, and i love that used the term weather whiplash, couple of years back, we were writing paper, daniel swain at ucla my group and alex hall at ucla were looking for a term that would convey the switch between extremes, at that time we moved from a drought to a situation where the hole down had a major spill way incident in large rain, and whiplash seemed to be the right term to capture how strong this switch between extremes is. so not everywhere we'll get the same amount of whiplash, if you are further north in seattle, for instance, the increases in rain tend to prominent the droughts you know, the tendency to drought is there not as bad as in california. if you go down to mexico, central america, the tendency to drought can be even stronger in that region, so it will vary from one place to another in the world. but the basic thing warmer temperatures more water vapor greater swings between strong rains and longer periods between them, stronger i vantage point representation, that will be quite widespread in many parts of the world . >> i appreciate your analysis, jay david neelin, thanks