russian caucasus in very bad shape. when the government is coming out of money these that it cannot keep expanding in the way the last decade but it means it cannot play regional elite for their loyalty and negative consequences in terms of northern caucasus. another problem connected with the fact that in my view the turn which took place in 2014 was about closing putin's integration, and it was more about the nationstate and the danger. there are manythere are many nations and not only russian nationalism was can develop but there are anti- russian nationalism as well. so i would say that in my view one of the most dangerous -- two most dangerous of the shift made in 2014, one is connected with society and is underestimated usually. i would use the image of moses who was leading his nation in the desert 25 years and then came back to egypt meaning that we lost the generation to change society which not only while experiencing, well, a huge shock for young generation. the 2nd problem is connected with the risk of growi

. >> sreenivasan: we caught up with him in southern georgia's caucasus mountains, near armenia, wherek was stopped late last fall at this destroyed soviet-era building. >> last november, we had just crossed the turkish border and it was very bad weather. it was snowing, it was sleeting, very cold both during the day and at night. we came down and with frozen feet had to break through a frozen river plunging in up to our thighs. and we were very afraid of hypothermia. >> sreenivasan: salopek and three walking partners found this spot, one man set his gloves alight to start a fire. >> on a november night, a year ago, this was heaven; this was better than a five-star hotel. >> sreenivasan: then he waited here in tbilisi, the capital of georgia, for a lot longer than he planned. he was stuck in what he called a geopolitically-induced storm, waiting for visas that would determine the rest of his route. 100,000 years ago, the problems were different here, in this land littered with volcanic boulders from ancient eruptions. >> when our ancestors-- the first people who walked out of africa--

on caucus night, he won the caucasus by a very narrow margin . it was not until a lot of recounting, i think something eek later that you determined that rick santorum on. what are you doing this time around to make sure that does not happen again? mr. kaufmann: we are very adamant, and very much have a conviction that i will not happen again. probably the most tangible thing we have done is enter into a partnership with the democratic party, and with microsoft. microsoft is going to provide a way for us to report our results. there will be internal checks and that reporting. it will be a very transparent process. in fact, the media and the public will see the results coming in in real time. ,e will take the 1682 precincts and be able to see those results come in. things will be much more accurate. obviously, we had a blue-ribbon panel that took a very hard look at all of our processes in the caucus. we implemented some of those reforms. i feel very, very confident ast we will have a caucus free of human beings as we can make it. ms. swain: let m

our suspicion would be that in the plenty of areas south caucasus, in the middle east, where russiankish intelligence compete. the significant consequences that putin speaks of maybe something grim in that gray world. something that we never really hear about. it is a tricky situation right now. our suspicion would be that both sides just quietly forget about this or it's not really raised too much after a couple of days of saber rattling. manus: thank you very much. next, we take a look at how european markets have reacted to the attention between turkey and russia. ♪ francine: welcome back to "the pulse" live on bloomberg tv and radio. manus: japan announced new draft measures to give abenomics a boost and try to revive the economy. they include raising wages, more support for low income pensioners, and lowering the corporate tax rate. francine: bloomberg looks at abenomics and why the prime minister thinks more needs to be done. when shinzo of a began his second term as prime minister, his biggest challenge was an economy that had been stagnating for years and which was still reel

advanced international studies, central asia caucasus institute.oday to discuss joint project of central asia caucasus institute at bipartisan policy center on turkeys -- turkey transform, the origins and radicalization on akp party. bpc, bipartisa bipartisan polic, published this report shortly before the november 1 election and report is available at bipartisanpolicy.org as well as online. copies available online. they are also copies outside. i also wanted to mention that central asia caucasus institute has been publishing, i know the turkey analyst, biweekly now we have weekly. is available also www.turkey analyst.org. one organizational statement that we have next forum caucasus institute on november 1 18th of that is dedicated to environmental issues, that affect the country of georgia. i will start very brief introduction by saying that there's no need probably to talk to much about turkey for very important critical regions stretch between central asia to middle east. turkeys important for security, military, political, economic, energy tra

one of the brothers went overseas to the caucasus, of them said, hey take a look at him. the decision was that they were not a threat. people coming from both overseas and the u.s. and population of the united states that is radicalizing to violence. deidre: mitch, glad to have you here. thank you for your thoughts. mitch silber, at thor and formerly nypd intelligence director. >>> americans are hitting the road and the skies ahead of the thanksgiving holiday. for those going overseas the state department's international travel warning is worth monitoring. fox business's jeff flock with me from chicago o'hare international airport. jeff, what is the mood like there? reporter: well you know, deirdre, travelers may be at some risk today, but they're being rewarded by a remarkably calm and easy travel day. i have never seen one like this in all my years of covering that day, that getaway day before thanksgiving. take a look at numbers in terms of cancellations and delays, rackable. -- remarkable. normally 4,000 cancellations on average. today, less than a thousand. those are

goldford says though we're still three months out from the caucasus, and a lot can change in that amount of time. >> they could well catch up in the polls, cruz has a pretty good organization in iowa, rubio is still building one, they need to capitalize on that, or else this can be the latest flash in the pan among the republican candidates. eric: goldford says keep in mind the growth and opportunity event had roughly one-third the crowd of the democrat's jefferson-jackson dinner. he says trump and carson missing the iowa event will likely be forgiven by their strong supporters. the next gop debate is november 10 in milwaukee hosted by the fox business channel. we're also gearing up for the next democratic debate, to be held here in des moines. kcci is co-sponsoring that one, saturday november 14 at drake university. elizabeth: and this morning, family and friends are mourning the death of former u.s. candidate and actor fred thompson. he died of lymphoma at the age of 73 sunday in nashville. thompson appeared in at least 20 motion pictures and was a regular on the tv drama law and order

officials, meanwhile, said their forces killed 14 people accused of smuggling fighters out of the north caucasus to join the islamic state in syria. in minneapolis, minnesota, a group of five black lives matter protesters have been shot and wounded. they say the shooters were white supremacists. at least one of them was wearing a mask. the protesters were gathered in an encampment outside a police precinct where they have been protesting the police killing of unarmed african-american jamar clark. activists say the white supremacists opened fire after a group of protesters attempted to herd them away from the protest. jie wronski riley described the shooting to the "minneapolis star tribune." >> then it was like they turned around, and they started shooting. at first i wasn't sure, i was like, are they shooting firecrackers because it was so loud. and all this sulfur or whatever. then it was like the person right next to me on my left went down, the person on my right when down. i was like, they are actually shooting at us. they're shooting bullets at us. amy: activists said police took a long ti

the history here is stacked high, part of what salopek calls "the layer cake effect" of the caucasus.elcoming us, we passed what was likely an outer defensive tower of the 1,400-year-old city of dmanisi. >> sreenivasan: this has been a crossroads for a long time. >> since day one. pretty much everybody invaded it. >> sreenivasan: was this a trading route? >> this was a silk road trading route city, a big shining city on the hill, very rich until the mongols came and plundered it. and they were here a few hundred years until the georgians and armenians pushed them out. >> sreenivasan: it's an archeological goldmine. with the summer digging season finished, we arrived at a sort of bunkhouse for archaeologists nearby to bed down for the night. >> if we did, by some miracle, get a clear sky, it'll really change everything completely. >> sreenivasan: the next morning, a miracle had indeed swept away the fog. within what you're seeing is nearly two million years of history; the medieval city, whose walls still stand, built on top of a bronze age settlement that's 5,000 years old. and still

defeating isis as well because it does not want isis extremist forces to make their way into the caucasusontinue to grab territory and launch another civil war in the muslim territories that are part of southern russia. >> how does that work? from the u.s. standpoint is there some kind of offer to russia that let's put at sad question aside right now and just focus on isis and agree to deal with that after? >> that's exactly happened already. at the vienna talks secretary kerry made it very clear that despite u.s. pronouncements to the contrary the united states is prepared to work with russia that no longer views assad as just the problem but as part of the solution. and that's been communicated -- >> but let russia continue to support assad in ways that it can. >> let's understand also that russia's had a 50-year stake in supporting the assad family and the assad regime and has naval bases and military bases and has been the number one supplier to the assad regime ever since the father assad came to power in 1967. >> hardin, i'm curious what you make of that question, u.s. and russia an

the caucasus and central asia, there is an impact there as well. we will be watching this. hopefully we will have a chance to bring you all back to discuss it happens in the next couple of years. with that, i would like to thank the audience for being here and participating. we will see you all next week for the next forum, on november 18. thank you. [applause] >> all persons having business before the honorable, the supreme court of the united states to admonish to draw near and get their attention. >> my fellow americans. our country faces a grave danger. we had faced the possibility that of midnight tonight, the shutdown. taking two actions tonight. first, i am directing the secretary of commerce to take possession of steel mills and continue operating. in 1952, the united states was involved in a military andlict with north korea, at home a dispute between the steel industry and union had come to a head. the korean war was a hot war. >> they needed steel for munitions, tanks, jeeps, all of those things you needed in the second world war as well. if this still industry w

they imposed a guy who has become the policeman of the caucasus this man has an army that has become sort of the guard, terrible, had an army of its own he would use to quell rebellion. i think putin is using that and they are kicking -- keeping the caucacus in order. it is in check for now, putting the lid on it. that would be the scenario. the russian-sunni uprising islamic state, you are just keeping the lid on by force. that is one scenario. the other is fine-tuning what is happening now, making it more effective, sort of the attrition model of obama. you keep striking islamic state. at the same time, you have special opt -- special ops and try to do something with the sunni army. the other scenario in between would be what some people have hinted that -- at different ways. kagen has written a piece yesterday saying why don't we create a no-fly zone in syria and put troops on the ground to protect refugees because we cannot get to an agreement with the russians, we put pressure on them. maybe at some point we get some kind of solutions. then we get this federalization of syria? i

one is our director for central asia caucasus institute, dr.sity in ankara. the other is blaise misztal, director of foreign policy at bipartisan policy center. we are also fortunate to have two commentators today who were not directly involved in the report but who are members of the bipartisan policy center. these are alan makovsky who founded the washington institute's turkey research program and later served as the top middle eastern adviser on foreign affairs committee. finally, last but not least is john hannah, senior consulate, foundation for middle eastern policy. he was the national security adviser to vice president cheney. without further delay, ambassador edelman. >> thank you. let me just say at the outset, unfortunately i have to leave a little bit after 6:00 because i have another commitment. i would feel worse if not for the fact that i'm sitting on a panel with a group of people with whom i've worked on this and other subjects for many, many years. and i know that the audience will be well-served, probably better-served in my

syrian regime and spark further revolutions, islamic resolutions -- revolutions in the northern caucasusand central asia. therefore, russia's holding a strongly as i can and backing a d as strongly as it can to prevent this fear of an islamic territory. russia's backing a loser, and it's time to find a new coalition government. what i propose here is that russia begins to reassociate itself with some of the syrian nationalist party, begin to forge a new coalition government inside, and invite a sod -- assad back to russia and forge a new government. this would bring russia on boarded syria, and protect this national strategic interest. it's based in the eastern mediterranean. goals forto make their strategic interests. there is a way to work things out. alix: do think resident holland -- president hollande can convince president putin? hall: it depends on what they say. the russians only been working for four years. hitting them to realize they are in a losing battle in supporting us on -- assad. no one in the syrian nationalist organization will work with the coalition government as lon

clearly the one in the north caucasus is going to be a problem that the russians are going to have toth for some period of time. >> reporter: the downing of a russian commercial airliner by isis' sinai affiliate a potential game changer. moscow now in isis crosshairs over its intervention in syria. has russian intervention made isis stronger? >> it certainly hasn't hurt isis in my mind. >> reporter: the u.s. recently abandoned a $500 million effort to train and equip syrian rebels to fight isis after only a handful of fighters made it to the battlefield. why did they fail? >> when you want individuals to concentrate on daesh who on a day-to-day basis or moment to moment is worrying about the regime is going to blow up their neighborhood or the future of the assad regime, that's a difficult challenge and a difficult choice to put before them. >> reporter: a new strategy to rely on kurds and other syrian groups, allen says, is starting to bear fruit. but with president obama now sending in special forces to syria, u.s. involvement only seems to be deepening. when you first took this job

one is the director from the central asia caucasus institute who's an expert in the turkish second world and then the ba degree from the degree. the other is from the floor and by -- bipartisan policy center. they are not directly involved in the report are members of the bipartisan task force at the center for american progress and longtime observer that served in the departments research from 93 to 94 and founded the research in the middle east adviser. finally. he is a long career in government. let me see at the outset i have to leave a little bit after six because i have another commitment. but i would feel worse about it that if it were not for the fact that we are sitting on the panel with whom i've worked on this and other subjects for many years and i know that the audience will be well served and probably better served in my absence. what we start with a couple of comments about the report and why we decided that the task to task force the current chair with the ambassador policy center report and then make a few comments about what it might say about the prospects post electio

is encouraging certain militants to bleed so they fight rather than stay and fight in the north caucasus there is no evidence that is true but you hear that in various places. but it is interesting, and i think potentially problematic for russia that it has aligned itself so clearly with iran and the security and regime that is dominated by most russians and most inside russia are sunni and this could be creating a source of additional instability in the country not immediately but in the coming years. >> i'm interested in the relationship between the decision on crimea and southeast ukraine. you mentioned the february 23 meeting and that's the official version but there's also an argument that the decision was made in november and december at least to prepare something so what's the relationship of outside the sort of entrepreneurs like the orthodox oligarchs who have ideological agendas and think in terms of things to the actual decision-making process and is it your opinion because there is a certain strategic version versus any other as an improviser and the rest is constant tactics

3,000 russian nationals come down from the caucuses, from chechnya, tag goss stan and -- dagostan caucasus concern of the russians, to help russia prevent the flow of terrorists in signed of their territory destined to care oy it terrorist attacks. we need to exchange information. it has to be enhanced but i'm determined to work with my russian counterparts because of the importance i think we each can bring to this issue in terms of our insights, our information and our data and sharing it. we worked together closely with the russians in sochi olympics. think they greatly valued the support we provided and information we provided. i want to continue to do that. irrespective of disagreements with respect to policy over syria i'm willing to work with other countries to prevent successful terrorist attacks. >> what's your recommendation on the borders? would you now say let's implement stricter external border controls and close down the system for a while? >> one of the things we have to keep in mind we don't want to do have these terrorists succeed in taking away the freedoms and liberties

reiser.is mindy what do you see in terms of recruitment from the caucasus to isil or syria?ure leverage of putin on central asia. he made it clear he wants to exert interest, but given russia's economic challenges, how realistic is that in the future? mr. hale: do you want to take that? theretrov: first of all, was a wonderful book published recently on regimes. these are regimes and a post-soviet space. the problem is they are aging. i would speak about aging putinism and would look at crimea as viagra for this, which cannot work for long. the problem is, what exactly will happen if and when these aging leaders are coming out of power? nobody can predict. that is the problem. if there are no institutions, if there is strong personalism, anything can happen. central asia is a very dangerous place where there is huge islamists, nots necessarily radical, but different islamists, which can have very negative consequences. i do not think -- this is the real problem. russian authorities do try to do something about this. there is a very short time horizon. they are trying to deal