host: david wasserman? guest: what we saw in virginia was an extraordinary rural turnout for glenn youngkin relative to 2017. he was able to get more trump voters from polls that mcauliffe was able to get biden voters. when the party out of the white house is feeling under siege, they tend to turn out. anger is a stronger motivator than love. mcauliffe, i think he could have moved beyond trump and made his message more about what voters were focused on, but at the same time the big trouble spot for democrats in a lot of down ballot races for the house of delegates was in the i-95 corridor south of richmond. democrats lost four races by five points or less. that included two districts with black pluralities. it was not that black voters did not turn out at a high rate or defected to republicans. it was that rural white turnout was extraordinary. that is a warning sign for democrats in congressional races next year. the fact we saw so many suburban areas that mcauliffe was a notable -- unable to match biden.

is david wasserman. he's the senior editor focusing on the u.s. house for the cook political report. thank you for being with us. i just want to begin with the latest of how the odds are looking for the parties heading into 2022 from your analysis. there are 68 vulnerable seats for democrats in the house. and 30 vulnerable seats for republicans. and four tossup races. how is it looking, david wasserman? what's the lay of the land? guest: republicans are the clear favorites for house control in 2022. there are going to be fewer competitive races in that by the time redistricting is done. redistricting is the single biggest factor that will predetermine a lot of house race outcomes because the parties who control the line drawing process in most states have an incentive to maximize the number of safe seats for their own side and minimize the number for the other side. but if you look at the results that we saw in new jersey and virginia, it was a big night for republicans, obviously, but what should really scare democrats is two things, first of all

host: david wasserman?uest: what we saw in virginia was an extraordinary rural turnout for glenn youngkin relative to 2017. he was able to get more trump voters from polls that mcauliffe was able to get biden voters. when the party out of the white house is feeling under siege, they tend to turn out. anger is a stronger motivator than love. mcauliffe, i think he could have moved beyond trump and made his message more about what voters were focused on, but at the same time the big trouble spot for democrats in a lot of down ballot races for the house of delegates was in the i-95 corridor south of richmond. democrats lost four races by five points or less. that included two districts with black pluralities. it was not that black voters did not turn out at a high rate or defected to republicans. it was that rural white turnout was extraordinary. that is a warning sign for democrats in congressional races next year. the fact we saw so many suburban areas that mcauliffe was a notable -- unable to match biden. th

is david wasserman. he's the senior editor focusing on the u.s.house for the cook political report. thank you for being with us. i just want to begin with the latest of how the odds are looking for the parties heading into 2022 from your analysis. there are 68 vulnerable seats for democrats in the house. and 30 vulnerable seats for republicans. and four tossup races. how is it looking, david wasserman? what's the lay of the land? guest: republicans are the clear favorites for house control in 2022. there are going to be fewer competitive races in that by the time redistrictings

to dive in, i'm joined by two redistricting heavyweights, david wasserman of the "cook political report colby itkowitz of the "washington post." let me just start by setting the table for the two of you. in just a few words, can you describe this redistricting process right now? david. >> it's an arms race and republicans have an upper hand in it. they're likely to benefit in terms of seats by a modest amount. but the biggest victim in all of this gerrymandering is competition. we're likely to see the number of competitive seats in the house reduced by as much as a third >> desjardins: and colby? >> i would add to that disappointing for voting rights advocates. for voters who over the last decade had approved ballot initiatives by huge margins asking for politics and partisanship to be taken out of this process. and in so many states, it still remains to be the case that politicians are drawing lines and choosing voters instead of voters choosing them. >> desjardins: okay, let's dive in first with the where. looking at some of the maps we've picked to illustrative state and we're going

is david wasserman. he's the senior editor focusing on the u.s.or the cook political report. thank you for being with us. i just want to begin with the latest of how

coming up on wednesday morning, david wasserman discusses the governor's races and what they mean for campaign 2022 and the latest on redistricting. also, what critical race theory is and where it originated. watch washington journal live on wednesday morning on c-span or on c-span now, our new app. "booktv" every sunday on c-span2 features authors discussing their latest books. the author of "some of us: what racism costs everyone and how we can prosper together" and the author of "last best hope" offer ways to overcome inequalities in the country. and a collection of interviews conducted with over 170 people on the new york city subway. and a conversation between paul oster and joyce carol oates on the writing life. and "perricone -- "barracoon," zora neale hurston's story of the last living survivor of the atlantic slave trade was published in 2018. and then the book "you bet your life: from lung transfusions -- blood transfusions, the long and risky history of medicine. watch every sunday on c-span2 or watch online any time at booktv.org. ♪ >> next, political

nbc news projects that democrats will hold on in new jersey but according to david wasserman, if republicanslicate nationally in races, the on-the-ground success in both new jersey and virginia they would wipe out as many as 40 democratic seats next year and as many as the mid-50s. where democrats go here we will try and tackle it later this hour as the party faces challenging with messaging and tactics and democrats to name a few. and we'll go to where the party goes now. joining us kristen welker and our capitol hill correspondent ali vitali. kristen, let me start with you. let's focus on the acceleration of trying to get something passed. what role is the white house playing? or are they basically right now, waiting to see what pelosi can pull off? >> reporter: well, i think that the president is trying to twist the arms behind the scenes while letting house speaker nancy pelosi take the lead on this, chuck, he's here at the white house, he has no events on the public schedule at this point in time that we're aware of. no plans to either go to capitol hill or have lawmakers come here. so

it's the house editor david wasserman. mr. wasserman, it's good to see you.e'll get everything in before we get everything in northern virginia, and just to update chesterfield, here was chesterfield county in 2017. they carried half the votes. 2017, democrats carried the votes. what can we expect? >> i expect he will be able to, the question is will the margin be enough. chesterfield is it unique because the democratic trend line is not just the result of suburban white voters changing allegiances, it's also the black vote we've seen in chesterfield. will that hold up in chesterfield and similar places? >> speaking of that, i want to go to two suburban quality counties, fairfax, arlington and virginia, the outer suburbs of prince william and loudon, and you've been especially obsessed with both of these because of those middle class voters of color. let me just remind people, 2017 in loudon. north i've got almost 60%. in 2020, biden got over 60%. what's interesting is i've heard youngkin people tell me they believe they can get to 48% in loudon. that would t

david wasserman discusses what the governors' races mean for the campaign 2022 and the latest on redistrictingalso, i talk about what critical race theory is and where it originated. watch washington journal on c-span or on c-span now, our new mobile up. -- mobile app. be sure to join the discussion with your phone calls, facebook comments, text messages, and tweets. ♪ announcer: c-span is your unfiltered view of government. funded by these television companies and more, including sparklight. >> the greatest tone on earth is the place you call home. right now, we are all facing our greatest challenge. that is why we are working around-the-clock to keep you connected. doing our part so it is easier to do yours. announcer: sparklight supports c-span as a public service, along with these other television providers, giving you a front row seat to democracy. ♪ announcer: a new mobile video app from c-span. c-span now. download today. announcer:

i remember reading on twitter right after the primary, david wasserman who works for the cook report, he tweeted, he got this one right. he got the last election wrong. he said we'd lose 15 seats. got the number right, the party wrong. but -- he said there's a chance youngkin could win. you watch twitter. oh my god. they attacked this poor man. and it looked like he'd be wrong throughout this. here you are, terry mcauliffe, former speaker, former governor, right hand to the clintons. terry mcauliffe is the guy who loaned the money to bill clinton when he left the white house to buy his house. he'd won before, know what is to do. biden had just won by 10 points one year ago. less than a year. now watch, all the people they brought in. president obama. kamala harris. i believed what kamala harris said. she said this is a bellwether, what happens in virginia is an indicator what's going to happen in the future. she's right. but you know what? i love to study history. i watched the closing days of the campaign. because people are asking me, could youngkin win? it's so difficult but it's g