doug thornel rich galn and larence.d you tell them about their assumptions, their cherished notion is their operating theories on the coming race, or their thoughts that it simply ain't so? rich galen? >> generals are always fighting the last war, nfl coaches are always coaching the last season and political people are fighting the last election. so everybody's so tightly focused on big data on turnout on all the g ismology, let's get a theory that works across a broad swath -- donald trump, if he is 26%, 26% of 26% of voters who said they aring republicans, that's 6% of the electorate. that's what i would do. i'd say forget about all of that other stuff. let the technicians do that. let's worry about the other stuff. >> garance. >> a lot of attention to passion and people who are very highly motivated and inspiring people to be very aggressive in the primary cycles. we are seeing it on the democratic side, with sanders, on the republican side with donald trump many be carson. trump, with kansa carson. >> do they distra