and chatham house i do think it's important to say that even again today members of chatham house strenuously denied to our team that there had been any influence by the usa within their think tank. so do you think perhaps david that the reporters rather overplayed that aspect of the story no and i mean this is this is interesting isn't it i mean the the idea that the b.b.c. is invulnerable to pressure is manifestly ridiculous the b.b.c. has been volatile to pressure from powerful institutions organizations from the very beginning their particular claims that we make in the report were very queer very careful not to overemphasize the queen's that make us the case in the b.b.c. but also with with us it was we know that that. produced briefings to target particular officials and chatham house we know that was an attempt to influence the kind of people who were there we don't see that those attempts were successful but we do note that to the people who were targeted no longer have positions they were not making any claim that was a causal relationship between the two those that so we're being ve

and chatham house i do think it's important to say that even again today members of chatham house strenuously denied to our team that there had been any influence by the usa within their think tank. so do you think perhaps david that the reporters rather overplayed that aspect of the story no no not at all i mean this is this is interesting isn't it i mean the the the idea that the b.b.c. is invulnerable to pressure is manifestly ridiculous the b.b.c. has been volatile to pressure from powerful institutions organizations from the very beginning of this particular claims that we make in the report were very clear very careful not to overemphasize the queens that make us the case in the b.b.c. but also with with us we know that that. produced briefings to target particular officials and chatham house we know there was an attempt to influence the kind of people who were there we don't see that those attempts were successful but we do note that to the people who were targeted no longer have positions they were not making any claim that was a causal relationship between the two those that so we're

and chatham house i do think it's important to say that even again today members of chatham house strenuously denied to our team that there had been any influence by the usa within their think tank. so do you think perhaps david that the reporters rather overplayed that aspect of the story no no not at all i mean this is this is interesting isn't it i mean the the idea that the b.b.c. is invulnerable to pressure is manifestly ridiculous the b.b.c. has been volatile to pressure from powerful institutions not recessions from the very beginning of the particular claims that we make in the report were very clear very careful not to overemphasize the queens that make it that's the case in the b.b.c. but also with with us it was we know that that. produced briefings to target particular officials and chatham house we know there was an attempt to influence the kind of people who were there we don't see that those attempts were successful but we do note that to the people who were targeted no longer have positions they were not making any claim that was a causal relationship between the two those tha

may have affected that institute research but chatham house has vigorously denied that it could be affected in that way but the u.a.e. foreign minister is known to have had close contacts with selected u.k. journalists meetings which led the u.a.e. piaf quilla to claim that views changed and the report highlights the ways the two thousand and seventeen blockade against cats are sore the intensification of the us p.r. campaign including bitter criticism of catalyst twenty twenty two world cup the lobbying rules are woefully inadequate it seems to me and explain what the greater safeguards to prevent the sort of influence which seems to have been exerted on the on the british government in the way in which is has been and of course you know some of the only time the consequences have been the growth of islamophobia in this country and we're seeing the expression of that on the streets of britain the report notes that now theresa may is u.k. prime minister abu dhabi's clout has diminished significantly but there seems little to prevent a possible slide backwards the central issue i

and we also bring robin niblett from chatham house.cago on the map that we just brought up. this map is simple, this is the adjacencies to mr. putin's moscow. did nato and the united states fail in pushing nato to far east? john: i do not take that view. nato i think was pulled rather than -- i think nato was pulled rather than nato pushed. george w. bush wanted to push right towards the end of his second term for membership or ukraine. that was probably a push to far, but all of the preceding stuff, poland, hungary come czech republic -- hungary come czech republic -- hungary, czech republic. i would say based on where we are today, thank goodness they joined. francine: does nato still make sense? or does it need to change? john: it is a very fair question -- robin: it is a very fair question. i think nato makes an enormous amount of sense. the u.s. is not replete with real allies across the world. are countries in europe closely linked to the united states, whether it be with this administration or thinking more the long-term. the ir

rotty donations to the think tank chatham house may have affected that institute research but chatham house is vigorously deny that it could be affected in that way but the u.a.e. foreign minister is known to have had close contacts with selected u.k. journalists meetings which led the u.a.e. piaf quilla to claim that views changed and the report highlights the ways the two thousand and seventeen blockade against cats are sore the intensification of the u.s. p.r. campaign including bitter criticism of catalyst twenty twenty two world cup the lobbying rules woefully inadequate it seems to me and the extreme of the greater safeguards to prevent the sort of influence which seems to have been exerted only on the risk of what's in the way which is has been and of course you know some of the only time the consequences have been the growth of islamophobia in this country and we're seeing the expression of that on the streets of britain the report notes that now theresa may is u.k. prime minister abu dhabi's clout has diminished significantly but there seems little to prevent a possible slide

may have affected that institute research but chatham house has vigorously denied that it could be affected in that way but the u.a.e. foreign minister is known to have had close contacts with selected u.k. journalists meetings which led the u.a.e. piaf quilla to claim that views changed. and the report highlights the ways the two thousand and seventeen blockade against katsa saw the intensification of the us p.r. campaign including bitter criticism of catalyst twenty twenty two world cup the lobbying rosell woefully inadequate it seems to me and the greater safeguards to prevent the sort of influence which seems to be exerted on the on the british government in the way in which is has been and of course you know some of the only time the consequences have been the growth of islamophobia in this country and we're seeing the expression of that on the streets of britain the report notes that now theresa may is u.k. prime minister abu dhabi's clout has diminished significantly but there seems little to prevent a possible slide backwards the central issue in all of this is one of tr

may have affected that institute research but chatham house is vigorously deny that it could be affected in that way but the u.a.e. foreign minister is known to have had close contacts with selected u.k. journalists meetings which led the u.a.e. piaf quilla to claim that views changed. and the report highlights the ways the two thousand and seventeen blockade against katsa saw the intensification of the us p.r. campaign including bitter criticism of catalyst twenty twenty two world cup the lobbying rules woefully inadequate it seems to me and the greater safeguards to prevent the sort of influence which seems to be exerted only on the risk of what's in the way which is has been and of course you know some of the only tend to consequences have been the growth of islamophobia in this country and we're seeing the expression of that on the streets of britain the report notes that now theresa may is u.k. prime minister abu dhabi's clout has diminished significantly but there seems little to prevent a possible slide backwards the central issue in all of this is one of transparency whe

may have affected that institute's research but chatham house is vigorously denied that it could be affected in that way but the u.a.e. foreign minister is known to have had close contacts with selected u.k. journalists meetings which led the u.a.e. p.r. firm quilla to claim that views changed and the report highlights the ways the two thousand and seventeen blockade against katsa saw the intensification of the us p.r. campaign including bitter criticism of catalyst twenty twenty two world cup the lobbying rules woefully inadequate it seems to me and explain what the greater safeguards. to prevent the sort of influence which seems to be exerted on the british government in the way in which is has been the only time the consequences have been the growth of islamophobia in this country and we're seeing the expression of that on the streets of britain the report notes that now theresa may is u.k. prime minister abu dhabi's clout has diminished significantly but there seems little to prevent a possible slide backwards the central issue in all of this is one of transparency when does

may have affected that institute's research but chatham house has vigorously denied that it could be affected in that way but the u.a.e. foreign minister is known to have had close contacts with selected u.k. journalists' meetings which led the u.a.e. piaf quilla to claim that views changed. the report highlights the ways the two thousand and seventeen blockade against katsa saw the intensification of the us p.r. campaign including bitter criticism of catalyst twenty twenty two world cup the lobbying rules are woefully inadequate it seems to me and explain what the greater safeguards to prevent the sort of influence which seems to have been exerted only on the british government in the way in which is has been and of course you know some of the only time the consequences have been the growth of islamophobia in this country and we're seeing the expression of that on the streets of britain the report notes that now theresa may is u.k. prime minister abu dhabi's clout has diminished significantly but there seems little to prevent a possible slide backwards the central issue in all of

well funny how cora is a turkey analyst at the international affairs think tank chatham house he joins us live now in the studio thank you so much for being with us so first of all i guess the think the say about the cabinet is that the number would be fewer than sixteen down to twenty seven members but any particular appointments the you will be looking out for the most crucial will be the. check the former deputy prime minister will be appointed in a in a in an economy related role the markets financial markets tend to view him positively he's been absolutely critical in projecting a positive image for turkey among foreign investors so whether he stays in the cabinet and the minister of commerce or not will be viewed closely by markets ok will this also heralds the new ear of turkey if you will that the centralized powers of the president no more prime minister party also controls parliament i mean obviously at the well is a lot more powerful than he has been since he took power back in two thousand and three but i guess all that power also means that he might be blamed for things li

at the university of oklahoma in london we have hate haid a syria consulting research fellow at chatham house and here in doha we're joined by marwan he's a syrian academic and writer welcome to you all meaghan in doha coming to you first what we're talking about in suede it was a suicide mission we haven't seen an eyesore suicide mission for many months how significant is that. i think it is important in my being in but it doesn't represent an existential threat to the syrian regime i think. as it loses more territories in syria whether in the southwest part of the conflict or even in the east of the contrary it will be actually resorting to the sort of tactics that was actually using in iraq especially. during the u.s. occupation of that contrie so most probably we're going to see more of these attacks in fact about as i said before that is not going to be that he presented and the existential threat for the syrian regime because. eisen is being actually confronted by most of the powers who are interested in the syrian conflict that would include the united states russia iran the sunni our

expect from this election is paul malley he's an associate fellow of the africa program at the chatham house think tank here in london thank you very much for taking the time to come in and speak to us we were speaking to our correspondent in mali a little bit earlier and he was saying that voting in bamako has been fairly smooth but that was this incident we were just talking about in the north of the country with mortar shells being fired at a polling station would you say by and large this has been a peaceful election yes by and large this is less trouble more more to fear. the place that was attacked the are going to come because in the middle of the sahara desert and even the place near timbuktu a few ballot boxes disrupted but we're talking about communities where very tiny number of voters live the overwhelming majority of molly ends of had the possibility if they wished to at least take part in a normal election in a normal way and it has to be said turnout in mali is really very high but at least they've had a chance. how might a low turnout impact the done the dynamics here. presid

us now he's been with us this afternoon a syrian columnist in the consulting research fellow at chatham house to talk through some of this do you agree mr hyde that surrender is really what's happened here. exactly and this is not the first time that the regime has been able to impose surrender conditions that will basically prevent locals from having any kind of say over how their areas are run by will but it will also mean that many people will feel unable to go back to those areas as long as the regime continues to be operating. in their areas and their homes what's left for the rebels you know this was one major strategic area obviously in the south bordering other countries not that far from damascus what in syria is left for them. for now it seems that the only place left for them is that region around it live in northern syria and there is another part that is now controlled by kurdish forces but many people don't deal with them as friendly forces so when we talk about rebel forces the only area that is left right now for them is in the north that is now under the protection of turkey

spin watch also quotes a source suggesting that iraqi donations to the think tank chatham house may have affected that institute research but chatham house is vigorously deny that it could be affected in that way but the u.a.e. foreign minister is known to have had close contacts with selected u.k. journalists meetings which led the u.a.e. piaf. to claim that views changed and the report highlights the ways the two thousand and seventeen blockade against cats are sore the intensification of the u.s. p.r. campaign including bitter criticism of catalyst twenty twenty two world cup the lobbying rules woefully inadequate it seems to me and explain what the greater safeguards to prevent the sort of influence which seems to have been exerted only on the risk of what's in the way which is has been and of course you know some of the only time the consequences have been the growth of islamophobia in this country and we're seeing the expression of that on the streets of britain the report notes that now theresa may is u.k. prime minister abu dhabi's clout has diminished significantly but there see

months or a fellow in the middle east and north africa program of the british based think tank chatham housend into her on hamad more so we have professor of political science at howard university welcome to you all. some of discontent over electricity shortages this is not something new in iraq i mean what's particular about this time well this time is different previously. there were so many demonstration previous years talking about. lists mainly about services electricity water and employment and so on at the same time there were some sort of solutions that the government actually made previously which is not actually. looks like actually it's not a it's not capable of solve the whole problems now we have a new think in this demonstration is that not all the people blaming the government but also people are blaming the political parties that are responsible to make the government why are participated in the elections has m.p.'s inside the parliament now this let's say this new thing just to understand how much the people actually get get fed from from all those processes from all the pol

georgina wright is an eu policy expert at london—based think tank, chatham house.g us. lots of trump's supporters will see this as a vindication of his aggressive policy. jean—claude juncker will walk away from this rather pleased with himself? absolutely. there was apprehension over these talks. three hours of talks, constructive. they both said they had reached an agreement of sorts. obviously the eu has accepted to increase the imports of soya beans. and also, lng. in return for that they will have ongoing engagement and dialogue on how they can reduce tariffs, tariff barriers, and all sorts of industrial goods, apart from cars. and also exploring how they can reform the wto and address some of china's trade practices. very encouraging. let's talk about some of the exports they have agreed to. how significant economically is that? is it more political?” how significant economically is that? is it more political? i think so. that? is it more political? i think so. this is like a big area of production for the us and obviously for trump supporters this is a big si

with me is a us economics fellow at chatham house, a think tank based in london. night, bands were out, dinner was a p pa re ntly night, bands were out, dinner was apparently very good. those comments comejust apparently very good. those comments come just before they are going to tuck into the food. how damaging is that interview? very damaging for the special relationship and it adds fuel to the fire for the brexiteers who were quite unhappy. trump puts his finger at a very inconvenient truth, there is a trade—off between regulatory alignment with the eu post brexit and regulatory alignment with the united states in a free trade agreement between the us and the uk. the way he is going about it in this very undiplomatic way is not very helpful. you mentioned regulatory alignment, how much do you think is personal to mrs may, or is it just you think is personal to mrs may, or is itjust his strategy of not particularly liking the eu at the moment and seeing this as a divisive way of saying it is us or them?m could be seen as part of a broader negotiation strategy,

and americas program at the think tank chatham house he doesn't think there will be any meaningful progress in the u.s. u.k. relationship as a result of chum's visit. the question is what business can be done the big item on the agenda is the u.s. u.k. trade deal which of course britain can't begin to go shooting until the terms of attacks at from the european union are settled and the u.s. isn't going to start negotiating in till there is some sort of sense of where u.s. politics are headed so we're talking about next year next year trump might be dealing with a very different congress if years there are likely to give him the legislative support that he need to actually negotiate something so i think the prime minister is right to try to stress the importance of the special relationship i don't think you're going to see any meaningful progress towards any new aspect of that relationship from this visit. chunk flew into london from brussels where he had been attending the nato summit day two was supposed to focus on afghanistan crimea and other pressing international issues but almost inev

at the university of oklahoma in london we have hate haid a syria consulting research fellow at chatham house and here in doha we're joined by marwan he's a syrian academic and writer welcome to you all meaghan in doha coming to you first what we're talking about in suede was a suicide mission we haven't seen an eyesore suicide mission for many months how significant is that. i think it is important in my being in but it doesn't that it presents an existential threat to the syrian regime i think. as it loses more territories in syria whether in the southwest part of the conflict or even in the and the east of the contrary it will be actually resorting to the sort of tactics that was actually using in iraq especially. during the u.s. occupation of that contrie so most probably we're going to see more of these attacks in fact about as i said before that is not going to be representing and the existential threat for the syrian regime because. eisen is being actually confronted by most of the powers who are interested in the syrian conflict that would include the united states russia iran the sun

american program at chatham house, and still with us as patrick armstrong.at to have you on such an important day and an important week. first of all, what do you know about his supreme court pick? conservatism of the supreme court for years to come. >> that is exactly right. all of the candidates that he is looking at will do exactly that. it will create a lot of domestic mobilization. it is galvanizing the american public. it is galvanizing the democratic party. they are getting ready to contest to ever he puts forward. the broader context is is in the lead up to the midterm straight it is the most consequential thank him arguably, that president trump will do with the respect to the future of america, and america's domestic politics and society. represent a deep divide in the polarization of americans, and it is very significant. leslie, even if you look at the midterms, and a very separation of immigrant families arriving in the u.s., we are reading that his goals were going up, so him personally, trump candidate, was doing quite well. leslie: he has don

joining me now is dr leslie vinjamuri, head of the us and the americas programme at chatham house. the university of reading. gary o'donoghue wasjust the university of reading. gary o'donoghue was just saying that what theresa may is out of this visit is just a really good positive work that she can take forward in the months ahead as we head towards brexit. leslie, do you think she will get that from donald trump? visits to the guts to know with this president, butjust the visits to the guts to know with this president, but just the fact that the president is taking to the uk is a recognition that he takes this very seriously. —— it is difficult to know with this president. i suspect he will stick to message while he is here, certainly during his briefing, his public briefing with the prime minister. he takes the uk very seriously. how seriously can the uk taken, mark? that is a very loaded question. ash mac how seriously can the uk take him's? the uk would love us to see him as the primary global relationship. we probably need him at the moment more than he needs the uk. however,

very great for your thoughts on this and your insight take a very callous thing to chuck from chatham house thank you so much to say chunk flew into london from brussels where he had been attending the nato summit day two it was supposed to focus on afghanistan crimea and other pressing international issues but almost inevitably it was largely about trump the u.s. president first threatened to pull out of nato then declared victory and his goal of forcing other member nations to increase their financial contributions and diplomatic editor james bays reports. president trump and isolated. at least how he wanted to be seen at the start of the day's proceedings even chewing away and assistant nato will not forget this day the day a stern looking u.s. president came here with a clear narrative in his mind he created a crisis even hinting he might pull out of the alliance declaring a victory a tremendous progress has been made everyone's agreed to substantially up their commitment they're going to up it at levels that they've never thought of before prior to last year where they attended my firs

do now is continue this with hide hide these syrian columnist and consulting research fellow at chatham house in london good to have you with us does this deal effectively hand back the whole of southwest syria now to the assad regime. well it's not clear what will happen exactly because the regime will definitely have more influence over the area but the details about what they're all of local rebel forces and local people in rolling their areas would be like is still not clear this is one issue the other issue is what will happen on basically areas around can a triangle and highs where the israelis have made clear that the series at least. the iranians are not allowed to send any forces and they basically said that they were to retaliate against any kind of. military presence on those areas so we don't know what might have been their issue here is that there are many spoilers who can easily just. violate the deal and increase their lives it will fail and again in that area this deal is in between the regime of the f.s.a. what about other opposition groups are very all signed a ball well so

yes i mean there were other bits for example there was an allegation in the report about chatham house letting go two of its research fellows as a result of lobbying by the u.a.e. but there are concerns that there wasn't anything specific in the report to make that link directly i wonder whether you fear that might undermine the veracity you know what we said was that the uni through its lobby form was compiling information on people who worked in think tanks who they felt didn't reflect their views and the idea behind it was of course to try and marginalize those people or stop them from being any longer associated with a think tank we don't know what precise things happen but we do know that two people associated with the think tanks are targeted by the reports done by lobbying for no longer work there i don't know if it's a connection of the cuts is going to action of course it would be great to have even more leaks and we. certainly know that that was intended outcome was from the from the east point of view if i can see more important than the specific. things that happened to par

and america's program at chatham house. good to see you.lways appreciate you coming on. >> thank you. >> at this point can you imagine a scenario for a trump/putin followup summit in the new future? what benefit would that serve? >> well, i think it would raise a lot of he questions right now. of course the reaction to this summit was certainly not favorable in washington. it is even not clear that it did much good for the president more generally, although the republicans are obviously staying with him. i think that there is -- when he gets too close to putin, i think there is a bit of a question and certainly americans even republicans i think were skeptical and not pleased to see him seemingly siding with putin overtelligence agencies. but i think especially in light of the current question mark surrounding whether he was at that meeting in june 2016 and the drilling down on this investigation, that it is not a good time really for pressing forward, but nonetheless this president seems tremendously keen to press forward and having other

and america's program at chatham house, also a former member of the security council under president obama. it's good to have you on the show. let's talk about what nic just explained. let's first listen to the national intelligence director dan coats. he has some thoughts on what's explained as an increasing threat when it comes to russia. >> it was in the months prior to september, 2001, when according to then cia director george tenant the system was blinking red. here we are nearly two decades later and i'm here to say the warning lights are blinking red again. >> dan there with a really sobering statement unlike his boss, not shying away from tough talk about russia. the question now, will president trump be as assertive when speaking with the russian leader or will he take a more passive approach from what we've seen and what we can glean from his comments. >> so we've really seen some schizophrenia within the u.s. administration, and that's what should bother people the most. in the first instance we have president trump who's claiming that his meetings with theresa may are go

and american program at the think tank chatham house thanks very much for coming into al-jazeera is then billed as a working visit but sort of judging by the tenor of his the ways approached nato in the ways talking about tariffs you don't get the feeling he's come here ready to talk business with theresa may bring really the feeling that he wants it to look like a state visit and it kind of is in all but name isn't it it is i think the pomp and circumstance the fact that he's meeting the queen i don't think there's a real meaningful distinction between this and a proper state visit except in terms of the nuances of diplomatic protocol but the question is what business can be done the big item on the agenda is the u.s. u.k. trade deal which of course britain can't begin negotiating until the terms of attacks from the european union are settled and the u.s. isn't going to start negotiating in till there is some sort of sense of where u.s. politics are headed so we're talking about next year next year trump might be dealing with a very different congress if years there are likely to give h

this conversation now with hide hide he's a syrian columnist and a consulting research fellow at chatham house joins us now live from london first of all how much of a game is this for for the regime how much of a setback for the rebels. it's a it's a big game for the regime because it doesn't only allowed it to extend its authority over big chunk of rebel controlled areas but it also allows it to control the main border with jordan which will restore some sort of relations with jordan and i love that hume to generate financial driven us from from the trade that we're expected to go through the venue as for the opposition in that part of syria. there will be and at least at least until now that the details of what will happen exactly there are still not clear but that the regime will to a certain extent have more dominance and author if you will for that region which means that the opposition will not be able to control at least alone any of syria which leaves orderly one pocket that is still controlled by rebel forces and in northern syria and another one that is controlled by kurdish led for

responses we get there in the meantime rid of months over with us on skype from london a fellow it chatham house and always good to talk to your hyper haven't taken you away from the football will be perhaps tell me then about these protests because they have been boiling for a number of years really when you think about it at a lower level what is it that's brought up to the surface so much in the last week or so. yes certainly you're right it's usually around this time of the year you know when the temperatures are so high and hot that what citizens kind of need a bit more electricity a bit more want are that the everyday boils you know one could say to do these type of frustrations and says to the other pretty good team particularly you've seen this protest movement although it's a big decentralized there is a protest movement that has continued to protest every friday since that point and every summer it's become bigger and bigger now this time it seems to be even more significant than previous summers and i think a lot of it has to do with the elections that we just had an iraq in may so on

more on this joining us live in the studio is alex vines who's the head of the africa program and chatham house here in london mr vines welcome to the program was just describing there's no end of issues across the continent in the region in western africa as a whole itself is the african union equipped to deal with all these problems now it's not equipped to do deal with all of them it can help in mediation it certainly has an ambition in terms of getting better prosperity across the continent i think some of the progress that we will have coming out of the final communique from the summit about the continental free trade agreement and the african countries that signed up to that first in march this year but now we're almost fifty countries out of fifty five that's a positive but on the security in the sahil i think it's probably pretty grim from what we're saying it's one of the reasons why mr mccrum the president of france is going to new york a shot because that's an urgent priority but. africa's partners there is talk of not enough international help but france does have thousands of soldi

fellow at chatham house. happy to have you on the program. let's talk about the mystic u.s.on and how this could influence trump's policy. do you see free-trade republicans raining in trump on his tariffs? d.c. that as a possibility? guest: that's the big question, especially into midterm elections. in theory, they could rein in trump because in theory, congress has the authority to do that. they could now take that control back. to some extent, there is republican free traders that have taken steps to introduce a bill to rein in trump on the ability to impose tariffs for national security. however, republican leadership is an interesting in advancing this bill because they are aware the republican base and voters are more in line with trump on trade than the traditional free-trade orthodox. anna: this might go through the mind of the chinese as they are wondering where to plant these retaliatory tariffs that they talked about this morning, but given us no timescale on. they are mindful of hurting kentucky, wisconsin, the places trump has a lot of support. whether playing wi

at the university of oklahoma in london we have hate haid a syria consulting research fellow at chatham house and here in doha we're joined by marwan he's a syrian academic and writer welcome to you all meaghan in doha coming to you first what we're talking about in suede it was a suicide mission we haven't seen an eyesore suicide mission for many months how significant is that. i think this is important in my being in but it doesn't that it presents an existential threat to the syrian regime i think. as it loses monetary authorities in syria whether in the southwest part of the conflict or even in the east of the contrary it will be actually resorting to the sort of tactics that it was actually using in iraq especially. during the u.s. occupation of that contrie so most probably we're going to see more of these attacks in fact about as i said before that is not going to be representing and the existential threat for the syrian regime because. eisen is being actually confronted by most of the powers who are interested in the syrian conflict that would include the united states russia iran the

has a bit farcical or it's a pleasure talking to iran i'd always informative and i'm not so from chatham house joining us today. if you want to get in touch with us lee mentioned before hash tag is a.j. news grid on whichever platform you choose to get in touch with us you can use that a.j. english on twitter a few light replies to the thread there and we're looking for your responses with the hashtag you can tweet me directly as well at kemal and a.j. you can hop on the live stream at facebook dot com slash zero to watch in comment as you go again keeping an eye on there and that number plus nine seven four five zero one triple one four nine covers you on whatsapp and telegram if you want to get in touch with us directly we're moving on now israel has reportedly accepted in egyptian brokered cease fire with hamas after the latest round of violence in gaza at least two palestinian teenagers were killed by israeli airstrikes on saturday after israel launched what it called the most powerful daytime attack on gaza since the war in twenty fourteen the strikes are in response to border protests an

we are honored to bring in marianne schneider-petsinger from chatham house, focused on the geo-economicsnd david bloom with us with hsbc as well. marianne, let me begin with you. what is the future of trade? marianne: i think president trump has made it clear he is interested in bilateral agreements. there is obviously the question whether there is room for negotiation with the european union. that is a bilateral deal. the trump administration has also made it clear they do not see as such, they view it as a multilateral deal. the future open. on the other hand, we are seeing other countries moving ahead. the european union just negotiated a trade deal with japan. they are interested in trade deals with australia and new , thend, this week remaining countries of the trans-pacific partnership are meeting to expand and discuss and bring in other countries into the agreement. american just an ugly and i just talk about angela merkel and emmanuel macron, but there is another europe out there. can finland or poland or portugal, and they go bilateral? i do not understand that. don't they must

francine: thank you very much, jacob parakilas of chatham house.k a lot more about this. peter westmacott is coming up about 45 minutes from now. there trying to follow president's visit to the u.k. from all angles. the muchhere was controversial inflatable trump baby put up in the houses of parliament. some say it is disrespectful to a democratically elected ally to the u.k. alone --t's go flying fly a balloon ♪ francine: this is bloomberg. ♪ taylor: this is "bloomberg surveillance." has ordered. louis johnson & johnson to pay billions of dollars to women who company's health products caused them to develop ovarian cancer. the company says it will appeal. walmart is considering a major change in its branded credit card business. bloomberg has learned the world's largest retailer may move its partnership from synchrony to capital one. negotiation's are still going on. private-label credit cards are a lucrative business for banks and retailers that want to monetize a cardholder's loyalty to a store or brand. more problems for don scathing, which fac

advisor to president barack obama, and marianne schneider—petsinger, a fellow of the us programme at chatham househis is helpful at the beginning of a trip to the uk? his comments on brexit? his comments on everything. sadiq khan, no trade deal, so much to get into. everyone was prepared for it to be unpredictable, for him to be unpredictable. i think this is very much in the tradition of trump's presidency. i think he was looking forward to establishing the beginnings of a free—trade deal with the prime minister, but her white paper has come out and it doesn't look like it is very likely he will be able to do that. so i think he was disappointed they could not further that along in the process. inge, did he go about it the right way? i don't know, buti inge, did he go about it the right way? i don't know, but i can tell you donald trump is the world's worst guest. he arrives late, he insults the host, he makes fun of the guests. it is sort of a shocking amount of behaviour we have seen for americans like me and for my fellow americans like me and for my fellow americans overseas, it is something

joining me now is dr leslie vinjamuri, head of the us and the americas programme at chatham house. obama‘s agenda. he has taken a different line and is using different line and is using different language. the message is not necessarily dissimilar, but in these two days, he has taken a hard line. yesterday he said 4%, which is more than america spends as a percentage of its own gdp on defence, which was something i think really shocked america‘s nato partners and unsettled them. and mark, he was talking about the us contributing somewhere between 70 and 90% of the nato budget. here‘s some way off the mark there, isn‘t he? he is the master of exaggeration. when anita was set up it was largely an american creation, coming off the back of the second world war when europe was in ruins. so there has always been an overspend by the us. but this will play well with his supporters at home, wanted? absolutely, this is the story he wants them to believe. the us probably spent something like 3.5% of its gdp on defence, but a large chunk is aimed at the pacific and has nothing to do with nato.

drjacob parakilas, who is the deputy head of the us & americas programme at the security think—tank, chatham housextraordinary we are sitting here and referring to germany as a perceived opponent of the president of the united states, just a sign of how quickly things have changed in the last 18 months of this very unusual presidency. trump of course has been accused of numerous contacts has been accused of numerous co nta cts of has been accused of numerous contacts of collusion with the russians as part of the 2016 campaign. he has made a habit of accusing the democrats of the us, his opposition, of being the true party of collusion and he is now extending that germany. that is not to absolve germany necessarily of any kind of russian influence or any kind of improper dealings, but the point of what trump is doing is not about the truth of the allegations. that is not about making a point it is about being seen to be on the fence, and —— on the offence, those that have not contributed to their own defence. what impact do you expect these comments to have? they'll be interesting to see how far he

this is the head of the us programme at chatham house.re controversial than this? controversialist. there is nothing more controversial than this7m controversialist. there is nothing more controversial than this? it is not what we expected. we thought this might happen after he had left which is more customary of this president. to make it on prior and to take theresa may so hard and strong on such a fundamental issue right now. it is really trade and the prospect of the us uk trade deal which is at the top of the agenda and the president has come out and said very clearly that it is not happening. it is not the kind of brexit that i want. it will not make it easy for america. these conversations will be remarkably tough and that press conference will be something to watch. do you buy what he tells those about his emotional connection with the uk? his mother was born here, his golf course is here, he is fixated on what the uk is doing. is this america first, that there is something specific that he wants out of brecht brexit? it is both.

dr patricia lewis from the foreign affairs think tank chatham house, also with us dr eleanor bindmanmething that president trump has wanted since he took office. they will be alone except for their interpreters. no one is sure what they will say. john bolton has been ahead of time, the national—security expert. he will be making sure, i'd think, that security is very high on the agenda. i wonder if the indictment of the 12 russian nationals as part of the fbi investigation of russian interference in the election changes the tone of this meeting.” interference in the election changes the tone of this meeting. i think it does to some extent. it is very embarrassing for president trump because a number of his aides and people close to his campaign had been indicated in that. however, because it is embarrassing for him, it may make it less likely to be on the agenda. they did not pre—release the agenda. they did not pre—release the agenda. they did not pre—release the agenda so it is quite difficult to guess what they will be talking about. shall we have a guess? syria, novichok in wilts

now the joining me now is dr patricia lewis, a research director for international security at chatham housebury have exposed to? that is a reasonable assumption to? that is a reasonable assumption to make, i think, given the location and the fact that we know very little about novichoks, but we know asa little about novichoks, but we know as a nerve little about novichoks, but we know as a nerve agent and because of its molecular structure, it is likely to be stable over a long period. it can be stable over a long period. it can be washed away, it can be swept away, but if it is inside a container or some kind of receptacle, then it could remain sta ble receptacle, then it could remain stable for an indefinite period of time. and it does seem, one working assumption is that perhaps whoever attacked the skripals had simply discarded this novichok in salisbury after the attack. i mean, it may have been left there as the attack was being prepared, but more likely discarded afterwards, and ben wallace the security minister was saying how reckless that would have been, just to throw away some no