don't have to fly are going to be actually her job. unless you're going to count on you republicans have done just this week twelve that each of the side and let you know when they say you are alone i know that's arrested as the person you can if you can destroy his presidency you destroy the economy and you can say that what. need to step out o

comes to our economy, and for democrats running for re-election, top democratic strategist james carvillecause people are still hurting. what does it say about the real state of our economy. this is bulls and bears. and we have our guests. welcome to everybody. wh

voted against the 10 hour minimum wage and get those constituent groups you are talking to james carville about not amped up about voting young people to get to the polls. hey, you know, democrats are for 10 bucks an hour. these republicans won't give me anything. on the other -- on the argument of unemployment, there is -- there are also unemployment statistics that show that it's improving, right in the national unemployment rate is 6.7%. you go into the states. >> yes, if you take into account that they're getting junky jobs than what they had before. >> people dropped out of the workforce. >> then what do you pay junky jobs in are you willing to pay more minimum wage? that's the democrats argument. >> profoundly disappointing to anyone who has a good job and all of the sudden finds himself or herself out of work and then goes out and gets a job that pays minimum wage and now is counted unemployment. just trying to struggle to make it go right. >> although i think both parties are kind of missing this anxiety in this election. because, you know, so much of the advertising and the rheto