csis, he's staff of the national security council from 2001 through to 2005. first is the direct when i met him for the first time and then as special assistant to the president of the national security and senior director for asia. connolly, also on my right, is senior vice president to europe, yo europe asia and director of project from 2001-2005 she was deputy assistant secretary of state in the bureau for european and -- john, on my left, senior vice president, another senior vice president holds the chair labeled security and his director of the middle east program here at csis. before joining csis, he was member of policy planning star at the u.s. department of states. and final senior vice president is hicks, henry kiss sinjer, hee previously, principle deputy under secretary policy, the department of defense and also served as deputy and secretary of defense, the strategy plans to enforce it. we've got a terrific line up and look forward to hearing it. >> okay. we're still using the hand mike. thank you, congratulations on launching this project. we'll

csis, he's staff of the national security council from 2001 through to 2005. first is the direct when i met him for the first time and then as special assistant to the president of the national security and senior director for asia. connolly, also on my right, is senior vice president to europe, yo europe asia and director of project from 2001-2005 she was deputy assistant secretary of state in the bureau for european and -- john, on my left, senior vice president, another senior vice president holds the chair labeled security and his director of the middle east program here at csis. before joining csis, he was member of policy planning star at the u.s. department of states. and final senior vice president is hicks, henry kiss sinjer, hee previously, principle deputy under secretary policy, the department of defense and also served as deputy and secretary of defense, the strategy plans to enforce it. we've got a terrific line up and look forward to hearing it. >> okay. we're still using the hand mike. thank you, congratulations on launching this project. we'll

i want to thank csis for hosting this important conference and commend deputy secretary of defense. in their leadership and hard work. i want to speak about innovation in all the dimensions. there's no other military that is stronger, more experienced, innovative. that's where our military edge is second to none. it's a fact every american ought to be proud of. but it's also a fact that our military's excellence isn't a birthright. it's not guaranteed. we can't take it for granted in the 21st century. we have to earn it. again and again. right now it's imperative we do so. we live in a relentlessly changing and fiercely competitive world. there's the faster pace of change which sets up a fierce competition between the present and the future. competition with other nations, not only with us but also with each other. and competition with terrorists and other malefactors for whom we are the game to beat if they can, even if only at one place and one time. technology is one example of such change and competition that many of us have long been familiar with. when i began my own career in

allow me to begin by thanking the csis chairman, john hamre csis president and ceo as well as my partner, john hess who is also a member of the board of trustees and to talk to an old friend, sarah for facilitating this visit. after my opening remarks i intend to invite mike colleague from our energy strategy department to take us through some of the key findings from our oil outlook which was just released last month at the abu dhabi conference. let me say we are honored sierra to be here and thank you for fulfilling our pledge when we last met. i think before the vienna meetings you did promise that he would give us this opportunity to come and share with colleagues here. before coming here i had to look at the last month and i was pleased to see that recently you hosted two very prominent members of the opec family. .. of the board within his country and globally. although he has now retired, but he's not tired as you can see him walking every morning, taking some jogs. guiding the country and organization in the energy cycles he has tirelessly devoted his efforts to promote the stabi

he started csis over 50 years ago with admiral burke. four years we were at 18th and gay and less opulent surroundings to say the least -- >> that is putting it mildly spirit we would've been doing this book taught in the basement with no windows. we would never have gotten here though without david. it's an honor to be working with the center for the study of the presidency and congress. and, of course, at my friend james kitfield here it was written another remarkable book. i don't have to redo his bio. you all know it. he's one of the best, best military reporters to ever work in this town. he is one of the best authors. he has the respect of the people that he interviews and writes about and the respect of his readers and the respect of tele- journalist. >> thanks for saying that. >> certainly of the policy community who consider him to be someone of, just impeccable talent and character. we've all learned quite a lot from james kitfield over the years. the book is terrific. i know that all of you, the holidays are coming up so don't

turkey in the csis concept, has its own problems to work out. as we think about the middle east, we have three different alliances in the middle east. on the one hand, we have this generous relationship with israel. which is in many ways the closesest relationships, but also the complicated relationship. we work with intelligence, but regional hostility means we don't work regionally, we don't base in israel, use forward position equipment, though israel can use extremists in its own situations. israel hasn't taken part in these broad regional alliances the u.s. has fought. israel is a member of u come, so it the way the u.s. looks -- the u.s. supplies about 20 -- the u.s. is bound by law to ensure that israel maintains a qualitative military edge over any potential enemy or collection of enemies in the region. so you could argue that this is a good relationship, you could argue that israel is milking the united states. i've heard both arguments made in washington. it seems to me this is a very complicated relationship which isn't replicated any

i am with csis. of course, so much specialization with the counterterrorism policy since 9/11 fax -- but looking at counterterrorism when wine country needs to deal with the entire perspective that is so there how to deal with terrorism given what has happened in paris recently, being a reporter in this field other then the specialist? >> good question. for one thing the intelligence sharing and cooperation that we do is not characterized by the european intelligence model. they don't talk to each other like our agencies do so there is a very big problem if a terrorist comes into greece or turkey going into germany for through france crossing borders and agencies don't talk. that is safekeeping folder ability that most european citizens don't have that security so europe needs to learn from this model themselves and get over the competition between intelligence agencies. but we also learned that you have to address radicalization to some degree. you recently sought united kingdom erastus of hate prea

allow me to begin by thanking the csis chairman, john hammer, csis president and ceo as well as my partner john hess, who is also a member of the board of trustees. not to talk of an old friend, sarah, for facilitating this visit. as sarah mentioned, after my opening remarks, i intend to invite my colleague jorge leon arellano from our energy strategy department to take us through some of the key findings from our 10th world oil outlook which was just released last month at the abu dhabi international petroleum expedition conference. let me say that we are really honored, sarah, to be here, and thank you for fulfilling your pledge when we last met. i think before the vienna meetings you did promise that you would give us this opportunity to come and share, compared notes with colleagues here. before coming here i had to look at your event schedule of the last month, and was pleased to see that you recently hosted two very prominent members of the opec family. so it made me feel much more at home here. ali, the former minister of petroleum and minerals sources and the king of saudi arabia,

everyone at csis will get through it by the end of the year, no doubt. thank you for coming out on another calm evening in washington. nothing much going on here. all quiet. but the sun is shining today and the sun is always shining on us. >>> we're a bipartisan institution that aims to be constructive on policy and that's what we hope to talk about tonight to learn from james' book and hope to take your questions. james, why don't you tell us why the name of the book bat and was the origin of the book. >> i thick "twilight warriors." >> i was trying to convey that this groel terrorist movement, not a night or day, neither victory or defeat, neither war or criminality. it's a hybrid of it and it's kind of this idea of perpetual conflict. so that's how i picked the name. the genesis of it was -- i was doing a lot of reporting around 2011, which i thought was a really watershed year for the post-9/11 war on terror. obama came into office. in the first two years he launched more drone strikes against terrorists, targeting terrorists, in pakistan than the bu

how this becomes forensic science and ultimately becomes the "csi" series. now we all the pretty lurid sense of death investigations provided by local news. this graphic is everywhere, i found a million of these. always the same with the police tape and the chalk outlines. we have a very lurid sense of death investigation, if it bleeds, it leads school of journalism in the united states. i want to take the evolution of this system very seriously and talk about how it developed over time. starting with the historical importance. and the most obvious area in which death investigation is critically important is to the criminal justice system, and this is the most familiar aspect of death investigation. coroners and medical examiners participate from the very beginning. they are there on the scene. they pronounce a cause of death. that sets the entire investigation in motion, and then they are there with the death investigation throughout the process until the very end when they may in fact testify at trial. we cannot imagine death investigation without them in

. >>> good morning, everyone, welcome to csis and the third offset conference we are holding today to talk about what the third offset is, assessing its progress to date, the challenges to going forward and what may be in store for this issue set that the third offset raises into the future. i'm so pleased with us opening the conference today the three architects if you will of the third offset and its implementation. collectively they constitute something you may not have ever heard of called the advanced capability and deterrence panel. and so i get to be the moderator of the advanced capability and deterrence panel speaking about defining the third offset. let me begin with introductions then we'll have panelists speak about it and have conversation on how it's defined and how to think about it in temples of how it shapes government activity. all the way to my left is the honorable robert wirth, the deputy secretary of defense. to his right is general paul sellba, the vice chairman of the joint chiefs of staff and then stephanie o'sullivan, the principal director for national intel

hombre: ella es "csi" ahora. [lee] - "acaba de morir fidel.

andrew joined us here at csis. and together with john, myself and others conceived and designed this project which is to look at american leadership and alliances. and the two of course go together. and are at a point of some transition, turbulence, questioning, given events around the world. given the pressures of globalation and the domestic services of alliances, given our own presidential transition. and it seems a good time to get back to some of the fundamentals why we built this alliance system over 50 years ago. what sustains it. what it is in it for our allies. what are the things we have to do to make it more effective for all of us. andrew is going to tell us about the fundamentals, mechanics, the strategy beginning with this event with our distinguished panel. so i'm going to turn it over now to the director for this project and let andrew tell us about the rest of today. thank you. andrew. >> thank you, mike. and thank you, everyone, for coming. mike in particular, i would like to thank you for your su

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liberty university in virginia is csi the idea would add n.r.a.l range, rifle range and competitive range. the campbell county leaders must approve the proposal first. if approvedded it would be the first college campus in country to have a gun range on campus. maureen: thick black smoke filled part of manhattan after a fire at the hospital construction site. it broke out at the medical center and a spokesman says it was in the construction area of a building set to open in 2018. one firefighter had maynor injuries and the cause is under investigation -- minor injuries and the cause sunday investigation. jonathan: still ahead for us at 6:00, why the mother of a fallen police officer is ending her long-standing tradition to serve christmas dinner to d.c. police officers. maureen: a storm watch 7 chief meteorologist doug hill tells us when it will feel like the single digits. different risks we are seeing the snowflakes. first, veronica johnson has a look at what is coming up tomorrow on "good morning washington." >> thanks. tomorrow on "good mornin

thanks to csis for having is us. it should be a two-way conversation. we should hope it up. we should leave with a better shared understanding of the challenges ahead. i really think it is is great to see these familiar faces in the audience. if we don't leave with a shared understanding we will waste that opportunity i think if we start by looking at the environment, you look at the risks and you look at the way we should collaborate to address those risks will paint a little bit better picture from the socom perspective. we know that the world is not getting to be a more safe place. and we know our competitors, regional rising states and violent extremist organizations are all continuing to threaten our national interests. so we have to be cognizant that as we develop a new future vertical lift aircraft that it can keep up with that environment. and really we want to stay ahead of that environment. so fortunately the investments that we make down at u.s. socom when d.o.d. was in a drawdown period, came to bear after the attacks of 9/11. so we were able to execute long-rang

i also want to thank "csi" s for hosting this conference. guys, thanks for holding the fort down last week. but their leadership and hard work in leading the technology investments for us we called the third off set strategy. i'll speak about that. but of course in this speech i also want to speak about an innovation in all of its dimensions, which technological innovation is a piece, and very important piece. being more innovative to our military and defense department. today we have the finest fighting force the world has no. there's no other military that's stronger, now capable, more experienced and frankly, more innovative. that's why our military edge is second to none. it's a fact every american ought to be proud of. but it's also a fact that our military's excellence isn't a birth right. it's not guaranteed and we can't take it for granted in the 21st century. we have to earn it again and again that's what this is all about, innovating to stay the best. i want to talk to you today about how we're doing o that in some different areas,

one of the really wonderful things about the center for the study of the presidency and congress and csis they were both founded by the late david apture. he was a remarkable man who we all loved and he lived to see this bui

. >> and art auction house sotheby's getting into the csi game. massachusetts forensic company help the authenticity of works of art, the firm helped sotheby's uncover, sold it off for $10 million. sotheby's looking it cut down on fraud a mid rising forgeries in the art world. >>> and mcdonald's is work to go perk up its mc cafe brand. in house coffee brand will get expresso machines, cheaper coffee during promotional early next year, dollar drip coffee, 2-dollar specialty drinks. back to you. >> oh, that coffee looks so good, hena. >> so good. >> cheap coffee, all about it. >> cheaper prices. >> hena daniels, live on wall street, thanks so much. >> well, updating our breaking news now, new jersey state troop is her one of two people killed in a crash in cumberland count. >> i police say another driver crossed the median, hit the police cruiser, along route 55, in millville. "eyewitness news" reporter jan carabeo live at police state barricks in port norris where the trooper was stationed, jan, good morning. >> reporter: joe, rahel, good morning.

there are a number of good reports on this, i think the csis report from a couple months ago is particularly good in which the author talks about the triple whammy of modern i sags and capacity. the triple whammy is that the army, size of the army has been severely reduced from 570,000 active -- 1.1 million total force. this is a huge reduction, way below the 482,000 that we had in the active army prior to the wars in afghanistan and iraq. if you remember, the wars in afghanistan and iraq were breaking an army, active arm of 482,000, so we grew the army to 570,000. at the peak of the wars in iraq and afghanistan, we had 170,000 soldiers deployed, 53,000 of whom were reserve component. so 123,000 active, did eployed. so now when you go down to 450, think about what forces you have to surge forward. guess what, the historical pattern is that after wars your commitment goes up to consolidate the gains. the wars are going on first of all, in pakistan area, in the middle east where you have a brigade in kuwait. and armed forces, kurdish armed forces, turkish, you know, in iraq and then you have r

breaking news on clara barton parkwayarrn app fatal crash earlier thishis morning completely closing a csi clara barton parkway in both directions between chain bridge road and the glen echogeo turn around.turnroun now because of that fatal f crash investigation you canstio see the red on the map. all traffic force to do divert r at chain bridge and glen echo.l. to get to and from the beltway gw parkway river road.oa the closure on clara barton is south of cab john -- cabinab john.hn this could cause a lot of additional traffic app thosepp t alternate points as well as the parkway so please allow for extra time. tim we'll let you know as soon as we hear from park police whenol they're able to reopen that t stretch of clara barton. bar traffic in northern marylandthny looking good.lookinoo let's take a live look outsidese at some of our cameras. cameras want to check the beltway to through college park.chroh collg tends to get more volume laterlm in the morning.in theorni awake as you pass colesvilleesvi road. however from 95 to georgiaeo still at speed.. as we forward our camerasam bottom

first of all, sincere appreciation to csis for putting together this event, and to you, mr. hunter and ms. johnson also. as we look at the future vertical lift family of systems, you know, that encompasses the entire dod vertical lift inventory, from our smallest to -- training helicopter to largest cargo helicopter. really whether or not we've done is taken a mission systems approach to defining our requirements for the vertical lift family of systems. we have department and service equities across that system. but as we look at the army requirements and specifically for capability set three, we see that the greatest joint need across the services is for capability set three aircraft. and so that's our intent to go after a cap set three first. specifically for the army, we're looking at a utility mission. this utility mission involves medevac capabilities. it involves our air assault capability. the ability to assault life forces and their equipment. and also involves troop movement. as we also look at what the army requirements are, we look at the reach, protection, and al

ed0400/sot: jim lewis/cybersecurity expert, csis)"if you're in an intelligence agency, you don't want to be sorting through a billion names, that's just a pain in the neck. but if you're a criminal, you can make money. this is worth millions of dollars to some lucky russian."(track)yahoo is advising users to not only change their passwords and security questions - but look at any emails from yahoo carefully. this is a time when cyber criminals could take advantage by masquerading as the internet giant. hena daniels cbs news. 3 3 3 3 advisory likely. past 00. wind chill struggling to get past 00. wind chill advisory a little holiday cheer for the kids at children's hospital of wiisconsin yesterday -- with some special . guests.nats of music musicit's a tough time of year for anyone to be in the hospital, but especially kids. so a few members of the milwaukee bucks showed up with gifts. 40:01-14 just spend time with them and see even though they're fi struggles that they're goign through to just spend time with them and for that moment at least they're happy and feeling better... it mea

reportero: otra de las agencias que en gana dinero es csi aviation services.anjera porque es mÁs barato. asÍ lo puso de manifiesto un anÁlisis de la unidad de datos que encabeza ronnie rojas. >> encontramos una contradicciÓn con lo que planteaba en su discurso pÚblico. reportero: 13 de las empresas de trump solicitaron autorizaciÓn para traer a por lo -795 trabajadores extranjeros. casi todos con los programas de trabajo corporal. la mayorÍa son camareros, cocineros y amas de llaves. el 80% de las visas es para trabajadores de este club social en palm beach. la contradicciÓn es aÚn mayor si se tiene en cuenta las nacionalidades de estos inmigrantes. >> un informe seÑala que el tipo de visa al que acude son el 85% corresponden a trabajadores mexicanos. teresa: los defensores sostienen que la cifra de los indocumentados que cruzan son mÁs altas. para ello citan testimonios como el que dio un alto funcionario de la patrulla fronteriza, que asegurÓ que su personal sÓlo resta el 40% de los que pasan ilegalmente. ya volvemos. >> despuÉs de una pausa. en medio de acu

. >> thank you and thank csis. >> we have about a 20-minute coffee break.et some coffee. >>> tonight, american history tv in prime time continue was programs from the emerging civil war on "great attacks on the civil war." at 8:00 p.m., john bell hood's assault at atlanta and at 8:45rks the army tennessee's assault at franklin. at 9:45, the federal breakthrough at petersburg. at 10:45, four influential civil war military wives and "great attacks of the civil war" 8:00 p.m. eastern tonight here on c-span3. >>> military force is one of the things i think the american public very often gets impatient about. they really believe they have this trump card, this great military that can defeat anyone. it is not true. it is an extraordinary military. it is very powerful. it can only win in certain situations. it can only really destroy things. it can't build a new order in its place. >> sunday night on "q" and "a," journalist and professor, mark danner, talks about his career and the challenges facing the u.s. war on terrorism in his latest book, "spiral, trapped in

. >> this is the csi team, so when they were pulling his pants off, money and jewelry started fallingally, they took the money out his pockets and that was the only available spot. >> to show they didn't take anything. >> yeah, exactly. so this is also a drug dealer. the thing here in mexico, as soon as someone's killed, normally they get candles just right next to them. sometimes it's relatedo drug dealings and criminals. >> how long have you been doing this? >> about nine years. >> how many bodies do you think? hundreds? >> si. >> how do you push them out of your mind when you're not working? >> a lot of people ask him about this. but he said like it's a job, not like any other kind of job, but as soon as he gets home, he just takes this cover off and just keep living. >> that's a terrible picture. that's sad. what happened here? >> there was an elephant called gilda. she run away from a circus. so she basically was crossing the highway and was just run over. >> the world we live in now, of all of these pictures, this is the one that would get people most upset? you'd get the most m

the csi 300 down more than 4% for the week.t's largely because of insurance companies under a lot of pressure by regulators not to take risky bets in the markets. it's been a currency story in the asian markets. the big winner is japanese exporters as dollar/yen is trading at 118. to put this in context, in september this was 100. this has been good news. nice ride for japanese exporters as the nikkei caps off a 9 session winning streak. the nikkei up 0.6%. steve, geoff, back to you. have a great weekend. >> possibly good-bye, but you never know. we might be here for a couple more hours. let's leave you hanging there. >> hang on, market watch is after this. >> no, "worldwide exchange." >> "worldwide exchange." >> wilfred and sara decided they have a cold. >>> lawyers for president park have said her impeachment by parliament has no legal grounds and should be struck down by the constitutional court. the court has 180 days to rule on the motion after south korea's parliament voted to impeach park. her lawyers say she is unlikely

if you would like to follow the project, you can do that on our web page, on the csis website. and finally, i'd like you to join me, please in thanking admiral raoufead for his speech today, and also the panel. >>> so, i decided to spend much more time on the young grant. i spent a week at west point, trying to understand how this man could finish 21st out of 39 at west point, and therefore, sometimes viewed as these biographers as a historical intellectual lightweight. and yet, he said of himself, "i must apologize, i spent all my time reading novels." >>> sunday night on "q&a," historian ronald c. white talks about the life and career of the 18th u.s. president in his latest book "american ulysses: a life of ulysses s. grant." >> in his presidency, it can be a meeting one day of african-american leaders in the white house. and he said to them, you know, he said i look forward to the day when you can ride on a railroad car, when you can eat in a restaurant, when you can do so along with every other person, regardless of their race. that day must come. it took 90 years for that

a sign of increasing es can is la in the region of the also this week, csis, a washington-based thinkank, released photos, china armed all seven artificial islands in the south china sea. yesterday in the press conference in beijing, the chinese foreign ministry was asked about recent fox news reporting about these bomber flights. china called them routine. china conducted live-fire exercises from the only aircraft carrier in the region in the last few days. jenna? jenna: so much focus on russia and hacking but what is china doing? something that we have to continue to watch. lucas, thank you so much. breaking news at the pentagon. more on that as we get it. leland? leland: right now president-elect donald trump getting ready to take his new tour to orlando tonight. i-4 corridor did well for him. last night he promised to put miners back to work in a rally in coal country. bryan llenas, wains burke, pennsylvania, in the keystone state with more. hi, brian. reporter: leland. green is the highest coal-producing county in pennsylvania of the for nearly 40 years emerald mines has been bea

okay, csi is still one of the top-rated shows on tv but 14 years is a long time coming. >> i can onlyimagine what that flight is going to be. >> it's going to be a great 45 minute flight. great. >> we did it, baby. yes, sir.>> [ applause ] >> we are going to the playoffs. >> they are indeed. it was the defense that saved the day against the chargers. reggie nelson picked off philip rivers to end the game. mostly raider fans at qualcomm stadium. the crowd quickly got under philip rivers's skin. >> it was a road game. >> have you ever been in an environment like that? in oakland? >> yeah. >> raider nation showed up. it was pretty awesome to see. it had to be 60 or 70%. a lot of blackshirts out there. >> you really get the feeling the chargers are headed to los angeles hearing from philip rivers. better for one of the raiders yesterday, benefiting from the kansas city loss. the playoffs began -- if the playoffs begin today, they would start with a first-round bye week. and lost a few more in the trainer's room. the san francisco máaásáh unit is getting larger by the day. linebacker nick

and the blue chip csi index fell 2.4%. this comes after the chinese insurance regulators suspended evergreen life from investing in the symptom market. and the idea is reduce risky investments by securities companies on acquisitions recently. the nikkei hit another high ending up 9%. oil traded higher in asia to help, but the gains were capped there because of pressure on banking stocks. now the main index in new zealand ended down a quarter of a percent as its new prime minister bill english was sworn in. >>> and so that's a look at the asia packed markets on this monday after some of those very provocative comments by donald trump about taiwan and the u.s. louisa, nancy, back to you. >> pauline, thank you very much. >>> ridiculous and insane. that's how the president-elect donald trump and his team are describing the report that russian hackers tipped the election in his favor. jennifer johnson has the full story. >> reporter: president-elect donald trump and soon to be commander in chief attending the army/navy football

. >> guest: it wasn't csi. but then, in all these cases it was a context, and sometimes there are a broader thing. but everywhere there was a context, what else is going on? who else can i talk to? so just to give a couple of examples. in newark where a young man was shot dead. these come into his apartment with his girlfriend, he shot dead. it's assumed that killer thought he was somebody else, and it was drug related. and they thought, he had a red hoodie. they were looking for someone with a ready. so then you look at where he was shot dead, and a block up housing projects near where he lives, and you, where his mother lived. that's where you were shot dead. this is where he grew up, and next door is a factory that's been closed down. you start looking at this, the statistics, and you see the painful effects of being -- industrialization, and in that context, selling drugs becomes an occupation of one like it into your economics, drugs, drug gangs are up more than come as like a classic american corporation.

this is one of the goldwater-nichols reforms i proposed here at csis nearly seven months ago. and it will be accord mated on buy half by our chairman of the joint chiefs of staff, general joe dunford whom by the way we're very fortunate to have in his job, representing him to president obama was one of the best decisions i've made as secretary of defense. the result of this is that we've revised all of our war plans to ensure that we have the agility and ability to win the fights we're in. the wars that could happen today and the wars that could happen in the future. and while i can't say more and if any audience can appreciate why a csis audience can, i'll tell that you i'm very proud of this evolving family of plans. innovation and technology and operations are necessary for us. but they're not sufficient. because at the pace today's world demands, we can only succeed in these by being an agile organization that nurtures innovation in all its forms. so we're also investing in innovative organizational structures and practices. the strategic imperative here is that dod must b

there are a number of good reports on this, i think the csis report from a couple months ago is particularly good in which the author talks about the triple whammy of modern i sags and capacity. the triple whammy is that the army, size of the army has been severely reduced from 570,000 active -- 1.1 million total force. this is a huge reduction, way below the 482,000 that we had in the active army prior to the wars in afghanistan and iraq. if you remember, the wars in afghanistan and iraq were breaking an army, active arm of 482,000, so we grew the army to 570,000. at the peak of the wars in iraq and afghanistan, we had 170,000 soldiers deployed, 53,000 of whom were reserve component. so 123,000 active, deployed. so now when you go down to 450, think about what forces you have to surge forward. guess what, the historical pattern is that after wars your commitment goes up to consolidate the gains. the wars are going on first of all, in pakistan area, in the middle east where you have a brigade in kuwait. and armed forces, kurdish armed forces, turkish, you know, in iraq and then you have rota

andrew schwartz, senior vice president at csi yes and it's my honor to host james kitfield and redoingthis in partnership with the center for the study of the american, the center for the study of the presidency and congress were just talking upstairs.

but i think the csi report from six months ago is particularly good come in which the author talks about the mmm he of army modernization. is that thehammy size of the army has been severely reduced. it is a huge reduction, way that we had in the active army prior to the wars of afghanistan and iraq. those were breaking an active army. we grew the army. at the pick of the wars in iraq and afghanistan, we had 170,000 53,000 ofmployed, whom were reserve component, national guard and army reserve. of123,000 active in an army 570,000. so knowing you go to end of historicalere is a pattern. after wars, your commitments go up to consolidate the gains. on,wars are still going first of all, in afghanistan and pakistan area, in the middle east where you have a rotational brigade inchoate in addition to the forces that are committed in ,upport of iraqi armed forces kurdish armed forces, turkish armed forces in iraq. and then you have a rotational commitment to korea and went to europe now because of russian aggression. one is capacity in the army. the second thing, in previous armyds of drawdowns,

i hold a chair here at csis. we're going to be having a conversation about combath child

i hold a chair here at csi s. we'll be having a conversation about combating child trafficking and supporting survivors to strategic development. it's a real pleasure and honor to do this with my friend and colleague shannon green who runs .ur human rights program here i don't think i have to -- one of the great evils of our age is the trafficking of persons. bush administration, bush 43, and the obama administration, have worked hard to shine a greater light on this, have tried to take a number of steps both the mystically and internationally to combat this great evil. there are some terrible statistics about this that belie the great human suffering involved with this. 1.2 million children are trafficked each year. i will not go on. i think most of the people in this audience and room are aware of the gravity of this. we have a number of experts that we wanted to bring to washington to have a conversation about this, certainly in the context -- we had an election last month, we will have a new same time, so i th

so there's -- i think there are a number of good reports on this, but i think the csi report for about -- from about six months ago is particularly good. in which the author talks about the triple whammy of army modernization capability and capacity. the triple whammy is that the army -- the size of the army has been severely reduced from 570,000 active to 4.1 active. and 1.1 million total force. that is a huge reduction. way below the 482,000 that we had in the active army prior to the wars at afghanistan and iraq. if you remember, the wars in afghanistan and iraq were breaking an active army of 400,000. so we grew the army and at the peak of the bars in i -- wars in iraq and afghanistan, 53,000 of the soldiers deployed were reserve component. national guard and army reserve. a deployed army of 570 and the secretary of the defense said we're breaking the army. so now you go down to 450 think of what forces you have to surge forward. the historical pattern after wars, your commitments go up to consolidate the gains. what are we seeing? well, the wars are still going on first of all. in

turn it over to the panel, the people you walely want to hear from, a lot of the work we've done in csis recently is looked at the question of what i would call the pipeline and what is very notable about the pipeline, certainly for vertical lift, up to now and to some extent for each of the services most acutely for the army is that the pipeline is pretty empty. so the question of bringing forward capability, you have to have something in the works. my friend general cody talks about when he was the vice chief and all of a sudden they were in a shooting war, what he was able to do was move a lot of combat capability to the field because it had been in development and there was something to accelerate. if there is nothing to accelerate and if you are starting from scratch, it is going to take a long time, no matter what you do. and no matter how much of a priority you put on it. >> [ inaudible ]. >> let me let you hear from the panel. >> thank you. and that was a very good point. and really, as we move forward with fvl, it is about having something in the pipe there and ready to move for

by thankingbegin the csi s chairman. as president and ceo as well also on theho is board of trustees. talk of an old friend for facilitating this visit. from the royals, outlook, it was just released last month. let me say that we are honored to be here. thank you for filling your pledge. we will be with colleagues here. last month. at your it made me feel much more at he undoubtedly spoke about his compelling life story and his illustrious career for the oil industry within his country and globally. is retired. he is appreciated for his countless contributions. steadfastly regarding his country on organization. in 21 years that we served saudi arabia. able.re very he is also here recently. as well as the kingdom. -- and if i large may digress, in 2008, when we first retreated in outside hison, we came to represent previous boss. he was unable to make it. it was fully represented in that picture. it is part of a weeklong u.s. visit. , andgage in discussions his colleagues with the international monetary fund. length, dis

a lot your book is the term rural consciousness and in the consciousnessural is a term i'm using to csi a strong sense of identity as a with a rson combined strong sense that rural areas are what you call the victims of injustice. sense that rural areas do not get their fair share of get their respect, or the resources that they feel re necessary the particular puzzle i focus on in this book is why people prefer less overnment when they might seemingly benefit from more of it. >> right. you viewers who live in rural areas, having areas, will n rural kind of laugh that that's a revelation at all. i was basically, what hearing was something that people have been talking with each other about in small rural places d around the country for some time. it's this feeling of, you know, like this were just on the short end of the stick. no one pays attention to us. we don't get our fair share of resources. that, you know, actually, respected, by folks who live in the cities. that view was a surprise to me, interactions with folks, you know, as i've been talking about that point of sharing my boo

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, as a transparency officer which is a role you've been in for two years ago, how has the odi and a csi in terms of its ability to limited to or seeing the value of talking to the public about what it does? >> so i've been in the community which i oversee and work to build secrecy, we hire people based on their perception of their ability and confidentiality of the information inside the government. we build secure systems, do a lot of training around these and that's important to our business because of course as i said in other contexts, only transparent intelligence would be full ineffective so aren't effectiveness depends on the people, the adversary not knowing how it is that we are using different techniques versus to discover them and affect their activities. so when you come from that culture, it's very difficult to sort of get people thinking about more open public and transparent and i've been doing this as i pointed out since 2005 and never before have i experienced a community that is is engaged with the public as we are now. still have a ways to go. i think one of the lesso

this testimony draws from a forthcoming csis report on deterring iran. i will focus my remarks on three topics today. iran's strategic approach, building a u.s. deterrence strategy, and recommendations for the new congress and next administration. iran is a revisionist power that seeks to fulfill a number of goals to change the status quo. these objectives include ensuring survival of the islamic republic, deterring adversaries, enhancing its regional power and influence and securing a place of political and economic importance within the international community. iran is aware of its conventional military inferiority versus its adversaries. it leverages a range of unconventional and conventional capabilities and concepts of operation including proxy forces to achieve its objectives. this approach also encompasses other activities including missile development, engaging in provocative maritime operations, exploiting cyber vulnerabilities and employing information operations. it ensures that any escalations against the united states and its regional partne