let's welcome in chris chrisante. happy new year, chris. welcome. >> reporter: hey, kelly, nice to be with you again. happy new year >> i want to drill down into this trading action, cwhich i apologize for doing so, because i know you're a big picture thinker, but this is ugly. what do you make of it >> i think we'll have a tough first quarter. yeah, i'll get constructive when the fed stops hiking, but the fed will stop hiking for all the wrong reasons in the sense that earnings will start to slow. i think there'll be evidence that the fed no longer needs to hike, because things are really slowing down and i think that's going to happen a bit faster than consensus. and i think the market's starting to look ahead, not worry so much about inflation, and start worrying about corporate earnings >> right so, you know, this puts us back into the old conundrum, which is, the two things people say are, well, the fed can't stop hiking because inflation is so high, and they can't stop hiking because the labor market data is what it is but they're say