joining us live now with more on what we need to know and how to prepare is david dewitt, director of noaa's climate prediction center. thank you so much for joining us. >> my pleasure to. >> all right. so what is your prediction, ian, for this coming year, this coming winter? yeah >> so for california specifically, we're forecasting a slightly enhanced probability of above normal precipitation, even for the state as a whole. and then a slightly enhanced probability of above normal temperatures for as well. >> i wanted to separate the idea of lots of rain and el nino for a moment. right. because as i understand, they don't necessarily go hand in hand, although that's what comes up in people's minds when they hear el nino. what are you saying about el nino and california this year ? >> yeah, so i think the separation is very good. and so i think a lot of people have in their mind 1997 98 event, which was extremely strong as well as the 1982 83 event. and had a lot of precipitation over california for the practical reality is that the el nino or what we would call teleconnection or in f