dr. sam wong is a princeton university professor and back in 2012 he beat all the so-called experts includingrect recalled the presidential race in 49 of 50 states and he went 10 for 10 in close senate elections. dr. wong, thanks for being here. what are you looking for on monday in iowa? well, what i'm looking for in iowa, michael, looks like trump is reflective of his national numbers. iowa numbers similar to those and looks like he'll finish around 30%, which is what he needs given that gop delegate rules to get a majority of delegates at the national convention. on the democratic side, i would say that iowa voters are more liberal than voters nationwide and so looks like it's a close race between hillary and sanders but the numbers indicate hillary clinton is still in fact slightly favored to win on the democratic side. >> i made reference to nate silver and took note of the fact thursday night he for the first time said trump is a 48% chance of win income iowa. i could put that up on the screen but do you agree? is that about where trump's chances are of winning what ni? >> yeah, he like