[laughter] dan: in iowa, we saw with john edwards in 2004, he came roaring up, almost beating john kerry. that was the rubio strategy, to hang back, to be there at the moment when people would say, "this guy might be the guy." he has run some very iowa-specific advertising, aimed at christians conservatives -- christian-conservatives. we will see to the extent to which it is extent -- we will see the extent to which it is successful. carol: in the media, we do not totally understand and have not predicted things correctly going into this cycle. it will be fascinating, what happens in iowa, what happens in new hampshire, and will probably -- we will probably learn that we did not what was going on. charlie: what could the surprise be? carol: some evangelicals are breaking for trump because of the economy. the theory is that the economy is trumping what would be traditional religious value voters. if that is the trend moving forward, that could be an interesting dynamic. charlie: let me go to the democrats and hillary clinton and bernie sanders. could there be another year of surprises on