down. main street optimism is down and home builder optimism is down. a gallup poll indicates that consumers sentiment may be higher than is reflected in the michigan sentiment index. let's turn to the crop forecast. beyond general economic conditions several additional uncertainties that have a direct impact on crops, livestock and secondary. questions about trade, policy, weather, market information, all of these have an impact of course on what farmers are planning to do this coming year. it makes the outlook less certain than perhaps anytime since the first year. freedom of to farm back in 1986. let us know in tomorrow's commodity section, for the new crop here updating earlier projections that we put out last fall. over the next 10 years, we still expect the general trend to continue of decline, agriculture prices, real prices over the next 10 years as i mentioned. when you account for inflation. prices will go up, in real terms we expect them to fall. and what does that do to you? essentially production growing faster than global demand. remarkable interest as we seen in agriculture productive soy bone prices have fallen more than 50%. corn production