jonathan: joining me around the michele, bob michael -- kathy jones and douglas peebles.athy, this doesn't quite compete the picture that everything is ok in the u.s. economy. kathy: first is always a little soft and we had a pretty good fourth quarter in terms of consumer spending, so i think what we are seeing is a normal retrenchment you see, particularly a lot of credit card debt was run of over the past couple of months. there is a tendency to recoup. in general, the economy looks pretty good and that drives it. jonathan: bob, are things maybe not as brilliant as they seem? bob: things are awesome right now. jonathan: welcome me through why. capacity, look at small business optimism. it posted the second highest reading in history. the highest was september, 1983, during the reagan reform years. look at wage gains, they are starting to pick up. and you look at the central banks. they are being slow and gradual and normalizing at a glacial pace that we in the markets can easily absorbed. jonathan: doug? douglas: i think people are looking at the wrong place at inflati