host: charlie cook? guest: that is a pretty good deflection add. we are seeing quite a few democrats, not incumbents, that are saying if i win i will not vote for nancy pelosi. host: look at this headline from politico that has pictures of those individuals. guest: again, i don't think it is personal towards her but a lot of it is generational and some of it is political survival. this year, there were 435 seats. we basically know who was going to win in 335 them. there are 100 we are watching and of them, about 60 are competitive. when you have a midterm election with a president with low approval ratings, they don't knock off many seats from the other side. that explains why there are so few democratic seats in jeopardy, is when you have the wind going one way it is hard to go against the strength. largely, the competitive races are mostly not going to be in the deep south, but arkansas which is basically little rock is one of the few. that is one of the few deep south republican districts that are in danger. it is basically right in and immediat

with charlieing l cook. a bellwether of whathe respect. bob is on the phone, republican light.good morning. >> caller: good morning, steve. hello, c-span. that morning, charlie cook. you're looking good. i gotot a question about the maxine water race. getting different accounts and like some people say she doesn't live in her district. some say they do but if she doesn't live in her district how can she run? is or anything anybody can do about it? >> guest: thank you, bob here i have no earthly idea whether maxine waters lives in her congressional district or not. but for the u.s. house of representatives, there's no legalfo requirement anywhere to live in your district. you need to live in your state but there is no legal requirement. there are very few things that we are sure of any life that taxes -- two of them, democrats don't lose districts that are as overwhelming as hers is and she has no raise. but living in a district that's not a legal requirement in any way. it could be a political hit. we've seen members in competitive districts lose because they had anus apartment

host: we want to welcome back a longtime friend, charlie cook of the cook political report.e been on this network for more than 30 years. guest: i think i was on c-span the first year that it was on the air. it is always fun and it was an important part of my career. that is why i religiously come back when you ask. the: i want to get to 30,000 foot level and then we will drill down to some of these races. it is mid july, the election is november, and a lot can happen. what does it feel like? guest: it looks like in the house, democrats need a net gain of 23 seats. it looks like it will be in the 20 to 35 seat range, some more likely than not that the house flips but it might not. usually, the dynamics in midterm elections start setting by midsummer. we have never had it reverse course from this point on, but at the same time, the senate looks a lot more likely than not to stay in republican hands. republicans need to be worried about governor's and state legislative seats. three quarters of our governorships and 4/5 of our state legislative seats will be up in november. giv

>> that's something that charlie cook put a lot of confidence in. is sort of baked if you will, during the summer, it's very hard to shift the electorate's mind-set. is it possible that something extraordinary out of the blue could happen? i assume so. but particularly, the economy, although it's in the background is not necessarily the decisive factor here. it's certainly keeping the bottom from falling out on the republican. either a minor uptick or downtick, if you will, in the economy, i don't think we'll be able to shift people. well have a very polarized electorate right now. >> what about the shift in the polls does that find as an indicator of what happens in 2020 or is that a horse of a different your? >> it's an indication that democrats are starting to get their act together. but you're right, 2020 is a different act altogether. you have to come up with a nominee that's going to beat donald trump or some other republican. and right now there's a vast, vast number of democrats with no clear front-runner. they're going to have to pick someo

we want to welcome back a longtime friend, charlie cook of the cook political report. you have been on this network for more than 30 years. guest: i think i was on c-span the first year that it was on the air. it is always fun and it was an important part of my career. that is why i religiously come back when you ask. the: i want to get to 30,000 foot level and then we will drill down to some of these races. it is mid july, the election is november, and a lot can

we are back with charlie cook, jason johnson and heidi. off the top of that list of people, can you see this be blunt and save a short segment? do any of them have the to walk into a campaign and act like a candidate? >> it's hard to run from the business space for a democratic nomination. democrats would be better off. >> they're don't like business guys. >> they're should look at one, but i don't think that's where the democratic party's heart is right now. >> i don't see how it works. they would have to try and beat trump at his own game. donald trump is a media person and knows how to do that job. you need to tackle him. >> he doesn't know stuff. >> what about -- >> like how to be president. >> i watched a ton of interviews with schultz. mark zuckerberg, no one trusts facebook. mark cuban had a scandal with the dallas mavericks. i don't think any of the outsiders and i can't imagine a circumstance where oprah would run. >> as real candidates? >> the point that jason was make being about the difficulty of getting someone through a prima

back with charlie cook, susan del percio, and hidie przybyla. any of them have the chutzpah, to walk into the presidential campaign and act like a candidate? >> i think it is hard to run from a business space. >> they don't like business guys. >> it would be better off if they looked at one, but i don't think where the democratic party's heart is right now. >> they would have to beat trump at his own game and with the exception of oprah winfrey, donald trump is a media person. he knows how to do that job and that is what you need if you are going to tackle him. >> he doesn't know stuff. >> then, what about -- >> he doesn't know stuff like how to be president. >> i have watched a ton of interviews with schultz. mark cuban would have been okay if there hadn't been a me too scandal. and i can't imagine a circumstance for oprah to run. >> do you like any of these? >> the point that jason was making about the difficulty of getting somebody through a primary. think about the split screen between the guy who has shady connections to business and oligar

and in this quote charlie cook speaks of the enthusiasm gap.a moment here. we'll get it up there. here we go. they went on to say, >> eboni: and so i want you both to respond to it, chris, i will let you go first. >> "but maybe not." a great way to end up the quote. it could happen. maybe not. you saw a lot of democratic enthusiasm manifesting themselves in the special elections. their turnup was up across the board. it did start to close getting closer to the end. but what we've seen in primaries is republicans matching that enthusiasm, going back to texas where there were early enthusiasm from democrats but the republican vote on election day was ahead of the democrats. and then you had the democrat runoff in texas, at an all-time low since the gubernatorial vote going back to 1920. what it does, it allows or creates an enthusiasm behind the evangelical base that gave pennsylvania, michigan and other states that swung to president trump united states that he was not expected to win come election day but it closes that gap and injects rocket f

not be on a ballot this november and part of the reason that is so significant is, incumbents -- charlie cookis great stat about a 59% of these incumbents end up with standing wave election. but if they retire their party, their only have a 6% chance of holding onto the seats. so there are some structural challenges that are much bigger than the environment we read about today. >> dana: we also have adrienne elrod, take a look at this. a gallup poll showing that trumps approval come from around 41.9%. this one caught my eye because 41.9% is keeping with what we know. know the president had his best quarter, the six quarter was his best. so he has gone up in the trump team obviously cheering that. that university poll just came out today and trumps approval among white voters with no college degree has gone down 19 points from just last month on june 2nd and how to read that twice, adjust my set and wipe my eyes. is that keeping and what you are hearing on the ground? >> and that's actually going to make my life better. my wages are not going up, and the trade war that trump is essentially cre

amid concern of russian interference, with liz kennedy for the center for american progress, and charlie cook on the outlook for the 2018 elections. washington journal, live at 7 a.m. eastern friday morning. join the discussion. this saturday at 10 a.m. eastern, c-span radio will the states, asom part of alaska weekend. listen to the alaska house and senate debate on whether to use the alaska permanent fund to close the state budget deficits. an annual dividend to every state resident for oil revenues. hear from the governor and residents, and also an interview with the juneau empire reporter, james brooks. >> russian president vladimir putin told diplomats in moscow to presidentposal trump to hold a referendum to help resolve the conflict in eastern ukraine. he made the proposal in helsinki. he was joined on stage

and political report editor charlie cook on the outlook of the 2018 elections. be sure to watch c-span's "washington journal" live at 7:00 eastern friday morning. join the discussion. >>> tomorrow the national governor's association begins its summer meeting in santa fe, new mexico, with discussions about the future of technology, workshops on workforce equity, women in leadership, and economic opportunities in the outdoors. live friday, starting at 11:00 a.m. eastern on c-span 2. and saturday, the final day of the nga summer meeting governors will attend a discussion on collaboration between state and federal governments. as well as the importance of art and history education. that starts live saturday at 12:15 p.m. eastern on c-span. >>> join us this weekend for alaska weekend with featured programming on c-span, book tv and american history tv. we will explore alaska's natural beauty, history, culture, and public policy issues facing the state. saturday morning on c-span, washington journal axios energy reporter on the effect of climate change in alaska and s

and political report editor charlie cook on the outlook for the 2018 elections. be sure to watch c-span washington journal. live at seven eastern friday morning. join the discussion. >> this weekend on american history tv. on c-span3 appears saturday at 6 pm eastern on the civil war. william marble offer of the book lincolns mercenaries, expends economic factors that drove many northerners to volunteer. and at 8 pm on lester's in history. san diego state university professor, -- on the vietnam war from the u.s. military escalation in 1965 to the fall of saigon 10 years later. sunday at 11:00 a.m. . military history patrick o'donnell and his book, the unknowns, the untold story of america's unknown soldier. and world war i most decorated heroes who brought him home. at 4:30 pm eastern on reel america, part of our alaska weekend. four films about alaska. the 1936 film, alaska silver millions. the 1949 film, eskimo hunters in northwestern alaska. the 1967 film alaska centennial. the 1944 film, alaska highway. watch american history t.v. this weekend on c-span3. >> s

i am charlie cook dc on twitter. i am 64 and i'm not a technology guy. thank you and thank you for the viewers. youruys are great in commitment to politics and public affairs is amazing and it is a great thing. host: thanks for being with us. right now, an event began just a moment ago things sponsored by the middle east policy council, take a look at the u.s. withdrawal on that iran nuclear deal. live coverage here. we're back to morning with another edition of the washington journal. we hope you have a good friday. i am pleased to welcome all of those who have joined us either through c-span or online. the proceedings will be posted on video and on our website and a recap will be posted there as well. a edited transcript will be published in the next issue of our journal, middle east policy. let me briefly introduce our panelists. we will begin the discussion with david albright, the founder and president of the washington, d.c.-based institute for science and international security. david will be followed by caring young, a senior resident at the seni

host: we want to welcome back a longtime friend, charlie cook of the cook political report. you have been on this network for more than 30 years. guest: i think i was on c-span the first year that it was on the air. it is always fun and it was an important part of my career. that is why i religiously come back when you ask. the: i want to get to 30,000 foot level and then we will drill down to some of these races. it is mid july, the election is november, and a lot can happen. what does it feel like? guest: it looks like in the house, democrats need a net gain of 23 seats. it looks like it will be in the

cook political report charlie cook on the outlook for the 2018 elections. these sure to watch c-span's "washington journal" at 7:00 this morning. join the discussion. coming up friday on c-span, a discussion about the impact of the u.s. withdrawal from the iran nuclear agreement hosted by the middle east policy. and discussing the role of the individual health market. governors meeting in santa fe new mexico. watch the national governors association meeting at 11:00 a.m. eastern on c-span two. on c-span3, a form on cyber security posted by "the washington post." >> supreme court nominee brett kavanaugh continues to meet with senators on capitol hill. follow the process on c-span leading up to the senate confirmation hearings and vote. watch live on c-span. .nytime on c-span.org or listen with the c-span radio app. >> u.s. financier bill browder successfully lobbied the u.s. government to impose sanctions against russia. after he was expelled for exposing corruption. he talked about russia's exploitation of democratic institutions during an event hosted by t

of the charlie card project, a nonprofit that uses a mobile kitchen to deliver hands-on education to children in kindergarten through fifth grade. she is the author of new favorites for new cooksourages children to get involved in the kitchen. we have her joining me. you brought a charlie card. >> i did. >> let's talk about how the this is everything you need in the kitchen. >> it is a micro kitchen. you can roll it into a a classroom. you can have -- into a kitchen. you can have children involved, hands on. >> we need kitchen utensils that are made for a child's hands. everything is pretty to a little one, right? >> yes, peeling colors, things easy to grip, this is a pan scraper -- appealing colors, things easy to grip. here is a pan scraper. >> you found that parents will have their kids eat what they make instead of rejecting it at the table. >> you keep serving it and you keep trying it and you keep doing it in front of them and eventually they will try it also. >> i love what i call weird vegetables. she said she would take the girls when they were little to the farmers market and say take anything you want. you cannot go wrong with fruits and vegetables. >> they are so c

our guess is charlie cook -- >> we are going to leave this and take your life back to the senate working on a package of spending bills, five including the department of treasury, and transportation and housing and urban development. tax assistance program better known as vita by $5,000,000 for the next fiscal year. building upon the success of the tax cut and jobs act, it's important that we take additional steps to ensure that nevada families are fuflly able to realize the benefits of the new tax laws and plax mize their return -- maximize their returns. the program is one way to do that. it offers free tax help to lower ndz middle -- and middle-income taxpayers, those who often need the most by helping them prepare and file those income tax returns. every year the program helps tens of thousands of nevadans, million, of taxpayers nationwide keep more of their hard earned money. as a statistic, in 2015vita sites helped nearly 23,000 nevadans file their returns and process refunds that exceeded $25,000,000. that's why i would urge all my colleagues to join me and senator brown in suppor

james cook, bbc news, turnberry in ayshire. the brother of charlieims of the novichok poisoining in wiltshire, has spoken to the bbc about how the nerve agent came to be in his possession. dawn sturgess died after she and charlie rowley were exposed to the chemical in amesbury last month. our home affairs correspondent danny shaw has more detail. it hasn't been confirmed by the metropolitan police, which is conducting the investigation. the metropolitan police said they had identified the source of the nerve agent. they said it was contained in agent. they said it was contained in a small bottle that was in charlie rowley‘s flat in amesbury in wiltshire. now we have a claim from charlie rowley‘s brother, matthew, who spoke to the bbc and said it was actually a perfume bottle. —— actually a perfume bottle. —— actually in a purview bottle. it appears he told his brother that information and it seems to have been passed on to the police. as i've said, we had no confirmation from the metropolitan police of that information. the met are putting out a lot

and political report editor charlie cook on the outlook for the 2018 elections. be sure to watch c-span's "washington journal" live at 7:00 eastern friday morning. join the discussion. >>> earlier today the senate banking committee held a confirmation hearing for president trump's nominees to lead the consumer financial protection bureau and the export import bank. we will show the hearing tonight starting at 9:00 p.m. eastern on c-span. tomorrow the national governor's association begins its summer meeting in santa fe, new mexico. with discussions about the future of technology, workshops on workforce equity, women in leadership and economic opportunities in the outdoors. live friday, starting at 11:00 a.m. eastern on c-span 2. and saturday the final day of the summer meeting governor wills attend a discussion on collaboration between state and federal governments, as well as the importance of art and history education starting live saturday at 12:15 p.m. eastern on c-span. >>> tonight it is my honor and privilege to announce that i will nominate judge brett kav