david phillips the former united nations and state department adviser now director of peace buildingnd human rights at columbia university and author of the book "kurdish spring" welcome both. we heard about the three english girls. you saw jamie's interview with the young syrian boy. yesterday in talking to the former ambassador to syria, he told of a former goalie for the syrian soccer team who after being held siege in homs with his family and seeing all of the children and people dying there, joined isis even though he was an anti-assad more moderate fighter. so how do we counteract these appeals online and events on the ground. >> one has to differentiate between the kids in the area they have no choice. isis have been very clever in forcing people to become recruiters and forcing families to send their kids to these indoctrination camps. that's a huge challenge to deal with that. from europe the coming as we heard in the report people kids from europe. it's difficult to tackle that. this is a dooms day prophecy being unfolded judgment day is coming. there has huge magnetic pull

david phillips thank you as always for being with us. we appreciate it. >> thank you abby. >>> now to a check of the storm cycle. the coldest weather in a generation is pushing its way into the northeast at this hour. new york city is expected to drop to a record-setting it ingting 2 degrees tonight. >> no. >> right now it's also all about the windchill, too. another storm will move in over the weekend with a wintery mix as temperatures briefly mod rate. oh, how about this guys? did you know that january was the second warmest on record? >> i don't believe that. >> say what? >> yes, that's because we've been freezing in the northeast, they've been enjoying above-normal temperatures out west and many other parts of the world. go figure. >>> up next, the difference one word makes in the president's isis strategy at least to a lot of conservatives. >>> plus a deadly new superbug being tied to a treatment that's supposed to keep you healthy. what you need to know about that. >>> what to bet on in the oscar office pool. not that we on "the cy

let's bring back cnbc contributor middle east expert david phillips into this conversation.with your expertise on the region on the islamic state, on the threat it poses, is this presidential solution for now enough to fight isis or isil as the president calls it? >> it's a big step forward, but there are two fundamental flaws in the approach. i was just in iraqi kurdistan and the peshmerga say they are not receiving the right weapons from the united states. we're giving them guns and bullets but not the heavy weaponingsweapon weapons they need to counter the heavy armor isil seized. the second flaw is the idea of a unified iraq as part of the response. we need to face the fact that iraq is a failed state, and as long as we somehow condition our support to iraqis on the presumption that they're going to get together and find some reconciliation, we're not simply going to be able to move forward. we need to know who our friends are in iraq. those are the iraqi kurds. we need to support them more fully and we need a steely-eyed assessment of the politics on the ground. >> just

joining us from the london school of economics and david phillips, a former senior advisor, and authorh spring. and we've been talking about the reaction here at home and in jordan give us a sense of the reaction where you are? >> well i mean i don't need to tell you, there is a sense of anger and rage and despair not just in jordan but through the region. this is not just about the killing of moaz al kassasbeh, but the method by the way isis or the islamic state did it. i think we need to understand is why did isis or the islamic state decide to kill mow aszs al cass cass bay. they could have exchanged prisoners, and why did they have to kill mow azs al cass cass bay. this particular war is all-out war. so in this particular sense, killing the pilot sends a powerful message, in particular to the base of isis or the islamic state and its followers to wii assure the rank and file that isis is still basically standing tall and to strike fear in the hearts of its enemies and that is what you have in jordan and elsewhere at this particular moment. >> you talk about that fear and talk about

from phillips >>> police believe that david richard davis murdered his wife by injecting her with a lethal making the death look like a horseback riding accident. the drug he allegedly used was believed to be undetectable. but a team of determined toxicologists found it. for 8 1/2 years, davis eluded police before they finally got a break. a story about shannon's murder appeared on network television. an old girlfriend of davis' called police with a tip. >> she called and she wanted to tell me about an individual that she thought could be david davis. she knew him by a different name. however, she was very reluctant to get involved. she was in fear of her own life. >> the caller revealed that davis was living in american samoa with a samoan wife under the name david meyer bell. in the eight years since shannon's death he had lived in california, alaska and hawaii. the fbi arrested davis and he returned to michigan for trial. >> we know that he courted and dated several women before shannon and asked each of them to marry him in an extremely short period of time, something like 14 months he

david rhode. and counterterrorism official phillip mudd. phil they said they had an idea where she was. you can understand their desire to have an operation take place as quickly as possible. do you think there was too much of a delay, or is kind of having a general idea where somebody is enough? >> boy, anderson you're asking me to challenge a family that has just lost a daughter. but a few months ago we had a raid attempt in yemen that resulted in the loss of hostages because the captors killed them. you have to look at the situation in my world of intelligence and look at both sides. there's a potential benefit here obviously, to rescuing the young lady who was later murdered. there's also a potential cost if those special forces officers lose their lives. the hardest thing in my world of intelligence you're not looking where that individual was yesterday, you're looking at where that individual will be tomorrow. and whether you have good enough predictive intelligence to provide assurance to that team that they're going into an environment that they can at some level control. this o

. >> prime minister david cameron alongside the deputy prime minister. i asked chris phillipsk national terrorism security office how the intelligence services allowed emwazi to get to syria. >> you have to bear in mind that we live in a free open democratic society, where people can do what they wish as long as they don't break the law. as soon as someone breaks the law, they are taken before the courts, hopefully. >> are there ways to stop them from leaving the country or coming back in the country? >> yes, there are, but you have to understand the sheer difficulty of dealing with people who may be on the cusp of terrorism, may be extreme in their views, but haven't actually yet decided to step over the line. it's incredible to think that this person was roaming around our streets, but the fact that he's in syria probably is you know, is some -- it's an interesting point that he actually left the country and was able to get away like that. >> one of i don't know dozens of intelligence services will be looking at or hundreds or maybe even thousands. what good is some sense of

david: it is a tough market to hold any kind of greek bonds. brian bat till, chris let's letter, bob phillips, great to have you here. oil rallying 50 bucks a barrel. posting the highest close of 2015. up nearly 20% just over the past three days. liz: yeah, but it had a massive lost of 60%. have oil prices finally bottomed? joining us by phone one of the top oil analysts on the street, fadel gheit. oppenheimer and company managing director. what do you make of the action today? you compare it with what happened yesterday which was a decent move. but today was it simply a short squeeze of people believing that oil was going down further. >> absolutely. it is not supported by market fundamentals of supply and demand. the world does not changeover night. actually started the rally on friday. in three days we feigned 20%. liz: you're saying there is more to the downside here for oil, fadel. >> absolutely. it will go up and down but i would say, upside potential in oil over the next year or so is still much higher than the downside risk. it doesn't rule out that we will revisit mid 40s, which coul