when you look at category four or category five, according to the national hurricane center, these are catastrophic damage left behind of systems. the model guidance has shifted to the north. you notice high concentration near wilmington or north. thursday overnight. this concern, dave and christine, when it makes landfall, it slows down dramatically. when that happens, we are looking at 20 plus inches of rainfall. this is the american and european model overlaid. notice what happens. both systems migrating over waters and not making complete landfall. if this happens, this is the worst-case scenario with the category four pushing up against land and backing up against the coast. >> make your plans now and prepare. thank you, pedram. we will talk to you again shortly. we will get updates from the hurricane officials. evacuations in effect for coastal areas in states directly in the path of hurricane florence. unit united, delta and american and spirit are offering travel waivers and advisories for the airlines in the trajectory. cnn's martin savidges h has mor. >> reporter: good mornin

we hear about the decreasing wind from a category 2 to category 1. so that may be some good news there, but it doesn't mean we're going to see any less of a storm surge at this point, according to the national hurricane center. i've got a question to ask you for bill if it's okay. i've covered many hurricanes. >>> bill, two things i kind of had noted just by physically being out here, earlier today i had my feet down in the water before we really had any sense of tropical force winds or anything like that. and i didn't really feel -- felt like 85 degree water temperatures. but even more notable is as i'm standing out here tonight, usually there is a much higher sense of humidity. under a raincoat like this i'm sweating. in this particular case it feels kind of cool. is it just an anomaly of where i'm standing or is there some data that sort of suggests that the humidity or that the -- that kind of feeling that i traditionally have in a lot of hurricanes is not the case here? >> i think it all has to do with your wind direction, kerry. i'd have to loo

we have hurricane isaac, a category 1. and hurricane helena is a -- helene is a category 2 storm. this is hurricane olivia, maximum sustained winds of 85 miles per hour. it's a category 1. you can see it on the westerly movement about 8 miles per hour. the islands are in are a tropical storm warning there and it is going to be coming very close as a category 1. we are really watching that as it moves later tomorrow very close to hawaii. we will talk about what you n expect for our week ahead at home. a big cool in st we tracking uppe low, what it means for our weather and how cool it will get, coming up. >> thank you. >>> in the bay area investigators are trying to figure out whatthe marina distr this is a live okscene. you sigh there was a tree there that suffered the brunt of the impact before the bus you see the crews cleaning up the debris. before 6:00 this morning the bus driver crossed a median into on coming traffic before slamming into the tree and a business. four people were hurt including the driver who is in critical condition. at least one of the victims was a passeng

category 4, 130 mile-per-hour sustained winds. the cone has changed a little bit since this time yesterday. we will get to that but here is the storm right now. it has wiggled and wobbled a little bit but we are dealing with category 4. as time to strengthen before making landfall but here is the track. i didn't have time to make this pretty because the information was coming in as we went to air at 5:00 am but i can tell you the track is changed. because we are expecting perhaps a landfall thursday, friday, maybe saturday depending on when the storm stalls out. we are going to lose its high pressure, high pressure is going to weaken which is making the storm move to the west. once the high weakens the bermuda high, it stalls because it doesn't have anything to steer it. what does that mean? prolonged hurricane force winds, prolonged rain, prolonged affects along the coast if the storm stalls. tropical models in good agreement thursday evening but then watch what happens. us all. the carolinas, south carolina needs to monitor this

a category 4. winds of 135 miles an hour and it is expected to strengthe over the next 24 to 36 hours. this will be a devastating storm for parts of the southeast coastline. we'll be watching it extremely clos'ry. working some graphics to tell what you this means for the coastline and what it means for our area as well. we'll be back in 10 to 15nu s. download the app right now. we're tracking florence. >>> it may seem like a harmless prank but this could be putting thousands of people at risk. >> that' right. over the past week someone has been going around parts of d.c. illegally opening up fire hydrants. take look at these locations. >> a mark reports the latest incidents, it sent water flooding into a local grocery store. >> reporter: good evening. this is the fire hydrant opened this mo the most recent fire hydrant. i just got a note from the police report that indicates the suspect in at least this case appears to be wearing a fake uniform that made it h appear was a d.c. government employee.

downgraded to a category 2 but still very strong storm. >> i worry that because of a category 2 people will let their guard down but the national hurricane center is saying don't, we still have a very dangerous storm surge and epic flooding on the way is the storm is expected to stall. folks across the northeast, hurricane sandy, that was a category one when it made landfall and did destructive damage, part of the reason was because of its size and the storm surge and the rainfall. just because it is a category 2 it is 1 mile shy of a major hurricane. the 5 am advisory just out, we are seeing the radar here, the outer bands of rain moving close to the outer banks, we could see a tornado watch in the next couple hours because of these landfalling storms. we have a threat for severe weather including tornadoes. future radar, this model makes landfall friday. we don't quite know the point of landfall. will it hug the coast or make several and falls, this shows landfall friday and lingering in north carolina and parts of south carolina and that could be the legacy of this storm, the epic a

a category three category -- hurricane. it is going 12 miles an hour, and might go six or seven miles per hour and crawl around. storm surges are still a big issue tonight and tomorrow. 20 to 30 of inches of rain are possible for the coastal and barrier islands. inland areas could get 10 to 15 inches, and there could be some isolated areas that get 30 inches. wilmington, it will drift towards myrtle beach. the slow moving nature of this system is kicking parts of south carolina, even near georgia. it will not be until the weekend. it is going around 20 or 30 miles per hour. things are beginning to take shape as the system inches closer and there is wilmington, 25 inches of rain. look at fayetteville, over 13. that is a tremendous amount of rain. 18 for myrtle beach. a lot of low-lying areas have a problem. for us, we are partly cloudy with sunshine later on. we have a breezy to windy day this weekend. we are havingver over us. morning cloud cover some shower the airport have light rain last evening, six and 7:00 -- at 6 pm

being described as a category 2 storm with a category 4 storm surge. as much as 12 feet of additional water. and because it's moving so slowly, the rainfall could be catastrophic in some areas. the rivers in coastal areas have started flooding in some places. whatever this storm becomes, tonight is only the beginning. we have correspondents throughout the area. we go to diane gallagher in new bern, north carolina. what are you seeing? >> reporter: it's continuing to rise here. i'm in downtown new bern right now, in the middle of a street here. just for frame of reference, i'm a little more than 5'10". it's some up over my knees now, this water. we're again in the middle of a road here. i'm going to see if my photographer can pan out. we still do have power in new bern. you can see the lights reflecting off of the water. a lot of people here in craven county do not, though. in fact, it's one of the top counties at this point in north carolina to lose power. we've been experiencing some of these larger gusts of wind in the past half hour or so. in fact,

it's not a category 3 any more, it's a category 1. but it is the rain that does bear watching. >> karen mcennis, thank you. important to reiterate, it's not about the number really, it's about how long this storm stays around. you know, how long it stalls out over the southeastern part of the united states, how much wind it brings, how much rain it brings, and then the storm surge is certainly an immediate threat, life-threatening storm surge along the coast line that we'll all have to monitor very closely. karen, thank you again. >>> you know, it is interesting to talk about the numbers around the hurricane. we have been doing a lot of that, but there is another story that plays out when storms like this come in. again, it was a category 4, a category 3, people made precautions as they saw the storm coming in. some people decided to leave. as i was driving in to wilmington, i remember seeing on the other side of the highway, everyone was going this way, i was going that way. people ma people made a very personal decision to leave the

even though that's a category 1, that's no joke. you can just see, now that the sun is trying to come up, the daylight trying to come up, this tree is starting to go down here. and it's the relentless battering of the sustained wind. that's going to take down a lot of this debris. since this is occurring over an extended period of time, we're going to see more and myrore debris.int t, but the water that's rushing down the street right now has nothing to do with the storm surge we've been talking about. that high tide is not until 11:30 this morning. the water rushing down the street is just the rain. there is so much rain coming down. it is getting tossed at 70 miles per hour to 90 miles per hour down the street. we've moved into the parking garage and i am no longer standing out there because it is crazy, guys. >> dylan, you're holding that yellow piece of equipment is a kestrel. anamometer. that's a wind gust of 83 miles per hour. >> looking at dylan is making me nervous. >> she's talking about this much rain. she's seen a thing o

4 or possible category 5. hard to predict. heather: let's hope it doesn't go to category 5. a lot of unknowns at this point. chief hill, thank you for joining us. we know you will be busy but we invite you to call back in as the storm approaches and more information you need to get out. >> keep us in your prayers. heather: bsafe. the leader of al qaeda calls for new terror attacks on the 17th anniversary of 9/11. the man who took over after usama bin laden was killed, calling on g hardys around the world to wage war on the united states. in a 30 minute speech he named the us the number one enemy of muslims and criticize donald trump's decision to move our embassy in israel from tel aviv to jerusalem. safety first, the house and senate agree to spend 1 million additional dollars on their own additional security minutes after a politically motivated shooting last year at the congressional baseball game where steve scalise was seriously injured. the funds will be included in a spending package up for approval by

1 okay, it's been downgraded, category 1, it's not that serious.orm surge can fall outside that categorization. that area is chock full of tributaries, peninsulas, rivers. >> the storm surge has nothing to do with the category. it's based off of wind speed it's good news in that we will have slower winds, still talking about maximum sustained winds of 90 to 100 miles per hour, but the storm surge nothing to do with that at all you get that onshore wind and you get that storm surge, it could be a life threatening situation. >> kaitlyn mcgrath, thank you very much. >>> let's talk about the money impact of hurricane florence by some estimates it could be one of if not the most expensive storm of all time. lindsay bell is from cfra research going back to our animation, what we just learned, the estimates have been so high because of the storm surge and the fact that there is so much valuable real estate now in this area and inland. >> absolutely. 758,000 homes will be in the way of this storm surge. flooding will be a huge problem. this will have a hug

we have a category two hurricane -- very close to being a category three.g in, ving inland an stronger guys are up to 50 miles per hour -- wind gusts peed to slow down per hour. big time. belford -- they are 51 miles per hour. some of the bands are up to 50 miles per hour and some of the wind gusts will ramp up as the symptom inches closer. -- as the storm inches closer. rain could be a big factor in late, getting anywhere from 15 to 30 inches of rain. fayetteville could have as big of a flooding issue as wilmington. wilmington will -- everything is getting ready to go. for us, we are mostly cloudy to mostly sunny. we have cooler temperatures. 70s on the temperatures, below average on a lot of these temperatures and they will continue this wa a cool pattern. temperatures will be in the 60s and 70s all the way into the weekend. we have learned something new. >>> traffic is getting busier but we have bright spot. it is not as bad as yesterday. it is more of a routine commute. this is highway 4. you can see it will be slow around pittsburgh and bay point. comi

fema put it this way, category two storm, category four storm doesn't matter.ference between getting hit by a train or a cement truck meaning it will be one big powerful disastrous storm. what do you do for the people that say we are not leaving? we are going to write it out and we will be fine? >> look, if you stay behind you are in for a miserable time took there will be power outages. there will be water outages work the best thing you can do, hopefully you prepared and got yourself an emergency supply kit of food and water and are prepared to be on your own up for a number. the best thing to do if you are in those very dangerous coastal areas was to evacuate. at this point it's time to hunker down. lauren: it's too late now; right? >> yeah, one of the worst things you can do right now is if the rainfall is is to drive through flooded roadways. we always see cars and search and rescue efforts, you don't when to drive when the storm comes ashore. lauren: if you decided you have not evacuated by now, what should you do if you hunker down? not that we advise th

as this storm down shifted from a category 2 to a category 1, it is possible some people who were going to get out at the last minute stayed. that is sort of short-sighted because, again, it is a water event. we said that over and over again, but it is also a timing event. this is going to stay over the city of wilmington for a long time, this storm. so people, again, you will not be able to be helped. when you talk to fire officials, to police officials, they will tell you 55-miles-per-hour and that's sort of our cut-off as well. 55 miles per hour is when you can reasonably get outside and help someone. it is not enough to be able to drive around. you are talking about getting out and helping somebody get out of a situation. 55 miles per hour, chris, is sort of the reasonable sort of mile an hour these emergency officials believe they can get things done outside in these conditions. >> where is the nearest shelter if people wanted to leave wilmington and weren't able to stay with friends or relatives or get a hotel outside of town, do you know? >> of. >> reporter: yes. interestingly en

two now, it is a higher category two, like a 111, a category three is like 114.1 mph storm, a category two, you have gusts of wind is up to 50 mph, that will take a roof off, and that is not accounted for in the predictions, so in a way the categories give us on the same page but that is very deceiving. sorry to interrupt, ijust but that is very deceiving. sorry to interrupt, i just wanted but that is very deceiving. sorry to interrupt, ijust wanted to ask but that is very deceiving. sorry to interrupt, i just wanted to ask you about katrina specifically. 1800 people died, and it was very damaging for president bush. the pictures that did for him were him flying over the top of louisiana, the thing down at it from his plane. in mind of how politically damaging it was for george w bush, what do you make of the way the president has approached recent hurricanes, particularly puerto rico? well, i will break with my tradition when we have a hurricane watch to talk about a storm in the past, but i will answer your question, because we need to focus on the future storm

a category four. the area of storm winds has gotten bigger. hurricane force winds from the center, that area is larger. at the moment, it's moving to the north and west, almost due northwest, at 16 miles an hour. that is going to change. the thinking is this storm will slow down. here you can see the thursday 8:00 a.m., tomorrow morning's projections. a category four. then around friday, you can see what the projection is there along wilmington, north carolina. see that? about a 3 as its -- well, that's where there's some misunderstanding. this storm will take on a life of its own. why is it moving forward at 16 miles an hour? because there's pressure over there that is pushing it. that pressure is falling apart. now there's a little over there and a little up there and a little down here. the truth is, there's nothing to direct it. it's not on tracks, doesn't have a pressure center moving it any particular direction. so you can see the cone open uncertainty has increased phenomenally. that is north c

a category four to a category one by the time it made landfall. the winds were still powerful enough to rip over this canopy on the pumps and a view from space this morning, hurricane florence made landfall near wrightsville beach north carolina just outside wilmington. over on the welcome i can country the you the latest track for the storm. the scary part of it now is they told us it would slow down and it has. hurricane florence now moving along at just 4 miles an hour. about the speed that you and i might walk down the street if we were in a hurry to get anywhere. that's how slowly it's moving. the radar loop will show you the worst of where the rain is now, we can switch over to that. the local radar, this is a satellite view. the radar loop comes from ground station and this gives you an idea where the all-terrain is. if peers charleston, south carolina, down here suggest a steady stream of rain everywhere with a counterclockwise wind just pounding the coast to the north and then down below center of circulation because the winds are coming

category 2, 3 or 4. the damage of course will be similar when it comes to the storm surge and the heavy rainfall. the top two killers in tropical systems making land fall. late morning and early afternoon friday. wilmington. the most destructive side of it. that's where the storm surge threat will be highest across portions of some of the inlets and bay. port smith and as much as 12 to 13 feet. that's the storm surge essentially the water levels that have been elevated across the region. that will get water into the second story of homes across the area. and you come further towards the south. two to four feet. on the areas that are at sea level. that's the threat with the system that caused significant damage and millions of dollars in loss to property. across the coastal community. again another feature here is the progression. notice it covers a couple hundred miles. 300 miles from the coast. it covers that amount of land within the next 12 hours. after it makes land fall into tomorrow morning a 50 mi

it's now a category 1. the worry, not so much the wind damage, but this is going to be a water event and flooding event. fema had to prepare for both and to assist them. fema is the coordinator here. they are not the first responders. that's up to the people on the ground. they are at place, meal, water, supplies in the states affected by the storm. like many others now, they are watching. really, it is a matter of once the storm passes, what can fema do to help those areas rebuild. they are watching as all of us are, as the storm moves into the carolinas and brings all that water. i can tell you both, this surge danger is significant. i was in mississippi for katrina. i drove by the mississippi coast and saw beautiful mansions the night before katrina and the next day they were simply gone, completely swept off their foundation. this is a real danger, the surge, that is coming with this hurricane. guys? >> the national weather service reporting that florence, the eyewall of florence is on shore in north ca

caltrain, state of good repair categories. the sales tax has been funding the sf -- has been alleviating sfmta of providing the capital member share of caltran's annual capital budget for the last -- since 2003. the funds are predicted to run out in this five-year period, most notably around fiscal year 2021, so we'll need to be having some additional conversations going forward about -- about that. muni vehicles, facilities, and guide ways, several place holders that you'll see in these categories, these are the biggest cash flow drivers for prop k, and the base drivers of our financing program. you can see the highlights in front of you, muni guide ways includes the quint street-jerrold avenue connector road, which the board approved several years ago to mitigate the impact of the closure of clint street. on the major capital side, each -- [inaudible] >> -- b.a.r.t., caltrain, and muni all have their own set aside, but there is also a discretionary fund and set aside funds, in case the parties had projects ready to be advanc

this is just the beginning florence is category 2 but that category isn't the defining characteristic of this hurricane. the national weather service believes it could be the storm of a lifetime. first, you can see it there there is its sheer size. this morning it grew bigger. now physically bigger than south and north carolina put together. it's also slow, steady and packing a lot of water. an expected ten-foot storm surge and potential of two to three feet of rain. florence is set to make landfall early tomorrow. those who didn't already pack up and go are bracing for testimony -- the coming hours. >> there's nothing we can do here. the only thing you can do inside your house is die. you can't do anything else when winds are above three digits. >> roy cooper issued a dire warning to the residents of his state this morning. >> my message today, don't relax. stay on guard. this is a powerful storm that could kill. today the threat becomes reality. >> back here in washington, the president was focused on a different hurricane. he took to twitter this morning to compute without evidence

member in those categories of health. and how they experience health care within those particular areas. the services and programs that would be available to say a member who is well. there would be a lot of things around well being, stress management, a lot of the more preventive care and you will see if you look at the member who is a patient there are more around condition management, specialty care for some of the complex care. so this is just really an illustration to put it to paper in terms of the concepts we are talking about. >> i like this slide. i think it captures everything in one page. it nails everything down so you don't have to read the whole book so i really like that. >> i like it as well, it's a matter of how it's illustrated and i would like to come back with a few suggestions to you. >> please. for now, or later? >> for later. i'm sorry. i said i would like to come back to you. later. with some suggestions prior to the next meeting, i will send an email. >> wonderful. i would like to orient you to th

1 and now barely category 1. you imagine a category 4 storm if it had come in that way, here is further good news on that with regard to surge right here along the lower caroal coast, we are in a situation because of the angle or approach of the storm we are being blocked, that's the water out there, typically if that came head on we would be getting the wind this way, we are getting the wind at us, that's pushing the surge back, tremendous amount of water, we have been getting it all night and expected to getting all day, as perhaps you can see maybe in the dark there's a lot of water in atmosphere and that's going to be the big problem going forward, i think, the winds won't be as much a problem that we thought and we still have power here on carolina beach, that's a positive as the tr -- center circulation will get closer to us it will get worse, we may be able to show you exactly whait looks as the center circulation comes across here. good news and bad news, back to you. lauren: as hurricane florence turn cl

category 3 fran.ds, which peaked at 120 miles per hour, made landfall near cape fear, north carolina. 22 people were killed in the u.s., 13 of them in north carolina. damage in the carolinas was estimated to be over $50 billion. it's very rare for major hurricanes to hit the carolinas. and these words uttered almost 30 years ago during hugo remain accurate today. >> it's just a terrible thing. the storm was extremely severe, a category 4. biggest hurricane this city's had in a century, maybe in its history. >> reporter: but now, here comes florence. gary tuchman, cnn, new york. >> just -- that is a big storm. i want to check in with chris cuomo to see what he's been working on for "cuomo prime time" at the top of the hour. chris, i mean, category 4 at this stage, it's incredible. >> looks like we're staring at our future right there. those people on the coast, that is a particularly vulnerable coastline. >> yeah. >> so we're going to be taking people through what the latest is on the trajectory, what

2 or category 3. that's not tracking the storm surge. the storm surge is what's the dangerous part. that's the part where the floodwaters flood in, raise the levels and do damage. the cone, the wind speed is one thing, but the storm surge is the critical key. in new york and during hurricane sandy, you had new york harbor with all that water sitting there. i know noaa's working on models where they're actually along with the wind speeds that we traditionally see, they're working on models to say this could be a storm surge of a category 3 hurricane for example. >> i look at twitter and people are saying to me you keep telling people to evacuate. many can't afford to go anywhere. do people have an understanding of the options afforded to them, the shelters, the transportation? is it a communication issue? >> i think part of it is a communication issue. i've lived here for 30 years and it's never been that bad or it's never been, you know, i've gone through other hurricanes, you know, i feel safe here.

again, that is still a very strong category four, almost a category five.ning could take place before landfall, it will still be a very, very dangerous storm and the big concern is the way that the blocking patterns are, we think that it could make landfall and be blocked from moving further north, which means it willjust sit there and weaken, but at the same time it is going to dump rain. we will be measuring this not in inches, but feet. in the metric system i know that is a lot of rain too. let's get some of the day's other news. a petrol station has exploded in the nigerian state of nasarawa, creating a fireball that killed at least 35 people and injured hundreds more. local media said a blast at a nearby gas facility sparked a bigger explosion at a petrol station which engulfed vehicles, shops and offices. many of the victims were burned beyond recognition. volkswagen has gone on trial in germany in what is the first court case against the car maker over the diesel emissions scandal. investors are pursuing vw for about 9.2 billion euros in damages, cla

hugo was a category 2 storm 18 hours before landfall. it hit coming in perpendicular to the coast which is a crucial factor because instead of just paralleling because like matthew did and drawing in drier air this is coming in off of the atlantic and they tend to tighten up or intensify the last 12 to 18 hours and i suspect if you look at the photograph this is re-intensifying. i want to say something, when ike hit, ike was a category 2 and what happened was the barometric pressure of the storm is very important to tell you how strong the storm is also and a lot of times they are looking at one minute and 10 second wind speed near the center. what happens with the storm like this is the wind at the center may not be as strong but is spread out more so it is a bigger storm so the total power and energy of the storm is not diminished much since yesterday and i fury will intensify this afternoon into tonight as it comes over the very warm waters of the gulf stream it approaches the coast from the southeast. you see the way the coast is sha

it is now a category 2 ghurricane. gorom a 4 earlier down to a category 2 right now with 1ur 110-mile-an-winds. this is the imagery here, this is about three hours old, unfortunately, i'm losing some satellite data, but you can clearly se a nice little circle earlier and look at the southern end of thisstorm, really falling apart. that's some good news with the wind.r, howe that does not change the effects along the coast. yes, the wind has aays been a factor, but i've been telling you the whole time, it is storm surge and it is flooding. that's what we're going to continue to see threatening parts of north carolina. let's showou the latest track here as it does move closer, the outer bands, by the way, are visible on radar now, as you can see. florence, 110-mile-per-hour hurricane, a category 2 hurricane, moving northwest at 17. on this new track, expected now to be a category 2 as it makes landfall, coming close to the wilmington, south carolina, area, shifting down to the south and then making a little bit of a loop

i grew up here and remember seeing a number of category two, category three storm is asa category twotorm is as a child so that preparation of putting plywood over window to protect from flying debris, when it comes to whether or not people evacuate, that is the debate. many decided not to. i spoke to local authorities here. the county about 100 square miles and local authorities were concerned that people would decide to ride out the storm at home and not go into an evacuation is a shelter. they warned that if they decide not to go into the shelter, they are on their own. there will not risk putting police fire service out into the storm during the peak of intensity because they cannot risk any harm to these services, trying to rescue people who decided not to take necessary precautions. people have been talking about how this will unfold because the weather forecast appears to say that the risk is much more offloading than of the lingering storm, rather than the force of the storm, rather than the force of the storm itself. there is a palpable sense of relief when it was downgraded

we still are looking at potentially a strong category three or a category four landfall with the system. the model guidance is high confidence heading in to the state of north carolina or down to south carolina. the variation is shifting to north carolina or virginia. i got a note within a four-day period before landfall, on average, a 200 mile margin of error. the guidance wants to shift it farther north and the concern beyond that is what happens after landfall as we think it slows down dramatically. if that is the case, with a slow moving system, it could produce tremendous rainfall which is the highest threat of life is flash flood potential thursday night and friday and saturday. as much as 10 to 15 independents into the weekend. -- 15 to 15 inch into the weekend. guys. >>> thank you. ford says it will not move production of the hatchback wagon to the u.s. despite the business advice from the president of the united states. building the focus in the united states is not profitable because sales are fewer than 50,000 u t units. ford responding to the president's tweet. new taxes on

when you hear of hurricane category 1, category 3, that's the peak winds.ell you how large the storm is, what the rainfall might be, what the storm surge might be. so when florence made landfall, it was a category 1 but it was also creating 8, 10, 11 feet of storm surge. the idea it is only a category one when you have two feet of rainfall and 10 feet of surge doesn't matter much. >> brian, the speed with which this thing is moving, it is on what's called a drifting track. how does that change things? how is that different from a direct hit? >> yeah, that makes a huge impact. it's over the land 24 hours, it moved about five miles per hour. that's a very slow speed. so what that does if you think of a storm and all of the rain that comes with it, and it just hits the coast, and keeps moving, it has less time to dump rain. when it is only moving 5 miles per hour, it keeps raining in the same locations over and over. >> north carolina in general, are they prepared for these kinds of events given where they live? is this unusual for the state of north carolina.

if you're getting category 1, category 2 storms for two full days, 48 hours, that creates even more problemsh the surge and with the pounding on these structures around us, so, you know, wilmington, they say they are ready. we haven't seen very many people on the streets. they are concerned here. they are in for a long couple of days. wolf? >> just be careful over there. we'll get back to you so stand by. right now i want to bring in the national hurricane center ken graham who is joining us. ken, thanks for joining you. thanks for all the critically important work you and your team are doing. tell us, first of all, about the storm surge. how bad could it get for communities right along the coast? >> you know, that's one of the problems that we have is a slow system like this and large system. you get high storm surge values. that's always been the big issue with these, and we really talk about the larger the storm and the slower the storm really piles up the water independent of the category. no matter what the category is, this is still a large storm with a really slow speed. look at this

category 18 march through slowly.derstorm over myrtle band drop slowly northward saturday and end up in bristol, tennessee on sunday. sal will update us on our traffic. it's been okay. >> it has been okay. definitely the better than the fourth of july days of this workweek. take a look at the east shore freeway and the time to get from the bridge to the khalil macarthur maze. it will be a typical commute. northbound 880 slowing down as you drive up to oakland and heading into downtown. the south bay commute has filled in getting to the west valley. no major problems in contra costa county. >>> the management of the millennium tower building faces a deadline today. city leaders are threatening to yellow tag the building. this afternoon, a canopy must be built around the building to protect people from falling from it and to look at any other damaged window in the 58 story foot tower. it has sunk about 18 inches since it opened in 1999. >>> the man accused of killing nia wilson the bart station and seriously injuring he

it should make category 4 pretty soon. this is 115. so category 4 will not take long.tion now. it looks like it will take it around the north carolina/south carolina border. and the wind will be a major event for the carolinas. we have four days to iron out some of the details. but everything is pointing to that direction. some fog is patchy and a big drop in temperatures wednesday. sierraville, 40 degrees, clear and calm. and the aspen trees are starting to turn gold there. you go. everything is beginning toy take shape. by the -- beginning to take shape. and the system deepens n i like the pattern going forward as it goes forward. 40s and 50s. and we have mostly clear skies. but the system is going to ramp up the fog bank and the cooling begins today. and the wind will pick up as well, especially tuesday and wednesday. they look to be cool days around here. 60s, 70s and 80s. back to the desk. >>> we'll bring you more on the breaking news that we've been following since our 6:00 hour. several people hurt after a muny bus crashed into a building. ally is live on the sc

originally a category for, a category determined from a sustained wind speed.m is massive and the fear was that the wind would knock structures over and blow debris around, destroying property and killing people. that fear has now changed. it is downgraded to category two and officials worry that people won't take it seriously. but the theory is that the storm will stall over the region and dumping water. flooding homes and businesses and drowning people. that is now the worry, that people would not take it seriously once it was downgraded but they say it is still a serious storm and people in the class should still take it seriously. —— people in the path of the storm. i've been speaking to rick jones, who lives in southport in north carolina. he's the secretary of the local residents association and has decided to batten down the hatches and ride out hurricane florence at home. when the storm was downgraded to category two that changed a number of residents. 75% of the homeowners in our area have evacuated but we are approximately 30 feet above sea level. whe

hurricane category 4, another couple of days before in to be a strong category 4. it might even be five. somewhere around north carolina, the projected rainfall is based on the european model. 31 inches of rain for wilmington. 31! there will be some models not as bullish on rainfall. either way you look at it, serious rain associated with it and it may stall out a little bit. that's why they are so concerned about it. the system is finally digging in and it will usher in a breezy pattern and cooler pattern and today will be the day when things pick up. 40s, 50s and 60s with the temps. fog is not an issue even though the water temperature is cool. tomorrow will be the big drop t60s and 70s for everybody as the fall-like pattern kicks in. today, we start that. 5:01. sale, where would you begin? >>> a quick question. 31 inches of rain? how does that fall from the sky. >> very warm water that slows it down. look what happened with harvey in houston? the current was light and it sits there and rains and rains and rains. >> amazing. >>> traffic, fortunately, not so amazi

the fact this is a category one, do not pay attention to the category. hurricane sandy when it made landfall was a one with 80 mile-per-hour winds and by the time harvey made its way to southeast texas it wasn't even a hurricane. the results we are going to see over the next hours and days will be rain. it is going to be a water story and the surge continues to push in land as the storm is only moving 5 miles an hour and it will continue it's very slow progression across land. typically with these storms we see the make landfall and they weaken. we are going to be talking about this storm for days and that is why we have not seen this scenario unfold yet. flash flood warnings in effect, there is the eye at the center of the storm making landfall in the next couple hours but that shouldn't be the story. the story is the massive amount of flooding and storm surge inundating the coastline. wind gusts, some of these areas not getting reports of wind gusts because the towers will not be reporting but over the last several hours we have seen at least hurricane

when you see a category 4, you see a category 5 oh my gosh.t's the core of the strongest winds. that's structural damage. even though it might not do the same damage to your home as a cat 4, the results of the flooding and the surge the things that kill more people still stays the same. regardless of category. pete: the water. steve: a final question. which when is it expected to start impacting people in profound way? janice: i would think at this point tomorrow morning we will definitely start to feel at least tropical storm force winds. we will feel tropical storm force winds where griff is later on today. this could be a prolonged event because of the stalling of the system. that's the other danger. these systems sometimes will get picked up by a trough or cold front and they are out of here in like six hours. this one is going to remain sort of stagnant in place for perhaps a matter of days. and that's the dangerous part of this. remember hurricane harvey last year from texas? pete: yeah. janice: the winds in harvey when it reached southe

a very strong category 4 hurricane. continuing to strengthen, may even become a category 5 before possibly weakening. the biggest impact around the north carolina,outh carolina border, all the way into portions of virginia and norfolk. gcould really hit very hard from the storm. or us, it is more of a rain maker. more of alood threat. i'll have the latest coming up in 10 to 15 minutes. >> more than three years after a wealthy businessman, his wife, their young son and the housekeeper were tied up,rt ed and killed inside their northwest d.c. home, the sole suspect, daron wint, is aut to go o trial. opening statements scheduled for tomorrow. now a look at what to expect ahead. talk to us about the key players whotou exp to see testifying. >> sure. we know that it is possible we could hearing from a lot of wint. his sister, his brother, that was said to us in open court a couple days ago when the prosecution ran down a list of the potential jurors would be hearing from,anting to know that they knew any of these individuals

it is sitting at a category 2 hurricane. the forecasters and experts are saying it is still powerful and dangerous. >> it doesn't change my plan at all. but i am a little m still on my >> reporter: rain and wind and ocean surging are the first signs of hurricane florence inching closer to the east coast. 76% of deaths during the tropical systems come from storm surge and flooding, only 8% are wind related. because the swirling winds of florence has slowed down, doesn't mean they can't be destructive and deadly the storm's windfield is expanding that raises the risk of life threatening flooding. >> these areas, especially low lining areas in zone a are still at risk for title surge, downed trees and loss of electrical. >> reporter: hurricane hunter is continuing to monitor monster storm. they are dropping data collection devices that cost 800 a piece every ten to 15 minutes. >> primarily they're picking up the pressure, temperature and humidity and they get wind damage too with the wind direction. >> reporter: and all of that

katrinaas a category 3.ng, wow, it was only a 3 -- >> technically, sandy wasn't a hurricane. it was a superstorm. and that was the a equivalent category 1 storm. >> a lot to cover. the morning just getting started. our prayers are with t people of carolina this morning. they are facing quite a storm this morning.oo winds, rain, and the damage. the toll is just starting to be counted. >>> this is a nbc4 today news break. >> 8:56 on this friday. september 14th, 2018. good morning. hurricane florence has made landfall in north carolina. the storm is packing windsp to 90 miles per hour. storm surge along the coastline has already reached ten feet in some places. more than 300,000 people are already without power. more on the current conditions and t storm track coming up in storm few minutes with team4 meteorologist sheena parveen. first, we want to check on the commute with jack taylor. hey, jack. >>> good morning. of our things clearing out. braddock road, a broken acciden washington parkway was causing slowdo

it may change up to a category three. one mile per hour stronger is changing the category. look at the northern fringe. more convecconvection. more shear here. unfortunately, the energy is in motion and this becomes a slow motion disaster once it approaches land. the steering environment slows down. 17 miles per hour right now is the progress. we think it will drop 3 to 4 miles friday morning. we will see the tropical storm-force winds. they extend from the center. you see those in the outer banks shortly after sunrise. tropical gusts. you work into the evening hours and tonight, you will see hurricane force-winds in morehead and wilmington. all of this pushes inland as we go into the overnight hours of tonight and tomorrow morning. the number one weather killer is storm surge as it fails to move along and sits on the coast and continues to batter the region as it pumps water in the bays and inlets from the cape to hatteras region. 9 to 13 feet is what you are expecting. and nag's head up to 2 to 4 feet in spots and working to charleston. few years around myrtle beach which

or a big threat but these category numbers they don't really mean much with florence do that well i'm tell you everyone was so panicked here i am in raleigh north carolina i'm about one hundred miles from where the storm made landfall on the coast of north carolina but originally the storm track had it coming here after it made landfall and everywhere around here sold out of the water everybody bought all the food off the shelves every one was really panicked so when at the last minute it was downgraded and a little weaker than we originally thought and then at the turn into south carolina everyone around here it was relief however we are still under a flash flood warnings and are looking at this and it's three river flooding in this area then closer to the coast there are areas that have seen up to ten foot storm surge and a force that's coming up over people's homes and really causing amazing destruction done only that once the storm surge the sea it's all the rain that falls here and runs downstream will continue to flood those areas so it's a it's a really rough situation for espe

this is a top end category 1 and it is much larger than your typical category 1 storm so the sheer size of this really is daunting. >> okay, rob, thank you. >> jacksonville, north carolina, also getting pummeled by the storm right now. people trapped in homes and hotels trying to get rescued. abc's victor oquendo is there right now. good morning, victor. >> reporter: good morning, michael. we are getting hammered by hurricane florence right now here in jacksonville. the rain has just been relentless all night long and now these winds are getting even stronger. right around 80 miles per hour. we've checked in with emergency officials. they tell us that the roads are flooded. they're dealing with a lot of downed power lines and there is major structural damage in this area. they had to rescue some 70 people that were stuck inside of a hotel. some of those guests reported basketball size holes in some of their rooms. they had to get everybody out of there. thankfully nobody hurt. here in jacksonville we're about 20 miles inland from the coast. the major concern here is flooding but down th