he was subdued, muted as david axlerod said. there is something assuring about the way he handles things. he doesn't fly off of the handle. pars his word. he has the truth as precisely as possible and i think he is benefitting -- the president is benefitting and so is hillary clinton from a certain nostalga for president obama is starting to set in. people are looking at the alternative. saying obama is pretty good. >> david axlerod, you know president obama more than most people. how do you think he wants to engage trump going forward because today it was more muted, certainly than what we saw in the convention. when he gets back from martha's vineyard. how will he act? >> i think john king was right that this was at the pentagon. it deictated a certain sobriety he brought to us. he will clearly be out there. this is the issue he will hone in on, the fundamental issue of temperament and of decisiveness is something personally offends him but temperament is the key to this election when hillary clinton said you know, if you can'

>> it is too bad we couldn't get a guy like paul or david axlerod.presidential campaign, they are very tough people. i think if they called them that they did it in a complimentary sense. but you are really going to like her. i think the fat that donald trump has put a woman in that position is something clinton doesn't want to talk about. we are not worried about that but that's why we are talking about the economy and foreign policy which hillary clinton can't talk about because the economy has had less than 2% growth rate. you isis in 18 different countries. that's what they call a jv team. president obama said al qaeda was on the run. it happened under hillary clinton's watch. nothing on that. where is. >> has donald trump given us action plans? he reached out in america to people who are frustrated about the economy -- c eric o ford. we heard donald trump is fighting mand and he wants to make a change. p it is kind of a radical concept to the left but tax cuts have improved the thing. he would pt it be nice if you fill out. under the obama admin

i always talk about my conversations with david axlerod leading into the 2012 campaign. david told me this is how much we're going to win by in ohio and this is how much we're going to win by nationally. he knew all the voters would come out. they had an amazing get out the vote operation and it makes a huge difference. i think if he wants to win, he better be up one or two percentage points in most of those states on election day because he's going to get blown out when it comes to the get out the vote operation. launched a new election index called the trump tax. ezra, there are several candidates, i would guess that kelly ayotte would be one of them. ron johnson would be another that are suffering from this trump tax. explain it. >> so, you can, political scientists have created a lot of what we call forecasting models for elections. if you know some pretty basic information, which party controls the white house and what the president's approval rating is and what the economy looks like, you can predict elections it's pretty strange with real accuracy. we work with a t