what do you think that means, david chalian? >> that was not the tone he was striking during the campaign. we should note, immediately following that according to these tweets -- it's hard to get the timeline of when he said what -- but it looked like in a subsequent tweet he also said, brooke, "but as i consider climate change and even acknowledging connectivity to human activity i am also considering the impact on american businesses and the american economy." so it wasn't suddenly that he was joining up with the league of conservation voters or sierra club and becoming some green environmental activist. i don't think anybody would expect that. >> but it was softer. >> that acknowledgment sounded different than he did in the campaign but because he added in how he's considering the economic impact the jury should remain out on how he plans to proceed. >> amazing. i will say good-bye for now. there's so much to chew on. we're hanging on every word from this meeting at the "new york times." watching him leave. we'll have much mo

only 8% of voters who said they valued experience wanted him over hillary clinton so let's go to david chalian, our political director up in the wee hours of the morning who is with us now. this afternoon, to explain -- i mean, we talk about brexit for so long and those polls were wrong and it happened again. >> it did, brooke, let's take a look at how donald trump did it. remember, we talked about that blue wall in the upper midwest, the red -- the rust belt here, wisconsin, michigan, pennsylvania, michigan still has vote counting to do there but at least two of those three are definitively going to donald trump. this is a red wall through the rust belt. that's how donald trump did it. take a look at the key exit poll findings. you mentioned his unfavorability rating. there was great concern among the voters about his qualifications, temperament, as

let's go back to david chalian. what else are you learning?'re looking at the barack obama factor in tonight's election. you saw him campaigning hard for hillary clinton. his approval rating across the country tonight in the exit polls. this is about what we had seen in pre-election polling. it seems to be bearing out among the electorate tonight. we asked do you want to continue barack obama's policies or not. those who want to continue barack obama's policies or want more liberal policies add up to about 47% of the electorate. 46% say they want more conservative policies. clearly a divided country in terms of president obama's policies. we asked about the feelings of the federal government. i don't think this will surprise anyone paying attention to this election, wolf. take a look at this. dissatisfied, 46% of voters today with the federal government. add 23% of angry voters. take a look at that. that is 69% of voters voting today are either dissatisfied or angry with the federal government. that is what both of these candidates have been t

. >>> and bring in david chalian, jackie kucinich, political analyst and molly bowles, for "the atlantic." these positions presumably could come fast now and so important. >> critically important. you heard president obama say that one of the things that donald trump and president obama talked about in their oval office, how important it was to staff up the west wing, the closest advisers, obviously the cabinet officials and the most sort of national security economic positions that are important. it's not that long, wolf from now until january 20th. you want a team standing up, because donald trump is often an outsider to all of this. finding the right mix of people for him, for someone that doesn't have experience doing this i think makes it all the more. >> critically important decision and clearly mike pence is now in charge. the kr vice president-elect in charge of this transition. donald trump will have a huge say. he's the president. >> the assumption he's going to talk to every one of these people before they actually end up in that position. and they're contending, we're just st

that's still a singnificant margin heading into the home stretch for hillary clinton. >> david chalian with his battleground yellow tie on. mr. chalian, thank you so much. >> thank you. >>> while you're casting your ballot, federal and state law enforcement officials will be very busy monitoring concerns about terror threats around election day. we've just learned about chatter intercepted from al qaeda operatives overseas so let's go straight to justice correspondent evan perez. evan, what do you know? >> this is something that they've been working on for some time, at least over a week that they've heard this chatter from some suspected al qaeda supporters overseas talk about possible attacks in new york, in virginia and in texas. not much to go on beyond that, it's chatter at this point from talking to law enforcement officials. we're told they have not been able to verify the credibility of it. it's obviously something they always keep an eye on, brooke around this time before election day. they keep an eye out for possible threats so at this point it's not clear that they have mor

david chalian is with us. vid, it looks like hillary clinton is now short of that 270 electoral votes needed to win the white house. >> this is the old map. this is where we were this morning, wolf. she was just over that mark. and here's the new map after we changed four states in donald trump's direction. she falls just below that. what changed? we moved new hampshire from lean democratic to battleground. we moved ohio from battleground to lean republican. we moved utah from battleground to lean republican, and we moved this maine congressional district, remember in maine they allocate their electoral votes by congressional district, that one northern part of maine, that electoral vote we moved towards donald trump. now, what does this mean for his path at this point? because remember, she may -- hillary clinton may have just fallen below 270 but she's still only two away. he's at 204. he needs to sweep every remaining ballottleground state our map and the battleground district in nebraska, they award elector

i want to start with cnn political director david chalian. there is some good news in the latest polls, right? >> there are some new polls that should give donald trump some comfort. let's start in new hampshire. a couple polls out there today, one poll shows a one point edge for donald trump, 40% to 39%. another poll out in new hampshire today, dead heat, 42% to 42%. this is a state in our map we have leaning towards hillary clinton. these new polls are certainly welcome news in the trump organization. and in utah, this is probably some of the most welcome news donald trump got today. take a look at this. we've been talking a lot about evan mcmullin, this third-party, never trump candidate surging. right now donald trump is hanging on to utah. not that he should have to worry, but it's important he's at 37%, and hillary clinton and beating mcmullin at 31% to 24%. donald trump needs to hold on to those six electoral votes. looks like he is on his way to to so. and a little bit of heartburn may becoming for georgia tonight for the trump campai

political director david chalian is with me. we know how important north carolina is to donald trump. what states are you watching most particularly tonight? >> erin, i'm watching five states very closely tonight. this won't be too much of a surprise. this is our battleground map. the three remaining tossup states on the east coast, new hampshire, north carolina, florida, i'm watching all three of those pretty closely for different reasons. one, if florida starts looking like it's going hillary clinton's way, donald trump is going to have a very tough evening. it's almost a complete blockade state for hillary clinton. if she wins that state and wins it early, donald trump will find himself scrambling to get to 270. he starts on our map with 204. without this huge electoral prize in the sunshine state it becomes very difficult. north carolina, one of the closest-contested states of the race, i think it will be a nail-biter, it came come in late so i'm watching that to see how such a closely guided state shakes out and new hampshi

here with me, mark preston, david swed lick here, as well, and david chalian is at the magic wall fort. >> don we've made some significant changes. here's the old map the way it did look. here is the new map. what changed, four moves all in donald trump's direction. we moved new hampshire from a lean democratic state to a toss-up battleground. ohio went from background to lean republican. same with utah. battleground to lean republican and with this congressional district up in maine, we went from battleground to lean republican. all good news for donald trump, no doubt. now let's look though at his path to 270 electoral votes. so, how does he add to that 204 total, he has to sweep arizona, florida, north carolina, and new hampshire. he has to sweep all those battlegrounds. he's still one short. where does he go find it? well, in nebraska. they also award their electoral votes by congressional district thampt distri . that district around omaha, boom, he's up 270 electoral votes. a little less steve steep of a climb than it once was. this is the new battleground map. she's at 268. she

for the bottom line let's bring in cnn political director david chalian. he list is interesting. of people going to trump tower today. pull it up. let's take a look. there's that one name that that that jumps out at you and it's nikki haley governor of south carolina. not only endorsed marco rubio during the primary but in many cases was a little bit of the poster child for, you know, people with reservations about donald trump. >> without a doubt. i actually think this is a really important signal that she's on this list and that she's coming to meet with him. that he is not blowing himself off from people who are opposed to him. i wouldn't call her a never trumper. obviously she did get on board eventually but she certainly was part of that very vocal opposition and concern inside the republican party of donald trump and the fact that he's willing to consider her, obviously it serves some of his needs no doubt to look like he's reaching out but i just think it tells us something that he is not given some law that says absolutely nobody that's ever opposed

david chalian, here's the question. are the races in those two states, florida and north carolina, as close as they really seem to be? >> i believe they are. quite frankly, both campaigns, they're the states that have seen the most advertising money in this campaign. this is where the biggest part of the ground game has been focused on both sides. these two states probably hold the key to the election in two ways. one, for donald trump, he simply can't get to 270 electoral votes without both of these states in his column. it's nearly impossible. >> if he loses either one, it's over? >> basically, if hillary clinton can win either one of those states, she can throw up such a massive roadblock to donald trump's path to 270, it would be all but over. >> interesting. carroll, president obama and donald trump, they're both hitting jacksonville, the northern part of the state today. how much can the president, first, move the needle for hillary clinton? >> well, he can -- he certainly is popular among democrats and that's why

let me bring in cnn political drekd o director david chalian to break down the numbers. in arizona, donald trump leads hillary clinton by five points. in florida, it's tight, clinton ahead just by two. in nevada, that race has shifted with trump now ahead 49% to 43% and in pennsylvania clinton ahead with a four-point edge. where do you want to begin, david chalian? six days out, what do these numbers tell you? >> well, the first thing if you're the clinton campaign you look at is that pennsylvania number where you have a four-point edge, yes it's narrower than it has been in pennsylvania recently but that is a significant enough lead that probably convinces you there isn't some major crumbling going on in a state that's been leaning in your direction so they probably can breathe a sigh of relief. another poll came out an hour after our's did showing a four-point lead for clinton in pennsylvania. if you're in the trump campaign, you look at that nevada number, wow, six-point lead, that's a significant uptick for trump in a state that the clinton folks were feeling pretty

david chalian is over at the magic wall. david, four big shifts in our labeling today, all of them moving towards trump. >> that's right, jake, four moves towards trump. this is the old map. this is the new map. we moved new hampshire from lean blue to ballots ground, ohio and utah went from battleground to lean republican as did the congressional district up in maine. and look at what this new map means for donald trump. take a look. he needs to do a clean sweep of all the battleground states. everything on our map that is yellow, and that gets him to 269. he then has to win that one last battleground we have in nebraska, the second congressional district there. if he can get that one electoral vote, he's at 270. jake, that's a little different than hillary clinton's path on our new map. as you noted, she dropped just below 270, but, let's see, pick any state you want here, she only needs one. let's go to the smallest one, new hampshire, four electoral votes would put her back over the top. hillary clinton only needs to win

let's get to david chalian at the wall. donald trump spending his day in the historically blue states such as wisconsin. a lot of people asking why. >> it's a good question, jake. the campaign schedules really are starting to give us a sense of their closing-pitch strategy. donald trump started in the philly suburbs this area, an area you know quite well. donald trump and mike pence together there. this evening he's in wisconsin. this is because he is still looking for some way, jake, some way to dig into blue democratic territory. we'll show you why in a moment. take a look at the democratic campaign trail. in ohio, barack obama. down here in north carolina today, joe biden. and in florida, you've got both bill and hillary clinton, three different stops, not together, six stops in total. criss-crossing the sunshine state. while donald trump is hunting in some blue territory, jake, the democrats and all their surrogate firepower today targeting those real tossup battleground states. a couple quick poll numbers to show you b

>> david chalian thank you very much. >> now let's turn to the electoral map. mark, the polls are fast and furious now, the big picture. who is expanding the map and where? >> well, let's just first say that we think that wind is behind donald trump at this point. we don't know how many of a head wind he's got going on but he certainly has some wind going. let's take a look at three different states. let's first look at georgia. this is a big surprise, a new poll that has come out in that state that shows donald trump only up by one point. very surprising. this is a very red state. hillary clinton hasn't invested very much time or any money and whatle what else is interesting is we're looking at early vote numbers and even though they don't correlate to a poll, don, we're seeing a decrease in participation by african-american voters in the early vote. so, i'm sure the clinton campaign is scratching their heads wondering if in fact georgia is real. but let's now go up to the state of new hampshire that david chalian had noted and look at this poll right here, th

david chalian is joining me.e desperately needs to win in these states. >> he needs to win all of the toss-up states and plus gain blue territory where hillary clinton has the slight edge in our polls and the polls of polls and look at the poll, 45 to 45%. it doesn't get closer to that. it is shaping up to be the closest state this time around as well. in pennsylvania, in our brand new cnn/orc poll, hillary clinton is with an edge and it seems to be holding at the moment for her. >> there's also good news for donald trump out west. >> without a doubt. take a look first in arizona. this is one of the states that hillary clinton has been trying to expand the map on. it does not look like it's quite there yet for her. five-point edge in our poll. 49% to 44% for donald trump. and in nevada, he has a six-point edge. 49% to 43% in that critical battleground state. we need to see more polls in nevada. that is looking a little different than other data we've seen there. if indeed it's the first indicator of a trend where

david chalian is "outfront." bernie sanders saying the future of the country could rest on new hampshire and it could. >> without a doubt erin. first look at the state of play in new hampshire. the latest poll out of there shes a significant hillary clinton lead, 46 to 39% that. 7 point lead is why you see donald trump looking elsewhere. wisconsin, michigan, pennsylvania for a blue state. because right now new hampshire he's not there. but let's go into the electoral map and look at exactly what bernie sanders is talk, about and why he can make a difference. let's flip new hampshire from blue to red right now for donald trump. and then let's give donald trump the rest of these yellow battleground state, nevada, utah, arizona, this is best case scenario for him. florida, north carolina and ohio. boom. 269 to 269. that -- then you would hunt for that one congressional district electoral vote in maine to put him over the top but it is new hampshire that makes this a tied race in this scenario and gets it thrown into

douglas brinkley, dana bash, david chalian and martha kumar. dana that was your home away from home for many years on capitol hill. and we'll throw the photo back up if we can. you had melania trump, donald trump, speaker ryan and mike pence. and what -- quickly what i can make out is we'll work together. >> i'm thinking of the beginning of the presidential primary season he was making it abundantly clear without saying it that he didn't think there was a snowball's chance in you know where that this moment would ever happen. >> we're staring at it. i've been trying to think about the way politics works, think about the moment and been trying to sort of approach this in a very much a glass half full way in that in paul ryan and donald trump you have a policy wonk and a deal maker. and there's nothing that paul ryan likes more than to dig into tax reform, than to dig into budget reform then he has a past of digging into immigration reform and wanting immigration reform and then you have donald trump who wants to be successful. getting the presid

let's go now to our political director who has more information from exit polls, david chalian. you're looking at how these people exiting polls say how they would feel if donald trump or hillary clinton became the next president. >> that's right, jake. wee ta we talked about this a couple of times now. the challenge for these unpopular candidates. whoever wins will have a challenge of bringing the country back together, getting the majority of americans on their side. no matter who they voted for, take a look at these numbers here. 21% say they'll be concerned. 37% say they'll be scared. concerned or scared, 58% of the electorate, if donald trump wins. hillary clinton, about the same. not a ton better. 24% concerned, 29% scared if hillary clinton wins the presidency tonight. 53%. they are both facing majorities who are more concerned and scared than excited and optimistic no matter who wins this election tonight, jake. >> kind of bizarre. that would suggest -- these are preliminary numbers but that would suggest that people are voting for donald trump who would be concerned or

meg reston is here, cnn national political reporter david chalian joins me our cnn political director, david gergen is here, former presidential adviser to nixon, ford, reagan and clinton, and ryan lizza is here a washington correspondent for the new yorker. welcome to all of you. i want to talk about the popular vote first off, david chalian. so hillary clinton it's possible she could win the popular vote but not the electoral vote but that doesn't matter she's already conceded. there will be no challenges. >> right. we elect presidents by the electoral college not by the popular vote. that's the way we've been doing it for a couple centuries. so the -- and this will be, i think, the fourth time in history if indeed it emerges that way that the popular vote winner and the electoral college vote winner are different. and it was rather recent history it happened with al gore in 2000. >> yeah but we all know what happened then but that's different from -- >> tell me what happened then. he won the popular vote and george bush won the electoral college. and george bush served as president

brooke snz. >> all right, david chalian, thank you. this historic election is an upset. it's thrilling for a lot of you, devastating for some. it's turned the polling industry on its head with pollsters asking how the heck did they get it so wrong. nearly every survey predicted a clinton victory. donald trump's campaign ceo steve bannon explained the factor he thinks trump tapped into and that so many others underestimated is this. >> i think the -- my analogy to the british exit, to the brexit movement was really what the exit poll showed about people's desire for change, right? desire for real change, just not the type of change that gets talked about on cable tv so that's when i felt that will, well if this is correct, if this is correct you'll see it start to roll across what we call the your fore, which is what we felt we had to win. florida, north carolina, ohio and iowa. we always felt that pennsylvania, ohio, michigan, wisconsin, places like that would always be in play because of this populist message. >> i have with me mark preston, political commentator s.e. c

we want to get reaction from our political a-team here at cnn, david chalian, you've been listening to chat since tapper broke it and read the comey letter here. your thoughts, sir? >> it is just mind boggling that the fbi director after inserting himself into the campaign with 11 days to go finds a way to reinsert himself into the campaign with just a couple of days to go. i want us to take a step back and look where we are in the race, which is in no small part to the fbi -- the director comey's initial letter to the hill, both campaigns, both data operations will tell you that they saw significant real impact on the race after that news came out. to have sort of hey, never mind, big never mind, after seeing what -- look at the map right now, you see tighter contest, a tighter race nationally, you see the clinton campaign going to fortify the democratic leaning states. some of that was going to happen. there was going to be a natural tightening, no doubt that republicans and democrats both saw that tightening happening but jim comey put it on steroids in a way that altered the dynami

and bringing in david chalian.se those to their advantage to win? >> this shrike, it's the economy, stupid, right? of the clinton campaign in '92. this common sense mantra according to a trump-roger stone at the beginning of the campaign said donald trump was committed to taking complexities of the global stage and simplifying it for two reasons. one, the republican electorate, primary electorate, would find it appealing, a common sense approach to things and wrapping everything in that frame and, two enrage the establishment saying things aren't that simple and be able to accomplish two goals. >> in the wall, classic wall, an example of this, david? >> yes. again, according to excellent reporting, we would love this in stead of chasing headlines, our colleagues able to be behind the scenes, richly report what was going on behind the scenes. nunberg uses an example as told in the book about the wall. every time donald trump would say, build the wall, we'll talk about trump and the wall, for the psychology of voters

if she adds to that new mexico, colorado, virginia and new hampshire, as david chalian said, she's doneen if donneaw donald trump wi the other battleground states. in ohio, florida, north carolina, none of which she truly needs to win in order to win. and donald trump's schedule this week tells you what you need to know, which is as david said, even if he wins all the battleground states, he still has to take away one of these core democratic states colorado, new hampshire, wisconsin or michigan or pennsylvania. >> let's go to the all-important land of pennsylvania. michael smerconish, you're there, how do you see the path to 270? >> i see it much the same as ron. i would just present it maybe in a more straight forward way, which is to say that that big blue wall that he coined many, many years ago, if in fact, she can hold it together and throw in florida, it's over. and, so, that's why there is so much concentration on florida and so much concentration on north carolina for similar reasons. i'm also caught up in this early voter turnoutdata, which i think has some very interesting st

david chalian, thank you so much. hillary clinton is about to speak at her second stop of the day in michigan as she revisits three states she hopes will form a firewall against the trump train. cnn senior washington correspondent jeff zeleny is live in the great city of philadelphia where hillary clinton will speak this evening. jeff, what is the campaign strategy here? michigan and pennsylvania were once considered safe for clinton. >> reporter: they were, indeed, jake, and they have voted d ed democratic for the last six presidential elections but a top aide told me it's an insurance policy. it's the best place to block donald trump so that is what is happening in the final 24 hours of this campaign. they're simply trying to block donald trump. now, if you catch them in an honest moment, jake, they also are not quite sure about michigan in particular because it certainly was a state that bernie sanders did very well in the primary campaign. it certainly is more of a state where this populist argument is alive and w

and david chalian now out front in washington. new polls out tonight. it is getting tight and tighter. >> new polls in new hampshire -- that was maine. let's get to new hampshire. a new poll out today. one point edge for donald trump. another poll in new hampshire, dead heat. 42% to 42%. certainly that is welcome news in the trump campaign. he also got pretty good news in the state of utah. take a look at this new poll. evan mcmullin, the never trumper, the third party candidate not surging in this poll. 24% compared to donald trump's 37%. even hillary clinton is ahead of mcmullin. so donald trump may be able to count on these six electoral votes in utah and he'll need them. one bit of heartburn that may be causing the trump campaign is in the state of georgia. look at this new poll. nbc wall street journal maris just out. 45% to 44%. a one point trump lead in a state that hasn't gone democratic since 1992. >> which is pretty state your naming. i know that you have looked through this david. and yousy there could be up to six paths to victory for trump.

let's bring in cnn political editor, david chalian joining us now with the bottom line. >> chris, didotice the name he said in that whole clip was clinton, he said it twice. the name he did not say was trump, he called him, our nominee. i think paul ryan is quite clear there that he is not embracing donald trump in any way, he's casting his vote for whoever had the "r" after his name on the ballot. and this has been his struggle throughout this entire time. in fact, i think we've seen this struggle in the establishment sort of wing of the party. look at john kasich, we learned yesterday he wrote in john mccain's name on his ballot. there was a divide about how to handle the trump candidates, because nobody seemed very eager to embrace it fully. >> well, speaker ryan has obviously had his public disputes with trump. and if you take him at his word, for why he didn't want to vote for hillary clinton, beyond that she's a democrat and he's a republican, lives beyond the rules, one surprise after another. are those the things he thinks he's going to be getting rid of with donald trump? >>

our political director, david chalian at the magic wall.lain where the candidates are sending top surrogates today, exactly one week from the election. >> it gives us a little bit of insight into the strategy. as you just heard from sara, the republican ticket was doubling down in the philly suburbs today. donald trump and mike pence both appearing there for the speech before donald trump heading to wisconsin. blue-state territory. that is where the trump campaign was focused today. the democrats here, the blue dots, in those traditional tossup battleground states. we see president obama campaigning for secretary clinton in ohio. joe biden, the vice president, in north carolina. the clintons double down on florida today. both hillary clinton and bill clinton in the sunshine state each doing separate events, three each, crisscrossing the state today. new polls to look at in some of the key states. take a look in north carolina, this is a poll of polls, an average of five polls in north carolina since the last debate. hillary clinton with a f

david chalian and gloria berjer. gloria, let me start with you. is there a precedent for someone like kushner, 35, son-in-law, without any government experience to be so powerful? >> it is hard to think of one. first thing that comes to mind of course is jfk appointing his brother attorney general. but that was why we have nepotism rules now. and so i think it is pretty much unprecedented. but then again the president elect doesn't have political experience. he's never been in government. he's never held elective office. so the kind of old standards that we use to judge administrations by i think go by the wayside in the incoming trump administration. sloilt issue number one for donald trump. and we see forming an insular group that will be his kitchen cabinet and one of those people is clearly going to be jared kushner. >> very obvious as we're saying with them going for top security clearance but not of course for trump's children. >> i think that is a subject of concern: because not only does donald trump have no foreign policy experience but j

>> joining us now, senior washington correspondent jeff zeleny and cnn political director david chalianrings, this guy is willing to go public. murmurings from other democrats saying it's time torefor a chan. how serious is this? >> the idea of a challenge is quite serious to her. she's been there more than a decade. 13 years, in fact, and democrats are -- are at a low point. no question. the problem here is that there's no one person that can probably take her out. tim rye an is definitely a readg star or rising voice in the party. no question. he's from one of those red counties in ohio. the democrats didn't win. that said, she has a lot of support locked up from her california delegation. also from women. so it is difficult. most democrats would like to see her leave quietly. they point to the fact she's 76 years old. point to that respectfully. %-p? nearly twice as old on the republican side. one of the challenges there. that said, she a very good politician internally usely wins these races. >> i've never seen a leader understand where their caulks is at in terms of a whip count an

cnn political analyst david gregory and david chalian and amy stoddard, associate editor and columnist for "real clear politics." quickly, david. the president talks about the e-mail issue, the fbi review of what's going on right now. when he does that it generates more news coverage. this is a story the clinton campaign would like to see go discussed as we're doing right - now. >> as we're doing right now. it's not going to go away. i think they understand that. certainly the president understands it. from a narrower, strategic point of view they recognize this is hurting and on the minds of voters. i think they believe that there is a chance to turn it around to her favor. if the president's out here talking about this saying, look, her enemies are overreaching here. this is unfair. there are people who have to get out. you heard the president pointedly saying today to african-american voters, look we have one more election, even though i'm not on the ballot you've got to turn out for her, you've got to vote for her. there's a feeling the democratic faithful can be fired up, get a li

david chalian is at the magic wall. david, what are the core states you are looking at as you take into account what we've seen today, turnout, for example, in these crucial battlegrounds. >> let's listen to what jim and jeff just told you about the map. remember, here's our battleground map. five remaining battleground states. hillary clinton only two away from 270 electoral votes. let's say the clinton campaign is feeling fantastic about nevada. let's give her that you heard jeff zeleny say they're feeling good about florida. i want to show you how important that michigan area is jim was talking about. let's give donald trump arizona. let's give him north carolina and the remaining battleground up here in new hampshire. if hillary clinton wins florida and nevada, those battleground states, she's at 303, he is still a good 36 electoral votes away. he would need not only michigan at that point, he would need pennsylvania. that would get him to 270 so just digging into michigan may not be enough if hillary clinton is putt

david chalian. there's been some breaking news, what you can tell us? >> two items of news came out of this briefing that shawn spicer and jason miller, two top communicators for trump held with reporters. one item is that there's going to be this lobbying band. we've heard about part of the purge and there were a lot of lobbyists involved. trump spicer said anyone being vetted for a high-profile position is going to have to be registered from being a lobbyist. >> in addition when they leave the government, they will be banned from being a lobbyist for five years. >> which is no small thing. that's somebody's livelihood and you're saying you can't come into this administration and cash in and think you're going to go back to k street and make a ton of money. there's going to be this cooling off period of five years. this isn't terribly dissimilar from what we saw barack obama do when he came into office after running a campaign of transparency and also sort of draining the swamp and he made some anti-lobbying rules working on his transition and administ

cnn political director david chalian joining me at the magic wall. give us the scenarios. what is the path to 270 if trump wins north carolina versus clinton's path. >> starting with what you just said, jake, which is giving donald trump all the remaining battleground states. nevada, utah, arizona, florida, ohio, and as you are saying, north carolina, that still has him short. remember, if he could flip a state like new hampshire and then maybe get that congressional district up in maine he might be able to get to 270 that way. just to show you how important north carolina is, in is that scenario, though, if i gave hillary clinton north carolina, it is the state that can really block donald trump. and take a look at the state of play in north carolina. as you know, the candidates have been there non-stop since the conventions. donald trump has made ten visit. hillary clinton, seven visits. our latest poll of polls in north carolina shows a slight edge for hillary clinton. 46% to 42%. that's an average of about the last five reputable polls in the state. >> interesting. dav

let's get straight to brian stelter, host of "reliable sources" and david chalian, cnn political directorian, let me again with you here. the backdrop of this meeting, donald trump at the "new york times," what's the back story? >> trump often says he detests the media. he complains about the media every chance he get bus he cares deeply about the press, he cares about the "new york times," he cares about what cnn says about him. so he requested this meeting at the "new york times" today then he canceled it

. >> david chalian. our political editor. look 59 exit polls. what are you seeing? >> we can look at how they are splitting. take a look here. we also looked at right experience. fewer voters in virginia were looking for the candidate for right experience. but 89% for clinton to trump's 8%. only about 24% of the electrorate was looking for a candidate with about a quarter of the electorate is actually satisfied with the government. >>> and obviously if a large enough percentage of voters in any state or commonwealth goes to the polls wanting change and thinking crump is the zrumt of that change it does not bode vel for hillary clinton. >> it is certainly possible. >> once we start getting the first projection, everybody is going to be watching so closely to get twrend for the other battleground states. >> right. and the question is how many latinos turn out. mow college educated voters toumpblt how big is the gender gap. the resulteds in virginia might be relevant to results we see in north carolina or even in pennsylvania. >> pennsylvania your home state, all of a

david chalian who was there all along the way, our political director, joins me with a preview.cover everything and the last bit wasn't written until a week ago but i wanted to ask you about -- >> surprise ending. >> right. if senator mike lee -- this is the question for you -- succeeded in united cruz and rubio, would we be in a different place today? >> i don't know. but this fascinating chapter of the book, my colleagues thomas lake and jodi edna who had this great assignment for the last year and a half, being able to work behind-the-scenes details, nuggets that would be embargoed until it was over. so it takes you behind the scenes in a way the daily headlines don't, we learned that -- jake tapper was moderating the republican debate in miami. a couple days before, mike lee had spoken -- senator from utah, big ted cruz emissary supporter, spoke to marco rubio, set up an appointment, was getting on a plane going to florida a couple days before the debate to say, hey, we're a week out before the primary, let's join forces, make a cruz/rubio ticket and see if we can stop donal

let's talk about this and much more with cnn political director david chalian, cnn political commentator, jackie kucinich, and cnn's drew griffin with our investigations unit. david, first to you, how serious is trump about these picks, do you think, with gabbert and reeve, especially after what he said last week? is this an about-face? >> this is purely speculation until we see an announcement come out. you have to wonder how serious these democrats may be considering joining -- accepting an invitation if they get one to join a trump administration. right now it serves both sides to be seen parading in and out, shows trump is reaching out and serves these folks to have their names out there as potential picks. so far we can only judge what he has named. that is the concrete stuff. that's what we're waiting to see the next pieces to come from that, pam. >> so far to his cabinet he's named white men, jackie, and he's been hit over the lack of diversity in some of his cabinet picks. is this an attempt to quell some of that criticism? >> it's hard to know at this point because kellyanne con

our political david chalian and alex barns. and best selling novelist. david. let's me start with you as trump is a arriving here in mar-a-lago, that is crucial moment for him. he has a lot of decisions to make. one of them obviously going to be secretary of state. you heard jim acosta say mitt romney is seriously considering taking that o job. which is pretty stunning because these two people have said incredibly horrible things about each other and they disagree on some crucial policy issues. but we are hearing mitt romney a real possibility tonight. >> this would be such a bold stroke for donald trump. and you are right. it would be a surprising sort of acceptance of this offer for mitt romney as well. and clearly takes the counsel of his family more than any outside advisor. so gathering with the family over thanksgiving, i'm sure this will be conversation. which is why i think we won't have a final answer if the trump romney diplomatic marriage is to take place. we'll learn after the holiday. you are right to note their differences, specifically on russia

. >>> now let's go to david chalian in washington. david, we have in new polls. this is it, the final polls. they do show some moves here on the map. >> there's no doubt about it, erin, we got five national polls today that meet cnn's standards, in every one of them, hillary clinton had the edge from about three to six points and, again, our poll of polls, seven national polls, she has a four-point edge, 46%-42%. but let's look as you know, it's a state-by-state battle. let's look at some of the states where both candidates are campaigning today. the most recent poll out of michigan, four-point edge for hillary clinton. 42%-38%. in pennsylvania, where that big rally you saw jeff zeleny at there, look at this, poll of polls in pennsylvania, five-point edge for hillary clinton. 47%-42%. let's go up to new hampshire where donald trump and barack obama on behalf of hillary clinton campaigning today. 44%-41%. three-point edge in that poll of polls. and in critical north carolina, again, seeing both candidates today where hillary clinton's final battleground rally will

let's get the bottom line on all things trump and politics with cnn political director david chalian.ther chalian, good to see you. >> good morning. >> the impressive notion here is not that just it's a female governor that he's picking, but, somebody who is a big critic of donald trump during the campaign. the negative is he's picking someone to be u.n. ambassador with no former foreign experience. >> right but let's start on the positive side here. this is his first non-white male pick of an official pick that we've heard, so there's some diversifying of this candidate. but the larger point that i think you highlighted that is important, this is somebody during the campaign he said is an embarrassment to the state that she leads. south carolina, we know she was a vocal critic, and yet this is probably a really welcome sign not just to members of the republican establishment that weren't with trump but also to democrats that were clinton supporters that donald trump is doing something different here that we didn't see much of during the campaign. which is being able to not be a count

david chalian, i'll start with you. can donald trump govern the way he campaigned? >> wow. questions about can donald trump do x the way he did y are tricky because i didn't know -- i don't think many of us thought he would be able to win the presidency the way that he conducted his campaign. >> a lot of people didn't think he could win the republican nomination. >> i am aware of that and i am careful to say that. so i do think that anybody who wins the presidency finds that to be a transformative experience in some way from the campaign trail. there is a transition, not just the peaceful transition of power from one administration to the next, but there is a transition from candidate to president-elect to president. and i am very eager to watch donald trump. i thought last night he hit some notes in his speech that indicated he seems aware that that transition is on its way. and i am very eager to see if indeed some of the red meat that you toss out on the campaign trail is left behind on the campaign trail and that a slightly different approach comes into the -- >> dana,

let's go to david chalian in washington. that poll of polls is obviously narrowing.uly are here neck-and-neck. what are the most likely paths to 270. >> there's no doubt about that. three-point lead for hillary clinton. 46% to 43%. it doesn't get much closer than that. and that, of course, means that it is narrowing in some of the key states. we've talked before about hillary clinton's blue wall of defense here. wisconsin, michigan, pennsylvania, virginia. this is what gives her an advantage in the electoral map, that those states are leaning her way. but some late worry from team clinton on michigan. remember, let's look at the most recent michigan poll. 42% to 38%. a four-point race in a state that barack obama won by nine points four years ago. so that is giving heartburn there in michigan. some better news for the clinton campaign coming in iowa. a brand-new poll there, 44% to 43%. dead heat, second poll in as many weeks that shows a real dead heat in iowa. we have it leaning red on our map but the clinton campaign sees some possible, possible opportunity there.

david chalian "outfront" in washington. the clinton poll, part of what the clinton campaign is reacting to. key states outlet today in terms of the polling bhasmt impact does all this have on the race to 270. >> a slew of new key numbers tonight and as jeff was just talking, the clinton campaign is focused on this blue wall here through these states. and they got some pretty decent news tonight in terms of polling. take a look at wisconsin. hillary clinton 46%. donald trump 40%. six point lead in a state she had to hold. how about pennsylvania? we got a four point lead. 48% to 44. among likely voters in pennsylvania. our brand new orc poll. a narrow margin but again the blue wall is not crumbling. but look back at this map, erin. these yellow states are the remaining toss ups. and donald trump is getting some pretty good news out there. take a look at ohio. he's got a five point lead. 46-41% in a new quinnipiac poll tonight. out west to nevada. 49%, 43%. six point lead in our orc poll. arizona, a five point lead for donald

cnn political director david chalian joins me.kind of information are we expecting to see in the exit polls? >> these are interviews we do across the country as people are leaving the polls telling us how they voted and why they voted. the kind of information we look for right away is sort of the makeup of the electorate, along racial lines, age, education, gender. these are the kinds of things that will sort of look and give us the tapestry of what the electorate looks like tonight and does it look different than it did four years ago and in what ways and how it might be advantageous for one candidate or the other. the other thing we look at is what people were looking for when they went to the polls today. the quality of the candidates. when did they make up their mind, the voter behavior. the makeup of the electorate and why the voters are making the choices they are making today. >> back with our panel. dan pfeiffer, what will you be looking for in the first wave of exit poll results? >> are we seeing the obama coalition turni

david chalian, quickly your reaction to what we heard from bernie sanders, who clearly has a voice in the democratic party. >> a big voice! you know the expression, politics abhors a vacuum. it doesn't take long to hear from somebody who wants to clearly be part of setting the direction of what the democratic party is in the trump era. and bernie sanders is stepping right up to the plate with you in this interview. he made very clear, i think, how he plans on shaping the democratic party is the party in opposition to donald trump. >> mark, he has a voice there. he has got influence now. he showed what he could do during the primaries. >> he has a following, his following is really the left wing of the party and also young people as well. and the fact is, when you pressed him a couple times about perhaps running in 2020 he wouldn't say no to it. in some ways, giddyup. he may be thinking of running. >> how significant of a player is he right now? >> a very significant player. we saw with the vote on tuesday a rejection of the sort of moderate hillary clinton politics and what many democ

i'm going to also bring back in david chalian.ernor, i'm starting with you. >> start. >> what's going on in michigan? is hillary clinton going to be able to pull it out? barack obama is there. so they're obviously nervous. >> it's awesome. it's awesome. usually michigan is -- it's totally great. so excited. >> president has to be deployed to michigan, it's exciting. >> i agree. it's awesome. >> we love all the attention. we really do. here is what i would say. what happens not been covered is that michigan has early absentee voting. in that early absentee vote, democrats have banked 50,000 absentee votes, meaning they're over what the republicans have. in fact, the number of absentee votes that we are seeing right now is well over what it was in 2012 for democrats. so, we're feeling good about that bank. and we also know that election day will be key. i would say one other thing that i think is important it realize. michigan's demographics are very interesting. you do have a large arab-american population and you do have a signifi

david chalian is live at the electera ele electoral map and we love when you play that video game. >>have been talking about a lot how donald trump needs to find some democratic territory. that's why we see ivanka trump in michigan and new hampshire today or melania trump in pennsylvania. new polling news coming out of those blue states. some good news for donald trump, potential opportunity. take a look here, brand-new colorado poll. dead heat 39% to 39%. brand-new new hampshire poll 40% to 39%. better news for hillary clinton in wisconsin. she's holding a six-point lead there. and in pennsylvania, she's got a four-point lead in our new poll there. 48% to 44%. so, some of that blue wall holding, but some opportunity. now, remember, here's where we are. if we were to give every battleground state to donald trump, he still wouldn't be there. he he'd be at 265. i showed you a new hampshire poll, that is one place for him to go. that gets him to 269. and that colorado poll is a possibility. nine electoral votes here. as his path begins to widen a little bit, north carolina may be a big,

. >> and he makes no secret, david chalian, of his attitude towards donald trump. >> none whatsoever.n fact, listening to him today at the university of new hampshire here, he was saying that he was biting his lip through much of this campaign when he thought that people had come to accept crazy as normal. he wasn't -- he didn't cite donald trump's name with that, but he took this notion that he said there were a lot of parts of this election that he didn't think were on the level and that this normalization of things that were totally out of bounds in his mind, clearly he's talking about donald trump there, but he's made no bones about the fact that, you know, earlier today he said, again, he is uniquely unqualified to be commander in chief. so he fully believes in somewhat startling ways, wolf, because he started this you recall really taking this on in the summer. i remember from the -- it was odd for a moment to see the sitting president of the united states in an east room press conference taking down a potential successor as unqualified for the office, but he early on, as soon a