let's bring in the deputy director brock cromartie and budget officer doug holtz-eakin for more on thise program, and thank you for joining us, let's start with you. the dow is down 3, the nasdaq down 3.5, back up about halfway down from the lows of yesterday, consumer spending was slowing, and income falling drive and the downturn as well, a lot of people are saying that the chickens that people had been experiencing due to high inflation and out-of-control prices are finally coming home to roost, what do you say? >> i disagree, it's important to take a step back and look at where we are on the economy has a hole, goldman sachs is projecting we will have 3% growth until the third quarter of this year. look, i think that the baseline projection of our session is about 25% over a year or two year. man, so that's not outside of normal expectations, the point as especially with the fed poised to cut in september by 50 or 75 basis points that will drive down costs for businesses who want to buy borrow, and cost of mortgages or succumb a small business loans and add some juice to the economy