actually transcend what is usually seen in the international community and i think a run from chatham house we still managed to come back and talk about donald trump in america didn't wait but it's just the way the horror of those days matthew from chatham house thank you this is the news good if you want to us on facebook lied about to find out how wildfires can actually create their own weather system that is for my friends and i jack plus and then later rescued from a prostitution ring police press premier league doesn't go from a private shelter in india raising questions about government policy. hello there we're still seeing plenty of wet weather across the black sea and the caspian sea we look at the satellite picture we can see a great deal of cloud just a few bits and pieces of gray cloud that's indicating that most of the cloud here is low cloud but it's still giving us some rather violent storms so a few showers during the day on wednesday but i think it's looking wetter for thursday some of us here particularly in the northern parts of turkey are looking at some very heavy rain

story we're joined in the studio by knox she was an associate fellow of the africa program at chatham house thank you so much for joining us here on al-jazeera we were hearing there and care correspondent about what's going on sort of in harare now you've obviously been watching developments from from the u.k. and the growing tensions what's your interpretation of it now and how how much danger do you think we are of seeing an escalation this is clearly a high tension moment as we're seeing and the longer it's going to be a very long night across the people wait for the result of the presidential which hopefully will come tomorrow but even then once the results are announced regardless of who wins there's also the risk them off how will winning side take it how will the inside take it so i think there's a real concern about what what happens in the next day or two with regard to i mean we were hearing as well from haro the there were hundreds of. servers are international observers in zimbabwe and even from before people are saying well it may not be free and fair but it would be better tha

russian international affairs council and in london they're consulting a research fellow on syria chatham house welcome to you all these seem to be quite significant moment in syria. do you think that a final push to recover. is just a matter of days or weeks diplomacy is working right now with the negotiation also with the militant but the question is whether their friends will start or to see the summit in that iran which is going to be next week and that iran. this is the gift and this might lead to. i could say diplomacy might be too late but i think there is some strategic points which is really want to get back to.

our guest joining us in london charo a lot to hog an associate fellow of asia pacific program at chatham house in colombo via skype omar waraich deputy south asia director at amnesty international and also in london david bergman a journalist who was formerly based in bangladesh for thirteen years welcome to you all charu i want to start with you today look many have said that these protests are about far more than just road safety or traffic what in your view are the issues that led to these demonstrations. i think the fact remains that they said being deceived by an idea that dissent has been suppressed for too long a questioning of the government is something that is not being tolerated and let's bear in mind that its board. its all factions all political parties across the board currently we have the army leak we is trying to bring in what is called the digital think killer t. act are hugely the cornea piece of legislation which would seek to suppress and undermine the media so i think with this a third of widespread protests by students in the light of a lot that is going on within the co

our guest joining us in london charo lot to haugan associate fellow of asia pacific program at chatham house in colombo via skype omar waraich deputy south asia director at amnesty international and also in london david bergman a journalist who was formerly based in bangladesh for thirteen years welcome to you all charu i want to start with you today look many have said that these protests are about far more than just road safety or traffic what in your view are the issues that led to these demonstrations. i think the fact remains that the obama base has been besieged by an idea that dissent has been suppressed for too long a questioning of the government is something that is not being tolerated and let's bear in mind that it's both sides it's it's all factions all political parties across the board currently we have the army leak we is trying to bring in what is called the digital think killer t. act are hugely the cornea piece of legislation which would seek to suppress and undermine the media so i think with all this a threat of widespread protests by students in the light of a lot that i

exports to europe however the building of the pipeline could take some time and that poor from chatham house thank you so much for coming in and speaking to us today thank you. ok here are some of conflict in libya especially in its so-called oil crescents have impacted on the country's power generation and the areas live in total blackouts for long hours and constant electricity outages are affecting the economy. reports from tripoli. mohammed chick shook's a butcher shop struggles with power cuts he says his business is only decline because his fridges don't keep the meat as cold as they used to and the changing power levels have ruined his equipment in many cases power switches blow up by a sudden voltage current form you know we we find spoiled meat in the fridges every day even though we use power generators when the electricity goes off at night for several hours we also pay a lot of money to menton our ruined machines. generators have become a grown trade but they are taking a toll on the environment and people's pockets to all these shops use power generators to run their businesses

from chatham house thank you you thank. the macross czech republic of congo opposition leader and former rebel commander is back home after serving ten years in jail for war crimes he was welcomed by sounds of supporters of the air force and on the roads of contrasts and what was freed from jail in the netherlands after a successful appeal of the international criminal court in the hague he now wants to run in the summer selections aspirants who has been following events in the capital. the highlight for many people today was when john pierre bemba peered through the window at the sparky headquarters and he was there for about fifteen minutes with his wife waving at the hundreds of supporters who were here to welcome him in the town people went into a frenzy singing his praises and chanting remember for president member for president saying that he is the only candidate he is the only leader who can provide the change of leadership that this country needs are very dramatic scenes from the airport to this place he was this c

russian international affairs council and in london they're consulting a research fellow on syria chatham house welcome to you all these seem to be quite significant moment in syria. do you think that a final push to recover. is just a matter of days or weeks diplomacy is working right now with the negotiation also with the militant but the question is whether their friends will start or to see the summit in that iran which is going to be next week and that iran. this is the gift and this might lead to. i could say diplomacy might be too late but i think there is some strategic points which is really want to get back to. just a short south. and the merely the highways the ought to start in five and four these are very strategic for him so it's highly likely we might see a very limited attack getting this area back and you might give some concession with the end the standing with. meeting i think to get this sent over. the border with this either of course. but it's highly likely we might see some attacks or some of the launching some of. which i mention alexei when you see the naval the russian

states institute of peace and in london i met sally mann a researcher in the africa program at chatham house welcome to you all now ali i want to start with you sunday's deal is just the latest ceasefire it's the latest power sharing agreement what makes it different this time any hope that it will last. i think it's first important to know that this isn't the final deal even though it's been reported that way there will still be subsequent negotiations on security matters the second point to make is that this deal does not repeal the earlier twenty fifteen peace agreement that you mentioned earlier that is still in effect but it's not clear what exactly will be implemented from that and what will be implemented from this agreement and how one selects between those things the third is that it sets a very long time table for actual implementation and so in these eight months that are being talked about a lot could happen a lot could change there is also a limitation because not everyone who is fighting has been involved in the process in khartoum and not everyone who signed yesterday appears

is itself disputed we will discuss that in more detail in half an hour or so for the moment dr chatham house thank you thank you and as you've been hearing we have just been bringing you the latest from zimbabwe will bring you more on all developments and still of course waiting for those results for the presidential elections to come so do stay with us here on al-jazeera coming up next inside story i'll see it half an hour by. i've. tested against a long running problem of. puce so what can be done to stop violence against women not just in africa but around the world this is inside story. hello and welcome to the program today with me thousands of women have marched across south africa against gender based violence the demonstrations were organized by a campaign called total shut down south africa has one of the highest rates of violence against women last year alone around seventy thousand women both victims of sexual assault now protest as a calling on the government to take action across generational action if young men are to understand how to behave before we bring in our guests malco

african issues and affairs and also in london alex vines who's the head of the africa program at chatham house welcome to all of my guests robin i'll start with you because we heard what an opposition m.p. is thinking and saying and feeling in the capital that you come from this evening how much concern is that amongst the public and on social media about what's going on. thank you for having me there really is the man wouldn't come but i like the owner m.p. has say it's really tense ugandans were shaken yesterday seeing images of will be one who could hardly walk but himself he was i'm glad chair and for a whole week we've been looking at images of another empty voice own are in hospital and it's been our life support so that the money is ready to have him people or really afraid of what future we will have elections it's a do or die indeed those elections twenty twenty one just to see let me bring you in from london i mean how much of a threat can a songwriter singer x. rapper really be here's a shocker isn't this so here is i think in context this is really not new seven has been in power f

states institute of peace and in london i met sally mann a researcher in the africa program at chatham house welcome to you all now ali i want to start with you sunday's deal is just the latest cease fire it's the latest power sharing agreement what makes it different this time any hope that it will last i think it's first important to know that this isn't the final deal even though it's been reported that way there will still be subsequent negotiations on security masses the second point to make is that this deal does not repeal the earlier twenty fifteen peace agreement that you mentioned earlier that is still in effect but it's not clear what exactly will be implemented and what will be implemented from this agreement and how one selects between those things the third is that it sets a very long time table for actual implementation and so in these eight months that are being talked about a lot could happen a lot could change there is also a limitation because not everyone who's fighting has been involved in the process in khartoum and not everyone who signed yesterday appears to be fully

our panel joining us in moscow stanislav pridgen an analyst at the russia and eurasia program at chatham house in tehran for it is that a professor of world studies at the university of tehran and in london will it give or he in a country risk analyst at the firm i.h.s. market welcome to you all sound as well let me start with you the dispute over the caspian sea has been going on for decades what is the political calculus that led to this why is this happening now. i think it was enough time to finally agree the key principles and the mission isn't for cooperation in the region and especially in circumstances when the nuclear diri iran in the year is under question after withdrawal of the united states from these from these agreement it was extremely important to show for regional cooperation that iranian neighbors are ready to support this country in such difficult circumstances so we can see that this it was enough time for cut for negotiations and this is a good political time to to sign this agreement finally for what has to happen now i mean there's very few details as far as what this a

our guest joining us in london charo a lot to hog an associate fellow of asia pacific program at chatham house in colombo via skype omar waraich deputy south asia director at amnesty international and also in london david bergman a journalist who was formerly based in bangladesh for thirteen years welcome to you all charu i want to start with you today look many have said that these protests are about far more than just road safety or traffic what in your view are the issues that led to these demonstrations. i think the fact remains that the obama base has been besieged by an idea that dissent has been suppressed for too long a questioning of the government is something that is not being tolerated and let's bear in mind that it's both sides it's it's all factions all political parties across the board currently we have the army leak we is trying to bring in what is called the digital think killer t. act are hugely the cornea piece of legislation which would seek to suppress and undermine the media so i think with this a sort of widespread protests by students in the light of a lot that is goin

and america's program at chatham house good morning to you. i want to start off by asking the question on everyone's mind today. whether or not the president is implicated from this directly. the lawyer for mr. cohen said if those payments were a crime for michael cohen, why wouldn't they be a crime for donald trump? what is your take? >> well, the charging document for cohen doesn't specify trump as a co-conspirator, he's not named but clearly indicated, individual one to be president of the united states that doesn't leave a lot to the imagination. the issue is more what cohen said in court under oath that he was directed to make the payments by the president and for the purpose of preventing the release of information which could damage his electoral prospects in the election that was a few days away at that point. that's easy to interpret as a commission of a crime or conspiracy to commit a violation of federal electoral law the tricky part is that the department of justice long held that the president, while in office, cannot be charged w

vinjamuri, leslie: & americas programme, chatham house. -- i wouldian: hesitate to jump back in. this is a positive what i expected in the crisis. that is the thing that gets investors concerned. see howntly, we need to the next few days plays out. nejra: the fault lines in emerging markets, you need to be selective about where you go. absolutely. we have been pursuing that policy for some time. we have been uneasy in certain developing markets, particularly in russia, south africa, from latin american markets. we have been favoring the asian markets who are in a stronger position. focus on ant to geopolitical aspect, one part of the turkey story. we have the top national security from the united states, john bolton, saying the united states has nothing further to negotiate until the detained american pastor is freed. will either side back down? julian: we are looking at two tough leaders. this attracted president trump to erdogan, he wanted to a friend him, and was the first to call him in the successful referendum, but now things have turned, and that stubbornness, that toughne

leslie vinjamuri of chatham house was with us earlier.on about pulling out of the wto was one of the more extraordinary things. explain what the president would have to gain in terms of public opinion from a threat like this. i understand when he says things about china, about cars, but the wto? he suggested that nato might be something he might pull out of and did not do that. he said he might pull out of the paris accord and he did. is an obscure wto thing to most people and to the electorate. what he is saying is he is going to fight for what he believes in when it comes to unfair trade. it does remain to be seen whether he would do that. the wto provides the global framework for resolving trade disputes. if we were to pull out, what would be left? a bilateral, country by country fight which i do not think anybody wants. it is rhetoric to strengthen his base but i do not think you have to take it seriously. nejra: up to this point, it seems like the u.s. and you were making -- and e.u. were making progress when it comes to car --race a

panel joining us in moscow stanislav princeton an analyst at the russia and eurasia program at chatham house in tehran for it is out a professor of world studies at the university of tehran and in london will it give or again a country risk analyst at the firm i.h.s. market welcome to you all sound as well let me start with you the dispute over the caspian sea has been going on for decades what is the political calculus that led to this why is this happening now. i think it was enough time to finally agree the key principles and the mission even for cooperation in the region and especially in circumstances when the nuclear diri iran in the year is under question after the withdrawal of the united states from these of from this agreement it was extremely important to show for regional cooperation that iranian neighbors are ready to support this country in such difficult circumstances so we can see that this it was enough time for cut for negotiations and this is a good political time to to sign this agreement finally forward what has to happen now i mean there's very few details as far as wha

panel joining us in moscow stanislav christian an analyst at the russia and eurasia program at chatham house in tehran for it is that a professor of world studies at the university of tehran and in london will it give or he in a country risk analyst at the firm i.h.s. market welcome to you all sound as well let me start with you the dispute over the caspian sea has been going on for decades what is the political calculus that led to this why is this happening now. i think it was enough time to finally agree the key principles and the mission is in for cooperation in the region and especially in circumstances when the nuclear dearie iran in the year is under question after withdrawal of the united states from these from these agreement it was extremely important to show for regional cooperation that iranian neighbors are ready to support this country in such difficult circumstances so we can see that this it was enough time for cut for negotiations and this is a good political time to to sign this agreement finally for what has to happen now i mean there's very few details as far as what this

african issues and affairs and also in london alex vines who's the head of the africa program at chatham house welcome to all of my guests robin i'll start with you because we heard what an opposition m.p. is thinking and saying and feeling in the capital that you come from this evening how much concern is that amongst the public and on social media about what's going on. thank you for having me there really isn't wouldn't come but i like that on our m.p. has say it's really tense ugandans where shekinah yesterday seeing images of probably one who could hardly walk but himself he was i'm glad chair and for a whole week we've been looking at images of another empty voice own are in hospital and it's been our life support so that the money is really a chance in people or really afraid of what future will have elections it's a do or die indeed those elections twenty twenty one just to see let me bring you in from london i mean how much of a threat can a songwriter singer x. rapper really be here's a shocker isn't this so here is i think in context this is really not new seven has been in power fo

territory in a red that's not speak to high tide in paris via skype he's a syria researcher at chatham house thank you very much for being with us we've seen a wave of s. strikes and shelling this month in italy possible possibly rather pay you to a full scale government offensive there but a number of countries including turkey are very wary about a full scale battle in italy do you think you know a military offensive can be averted at this stage well this is what everyone is looking to do it goes on. and to negotiations for the order. really well he's going through and. this is why they have not been able to reach any kind of agreement on this is why. there has been orderly. that has not been there is the. right people on the ground don't know what will. this is why everyone is just waiting to see what would happen there as you say they've been they've been differences even between pro-government on eyes about what happens next in italy where do they differ exactly and if there is a final push what allies which countries do you think are likely to get involved. well so far and previous of.

african issues and affairs and also in london alex vines who's the head of the africa program at chatham house welcome to all of my guests. but i'll start with you because we heard what an opposition m.p. is thinking and saying and feeling in the capital that you come from this evening how much concern is that amongst the public and on social media about what's going on. thank you for having me there really isn't what didn't come but i like that on our m.p. has say it's really tense ugandans were shaken yesterday seeing images of bobby one who could hardly walk but himself he was i'm glad chair and for a whole week we've been looking at images of another m.p. voice own are in hospital and it's been our life support so that the money is really to have him people or really afraid of what future will have elections it's a do or die indeed those elections twenty twenty one just to see let me bring you in from london i mean how much of a threat can a songwriter singer x. rapper really be here's a shocker isn't this so here is i think in context this is really not new seven has been in power for thi

geoeconomics fellow at chatham house. let's take a look at the big movers in this down market. eighth distinctly -- a distinctly turkish same. pnmarie: i'm looking at bnp arribas. these banks are exposed to turkey. also the report in the financial times that the ecb is said to be concerned about their exposure. the ecb saying they don't see that situation critical yet, but concern that these turkish borrowers may not be ahead of this week is in the lira. said before, steve is one of the few to profit on that subprime mortgage crisis. he spoke to bloomberg tv just last week about his bets on turkey. we do about the tape. >> there turkey, which everybody knows about. this is not a systemic problem, but there are two banks in europe that have a fairly large exposure to turkey. those would be bbva and unicredit. annmarie: fairly large is right. bbva owns over half. unicredit earns about 40% of another turkish bank. much.thanks very we are going to keep an eye on those assets and everything related to turkey. joining us now from ingres -- anchora. the lira taking a battering. what i

we are joined by marion petting her, chatham house and still with us david riley. se, and so with us, david riley. there anything china can offer the u.s. that they have not already? what thenot clear trump administration has tried to get from china. out whatficult to make the administration might be willing to accept. president trump is focused on reducing the trade deficit with china. he hasother hand, pointed toward the 2025 strategy which is nonnegotiable. he has also pointed toward anti-trade practices by the chinese, intellectual property theft. he has a point. instead of working with allies, like the canadians, what he is doing is pushing the chinese and europeans and other allies against a wall by seeking multiple trade wars. francine: china has promised to accelerate reforms. will be trump administration see that as a u.s. when? -- will be trump administration see that as a u.s. win? group of chinese negotiators traveling to washington interested at striking a deal. that is unlikely to happen. if you look back at the may agreement by secretary mnuchin and t

tojeffrey koffman a former correspondent for the abc network, and jacob parakilas from the think tank chatham housen, with those obscene comments on the bus we thought, this is it, he will fall. family times have we said that and wondered that. this is a serious one but you cannot underestimate his survival ability, he does not follow traditional norms, the kind of things that he has done and what we have seen this week would have brought down george bush, barack obama... he seems impervious. but certainly this is the most serious problem he has had in his presidency. i think what we had to see is how this impacts the mid—term elections that are coming up, do the republicans lose control of the house, and if so, what is the impact on him? jacob, on that, trump seeming impervious, he has said, i have always had controversy in my life and i have always won. is this different, members of the inner circle talking in the way they are, not just any members circle talking in the way they are, notjust any members but a lawyer, who has apparently got detailed notes of what happened? two points on that, in t

and georgina wright, from the europe programme at independent policy institute chatham house. preparation papers?m is part of the preparation the government should be doing that i think it is more about the state of the conservative party than the state of the negotiations. there is already plenty of information the eu has provided pretty clearly about what no deal means. this is going to be the uk equivalent, it will show that they are thinking about it but i don‘t think it is a serious negotiating move. ithink i don‘t think it is a serious negotiating move. i think it is more to say to the conservative party, we are preparing for every eventuality, we are not there to have a deal at any price. jonathan, do you think this is part of the deal process, looking like we‘re possibly getting ready for not having a deal, to ge things along? it is a bit like holding a gun to his head and saying, do you think i am crazy for doing this? what happens if he actually does do it? it is that crazy. first of all if you're planning to leave without a deal you should have issued these notices

pension money during the chris christie administration and actually, anthony, the head of chatham, attended the white househ david pecker at one point. so the question as to what chatham, what interests they would have had in this, and whether they would have had any curiosity about how the editorial process was being run in terms of the political slant is a really interesting one. and i don't know what exactly the benefit would be bust they're the money behind a.m.i. >> if that ends up being relevant to this story, that story will be told to federal prosecutors if in fact mr. pecker is operating under immunity. a really interesting scoop tonight, jeff, thanks for being here. congratulations on this. >> you're welcome. >> and while i was talking to him, we have more breaking news. concerning a new potential prosecution. it is kind of a big stack. we've just had some news broken in the "new york times." we'll have it for you right after this break. we'll be right back. and tank. and tiny. and this is laura's mobile dog grooming palace. laura can clean up a retriever that rolled in foxtails, but she's not mu

money during the christie administration and actually, anthony melchoire the head of chatham attended the white house at one point with david pecker. a question as to what chamt, what interest they would have had in this and whether they would have had any curiosity how the editorial process was being run in terms of a political slant is an interesting one. i don't know what the benefit would be but definitely they're the money behind ami. >> and if that ends up being relevant to the story, that story will now be told to federal prosecutors if mr. peck ser cooperating under a promise of immunity. jeff horowitz with the "associated press" with an interesting scoop tonight. congratulations on this. >> you're welcome. >>> all right. and actually while i was talking to mr. horowitz, we have more breaking news. concerning a new potential prosecution. it's kind of a big stack. we've had some news broken in the "new york times." we will have it for you right after this break. we'll be right back. let's be ho, nobody likes dealing with insurance. which is why esurance hired me, dennis quaid, as their spokesp