does overevvaluation cause a drp >> fear could cause a evaluation people are worried that things arexpensive, but are they priced appropriate le gily givee outlook. the answer is yes. there's very little risk of recession but people have a hard time believing that because of how long the recovery has been going on >> the thing people talk about is we overinflate the tax cuts, that throws fuel on a hot economy, that causes the fed to act more quickly >> that doesn't create a crisis. >> it's from such a low level, too. >> most people are saying -- >> could 4%, 5% cause a recession of long-term rates >> no, 4% or 5% won't. but it's a matter of the uncertainty and the volatility if there's a big enough shock, for whatever reason, it can feed through to the real economy. >> it seems like you would need a north korea or an iran or an oil shock or something like that >> most of which are not predictable, right so the question is based on what we can predict or what we have a sense we can predict, the economy and the like, are things overpriced now the answer is no there's a reason to be opt