now it would seem eileen democrat -- i lean democrat. it is really contingent on one or two issues whether someone is democrat or republican. thank you. guest: that is an interesting point. for some voters it can be a single issue or a group of issues that causes them to lean or identify with a party or identify with a party or even to change parties. usually what we have signed -- what we have found is they do not tend to change their party identification that much. about 8% to 10% will change from year to year. it is not a lot of change on a year to year basis. host: because the caller was on the independent line, how do you account for independents? guest: identifying means you affiliate with that party. leaning is a softer measure. about one third identify as republicans, one third as democrats and about one third as independents. those who are independents tend to lean and they often have strongly partisan views themselves. they are not nonpartisan. host: one of the other factors you look at his income and how that factors in to how

you know, machine politicians and machine politics generally comes out of democratic cities and democratic states. but then the reality is, i mean listen, the reality is you to both political parties and politicians. and both political parties have an incredible capacity to hold grudges. and i wasn't, i can't speak to what happens inside, you know, state and local democratic party apparatus is. i know that for instance, when i was a republican party official in maryland, i used to think that the republican party and marilyn was the most screwed up republican party and in all the nation, given the amount of grudges and backbiting and back stabbing that could occur until i realized that ever republican party in every state is the most screwed up dumb republican party in the nation. i, i don't know about that on the democrats side. i do not know they're better about getting people in line. republicans are not quite as good at that. well, i'm gonna keep you on here because there is a picture that circulating along it's about. it was actually a donald trump, and bologna is wedding. you have and

jeffries: i'm very confident that the overwhelming majority of house democrats will stand by our democratic allies in israel and ukraine and the indo-pacific , and make sure that humanitarian assistance is secure for innocent palestinians in gaza are in harm's way through no fault of their own as well as people in conflict zones throughout the world, including in haiti and the sudan where there is massive suffering. that's what i'm confident about in terms of democrats continuing to step up and meet the national security needs of the american people, solve problems, and deliver real results, always exercising common sense and pushing back against maga extremist chaos. it remains to be seen what a majority of house republicans will do. we'll have that answer tomorrow. reporter: has the biden administration weighed in with you either way on what house democrats should do if and when that motion to vacate comes to the floor? mr. jeffries: no. that's the easiest question of the day. reporter: they haven't tipped their hands either way and that decision is entirely up to you and your members? mr

reporter: what are democrats doing to make sured agets to haiti and what are house democrats doing to make sure members back bills to fund the reconstruction of the collapsed bridge in baltimore? mr. jeffries: both are important. i'm going to have a conversation with governor moore later today, i've been in close touch with him, our offices have been in touch with're other. and congressman mfume has been leading the effort on behalf of the maryland delegation to make sure we are able to provide the city of baltimore, the people of baltimore, and certainly the immigrant families who have experienced the loss of a loved one, with the support that they need in this moment of great crisis. america needs to stand with the people of haiti. haiti is not in our backyard, hey tee is in our -- haiti in in our front-yard. it is a part of the americas. haitian americans are an important part of this country's gorgeous mosaic. the united states has secured a commitment from kenya and other nations in africa and the caribbean to provide security assistance on the ground in haiti. but we need the co

it's un-democratic. and i am confident that my democratic colleagues, if they do this, please don't, but if they do it will regret this new precedent when they find themselves in the minority. just as they regretted breaking the senate precedent for confirming judicial nominees. you see, republicans do not like to break precedent when we're in the majority. we respect the traditions of this chamber because we respect the voters who sent all 100 of us here. if my democratic colleagues set a new precedent that tramples the rights of the minority party and silences the voices of the americans who elected them, if they do that, senate democrats will have to own that decision and bear its consequences. now, madam president, i've listened to the loon wing of the democratic party spend the better part of the past decade making passionate speeches about how important it is to protect democracy, to uphold the rule of law. and they're right. president biden even ran his campaign on the idea of restoring our norms

they get more democrat voters. the gang of eight bill was a terrible bill and senator durbin is unhappy that democracy operated and the house of representatives made the decision not to pass it. that's the way our system works. that's what led senate democrats and joe biden to decide just open the border lawlessly because they couldn't actually get the votes to pass their bill. the shoourm bill he's talking about -- schumer bill he's talking about would have made this situation worse. and understand what senator durbin is saying. it is the policy of senate democrats to support these open borders. they don't have any arguments on the merits. and by the way, joe biden inherited the lowest rate of illegal immigration in 45 years. all he had to do was nothing because we had success in securing the border. and joe biden and alejandro mayorkas deliberately broke the border and they continue the policies in place that ensure tomorrow more children are going to be brutalized, more women are going to be raped. they know tha

democrats fall in love. today is the reverse. the republicans fall in love and the democrats fall in line. how dare you suggest anything other than what the establishment said we are going to do. do not shoot the messenger. you are right, nobody will vote for me because i will not be on the ballot in november. host: how do you gauge success for what you're trying to do? guest: having an honest conversation about what is real and what is happening. you have a lot of this anticorporate conversation on the right as well as on the left. you have josh hawley who says we need to repeal citizens united. we have j.d. vance joining the white house in getting rid of some of these corporate tax cuts. people are figuring it out. the real dichotomy is not between the left on the right. it is between the powerful and the powerless, between those who have access to capital versus those who are struggling to get by. in giving this message, i am giving the message is a traditional democrat message. i believe it is the one th

one is that, so i mostly work on democratic primaries between democrat versus democrat battles. when we do a a poll at the beginning of the race our candidate is always down by like 80-point was to come almost has like zero name recognition. and people always like him like he went maybe five or ten spot with heavy demographic voters under 45 are always like half interested in unseating the incumbent just from purely anti-incumbent sentiment, ideological sentiment and like at the establishment lives wanting generational change. so they're also more thinly with some of the members of the squad and more supportive of them. three or four of them have likeo major primaries come up and could be unseated in this upcoming primary. i'm curious whether some of the stuff around gaza is also having an effect not just on biden but on the democratic party brand. and if this candidates are unseated by aipac, we jump people feel the democratic party is not a place for candidates like omar, cori bush? in the secondor thing is going o say was that on some of these down ballot races, so schumer ga

214 democrats effectively. there are a few vacancies. for seeds would get the democrats to 218. there are republicans in the house that have areas that voted for president biden. two states where democrats underperformed in the 2022 midterms, new york and california. the question of the split ticket voting dynamic. how many voters will vote strategically to balance their tickets. we saw this dynamic in 2016 and 2020 with the polls heading into election day. those cycles showed democrats with a healthy need and a number of independent voters in swing districts decided that if democrats are going to hold the white house, maybe it is worth investing in a more conventional republican then donald trump down ballot to make sure democrats don't go too far left. republicans had a decent year in 2016 holding the house and picked up a dozen house seats in 2020. the question this year is, are voters who are uncomfortable with the prospect of donald trump returning to the presidency, are they going to invest in a democrat

senate democrats' is the latest by the left against the democratic process in this institution. senate democrats want to eliminate the filibuster. they want to radically change the u.s. supreme court and now they want to trash the impeachment process, this is a disturbing series of direct attacks on our democratic constitution. my colleagues and i have called on senate leadership r leadership to conduct a thorough trial and personally called on vice-president kamala harris urging her to fulfill her constitutional duty to preside at secretary mayorkas' trial. her appointment as president biden's quote, border czar only makes her role in the mayorkas impeachment trial more critical. president biden and his administration created a crisis at our southern border. secretary mayorkas a complete puppet for this lawless administration has the audacity to come falsely testify before senate and house committees that the border is secure. not just once, but multiple times, mayorkas has lied under oath in committee that our border is secure. he's lying the american people. he's not taking t

this issue is so toxic to senate democrats, house democrats and president biden that they don't want to this to be the issue of the day. my hope is the good people of montana and ohio, wisconsin, michigan, nevada, pennsylvania, hold their senators accountable this november. make one thing clear before i turn it over to my colleagues. tabling these impeachment articles is a nuclear option. in our estimation this is a nuclear option and will necessitate some type of nuclear retaliation much as when harry reid went nuclear in 2013 to get his judges moving forward invoking the nuclear option that came back to bite them in the form of neil gorsuch in 2017. i look forward to my college prosecuting this case on behalf of the american people in sharing why we need to go forward with this impeachment trial of secretary mayorkas. the first one here -- >> you are up, sorry. >> a charitable interpretation of what senator schumer is planning to do does not exist. it doesn't. he is going to either make a motion to table or to dismiss the work done by the us house of representatives. in our 200 plu

the democrats, the biden justice department and democrat prosecutors across the country are more thano abuse the justice system to try to destroy their opposition. maria: wow. >> and the thread behind all of that is for the democrats, staying in power is all that matters. the rule of law and the constitution for them, sadly, is no longer a concern. maria: well, that is incredibly disappointing. we should point out that the census just counts people, it doesn't count citizens. so it does help the democrats to have a wide open border, doesn't it? because if you've got more people in sanctuary cities, you'll get more congressional seats. so that's what we're hearing -- >> well, and, maria, we teed up a vote on that, a vote directly that said the census should not count illegal aliens in the senate. the democrats voted party line against that vote. in the house my opponent in november is a very, very liberal congressman from dallas can. he voted 100% with nancy pelosi his first four years in office. and and he voted in favor of counting illegal aliens in the cent us. -- census. he also vo

and yet chuck schumer and the democrats don't want to talk about it. even worse, chuck schumer and the democrats want to defy the constitutional responsibility. twenty-one times in the nation's history the house of representatives sent articles of impeachment over to the senate. only the second cabinet member ever to be impeached. under the constitution of the te responsibilities of the senate are simple and straightforward if they are to try this impeachment. he wants to move the table and the three reasons he wants to move the table, the articles of impeachment. reason number one he does not want to allow the house managers to present the evidence. in this administration's willful decision to aided and abetted this criminal in the country. he doesn't want the american people to see the facts when each of us lay out the facts of what's going on no democrat argues there's not another side. they don't defend it and say it's a great, don't worry about the people diane, don't worry about the children were the mexican drug cartels making billions of dollar

the democratic party. i think the third reason is reality. you had three democratic presidents. really moving more towards the center, embracing what some people call neoliberalism. let's deregulate. let's privatize. let's balance the budget. and by 2016, it became clear that that working. and so think reality had to the left if you will the center of the democratic party had moved to the left. bernie sanders, who was simply taken seriously until 2016, all of a sudden a major player. i think a majority of young people, the public opinion polls said they had a favorable view of socialism. so i think reality moves to the left, democratic party moves to the left. warren a lot of influence. and then he seizes the moment that he inherits. so biden, of all people, becomes fdr redux. who would have thunk it? well, yeah, who would have thunk it? is right. the you look at the three successive democratic before carter, fdr, truman, lbj. right. they all went big. yeah, in a way they all surprised by their movement to

democrat party, democrat front groups, soros, other democrat billionaires and multimillionaires, fundingseeing in the streets as well as the hamas as colleges and universities. washington free beacon take a look at this community adjuster six change the tides foundation solicits legal defense donations for arrested protesters the protest which took place in dozens of u.s. cities including san francisco, chicago, new york city, philadelphia. organized by a petit action of the farm group that worked to coordinate a multicity economic blockade on april 15 and solidarity of palestine quote unquote. to bail and legal defense fund hosted through the democratic parties online fundraising. shutting down bridges. getting into tunnels. all of these things are funded by wealthy democrats through dark money and front groups. those who donate our sending money to the community justice exchange. which provides quote money they'll court fines and other legal services to community based organization exchange is a project of the tide center a left-wing dark money network petabyte soros and other left-win

, 214 democrats effectively. there are a few vacancies which means four seats would get democrats to 218. there are 17 republicans in the house sitting in districts that voted for joe biden in 2020. there are only five democrats sitting in districts that voted for donald trump. for president biden. two states where democrats underperformed in the 2022 midterms, new york and california. the question of the split ticket voting dynamic. how many voters will vote strategically to balance their tickets. we saw this dynamic in 2016 and 2020 with the polls heading into election day. those cycles showed democrats with a healthy need and a number of independent voters in swing districts decided that if democrats are going to hold the white house, maybe it is worth investing in a more conventional republican then donald trump down ballot to make sure democrats don't go too far left. republicans had a decent year in 2016 holding the house and picked up a dozen house seats in 2020. the question this year is, are voters who a

maybe there is a democratic advantage.if it's only 10 points as opposed to 20 points overall i young white voters are within 20 points not 40 points is the investment. particulate the ground level campaigns and get out to vote is dramatically different but it's a big challenge for republicans as to how they want to address this. there's been so much speculation. is the shift real? are we going to invest resources around trying to capitalize on shifts that might be happening among younger nonwhite voters in this election? in particular trumpets to identify people. it's very different from your grandfather's republican party. younger black men, younger hispanic men have the fringes of the process. who used to be a pretty reliable group. is not 50/50. even leaning towards trump. >> one thing most work on democratic primaries. we will pull at the beginning of the race it's almost zero name recognition. but young people with every demographic. there happened familiar with some of the members of the squad and more supportive of

now it would seem eileen democrat -- i lean democrat.eally contingent on one or two issues whether someone is democrat or republican. thank you. guest: that is an interesting point. for some voters it can be a single issue or a group of issues that causes them to lean or identify with a party or identify with a party or even to change parties. usually what we have signed -- what we have found is they do not tend to change their party identification that much. about 8% to 10% will change from year to year. it is not a lot of change on a year to year basis. host: because the caller was on the independent line, how do you account for independents? guest: identifying means you affiliate with that party. leaning is a softer measure. about one third identify as republicans, one third as democrats and about one third as independents. those who are independents tend to lean and they often have strongly partisan views themselves. they are not nonpartisan. host: one of the other factors you look at his income and how that factors in to how someone

every single house democrat voted against the change for the motion to vacate. every single one of us in january of 2023. because we believed it was a mistake to take a loaded gun in the form of the motion to vacate and hand it over to any single individual in the house republican conference. that was a mistake. and we voted against it because it is not consistent with common sense and good governance. but now we find ourselves in this situation. and so we'll have to evaluate what is the best path forward in terms of the motion to vacate as a rule. that's a conversation for another day after, after the national security legislation is over the finish line, moved to the senate, and sent to joe biden's desk for his signature. by the way, president joe biden throughout this process has done a tremendous job. reporter: so you think johnson should stay as speaker then? leader jeffries: i don't have a view on that one way or the other. one step at a time in terms of what is in front of us because what is in front of us is not just a simple day-to-day run-of-the-mill i

political parties and other democratic actors. they can each do their work well, but they have to be in conversation with each other in order for the democracy to deliver. >> many ukrainians believe that elections in democratic processes should take place after the wars over. an election that would've taken place on march 31 would've happened because the country is under martial law. when is the right time for these democratic processes to resume? and could they take place even as ukraine is actively fighting against the invasion? >> first constitution of ukraine conducted election during the martial law. in the world and there are a lot of practical problems, which we have to float in order to have real elections, not just a turn. recently some performances happen in russia. the opposition leader, and of all he was killed in prison. during the war, even if you would have known this constitution, it's very difficult to organize because where can we find the money for this? second, how to provide millions of people who became refug

jeffries: he has not asked for democratic support. we are in regular communication as is always the case every week that we are in session about the legislative agenda, and we are working through the substance. we have made clear that until we are able to evaluate the substance of the legislation that will be before the house we are not in a position to determine how we will proceed. >> [indiscernible] what are you waiting to figure out, waiting to work through? rep. jeffries: our conversation with the house democratic caucus, because you have the leadership of the house democratic caucus chair, and we do not get ahead of our members, because on all issues, particularly ones of great significance, so we may have a perspective. we went to have that conversation as a caucus, as a family, as a team so that we can continue to emerge unified as we have been. >> do you see an instance and when [indiscernible] rep. jeffries: we are not going to allow america's national security interests to be undermined, so figuring out the precise contours

would democratic voters? >> i don't think it's gonna make any difference at all because i think they recognize the fact that he organized with the republicans. so he'll be another voice for the republicans and allow the extreme agenda >> democrats are trying to nationalize the race >> the republicans >> not so much, it's gonna be tough in an election year not to nationalize them i didn't presidential legend >> absolutely. and democrats are going to say control of the senate could very well decide, determined, be determined by a maryland. we'll see if that argument works with voters. sometimes it does, sometimes it doesn't. but this is a huge coup to get larry hogan to run in this race to act, to actually put this state on the map that could very easily determine control >> i mean, larry hogan also had a quote in your piece saying that that he's frustrated with the current makeup of senate. i mean, you may be able to win. we'll see in maryland with an anti-trump message. but if he's frustrated now, even if he

i would note the delta between the democratic yays and republican yays, 209 democrats voting for thismbassadors of the problem for mike johnson where there are a lot of conservatives who never wanted to help ukraine to put this bill on the floor. he might say this is the house of representatives working gets will because there's a bipartisan coalition of democrats and republicans in favor of this. we will gamble this down in a minute and ukraine aid is on its way to the senate. you might notice all these democrats in the house chamber waiving ukrainian flags which you are not supposed to do under the rules of the house. to demonstrate like this, the other number of people supporting ukraine, without their voting card in the house of representatives. what happens after this? you have a vote on the aid bill for israel, i talked about how more democrats were supporting this, democratic support for israel because they are upset with the israeli government, how palestinians are being treated and what's going on in gaza so i talked to a senior house democratic source an hour ago when they i

it is the democratic line, not the democrat line. thank you.ost: we will go to john in wisconsin calling on the independent line. caller: good morning. i agree with marjorie taylor greene, the speech she gave. she was 100% correct. it is terrible. war is just not good. host: how do you feel about the bill that was -- the bills that were passed yesterday? caller: i was really against it all. it is just a big war machine. host: you were against all of the eight bills, for israel and ukraine taiwan, all of them? caller: well, i think we should take care of our own border first. i don't know why congress can't do anything for us. it seems they care more about funding these wars then protecting our own border -- than protecting our own border. host: ok, we will go to christopher in california on the democrats line. christopher. caller: yes, i was wondering why they have ukrainian flags waving in our capitol, kind of like a disrespect to our country. host: were you watching the debate yesterday? caller: yes. i was kind of concerned about the overseei

he was a recent democrat official. and i told him why i was there to promote agree new deal, the end of nuclear weapons a piece in the middle east. that is where our conversation ended and i have no idea why he was there and i didn't hear his speech. there were many keynote speakers. i was at the conference which is why i was there. i thought it was important for the world to know we are not all on this track of being a global bully which is what democrats and republicans have record of endless wars. in my view we need to be part of a multi-polar world. no longer a world dominated by the u.s. empire because that is costing us. just one quick thing, because of the propaganda promoted by the dnc which tried to smear me with that photograph. that misrepresentative photograph that was used to suggest i was in some kind of collusion. that was used to generate a rumor mill that led to an investigation by the senate intelligence committee. the results of that investigation, thank you so much for your cooperation. there is not

centrist democrats. and then the republican to say no. >> well, yeah, no, it was that you did you did just watch it play out. >> but, you know this is what you back to ukraine as speaker johnson's dilemma. i think you really, that's a real legacy moment for that speaker and it does feel like every republican house speaker of recent years or months realizes there's that moment when there's a decision they have to make that might end up killing them, but that is going to live long on their legacy. and this is one of those votes. it's okay for there to be policy differences within a party. >> there are big differences in both parties. it just in this case, i agree with jonah. i think most republicans and maybe a slim majority, but i think a majority of republicans want to do this. they want to help all of our allies certainly this package that came out of the senate got 70 votes. so when you look, i mean, yes, there are there people who strongly oppose this? yes. >> but that's why we vote. and let's see whe

national democrats and maryland democrats are going to want to nationalize this races much as possible, whereas so far larry hogan is campaigning as a third term for governor even though he will serve in the senate, so democrats are going to want to point toward abortion as an issue. maryland has a law protecting the right to abortion. there will be a constitutional ballot amendment question this year, but democrats will make the argument if larry hogan is elected to the senate potentially a national ban is in play. likewise they will say hogan joining the senate help support republican positions that may be hogan does not hold himself, so that could be renewing the trump administration tax cuts that will be up again. that could be the future of the affordable care act. if you could be a lot of different issues that democrats are going to use the positions of national republicans to try and drag down support for hogan. >> thank you so much for your time and expertise. host: a look at highlights from the receipt candidates for him -- forum in a baltimore hosted between the two top senat

democrats, 202-748-8. .endents, 202-748-8002. 20748-8003, jusse beat sure to include yo name and where you are writing and from. francis, port monmouth, new jersey on the line for republicans. good morning. caller: i want to talk about the coverage of this trial. i have been listening to andrew wiseman and they are talking about new yorkers are resilient and this is how they handle mob trials. this is nothing like a mob trial. i know about mob trials personally. i have been involved in them. and before i even testified there were four attempts to kill me and i failed -- and they failed. i am just saying that the jurors in this case are on trial because there are millions of crazies on the left and right and then people in the middle. i think that the judge should tell these people that when the case is over they are going to thank them and they are going to say good luck to them. and, like i said, there are so many crazies on all sides you have to worry about millions of people trying to whack you. that is m

democrats 8000 and independents, 8002. good morning. >> it sounds like the prime minister of japan has a co-gent and reasonable understanding of the world as it is much more than our very own president, but getting back to speaker of the house. he's in a precarious situation. he has a very shallow majority and he's doing the best he can with that. i mean, marjorie taylor greene would like to vacate the speaker, but you know, she's very much frustrated with the way things are and as a matter of fact the house has done a lot of things, passed bills sent over to the senate, where the senate has tabled all of their bills and they're actually the ones who are stonewalling progress or reparation to a very ill nation that we're experiencing right now. that's-- >> tom there in connecticut. let's hear from liz in new jersey, democrats line. >> good morning. the speaker of the house, i would give him about a d. at least he's kept the government open. his party seemed to have difficulty getting even there. so i do appreciate that. i

i'm a progressive democrat and i think you would have a few progressive democrats doing that, and i disagreespeaker johnson on many issues and have been very critical of him, but he did the right thing here and he deserves to keep his job until the end of his term. >> jonathan: would you and fellow democrats that will protect him at this moment, ask him for anything in return? do we effectively have -- you heard me ask congressman mccaul, a coalition government in the house? >> i'll leave the negotiations to speaker jeffries, but i don't think everything in politics needs to be transactional. i think here you have speaker johnson who not only put this up for a vote, but he also separated the bills which i thought was courageous. he let people vote their conscience on taiwan, on the offensive aid to israel, and on ukraine and i give him credit for that. >> jonathan: now you were one of the 37 who voted against the funding for israel. tell me more. tell me why. i mean, why -- was that a high number or a low number in your view? >> it was a high number. it was a hard vote. i mean, look. this wa

greg, democrat in ohio, good morning. caller: good morning. i would just like to say that immigration and the republicans talking about it is played out. most people don't know this. what is asylum? asylum is, when you come to the united states by any means necessary, you want asylum, you have to be processed. and illegal is not a person who is in the united states who requested asylum. people always say, well, the immigrants are hurting the economy. they are not affecting my rights or ability to make money. all those people who died on the bridge in baltimore were immigrants. i welcome them. asylum is the law. and mayorkas is following the law. host: all right, greg. and jim is in hudson, florida, republican. caller: good morning. when are they going to realize that the border is one of the main topics -- of who is going to be elected in november? they act like the citizens out here don't know -- like, if we don't talk about it, they won't realize we have a problem at the border. it's like gasoline. if we don't talk about it, they don't know

every democrat here in the senate and every democrat in the house and every democrat that has run and are expected to branch. there has not been one person that has said anything since i've been here 103.5 years off we need to do something at the border. not one. we have led than 10 million illegal aliens in the last three years. that data point alone secretary mayorkas intentionally, intentionally failed to secure the border. i personally would ask him one day why he was not the least given a fair chance of closing the border. he said senator we need more money. well i looked it up in his budget is 20% more than what president trump secretary of homeland security had. 20%. so his job is homeland security. that's his entire job. i'm sure all the democrats can conduct this impeachment trial today in a would have never seen the light of day after the trial because we would not have had the votes on our side to impeach. secretary mayorkas. no one said the impeachment process was over. the media will stop covering in a few days and will go back to the blue states so they can manage the se