republicans have a 60% chance of taking over the senate in the upcoming elections according to pollster charlie cook. the national journal posted him -- posted him. this is 90 minutes. [applause] >> thank you all for coming out. i'm excited and looking forward to two of the most brightest people in town and people i've known between the two of them for close to 70 years because we go back 30-odd years and stan about 30 years. so these are folks that i have enjoyed being with and loved watching their work. they're just two great pros and people. if you go back to the early

charlie cook has become to go to source for tracking the congressional races since he founded the cook political report 30 years ago. how the races are shaping up and how many republicans are likely to pick up and what might surprise us the most when the polls close next week. let's welcome charlie. last year i spoke at this idea. i looked around the room and the audience was just as impressive as the green room. so it is an honor and we are focused to be here. he was outlining what it might look like and i was talking to some people and ask them what you hugo along with raising the minimum wage in exchange for lowering the corporate tax rate and in a second those are the kind of deals we used to put together in this town. anyway let me get back on the subject. i am glad that everybody sees this but to fall over and hurt themselves. this election if you go back to early last year, really 2013, there were two different plausible scenarios we could have had. and one scenario might have been that some of the problems that hurt them so badly in 2012 m-mike just slow on into 2014. so that i

sometimes, people ask me why the heck do we need to listen to charlie cook or his team?o we need to listen to them or stu rothenberg or his terrific colleague if we've got nate silver and the "new york times" and these other models that are out there. my analogy is the money ball analogy -- there's not a team in major league baseball it doesn't employ a team of statisticians. they all see it as important. what they found, the optimal approach is look at the data, analyze the data, but listen to the scouts. sit in the bleachers with a speed gun. in terms of interviewing candidates and watching the races, sitting in jennifer's office, watching ads hours on end and evaluating each of these from a subjective, qualitative -- there's value in all of those things. if i was going to look at two models boast, i would watch nate silver -- i have a lot of respect for nate allsop i think he's smart and he's got a neat statistical toolkit and i think he is intellectually honest. it's a different approach from what i take what i think it is worth looking at. the new york times i think

and charlie cook's cook political report at this point puts 11 of those races as pure tossups and another republican held seat in jeopardy and leaning democratic. the most interesting thing, though, gwen, is the number of incumbent republican and democratic governors who are in trouble. normally what we see is it's open seats where you have the greatest competition. but there are probably seven or eight republican incumbents who are in really tough races. and three democrats who are in really tough races. gwen: you were in colorado with john hicken looper one of the top democrats. >> i was. i was there earlier in the week. governor hickenlooper won fairly easily four years ago and had weak opposition and won without any great trouble. he came in with a kind of a quirky personality that had worked for him very well in denver when he was the mayor. he was kind of a pro-business centrist. not particularly partisan. today, he is in trouble. in part because that style of leadership is now seen as ineffective or weak or wishy-washy. gwen: playing against bob beaupre the republican. >> bob beaup

think as charlie cook has said, susan collins could lose the race in maine if she tried, but everywhere else, it is a tough race -- tough landscape for democrats. kentucky is a little closer than some people might think, and george also is a little is a veryg, but it tough landscape for democrats this year. host: arkansas was the third race that politico was writing about. the former president, bill clinton, the first of four appearances. we will have live coverage of his remarks to rally support for mark pryor. guest: i think it is a sign of how tough this race has become for prior -- pryor. he came in in 2008 and had a lot of -- republicans were fortunate to get a strong candidate, one .f the good campaigns i think this will be one of the closest, most exciting races in the country. i am pretty bullish on cotton's chances. host: this is a race still listed as a tossup, but a poll last week gave bruce braley's opponent the edge. guest: he may be doing better than what some of the public olds are showing. we will see what happens -- public polls are showing. we will see what happens. th

i asked for charlie cook. said hing that neil has about the convention wisdom conventiony partisan like oh began talking my god i will have one more tell me how hey many white males vote for obama well republicans are doing with independents. won independents. that is part of the spin that it be possible that obama will win. neil is one of those people that change.es the i'm in the 50-50 probability down from -- you sound like you are in the 50-50 or you from 60-40 either way. > they don't let me get away with 50-50. i have to shade it one direction or the other. polsters are paid to go 50-50. setting a battleground release npr which we tomorrow so i won't indicate the results. a will also release on monday battleground poll and polls in battleground states for women's vote. that. will have we are also, as you know, both nvolved in actual races and actually independent efforts in many of the states and i will talk about the states. >> feel free. spend probably twice a day going through our polls and what r the

that's according to charlie cook. the national journal hosted mr.cook and former posters for bill clinton and mitt romney. this is 90 minutes. .. close to seven years because neil and i go back 30 odd years, instead, about 30 years. these are folks that i have enjoyed being with and love watching their work. they are just too great prose into great people. i'm really looking forward to the. let me sort of do a very, very sort of nutshell where i am and i want to get neil and stan up and talk about what they're seeing out there. if you go back to the early part of last year, there were two competing scenarios, to sort of theories about the 2014 and midterm elections could be about. one theory was some of the challenges, problems facing the republican party in 2012 which would flow into 2014. and the other was that this would be a classic midterm election referendum on the incumbent president, and with all that entails. so two competing directions. it could've gone either way. in terms of challenges facing the republican party some of them work with k

where the state is struggling economically, you have just recently in the last couple of hours, charlie cook actually moved the maryland governor's race from leaning democrat to as to -- based on policies, persuasive enough to the point that they get enough in the polling to show that the -- >> if you -- if this were on here, in the state of north carolina in black communities, they received letters from supposedly the justice department saying if you vote in the wrong place, you're subject to $5,000 fine and/or prison. it turned out to be a facsimile, is that race baiting? >> it sounds wrong to me. it sounds imillegal. >> it sounds wrong. >> yo you work here bob, bring it to the table. >> it sounded as bad as it did in new york state. there will be consequences against them if you don't. i mean that's wrong, reported this morning in the "new york post." >> do you realize you're talking about what is illegal and what is wrong? i mean there are two separate things, nothing that these people did, these groups did, harry reid's superpac, nothing they did was illegal. >> that's what bob is sayin

you know, sometimes people have asked me, why the heck do we need to listen to charlie cook or his teamand jeff duffy and david and amy walter, why do we need to listen to them or stu rothenberg and his terrific colleague, nathan gonzalez, why should we listen to them and that's silver and "new york times" and other models out there? my analogy is sort of the "moneyball" analogy from the book and the movie. that there is not a team in major league baseball that does not employ a team of statisticians doing say per metrics. not one. they saw see it as important. not one team has not fired all their scouts either. look at the data, analyze the data, but also listen to the scouts. have them looking and sitting in the bleachers with a speed gun where we do and our team does and stu's team does interviewing candidates, watching races, you know, sitting in jennifer's office and sitting there watching ads, you know, hours on end. and just sort of, evaluating each of these from more of a subjective, qualitative as opposed to quantitative. i think there is value in all of those things. if i were

after that, a preview of the midterm elections with pollster charlie cook. on wednesday, "washington post" live post it representatives and independent consultants for a summit on cyber security. over the next three hours, we will hear about the increasing concerns over cyber security and what is being done to prevent attacks. >> good morning, everyone. angst to those watching online and here in downtown washington -- thanks to those watching online and here in downtown washington. this is the fourth year that the post has had a cybersecurity conference where we bring together government, defense, state department, homeland security, and the business leaders all together to talk about cyber theft and cyber espionage. and the challenge over this years has only intensified. the u.s. government and companies are now investing billions, many, many billions to try to secure what is valuable and what, by virtue of being connected to the internet, is vulnerable. there are a lot of bad actors. they are great hackers. what they are stealing is everything from the nex

republicans have a 60% chance of taking over the senate according to pollster charlie cook.last her stay, the national journal posted him for an election preview. the people's republic of montgomery county. thank you all for coming out. great crowd and i'm looking forward to this. chance tog for a greenberg will stop its two things i'm looking forward to because it's too of the brightest and most talented people in town. -- they've been known for close to 70 years. sogo back 30 odd years and these are folks i have enjoyed being with and love watching their work. there are two great prose and two great people. i'm looking forward to that will shall ofme do a very where i am and then i want to to talk and stand up about what they are seeing out there. back to the early part of last year, there were two competing scenarios, to theories of what the 2014 midterm elections could be about. one theory was some of the challenges and problems facing the republican party in 2012 which flow into 2014. the other was this would be a classic mid-term referendum on the incumbent president a

charlie cook reporting on how kansas and georgia could change the equation in the u.s. senate with computer models that show republicans with a big advantage in georgia, except in the senate race which is looking like a tossup between david purdue and michelle nunn. c-span covered a recent debate in georgia in the governor's race where the incumbent debated jason carter. and independent candidate andrew hunt. this race is listed as leans republican. senator jason carter claims he will put education first. but don't it against the largest increase in education funding in seven years. against. >> over the last five years, you have seen the worst contraction of public education in the history of our state. you have 9000 fewer teachers and 45,000 people leaving technical schools. this year, there will be fewer. i worry that we will reap what we sow from that destruction of our education system. we'll have a separate budget for education. we will protect it. not just in good times, but all the times. cut billions in waste and spending and voted against obamacare. liberals wo

next, from the second day of the event, charlie cook on the midterm elections.plause] >> notice she kissed my microphone. >> i did. atanyway, last year i spoke this ideas festival and i looked around the room and the audience was just as impressive as the green room before. anyway, it is a real honor, a real privilege to be here. listening to tom fanning, he was outlining what a tax deal might look like and i was talking to some people with a very large company the other day and asked them would you go along with raising the minimum wage in exchange for lowering the corporate tax rate? taking a break, in a second. those are the kinds of deals were used to put together in this town. let me get back on subject. i am glad everybody is seated because i don't want anybody to fall over and hurt themselves. we have this election coming up on tuesday. it is kind of a big one. tos election, if you go back early last year, early 2013, there were two very different possible scenarios that we could have had in this election. one scenario might have been that some of the pro

here are some of the exchanges in the debate along with the comments of analyst charlie cook on the senate>> it's incredibly important whenever we talk to a woman who's a victim of rape or incest at the surface of the compassion and the support they deserve. that's what i have done as attorney general by providing a record amount of financial support to the victims and victims organizations supporting women have been victims of rape and incest. that's what i've done as attorney general by arresting more sexual predators and all of the attorneys general in history of the state of texas. but you bring up the issue and you know that i'm pro-life and i'm catholic and i want to promote a culture of life that supports both over and safety of both the mother and child both before and after birth. in texas speak we are about double and that is the woman has five months to make a very difficult decision. >> moderator: senator davis quick >> is catapulted into the spotlight with her filibuster against the abortion research and that he told the editorial board of the dallas morning news that he might

charlie gasparino. what could he possibly be planning to ask of apple ceo tim cook this time around?e says he is sending another letter. >> he is sending an open letter. carl is interesting, he is really careful ever since the investigation occurred about releasing stuff. whatever, stupid stuff. when the fed starts eyeing you come you get careful about information. so he point out a tweet so to speak, nebulous. we don't know what he wants, he says it might be interesting. here is the thing, and the absence of carl: may back to tell me, what do journalists do? we speculate. carl owns a lot of netflix, carl owns apple. netflix has always been thought of as a play for some of those tech media companies like google, amazon or even apple. this is what people are talking about, just throwing it out there. the wording of his tweet makes you think he actually wants another buyback. liz: the tweet says tomorrow we will be sending an open letter to tim cook, believe it will be interesting. but there is a second one. just over one year ago we treated our large position and apple and leave the c

. >> i kept asking for charlie cook. anyway -- [laughter] this is, obviously, i mean, all elections are fascinating, but i think this is genuinely is on the knife's edge. everything that neil has said about the conventional wisdom, particularly partisan conventional wisdom, one ought to step back from. neil began talking, and i said, oh, my god, one more panel where they tell me, you know, how many white males don't vote for obama or how many independents, how well, you know, republicans are doing with independents, you know? romney won independents and won them well. it was kind of the spin it couldn't be possible that obama was going to win. we're in a different country, and neil is one of those people that recognize the change. i'm in, i'm in the 50/50, you you know, probability. probably slightly down from the -- neil, actually, you sound like you're in the 50/50. you go from 60/40 either way -- >> don't let me get away with 50/50. i've got to shade in one direction or the other. >> pollsters are paid for it, you kno

charlie brown." apple's ceo tim cook says he is gay.he says while he has never denied his sexuality, he has not publicly a knowledge did. he said he had been open with many people about his sexual orientation and that plenty of his colleagues knew. he came out in a column published in "bloomberg is this week" >> or the latest headlines turn -- tune in to abc seven at 4:00. see you tomorrow. have a great day. [dramatic music] ♪ >> yeah! hey! [cheers and applause] ha ha ha! i'm terry crews, and i've got $1 million i just can't wait to give away today on millionaire. [cheers and applause] today's first contestant is a girl's girlho's stuck working at a fire department with all guys. she's here to prove women are always right. from salt lake city, utah, please welcome sarah bohe! [cheers and applause] hi, sarah! >> oh, my gosh! [laughs] >> how are you? >> great. >> nice to see you.

it was outlined to tim cook. charlie about that today. >> besides this letter, are you going to meet with him any time soon. >> i hope so. i talked to him two nights ago. told him glad it was coming. we had very good conversations. i'm not at liberty to say what he said except that he believes in the value. and i personally believe that ebledz, but he has not said anything about it. i believe they should be doing a bigger buy back. the billionaire promised not to offer any of his 53 million shares in the repurchase. pepsi reporting a higher profit. the company says snack sales declined by 3 percent. hurt by a new tax on junk food. similar taxes are being proposed in california. those are some of the hot stories right now on fox business.com. still to come the temperatures dropping outside. we'll tell you how to save money on home maintenance. stay with us. gerri: fall is underway and it is time to prepare for winter. earlier this week we told you that the energy department is expecting heating bills to fall across the bo

i want to go back to the letter from carl icahn he sent to apple, tim cook. charlieou read between the lines and i will say it for you, with all this cash carl icahn telling apple to get out and make acquisitions? >> do something to enhance shareholder value. apple kind of like this letter. nice thing about tim cook, the ceo. in the vacuum of information last night what might be in this letter. one of my possibilities because this has always been out there that place with use cash to buy netflix which would probably be a creative the value, i would think. so that would be an amazing deal for apple. carl didn't go that far. said put some cash in my pocket. give me some money, buy some more stocks back. he implied if you don't do it, i will be talking to him later, this is wall street versus silicon valley. he is kicking their rear end. he made ebay spinoff paypal. stuart: coming up next, more on the ebola crisis. and they are not prepared for all of this. he is here in the studio coming up. and so is greg norman recovering from a chainsaw accident. will he play golf a

you look at tim cook's interview with charlie rose and apple has never been a leading innovation company. first iphone was not the smart phone and the macbook was not the first computer. they do things better and create a luxury that people have affinities with. >> let's talk about where they are selling at the moment. the chineseat demand was off the charts. -- this is not a volume business. china is a big place. you can make a lot of money there. is that the secret for apple? is that what they move in greater sets next? and ise is a huge market going to be difficult to get traction in. it is growing at a great rate in the market. , it is coming at a huge pace. it is important. >> the smart wallet is tough to crack. so many have had to do it. it never kite -- quite caught on. what does the success rest on? >> the big thing it will rest on is the education piece. that is an audience little beta-shy and they are looking to assuage the concerns. out with the credit cards wrapped in tinfoil because they do not want people stealing your details. >> be careful. >> i think the success of apple

joining me now, charlie gasparino and on the phone, carl icahn himself as well as his son brett icahn, all of the men signed the open ended letter signed to tim cook, welcome to all of you. charlie is going to start. >> the market is down over 300 right now. are we in a correction, or we're in one of these funky markets where anything positive or negative about raising interest rates, pro or con about raising interest rates moves this thing tremendously. >> charlie, i've been saying over a year you have to be worried about this market. but there is no one that's going to pick the day-to-day market, it's ridiculous to waste time saying it's going up, down, tomorrow, the next day, too many variables. like talking about the farmer's wife, should have had another seven in vegas. [ laughter ] >> you don't think this is a correction, right? we're not in a correction period right now? >> i don't know what that means, why is the market go up so much. you can have a mark go down 1,000 points or nothing. this market has come up a great deal on the federal -- as you know, the federal reserve -- it's a federal reserve driven market by driving interest rates s

activist investor says tomorrow he will send an open letter to ceo tim cook, which he believes, quote, interesting. i'm sure charlieno is working this story very hard and will have the latest on this just as soon as it breaks. look at the stock of apple reacting to that. >>> a huge hour going into the close here as mark accounts really rally. liz claman here to give us a sneak-peek. >> we're on it. charlie will be working it, down here probably in a few minutes to get you updated on that because apple of course is a huge part of the s&p. look at the stock market right now. absolutely loving the flock of doves that was released on it from minutes just one hour ago when you began your show, melissa. we have the man who has the inside track to the fed, jon hilsenrath of "the wall street journal." what does he think they really meant when they chewed the fat and discuss how they verbalize what happens next to keep rates low for a reasonability amount of time? >>> there is no place like iphone? wait until you hear about the stunning real estate transaction in detroit! that home, we have the real estate agent who made it

you know, tim cook was more of a manager, but he really has good product people around him. >> charlie: and is able to create the culture of collaboration that steve did and continue it. >> absolutely. >> charlie: when you think of the word "innovation," it's like one more article in harvard business review. >> yeah. >> charlie: when i first saw this, i thought, where is walter going? your mean something different. >> innovation is an overused buzz word. it's been sapped of a lot of its meaning. so my point was let's not talk about innovation in the abstrafnlgt let me show you exactly what bill gates, steve jobs did, what the people who invented the transistor at bell labs did and how that system led to something. so i want to look in a story-telling. this is a narrative book. it's not 12 easy lessons of innovation. because i wanted to do real reporting and say how did they make the creative leap and do it as a team but who was the visionary that helped make the leap? because you need a violationnary and a team. so it's more of a book about real people who actually do it, and i'm tryin

scott, being challenged by former governor charlie crist, who served as a republican but is now running as a democrat. this is the second debate between them. the cook and rothenberg political report's list this race as a tossup. courtesy of cnn, it's about 50 minutes. debate in, the final the florida governor's race, one of the closest, most negative, and most important contest of the year. republican rick scott is fighting to keep his job. >> let's keep working. >> he is a former tea party darling, backed by the gop establishment he once ran against. >> governor scott has delivered to the people of this state. >> democrat charlie crist is fighting to reclaim his old job. >> let's go win this thing. thank you. >> he is a former republican, backed by the president he once controversially embraced. >> we can get this done, florida, can't we? >> it's a battle for the governors in a state that decides presidential elections. >> why we would reelect this guy is beyond me. >> anything can happen. >> the last time these candidates raced off, scott did not take the stage at first because crist broke the rules. it was a flap over a fan, and viewers were blo

charlie. >> i bought the steve jobs book. i read about that. >> that is is it. closest you've gotten to apple product. you are totally impervious. >> i did some reporting that the board was worried about tim cook was enough of innovator which i think turned out to be accurate. melissa: you were worried that they might bug the apple devices or booby-trap them or that is why you're staying away from apple. >> i don't need it. it isn't necessary for my daily life. >> the only people using it are real nerds. >> there you go. melissa: ready, set, latte. you no longer have to wait for the morning jolt. starbucks is testing a new feature on its app would have your extra shot no whip, pumpkin latte. >> spice. melissa: already for you. i wasn't going through all of that. this is made for me. i actually don't stop by starbucks in the morning because the line is too long. you know i would prefer it but not that -- >> there is a guy at this network who loves the apple, the pumpkin spice latte. melissa: who? >> neil cavuto. e h. people don't know that about neil. melissa: he is pumpkin spice latte freak. >> a freak. melissa: a freak in general or about the pumpkin spice. >> has a fetish for this stuff. >>

scott, and former governor charlie crist who was a republican while in office from 2007-2011, now running as a democrat. this is the second debate between the two candidates. cook and the rothenberg political reports have listed this race as a toes-up, and -- toss-up, and we have the debate courtesy of wsor in miami. this is about an hour. >> decision 2014 before you vote. a special election year series brought to you by: broward college, providing exceptional programs and resources to prepare students for high demand careers. by leadership florida, putting florida first. and by the florida press association, the trade association for florida's newspapers providing communities across florida with the news and information relevant to their life. with underwriting by: the florida league of cities, the united voice for florida's municipal governments. by the florida association of insurance agents, florida's trusted choice independent insurance agents. by the florida credit union association. credit unions in florida are giving banking a better name. by aarp florida, helping floridians 50+create real possibilities in their lives. and by the claude pepper foundatio

and former governor charlie crist who while in office served as a republican, but is running this season as a democrat. this is the second debate between the candidates, and the cooknberg political reports have listed this race at a toss-up. >> decision 2014 before you vote the a special election year series brought to you by broward college, providing exceptional programs and resources to prepare students for high demand careers. find leadership florida, putting florida first. and by the florida press association. the trade association for florida's newspapers, providing communities across florida with the news and information relevant to their life. with underwriting by the florida league of cities, the united voice for florida's municipal government, by the florida association of insurance agents, florida's trusted choice independent insurance agents, by the florida credit union association. credit unions in florida are giving banking a better name. by aarp florida, helping floridians 50+live better lives and dedicated to enhancing the welling being of florida's senis and preserving american democracy. now, from the beautiful campus of broward college, decision